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Texas Population Projections Program

The Texas Population Projections Program produces biennial projections of the population of the state and all counties in the state by age, sex and race/ethnicity. These projections are used extensively by public and private entities.

Every 2-3 years, the program also produces state and county level projections for every year from 2015 through 2050 for the following:

  • Household projections by tenure
  • Labor force
  • Enrollment in primary/secondary education
  • Enrollment in community colleges and universities

2014 Population Projections Methodology   (PDF)

Population projections prepared by the Texas Population Estimates and Projections Programs include a summary of methodology. Please carefully review the entire summary prior to using the data.

The methodology utilized by the population projections program include the following highlights:

  • Detailed projections include: a single year of age, two sexes, and 4 racial/ethnic groups (Anglo, Black, Hispanic, and Other), utilizing the cohort-component projection model.
  • Special populations, fertility rates, mortality rates, and residual migration rates are among the variables incorporated into the model

2014 Population Projections Data Downloads

  • Population Projections Tool
    Online tool provides access to searchable estimates information for viewing and downloading.
  • CSV Files: Contain Population Estimates Data only in a Comma Delimited file format

Sex and Race/Ethnicity Total Population by Migration Scenario for 2010-2050 in 1 year increments (zipped CSV file)


Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity (ASRE) Population by Migration Scenario

  • By Age Group for 2010-2050 in 1 year increments (zipped CSV files)
    • Population Projections for the State of Texas
    • Population Projections for Individual Texas Counties
    • Population Projections for the State of Texas and Counties in one file (~ 5.5 MB)
  • By Single Years of Age for 2010-2050 in 1 year increments (zipped CSV files)
    • Population Projections for the State of Texas
    • Population Projections for Individual Texas Counties
    • Population Projections for the State of Texas and Counties in one file
      Note: File contains all 3 migration scenarios.
      File Size: ~ 45 MB compressed / ~ 245 MB uncompressed / ~ 2.7 million records
      This file will not load completely into MS Excel. Please use a database application or statistical analysis software to access this file.