Table 3.3 Number of Households for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios ______________________________________________________________________ Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total ______________________________________________________________________ State of Texas All Scenarios 2000 4,540,078 843,712 1,789,623 219,941 7,393,354 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 4,762,878 977,518 2,304,591 267,695 8,312,682 2020 4,932,966 1,099,907 2,819,656 302,058 9,154,587 2030 4,970,785 1,172,391 3,339,755 324,990 9,807,921 2040 4,826,827 1,190,014 3,804,178 329,243 10,150,262 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 4,855,688 1,022,198 2,607,216 333,617 8,818,719 2020 5,126,311 1,207,150 3,614,696 467,026 10,415,183 2030 5,262,528 1,351,408 4,821,738 617,857 12,053,531 2040 5,203,862 1,441,747 6,200,085 770,565 13,616,259 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 4,950,419 1,068,979 2,956,070 414,118 9,389,586 2020 5,327,431 1,324,961 4,676,499 717,860 12,046,751 2030 5,571,513 1,557,897 7,051,958 1,166,697 15,348,065 2040 5,610,322 1,746,730 10,231,880 1,787,865 19,376,797 Panhandle Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 115,699 5,083 25,673 2,518 148,973 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 117,762 6,119 34,584 3,188 161,653 2020 119,815 7,179 43,982 3,733 174,709 2030 120,824 8,006 53,091 4,092 186,013 2040 119,877 8,550 61,055 4,201 193,683 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 119,174 6,171 37,556 3,598 166,499 2020 121,625 7,390 51,950 4,835 185,800 2030 121,703 8,441 68,094 6,096 204,334 2040 117,687 9,244 85,049 7,173 219,153 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 119,713 6,459 41,173 4,240 171,585 2020 119,594 8,008 62,497 6,633 196,732 2030 114,101 9,385 89,194 9,723 222,403 2040 101,711 10,421 120,651 13,271 246,054 South Plains Association of Governments All Scenarios 2000 93,497 7,995 35,821 1,889 139,202 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 94,712 9,204 45,943 2,342 152,201 2020 95,086 10,236 55,650 2,705 163,677 2030 95,414 11,049 65,061 2,992 174,516 2040 93,869 11,423 73,180 3,133 181,605 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 92,586 9,337 47,861 2,654 152,438 2020 89,508 10,509 60,115 3,557 163,689 2030 85,605 11,444 72,310 4,567 173,926 2040 79,387 11,941 83,396 5,523 180,247 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 89,746 9,497 49,543 3,087 151,873 2020 81,196 10,823 63,579 4,631 160,229 2030 70,570 11,730 76,944 6,582 165,826 2040 57,549 11,892 87,936 8,952 166,329 NORTEX Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 71,731 5,050 6,557 1,510 84,848 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 72,730 5,822 8,758 1,931 89,241 2020 73,773 6,563 11,079 2,300 93,715 2030 74,763 7,258 13,414 2,520 97,955 2040 74,522 7,791 15,415 2,565 100,293 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 72,620 5,861 9,334 2,236 90,051 2020 72,917 6,669 12,725 3,114 95,425 2030 72,052 7,443 16,574 4,030 100,099 2040 68,898 8,073 20,574 4,852 102,397 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 71,696 5,902 10,171 2,617 90,386 2020 69,273 6,766 15,151 4,232 95,422 2030 63,518 7,493 21,191 6,317 98,519 2040 54,257 7,896 28,029 8,807 98,989 North Central Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 1,314,429 265,115 283,897 73,788 1,937,229 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 1,422,799 313,019 388,641 90,240 2,214,699 2020 1,507,206 355,443 488,633 101,483 2,452,765 2030 1,533,839 378,591 589,500 108,781 2,610,711 2040 1,484,302 381,299 679,791 110,147 2,655,539 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 1,458,686 332,909 477,220 113,936 2,382,751 2020 1,592,531 404,695 728,906 161,237 2,887,369 2030 