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Texas Population Projections Program
The Texas Population Projections Program produces biennial projections of the population of the state and all counties in the state by age, sex and race/ethnicity. These projections are used extensively by public and private entities.
Every 2-3 years, the program also produces state and county level projections for every year from 2015 through 2050 for the following:
- Household projections by tenure
- Labor force
- Enrollment in primary/secondary education
- Enrollment in community colleges and universities
Population Projections Methodology (PDF)
Population projections prepared by the Texas Population Estimates and Projections Programs include a summary of methodology. Please carefully review the entire summary prior to using the data.
The methodology utilized by the population projections program include the following highlights:
- Detailed projections include: a single year of age, two sexes, and 4 racial/ethnic groups (Anglo, Black, Hispanic, and Other), utilizing the cohort-component projection model.
- Special populations, fertility rates, mortality rates, and residual migration rates are among the variables incorporated into the model
For additional information on population projection methodology, please refer to a year-specific methodology.
Data Downloads
Sex and Race/Ethnicity Total Population by Migration Scenario for 2010-2050
in 1 year increments (zipped CSV file)
Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity (ASRE) Population by Migration Scenario
- By Age Group for 2010-2050 in 1 year increments (zipped CSV files)
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By Single Years of Age for 2010-2050 in 1 year increments (zipped CSV files)
- Population Projections for the State of Texas
- Population Projections for Individual Texas Counties
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Population Projections for the State of Texas and Counties in one file
Note: File contains all 3 migration scenarios.
File Size: ~ 45 MB compressed / ~ 245 MB uncompressed / ~ 2.7 million records
This file will not load completely into MS Excel. Please use a database application or statistical analysis software to access this file.