Table 2.11 Percent of Population for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios ______________________________________________________________________ Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______________________________________________________________________ State of Texas All Scenarios 2000 53.1 11.6 32.0 3.3 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 49.9 11.5 35.2 3.4 2020 47.0 11.3 38.3 3.4 2030 44.2 11.0 41.4 3.4 2040 41.5 10.6 44.6 3.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 47.6 11.3 37.2 3.9 2020 42.4 10.8 42.3 4.5 2030 37.2 10.2 47.5 5.1 2040 32.5 9.4 52.5 5.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 45.2 11.1 39.2 4.5 2020 37.5 10.2 46.4 5.9 2030 30.5 9.1 53.1 7.3 2040 24.2 7.9 59.1 8.8 Panhandle Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 69.7 4.7 23.8 1.8 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 65.9 4.8 27.4 1.9 2020 62.5 4.9 30.6 2.0 2030 59.4 4.9 33.7 2.0 2040 57.0 4.8 36.3 1.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 64.4 4.7 28.8 2.1 2020 58.9 4.8 33.9 2.4 2030 53.6 4.7 39.0 2.7 2040 48.4 4.6 44.1 2.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 62.2 4.8 30.6 2.4 2020 53.9 4.8 38.2 3.1 2030 45.0 4.7 46.3 4.0 2040 36.2 4.5 54.4 4.9 South Plains Association of Governments All Scenarios 2000 58.9 6.5 33.2 1.4 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 55.2 6.5 36.8 1.5 2020 52.2 6.4 39.9 1.5 2030 49.3 6.4 42.8 1.5 2040 47.0 6.2 45.3 1.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 53.7 6.6 38.1 1.6 2020 48.9 6.6 42.6 1.9 2030 44.1 6.6 47.0 2.3 2040 40.0 6.5 50.9 2.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 52.0 6.8 39.3 1.9 2020 45.0 7.0 45.5 2.5 2030 38.1 7.2 51.3 3.4 2040 31.7 7.2 56.6 4.5 NORTEX Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 79.2 7.4 11.3 2.1 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 76.9 7.7 13.2 2.2 2020 74.6 8.0 15.1 2.3 2030 72.4 8.3 16.9 2.4 2040 70.8 8.4 18.5 2.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 75.6 7.7 14.1 2.6 2020 71.5 8.1 17.3 3.1 2030 67.4 8.3 20.7 3.6 2040 62.8 8.6 24.4 4.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 73.8 7.8 15.5 2.9 2020 66.9 8.2 20.8 4.1 2030 58.9 8.5 27.0 5.6 2040 49.9 8.5 34.1 7.5 North Central Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 60.4 13.8 21.4 4.4 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 57.4 13.8 24.1 4.7 2020 54.8 13.7 26.8 4.7 2030 52.1 13.3 29.9 4.7 2040 49.3 12.9 33.1 4.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 54.2 13.5 27.0 5.3 2020 48.2 13.0 32.8 6.0 2030 42.2 12.1 39.0 6.7 2040 36.5 11.0 45.2 7.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 50.9 13.2 29.9 6.0 2020 41.8 12.0 38.8 7.4 2030 33.3 10.5 47.4 8.8 2040 26.0 8.9 55.1 10.0 Ark-Tex Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 74.9 17.0 7.1 1.0 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 73.0 17.4 8.5 1.1 2020 71.0 17.8 10.0 1.2 2030 69.3 18.0 11.4 1.3 2040 68.0 17.9 12.8 1.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 72.3 17.4 9.2 1.1 2020 69.2 17.9 11.7 1.2 2030 66.2 18.1 14.4 1.3 2040 63.1 18.2 17.4 1.