1,683,419 464,039 1,057,400 215,797 3,420,655 2040 1,712,189 504,548 1,465,327 271,932 3,953,996 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 1,502,506 353,144 583,499 142,164 2,581,313 2020 1,708,324 460,737 1,080,529 250,569 3,500,159 2030 1,896,758 572,868 1,874,039 415,978 4,759,643 2040 2,044,317 680,594 3,078,202 650,125 6,453,238 Ark-Tex Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 81,836 16,204 4,110 903 103,053 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 81,653 17,780 5,900 1,146 106,479 2020 81,944 19,670 7,740 1,392 110,746 2030 81,411 20,932 9,438 1,539 113,320 2040 79,975 21,333 10,958 1,551 113,817 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 82,269 18,045 6,355 1,155 107,824 2020 82,426 20,151 8,988 1,436 113,001 2030 80,270 21,617 11,859 1,616 115,362 2040 75,665 22,131 14,777 1,640 114,213 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 82,134 18,449 7,022 1,312 108,917 2020 79,903 20,526 10,818 1,888 113,135 2030 72,622 21,647 15,424 2,568 112,261 2040 61,154 21,383 20,534 3,160 106,231 East Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 219,782 41,310 14,160 2,163 277,415 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 222,660 44,856 20,085 2,716 290,317 2020 223,544 48,605 26,006 3,208 301,363 2030 221,768 51,175 31,817 3,606 308,366 2040 217,292 52,269 37,193 3,745 310,499 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 234,243 45,875 24,104 2,954 307,176 2020 245,872 50,580 37,953 3,850 338,255 2030 249,772 54,030 56,534 4,879 365,215 2040 243,889 55,621 80,695 5,726 385,931 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 244,796 46,735 29,216 3,661 324,408 2020 264,268 51,849 56,074 5,951 378,142 2030 266,402 54,791 100,820 9,230 431,243 2040 245,895 54,485 171,129 13,169 484,678 West Central Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 98,907 4,765 16,528 1,340 121,540 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 98,870 5,885 21,890 1,744 128,389 2020 98,715 6,911 27,134 2,082 134,842 2030 99,219 7,743 31,988 2,371 141,321 2040 98,944 8,214 36,153 2,482 145,793 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 99,057 5,991 22,567 1,961 129,576 2020 97,745 7,255 28,849 2,651 136,500 2030 95,285 8,328 34,914 3,458 141,985 2040 90,591 9,083 40,619 4,213 144,506 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 98,397 6,185 23,389 2,259 130,230 2020 93,418 7,684 30,669 3,570 135,341 2030 84,315 8,883 37,642 5,317 136,157 2040 70,985 9,553 43,880 7,450 131,868 Rio Grande Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 55,460 6,917 153,560 3,324 219,261 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 56,232 8,006 188,976 4,180 257,394 2020 56,404 8,994 225,651 4,783 295,832 2030 55,636 9,637 264,068 5,142 334,483 2040 53,948 9,951 299,789 5,221 368,909 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 50,598 7,858 201,802 4,927 265,185 2020 45,195 8,648 257,539 6,658 318,040 2030 39,112 9,048 316,348 8,409 372,917 2040 32,680 9,096 374,981 10,071 426,828 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 44,843 7,545 214,401 5,729 272,518 2020 34,755 7,884 288,932 8,913 340,484 2030 25,471 7,735 364,196 12,930 410,332 2040 17,487 7,178 435,689 17,793 478,147 Permian Basin Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 83,975 6,150 41,614 1,530 133,269 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 86,668 7,106 53,517 1,911 149,202 2020 88,431 7,996 65,964 2,252 164,643 2030 89,054 8,726 78,356 2,517 178,653 2040 88,176 9,137 89,654 2,543 189,510 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 82,414 7,091 56,040 1,968 147,513 2020 79,031 7,926 72,306 2,425 161,688 2030 73,974 8,603 89,185 2,824 174,586 2040 66,962 8,881 105,707 2,956 184,506 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 