Table 3.4 Percent Change in the Projected Number of Households for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios ______________________________________________________________________ Time Period Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total ______________________________________________________________________ State of Texas Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 4.9 15.9 28.8 21.7 12.4 2010-2020 3.6 12.5 22.3 12.8 10.1 2020-2030 0.8 6.6 18.4 7.6 7.1 2030-2040 -2.9 1.5 13.9 1.3 3.5 2000-2040 6.3 41.0 112.6 49.7 37.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 7.0 21.2 45.7 51.7 19.3 2010-2020 5.6 18.1 38.6 40.0 18.1 2020-2030 2.7 12.0 33.4 32.3 15.7 2030-2040 -1.1 6.7 28.6 24.7 13.0 2000-2040 14.6 70.9 246.4 250.4 84.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 9.0 26.7 65.2 88.3 27.0 2010-2020 7.6 23.9 58.2 73.3 28.3 2020-2030 4.6 17.6 50.8 62.5 27.4 2030-2040 0.7 12.1 45.1 53.2 26.2 2000-2040 23.6 107.0 471.7 712.9 162.1 Panhandle Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 1.8 20.4 34.7 26.6 8.5 2010-2020 1.7 17.3 27.2 17.1 8.1 2020-2030 0.8 11.5 20.7 9.6 6.5 2030-2040 -0.8 6.8 15.0 2.7 4.1 2000-2040 3.6 68.2 137.8 66.8 30.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 3.0 21.4 46.3 42.9 11.8 2010-2020 2.1 19.8 38.3 34.4 11.6 2020-2030 0.1 14.2 31.1 26.1 10.0 2030-2040 -3.3 9.5 24.9 17.7 7.3 2000-2040 1.7 81.9 231.3 184.9 47.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 3.5 27.1 60.4 68.4 15.2 2010-2020 -0.1 24.0 51.8 56.4 14.7 2020-2030 -4.6 17.2 42.7 46.6 13.0 2030-2040 -10.9 11.0 35.3 36.5 10.6 2000-2040 -12.1 105.0 370.0 427.0 65.2 South Plains Association of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 1.3 15.1 28.3 24.0 9.3 2010-2020 0.4 11.2 21.1 15.5 7.5 2020-2030 0.3 7.9 16.9 10.6 6.6 2030-2040 -1.6 3.4 12.5 4.7 4.1 2000-2040 0.4 42.9 104.3 65.9 30.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -1.0 16.8 33.6 40.5 9.5 2010-2020 -3.3 12.6 25.6 34.0 7.4 2020-2030 -4.4 8.9 20.3 28.4 6.3 2030-2040 -7.3 4.3 15.3 20.9 3.6 2000-2040 -15.1 49.4 132.8 192.4 29.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -4.0 18.8 38.3 63.4 9.1 2010-2020 -9.5 14.0 28.3 50.0 5.5 2020-2030 -13.1 8.4 21.0 42.1 3.5 2030-2040 -18.5 1.4 14.3 36.0 0.3 2000-2040 -38.4 48.7 145.5 373.9 19.5 NORTEX Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 1.4 15.3 33.6 27.9 5.2 2010-2020 1.4 12.7 26.5 19.1 5.0 2020-2030 1.3 10.6 21.1 9.6 4.5 2030-2040 -0.3 7.3 14.9 1.8 2.4 2000-2040 3.9 54.3 135.1 69.9 18.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 1.2 16.1 42.4 48.1 6.1 2010-2020 0.4 13.8 36.3 39.3 6.0 2020-2030 -1.2 11.6 30.2 29.4 4.9 2030-2040 -4.4 8.5 24.1 20.4 2.3 2000-2040 -3.9 59.9 213.8 221.3 20.