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 70.8 17.6 10.3 1.3 2020 66.0 18.1 14.3 1.6 2030 59.9 18.4 19.6 2.1 2040 52.9 18.4 26.1 2.6 East Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 74.0 16.4 8.7 0.9 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 71.8 16.6 10.6 1.0 2020 69.7 16.7 12.5 1.1 2030 67.5 16.7 14.6 1.2 2040 65.7 16.5 16.6 1.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 70.8 16.0 12.1 1.1 2020 67.0 15.4 16.4 1.2 2030 62.1 14.7 21.8 1.4 2040 56.5 13.7 28.3 1.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 69.5 15.4 13.9 1.2 2020 62.7 14.0 21.7 1.6 2030 53.4 12.3 32.2 2.1 2040 42.1 10.1 45.3 2.5 West Central Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 74.9 5.4 18.5 1.2 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 71.6 5.7 21.4 1.3 2020 68.9 5.8 23.9 1.4 2030 66.4 5.9 26.3 1.4 2040 64.5 5.9 28.2 1.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 70.9 5.8 21.9 1.4 2020 66.8 6.1 25.3 1.8 2030 62.9 6.4 28.6 2.1 2040 59.1 6.6 31.8 2.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 69.6 5.9 22.8 1.7 2020 63.8 6.5 27.3 2.4 2030 57.3 7.0 32.3 3.4 2040 50.3 7.5 37.3 4.9 Rio Grande Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 18.1 2.8 77.7 1.4 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 15.8 2.7 80.1 1.4 2020 14.1 2.6 81.9 1.4 2030 12.5 2.4 83.7 1.4 2040 11.2 2.3 85.2 1.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 13.7 2.6 82.1 1.6 2020 10.4 2.4 85.4 1.8 2030 7.9 2.1 88.0 2.0 2040 5.9 1.9 90.1 2.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 11.8 2.4 84.0 1.8 2020 7.5 2.0 88.2 2.3 2030 4.8 1.7 90.8 2.7 2040 2.9 1.4 92.4 3.3 Permian Basin Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 54.3 5.0 39.6 1.1 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 50.5 4.9 43.5 1.1 2020 47.2 4.8 46.8 1.2 2030 43.9 4.7 50.2 1.2 2040 41.3 4.5 53.1 1.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 48.2 5.0 45.6 1.2 2020 42.6 4.8 51.4 1.2 2030 37.0 4.7 57.0 1.3 2040 32.0 4.5 62.2 1.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 45.4 5.1 48.0 1.5 2020 36.9 5.0 56.2 1.9 2030 28.8 4.9 63.8 2.5 2040 21.7 4.5 70.6 3.2 Concho Valley Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 63.8 3.3 31.7 1.2 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 59.9 3.4 35.4 1.3 2020 56.7 3.4 38.6 1.3 2030 53.8 3.4 41.4 1.4 2040 51.3 3.4 43.9 1.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 58.5 3.3 36.9 1.3 2020 53.6 3.4 41.6 1.4 2030 48.8 3.4 46.3 1.5 2040 44.3 3.4 50.8 1.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 56.7 3.4 38.3 1.6 2020 49.8 3.4 44.6 2.2 2030 42.4 3.5 51.1 3.0 2040 35.0 3.5 57.4 4.1 Heart of Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 67.6 15.0 16.2 1.2 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 64.6 15.3 18.8 1.3 2020 61.9 15.4 21.3 1.4 2030 59.4 15.4 23.7 1.5 2040 57.4 15.2 25.9 1.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 62.5 15.0 21.0 1.5 2020 57.1 14.7 26.4 1.8 2030 51.5 14.2 32.1 2.2 2040 45.9 13.4 38.3 2.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 59.9 14.7 23.7 1.7 2020 50.9 13.8 32.9 2.4 2030 41.3 12.6 43.0 3.1 2040 31.7 10.9 53.4 4.0 Capital Area Planning Council All Scenarios 2000 63.0 7.8 25.3 3.9 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 60.1 7.8 28.0 4.1 2020 57.8 7.7 30.4 4.1 2030 55.3 7.6 32.9 4.2 2040 52.9 7.3 35.6 4.