76,690 7,095 58,412 2,366 144,563 2020 66,637 7,915 77,699 3,541 155,792 2030 54,749 8,405 97,512 5,032 165,698 2040 42,084 8,307 115,922 6,491 172,804 Concho Valley Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 39,883 1,679 14,117 634 56,313 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 40,057 1,992 18,070 807 60,926 2020 40,145 2,272 22,045 955 65,417 2030 39,895 2,473 25,712 1,060 69,140 2040 39,072 2,572 28,746 1,095 71,485 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 39,841 2,001 19,050 848 61,740 2020 39,113 2,279 24,381 1,063 66,836 2030 37,363 2,486 29,539 1,210 70,598 2040 34,537 2,578 34,356 1,293 72,764 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 39,639 2,011 20,136 1,045 62,831 2020 37,594 2,319 26,913 1,625 68,451 2030 33,390 2,555 33,536 2,367 71,848 2040 27,459 2,617 39,517 3,264 72,857 Heart of Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 87,418 16,748 13,354 1,259 118,779 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 87,469 18,470 17,906 1,606 125,451 2020 87,377 20,196 22,368 1,893 131,834 2030 86,837 21,482 26,687 2,093 137,099 2040 84,820 22,018 30,307 2,158 139,303 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 88,917 18,904 20,708 1,889 130,418 2020 89,486 21,065 29,931 2,685 143,167 2030 87,912 22,834 41,007 3,621 155,374 2040 83,538 23,701 53,861 4,497 165,597 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 89,433 19,364 24,214 2,267 135,278 2020 88,481 21,724 40,745 3,829 154,779 2030 82,258 23,399 62,971 6,096 174,724 2040 71,111 23,678 91,630 8,981 195,400 Capital Area Planning Council All Scenarios 2000 361,560 36,956 94,360 17,679 510,555 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 386,486 43,236 123,752 20,823 574,297 2020 405,565 48,800 151,387 23,400 629,152 2030 412,551 51,952 178,303 25,681 668,487 2040 397,085 52,250 200,037 26,631 676,003 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 426,880 46,750 151,349 26,029 651,008 2020 493,326 57,340 222,698 36,705 810,069 2030 554,574 66,751 311,843 50,365 983,533 2040 593,203 74,035 417,167 65,158 1,149,563 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 472,471 50,650 184,525 32,351 739,997 2020 600,300 67,854 326,942 57,098 1,052,194 2030 739,573 86,958 542,319 98,030 1,466,880 2040 865,734 107,663 854,704 157,516 1,985,617 Brazos Valley Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 71,127 12,359 10,710 2,726 96,922 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 71,558 13,681 13,938 3,099 102,276 2020 72,502 15,389 17,274 3,475 108,640 2030 73,538 16,689 20,639 3,974 114,840 2040 73,270 17,539 23,434 4,327 118,570 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 76,925 13,954 15,520 3,429 109,828 2020 82,877 15,974 21,368 4,319 124,538 2030 87,367 17,584 28,148 5,568 138,667 2040 88,453 18,799 35,396 6,912 149,560 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 82,201 14,511 17,518 3,807 118,037 2020 91,970 16,887 26,907 5,352 141,116 2030 96,685 18,601 38,732 7,511 161,529 2040 92,904 19,365 52,456 10,205 174,930 Deep East Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 105,265 19,524 7,037 1,080 132,906 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 102,975 20,860 9,515 1,348 134,698 2020 100,800 22,618 12,115 1,587 137,120 2030 98,805 23,622 14,800 1,777 139,004 2040 97,111 24,285 17,269 1,846 140,511 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 110,540 21,426 10,770 1,356 144,092 2020 115,306 23,645 15,698 1,632 156,281 2030 117,350 25,043 21,945 1,851 166,189 2040 116,278 25,889 29,407 1,929 173,503 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 118,291 22,186 12,502 1,550 154,529 2020 129,700 24,751 21,011 2,288 177,750 2030 133,118 26,072 33,347 3,448 195,985 2040 126,254 26,092 49,938 4,888 207,172 South East