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 0.0 16.9 55.1 73.3 6.5 2010-2020 -3.4 14.6 49.0 61.7 5.6 2020-2030 -8.3 10.7 39.9 49.3 3.2 2030-2040 -14.6 5.4 32.3 39.4 0.5 2000-2040 -24.4 56.4 327.5 483.2 16.7 North Central Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 8.2 18.1 36.9 22.3 14.3 2010-2020 5.9 13.6 25.7 12.5 10.7 2020-2030 1.8 6.5 20.6 7.2 6.4 2030-2040 -3.2 0.7 15.3 1.3 1.7 2000-2040 12.9 43.8 139.4 49.3 37.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 11.0 25.6 68.1 54.4 23.0 2010-2020 9.2 21.6 52.7 41.5 21.2 2020-2030 5.7 14.7 45.1 33.8 18.5 2030-2040 1.7 8.7 38.6 26.0 15.6 2000-2040 30.3 90.3 416.1 268.5 104.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 14.3 33.2 105.5 92.7 33.2 2010-2020 13.7 30.5 85.2 76.3 35.6 2020-2030 11.0 24.3 73.4 66.0 36.0 2030-2040 7.8 18.8 64.3 56.3 35.6 2000-2040 55.5 156.7 984.3 781.1 233.1 Ark-Tex Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -0.2 9.7 43.6 26.9 3.3 2010-2020 0.4 10.6 31.2 21.5 4.0 2020-2030 -0.7 6.4 21.9 10.6 2.3 2030-2040 -1.8 1.9 16.1 0.8 0.4 2000-2040 -2.3 31.7 166.6 71.8 10.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 0.5 11.4 54.6 27.9 4.6 2010-2020 0.2 11.7 41.4 24.3 4.8 2020-2030 -2.6 7.3 31.9 12.5 2.1 2030-2040 -5.7 2.4 24.6 1.5 -1.0 2000-2040 -7.5 36.6 259.5 81.6 10.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 0.4 13.9 70.9 45.3 5.7 2010-2020 -2.7 11.3 54.1 43.9 3.9 2020-2030 -9.1 5.5 42.6 36.0 -0.8 2030-2040 -15.8 -1.2 33.1 23.1 -5.4 2000-2040 -25.3 32.0 399.6 249.9 3.1 East Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 1.3 8.6 41.8 25.6 4.7 2010-2020 0.4 8.4 29.5 18.1 3.8 2020-2030 -0.8 5.3 22.3 12.4 2.3 2030-2040 -2.0 2.1 16.9 3.9 0.7 2000-2040 -1.1 26.5 162.7 73.1 11.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 6.6 11.1 70.2 36.6 10.7 2010-2020 5.0 10.3 57.5 30.3 10.1 2020-2030 1.6 6.8 49.0 26.7 8.0 2030-2040 -2.4 2.9 42.7 17.4 5.7 2000-2040 11.0 34.6 469.9 164.7 39.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 11.4 13.1 106.3 69.3 16.9 2010-2020 8.0 10.9 91.9 62.6 16.6 2020-2030 0.8 5.7 79.8 55.1 14.0 2030-2040 -7.7 -0.6 69.7 42.7 12.4 2000-2040 11.9 31.9 1108.5 508.8 74.7 West Central Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 0.0 23.5 32.4 30.1 5.6 2010-2020 -0.2 17.4 24.0 19.4 5.0 2020-2030 0.5 12.0 17.9 13.9 4.8 2030-2040 -0.3 6.1 13.0 4.7 3.2 2000-2040 0.0 72.4 118.7 85.2 20.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 0.2 25.7 36.5 46.3 6.6 2010-2020 -1.3 21.1 27.8 35.2 5.3 2020-2030 -2.5 14.8 21.0 30.4 4.0 2030-2040 -4.9 9.1 16.3 21.8 1.8 2000-2040 -8.4 90.6 145.8 214.4 18.