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 58.3 7.5 29.8 4.4 2020 54.0 7.1 34.1 4.8 2030 49.8 6.7 38.3 5.2 2040 45.6 6.2 42.6 5.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 56.6 7.2 31.6 4.6 2020 50.1 6.6 37.8 5.5 2030 44.0 6.0 43.6 6.4 2040 37.7 5.4 49.5 7.4 Brazos Valley Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 67.3 14.1 15.6 3.0 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 64.4 14.4 18.0 3.2 2020 62.1 14.5 20.0 3.4 2030 60.0 14.5 21.9 3.6 2040 58.3 14.4 23.5 3.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 64.1 13.8 18.8 3.3 2020 61.1 13.4 21.8 3.7 2030 58.0 12.9 25.0 4.1 2040 54.6 12.5 28.2 4.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 63.4 13.4 19.8 3.4 2020 59.1 12.6 24.4 3.9 2030 54.0 11.8 29.6 4.6 2040 47.8 11.0 35.5 5.7 Deep East Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 73.7 16.5 8.8 1.0 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 71.3 16.9 10.7 1.1 2020 68.9 17.2 12.7 1.2 2030 67.0 17.1 14.7 1.2 2040 65.3 16.9 16.5 1.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 71.4 16.2 11.4 1.0 2020 68.5 15.8 14.6 1.1 2030 65.3 15.2 18.4 1.1 2040 61.7 14.5 22.7 1.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 70.8 15.6 12.5 1.1 2020 66.7 14.5 17.4 1.4 2030 61.1 13.3 23.8 1.8 2040 53.9 12.0 31.8 2.3 South East Texas Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 64.5 24.9 8.0 2.6 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 62.7 25.5 8.9 2.9 2020 60.9 26.1 9.9 3.1 2030 59.2 26.5 11.0 3.3 2040 57.8 26.7 12.0 3.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 60.2 25.7 10.7 3.4 2020 55.4 26.2 14.2 4.2 2030 49.9 26.1 18.8 5.2 2040 44.1 25.5 24.2 6.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 57.2 25.8 12.9 4.1 2020 48.0 25.6 20.4 6.0 2030 37.5 23.7 30.6 8.2 2040 26.9 20.4 42.4 10.3 Houston-Galveston Area Council All Scenarios 2000 49.1 17.0 28.6 5.3 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 46.2 16.7 31.7 5.4 2020 43.8 16.4 34.5 5.3 2030 41.2 15.9 37.7 5.2 2040 38.5 15.4 41.0 5.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 42.7 16.2 34.8 6.3 2020 36.8 15.2 40.9 7.1 2030 31.1 14.0 47.0 7.9 2040 26.1 12.6 52.9 8.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 39.1 15.6 38.1 7.2 2020 29.9 13.8 47.3 9.0 2030 22.4 11.7 55.1 10.8 2040 16.4 9.6 61.5 12.5 Golden Crescent Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 58.2 6.7 33.9 1.2 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 54.1 6.7 38.0 1.2 2020 50.8 6.6 41.3 1.3 2030 47.7 6.5 44.5 1.3 2040 45.0 6.3 47.4 1.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 53.1 6.6 39.1 1.2 2020 48.4 6.4 43.9 1.3 2030 43.7 6.2 48.8 1.3 2040 39.2 5.9 53.6 1.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 51.2 6.7 40.6 1.5 2020 44.4 6.6 47.1 1.9 2030 37.3 6.4 53.7 2.6 2040 30.3 6.1 60.2 3.4 Alamo Area Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 42.5 6.1 49.5 1.9 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 39.5 6.0 52.6 1.9 2020 36.9 5.9 55.3 1.9 2030 34.6 5.7 57.8 1.9 2040 32.6 5.4 60.2 1.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 38.7 6.0 53.0 2.3 2020 35.4 5.9 56.0 2.7 2030 32.4 5.7 58.7 3.2 2040 29.7 5.5 61.1 3.