Texas Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 99,328 32,627 7,483 2,889 142,327 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 102,687 36,697 9,363 3,770 152,517 2020 104,916 40,809 11,350 4,531 161,606 2030 105,500 43,663 13,280 5,145 167,588 2040 103,073 45,109 14,857 5,500 168,539 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 100,107 37,434 10,956 4,581 153,078 2020 99,348 42,467 15,949 6,617 164,381 2030 96,152 46,244 22,640 9,023 174,059 2040 89,405 48,482 31,033 11,507 180,427 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 96,278 37,938 12,977 5,662 152,855 2020 90,010 43,244 22,762 9,949 165,965 2030 80,149 46,739 38,865 16,258 182,011 2040 66,730 47,717 63,389 24,482 202,318 Houston-Galveston Area Council All Scenarios 2000 970,612 289,429 360,931 81,820 1,702,792 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 1,039,325 335,660 480,025 98,135 1,953,145 2020 1,092,117 376,957 594,884 108,875 2,172,833 2030 1,098,845 400,097 708,006 114,756 2,321,704 2040 1,054,495 404,138 804,589 113,878 2,377,100 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 1,023,553 348,413 568,311 124,942 2,065,219 2020 1,059,991 406,965 825,449 174,151 2,466,556 2030 1,054,879 447,883 1,139,198 226,857 2,868,817 2040 1,005,038 469,361 1,504,265 279,063 3,257,727 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 1,007,049 361,607 674,292 155,918 2,198,866 2020 1,022,893 438,965 1,154,726 269,290 2,885,874 2030 1,003,568 499,224 1,819,230 427,474 3,749,496 2040 948,844 539,392 2,703,350 640,086 4,831,672 Golden Crescent Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 43,759 4,474 18,199 719 67,151 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 42,791 4,939 22,399 899 71,028 2020 42,583 5,422 26,809 1,091 75,905 2030 42,142 5,754 31,344 1,233 80,473 2040 41,359 5,900 35,430 1,286 83,975 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 43,364 4,968 23,580 921 72,833 2020 43,163 5,468 29,870 1,142 79,643 2030 42,020 5,764 36,775 1,331 85,890 2040 39,602 5,909 43,717 1,395 90,623 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 43,309 5,080 25,079 1,136 74,604 2020 41,871 5,689 33,526 1,753 82,839 2030 38,083 6,042 42,722 2,731 89,578 2040 31,972 6,084 51,587 3,813 93,456 Alamo Area Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 320,952 39,048 264,947 11,849 636,796 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 325,183 44,747 322,597 14,473 707,000 2020 329,121 49,777 379,255 16,450 774,603 2030 326,393 52,360 432,830 17,843 829,426 2040 313,853 52,530 473,699 18,077 858,159 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 336,711 46,655 340,991 18,385 742,742 2020 352,570 54,553 425,529 26,411 859,063 2030 358,982 60,278 511,975 35,933 967,168 2040 350,901 63,539 590,395 46,026 1,050,861 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 349,355 48,446 359,171 23,398 780,370 2020 381,180 58,783 470,026 42,846 952,835 2030 403,208 66,927 586,063 73,684 1,129,882 2040 404,097 71,757 694,206 119,967 1,290,027 South Texas Development Council All Scenarios 2000 5,090 112 65,314 370 70,886 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 5,419 148 80,804 633 87,004 2020 5,730 186 98,348 861 105,125 2030 5,837 228 118,776 1,000 125,841 2040 5,671 235 140,939 1,133 147,978 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 5,504 148 88,305 640 94,597 2020 5,898 183 118,062 892 125,035 2030 6,090 221 153,848 1,078 161,237 2040 5,915 225 195,748 1,326 203,214 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 5,617 147 96,128 736 102,628 2020 5,968 180 139,629 1,161 146,938 2030 5,989 208 192,311 1,738 200,246 2040 5,454 198 253,963 2,522 262,137 Coastal Bend Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 87,911 6,285 92,303 2,778 189,277 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 