Table 2.9 Total Population in 2000 and Projected Total Population in 2040, and Numerical and Percent Change in Population, 2000-2040, under Alternative Projection Scenarios for Council of Government Regions in Texas, Ranked by Numerical Population Change, 2000-2040 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Change in Population Population ______________________ ______________________ Rank COG 2000 2040 Number Percent _________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 1 North Central Texas Council of Governments 5,309,277 10,086,037 4,776,760 90.0 2 Houston-Galveston Area Council 4,854,454 8,483,600 3,629,146 74.8 3 Capital Area Planning Council 1,346,833 2,737,844 1,391,011 103.3 4 Lower Rio Grande Valley Development Council 924,772 2,127,598 1,202,826 130.1 5 Alamo Area Council of Governments 1,807,868 2,593,408 785,540 43.5 6 Rio Grande Council of Governments 704,318 1,182,611 478,293 67.9 7 South Texas Development Council 264,177 645,983 381,806 144.5 8 East Texas Council of Governments 745,180 971,935 226,755 30.4 9 Coastal Bend Council of Governments 549,012 775,224 226,212 41.2 10 Central Texas Council of Governments 374,518 589,407 214,889 57.4 11 Panhandle Regional Planning Commission 402,862 528,600 125,738 31.2 12 Brazos Valley Council of Governments 267,085 370,314 103,229 38.7 13 Heart of Texas Council of Governments 321,536 414,644 93,108 29.0 14 Permian Basin Regional Planning Commission 376,672 465,549 88,877 23.6 15 Deep East Texas Council of Governments 355,862 438,474 82,612 23.2 16 Middle Rio Grande Development Council 154,381 229,400 75,019 48.6 17 South Plains Association of Governments 377,871 440,524 62,653 16.6 18 South East Texas Regional Planning Commission 385,090 447,626 62,536 16.2 19 Golden Crescent Regional Planning Commission 183,905 229,557 45,652 24.8 20 Texoma Council of Governments 178,200 212,011 33,811 19.0 21 West Central Texas Council of Governments 324,901 350,551 25,650 7.9 22 NORTEX Regional Planning Commission 224,366 247,467 23,101 10.3 23 Concho Valley Council of Governments 148,212 170,452 22,240 15.0 24 Ark-Tex Council of Governments 270,468 273,514 3,046 1.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 1 North Central Texas Council of Governments 5,309,277 17,091,098 11,781,821 221.9 2 Houston-Galveston Area Council 4,854,454 12,883,490 8,029,036 165.4 3 Capital Area Planning Council 1,346,833 4,802,535 3,455,702 256.6 4 Lower Rio Grande Valley Development Council 924,772 2,599,376 1,674,604 181.1 5 Alamo Area Council of Governments 1,807,868 3,136,524 1,328,656 73.5 6 Rio Grande Council of Governments 704,318 1,274,183 569,865 80.9 7 East Texas Council of Governments 745,180 1,275,802 530,622 71.2 8 South Texas Development Council 264,177 786,341 522,164 197.7 9 Central Texas Council of Governments 374,518 745,272 370,754 99.0 10 Coastal Bend Council of Governments 549,012 873,659 324,647 59.1 11 Panhandle Regional Planning Commission 402,862 593,469 190,607 47.3 12 Heart of Texas Council of Governments 321,536 506,024 184,488 57.4 13 South East Texas Regional Planning Commission 385,090 552,846 167,756 43.6 14 Deep East Texas Council of Governments 355,862 522,052 166,190 46.7 15 Brazos Valley Council of Governments 267,085 425,411 158,326 59.3 16 Middle Rio Grande Development Council 154,381 213,897 59,516 38.6 17 Texoma Council of Governments 178,200 236,905 58,705 32.9 18 Permian Basin Regional Planning Commission 376,672 431,016 54,344 14.4 19 Golden Crescent Regional Planning Commission 183,905 233,946 50,041 27.2 20 South Plains Association of Governments 377,871 404,206 26,335 7.0 21 Concho Valley Council of Governments 148,212 169,314 21,102 14.2 22 NORTEX Regional Planning Commission 224,366 245,267 20,901 9.3 23 West Central Texas Council of Governments 324,901 320,811 -4,090 -1.3 24 Ark-Tex Council of Governments 270,468 259,517 -10,951 -4.0 ___________________________________ Source: Texas Population Estimates and Projections Program, Projections of the Population of Texas and Counties in Texas by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity for 2000-2040, 2001. _________________________________________________________________________________________________________