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 38.0 6.0 53.2 2.8 2020 34.3 5.8 55.9 4.0 2030 31.0 5.6 57.7 5.7 2040 27.9 5.2 58.8 8.1 South Texas Development Council All Scenarios 2000 5.0 0.1 94.4 0.5 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 4.1 0.1 95.1 0.7 2020 3.4 0.1 95.7 0.8 2030 2.9 0.1 96.2 0.8 2040 2.3 0.1 96.8 0.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 3.9 0.1 95.4 0.6 2020 3.1 0.1 96.1 0.7 2030 2.5 0.1 96.7 0.7 2040 1.9 0.1 97.3 0.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 3.8 0.1 95.4 0.7 2020 2.8 0.1 96.3 0.8 2030 2.1 0.1 96.9 0.9 2040 1.6 0.1 97.4 0.9 Coastal Bend Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 38.6 3.8 56.1 1.5 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 35.8 3.7 58.9 1.6 2020 33.5 3.5 61.3 1.7 2030 31.3 3.4 63.6 1.7 2040 29.5 3.3 65.6 1.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 34.4 3.6 60.2 1.8 2020 30.7 3.4 63.8 2.1 2030 27.1 3.3 67.3 2.3 2040 23.9 3.0 70.5 2.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 32.8 3.6 61.5 2.1 2020 27.4 3.5 66.2 2.9 2030 22.5 3.3 70.2 4.0 2040 18.0 3.1 73.5 5.4 Lower Rio Grande Valley Development Council All Scenarios 2000 12.1 0.4 86.8 0.7 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 9.5 0.3 89.5 0.7 2020 7.6 0.3 91.5 0.6 2030 6.2 0.3 92.9 0.6 2040 5.1 0.3 94.0 0.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 9.1 0.3 89.9 0.7 2020 6.7 0.3 92.2 0.8 2030 5.0 0.2 93.9 0.9 2040 3.7 0.2 95.1 1.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 8.4 0.3 90.4 0.9 2020 5.8 0.3 92.8 1.1 2030 3.9 0.2 94.5 1.4 2040 2.5 0.2 95.6 1.7 Texoma Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 85.2 5.9 7.2 1.7 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 83.2 6.1 8.8 1.9 2020 81.2 6.4 10.4 2.0 2030 79.2 6.6 12.1 2.1 2040 77.4 6.7 13.7 2.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 82.3 5.9 9.8 2.0 2020 78.7 5.9 12.9 2.5 2030 74.7 5.8 16.5 3.0 2040 70.1 5.6 20.8 3.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 80.7 5.8 11.1 2.4 2020 74.7 5.7 16.3 3.3 2030 66.8 5.5 23.1 4.6 2040 57.2 5.1 31.6 6.1 Central Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 62.2 18.7 15.7 3.4 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 60.1 19.3 17.0 3.6 2020 58.2 19.8 18.3 3.7 2030 56.9 20.0 19.4 3.7 2040 56.2 19.9 20.2 3.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 57.4 19.9 18.5 4.2 2020 52.6 20.9 21.4 5.1 2030 48.1 21.5 24.4 6.0 2040 43.9 21.8 27.4 6.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 54.5 20.4 20.3 4.8 2020 46.0 21.9 25.4 6.7 2030 37.9 22.4 30.7 9.0 2040 30.3 22.1 35.8 11.8 Middle Rio Grande Development Council All Scenarios 2000 18.6 0.8 79.7 0.9 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 16.3 0.7 82.0 1.0 2020 14.2 0.7 84.1 1.0 2030 12.6 0.7 85.7 1.0 2040 11.4 0.6 87.1 0.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 16.2 0.7 82.2 0.9 2020 14.0 0.7 84.4 0.9 2030 12.0 0.7 86.3 1.0 2040 10.5 0.6 88.0 0.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 16.0 0.8 82.2 1.0 2020 13.6 0.8 84.4 1.2 2030 11.4 0.8 86.4 1.4 2040 9.3 0.8 88.1 1.8 ___________________________________ Source: Texas Population Estimates and Projections Program, Projections of the Population of Texas and Counties in Texas by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity for 2000-2040, 2001. ______________________________________________________________________