89,586 7,080 109,344 3,564 209,574 2020 89,954 7,853 126,303 4,169 228,279 2030 89,077 8,334 142,587 4,549 244,547 2040 86,482 8,459 155,752 4,664 255,357 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 90,235 7,267 115,992 4,180 217,674 2020 90,630 8,345 142,589 5,753 247,317 2030 88,509 9,081 170,390 7,459 275,439 2040 83,536 9,431 197,286 8,998 299,251 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 90,097 7,538 122,584 5,178 225,397 2020 88,659 9,052 159,081 8,819 265,611 2030 82,699 10,240 197,094 14,356 304,389 2040 72,197 10,937 234,455 21,749 339,338 Lower Rio Grande Valley Development Council All Scenarios 2000 51,373 789 205,545 1,968 259,675 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 47,741 985 263,594 2,482 314,802 2020 43,134 1,182 327,766 2,989 375,071 2030 39,671 1,314 399,327 3,424 443,736 2040 37,442 1,375 472,952 3,649 515,418 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 49,096 985 288,885 3,002 341,968 2020 45,308 1,181 393,552 4,466 444,507 2030 41,552 1,303 518,182 6,334 567,371 2040 37,566 1,349 659,025 8,394 706,334 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 50,135 1,012 314,335 3,773 369,255 2020 46,577 1,262 462,481 6,859 517,179 2030 40,969 1,424 645,196 11,610 699,199 2040 32,739 1,494 855,986 18,444 908,663 Texoma Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 60,492 3,298 2,912 895 67,597 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 61,641 3,824 4,186 1,195 70,846 2020 62,743 4,319 5,498 1,448 74,008 2030 62,777 4,734 6,668 1,642 75,821 2040 61,611 4,925 7,786 1,755 76,077 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 63,859 3,823 4,830 1,328 73,840 2020 66,890 4,307 7,309 1,838 80,344 2030 67,694 4,686 10,246 2,472 85,098 2040 65,915 4,814 13,880 3,165 87,774 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 65,465 3,850 5,696 1,633 76,644 2020 68,539 4,401 9,960 2,734 85,634 2030 66,798 4,751 15,971 4,244 91,764 2040 60,166 4,797 24,017 6,162 95,142 Central Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 87,777 21,452 15,758 3,887 128,874 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 93,964 26,956 20,749 4,905 146,574 2020 99,682 31,985 25,675 5,703 163,045 2030 105,524 35,958 30,329 6,415 178,226 2040 109,371 38,096 34,166 6,724 188,357 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 96,356 29,888 23,861 6,138 156,243 2020 103,604 39,014 33,731 8,884 185,233 2030 109,372 47,653 45,301 12,211 214,537 2040 111,203 54,415 57,767 15,846 239,231 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 98,116 33,165 27,719 7,628 166,628 2020 104,240 47,075 44,962 13,485 209,762 2030 105,594 61,132 67,875 22,323 256,924 2040 99,980 72,524 95,758 35,014 303,276 Middle Rio Grande Development Council All Scenarios 2000 12,215 343 34,733 423 47,714 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 11,910 446 40,055 558 52,969 2020 11,679 545 46,740 693 59,657 2030 11,465 614 53,734 838 66,651 2040 11,207 616 61,027 932 73,782 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 12,153 444 41,269 560 54,426 2020 11,951 541 49,249 705 62,446 2030 11,520 604 57,483 868 70,475 2040 10,824 602 65,657 970 78,053 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 12,442 463 42,368 601 55,874 2020 12,081 583 50,880 844 64,388 2030 10,926 688 58,764 1,150 71,528 2040 9,242 706 64,952 1,554 76,454 ___________________________________ Sources: Derived by the authors from Texas Population Estimates and Projections Program, Projections of the Population of Texas and Counties in Texas by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity for 2000-2040, 2001. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 1, [machine readable data files], 2001b. ______________________________________________________________________