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Texas Population Projections Program
The Texas Population Projections Program produces biennial projections of the population of the state and all counties in the state by age, sex and race/ethnicity. These projections are used extensively by public and private entities.
Every 2-3 years, the program also produces state and county level projections for every year from 2005 through 2040 for the following:
- Household projections by tenure
- Labor force
- Enrollment in primary/secondary education
- Enrollment in community colleges and universities
Population Projections Methodology (HTML | PDF)
The methodology utilized by the population projections program include the following highlights:
- Detailed projections include: a single year of age, two sexes, and 4 racial/ethnic groups (Anglo, Black, Hispanic, and Other), utilizing the cohort-component projection model.
- Special populations, fertility rates, mortality rates, and residual migration rates are among the variables incorporated into the model
For additional information on population projection methodology, please refer to a year-specific methodology below.
Projection Products
2008 Population Projections
The Table 1 projections are 2000 population and projections of the population of Texas and counties in Texas by race/ethnicity for five year intervals
2005 through 2040. Population estimates and projections prepared by the Texas Population Estimates and Projections Programs include a summary of methodology.
Please carefully review the entire summary prior to using the data.
The Table 2 projections are 2000 population and projections of the population
of Texas and counties in Texas by single year of age, sex, and race/ethnicity for every year 2001 through 2040.