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -0.5 29.8 41.5 68.6 7.1 2010-2020 -5.1 24.2 31.1 58.0 3.9 2020-2030 -9.7 15.6 22.7 48.9 0.6 2030-2040 -15.8 7.5 16.6 40.1 -3.2 2000-2040 -28.2 100.5 165.5 456.0 8.5 Rio Grande Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 1.4 15.7 23.1 25.8 17.4 2010-2020 0.3 12.3 19.4 14.4 14.9 2020-2030 -1.4 7.1 17.0 7.5 13.1 2030-2040 -3.0 3.3 13.5 1.5 10.3 2000-2040 -2.7 43.9 95.2 57.1 68.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -8.8 13.6 31.4 48.2 20.9 2010-2020 -10.7 10.1 27.6 35.1 19.9 2020-2030 -13.5 4.6 22.8 26.3 17.3 2030-2040 -16.4 0.5 18.5 19.8 14.5 2000-2040 -41.1 31.5 144.2 203.0 94.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -19.1 9.1 39.6 72.4 24.3 2010-2020 -22.5 4.5 34.8 55.6 24.9 2020-2030 -26.7 -1.9 26.0 45.1 20.5 2030-2040 -31.3 -7.2 19.6 37.6 16.5 2000-2040 -68.5 3.8 183.7 435.3 118.1 Permian Basin Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 3.2 15.5 28.6 24.9 12.0 2010-2020 2.0 12.5 23.3 17.8 10.3 2020-2030 0.7 9.1 18.8 11.8 8.5 2030-2040 -1.0 4.7 14.4 1.0 6.1 2000-2040 5.0 48.6 115.4 66.2 42.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -1.9 15.3 34.7 28.6 10.7 2010-2020 -4.1 11.8 29.0 23.2 9.6 2020-2030 -6.4 8.5 23.3 16.5 8.0 2030-2040 -9.5 3.2 18.5 4.7 5.7 2000-2040 -20.3 44.4 154.0 93.2 38.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -8.7 15.4 40.4 54.6 8.5 2010-2020 -13.1 11.6 33.0 49.7 7.8 2020-2030 -17.8 6.2 25.5 42.1 6.4 2030-2040 -23.1 -1.2 18.9 29.0 4.3 2000-2040 -49.9 35.1 178.6 324.2 29.7 Concho Valley Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 0.4 18.6 28.0 27.3 8.2 2010-2020 0.2 14.1 22.0 18.3 7.4 2020-2030 -0.6 8.8 16.6 11.0 5.7 2030-2040 -2.1 4.0 11.8 3.3 3.4 2000-2040 -2.0 53.2 103.6 72.7 26.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -0.1 19.2 34.9 33.8 9.6 2010-2020 -1.8 13.9 28.0 25.4 8.3 2020-2030 -4.5 9.1 21.2 13.8 5.6 2030-2040 -7.6 3.7 16.3 6.9 3.1 2000-2040 -13.4 53.5 143.4 103.9 29.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -0.6 19.8 42.6 64.8 11.6 2010-2020 -5.2 15.3 33.7 55.5 8.9 2020-2030 -11.2 10.2 24.6 45.7 5.0 2030-2040 -17.8 2.4 17.8 37.9 1.4 2000-2040 -31.2 55.9 179.9 414.8 29.4 Heart of Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 0.1 10.3 34.1 27.6 5.6 2010-2020 -0.1 9.3 24.9 17.9 5.1 2020-2030 -0.6 6.4 19.3 10.6 4.0 2030-2040 -2.3 2.5 13.6 3.1 1.6 2000-2040 -3.0 31.5 127.0 71.4 17.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 1.7 12.9 55.1 50.0 9.8 2010-2020 0.6 11.4 44.5 42.1 9.8 2020-2030 -1.8 8.4 37.0 34.9 8.5 2030-2040 -5.0 3.8 31.3 24.2 6.6 2000-2040 -4.4 41.5 303.3 257.2 39.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 2.3 15.6 81.3 80.1 13.9 2010-2020 -1.1 12.2 68.3 68.9 14.4 2020-2030 -7.0 7.7 54.5 59.2 12.9 2030-2040 -13.6 1.2 45.5 47.3 11.8 2000-2040 -18.7 41.4 586.2 613.3 64.5 Capital Area Planning Council Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 6.9 17.0 31.1 17.8 12.5 2010-2020 4.9 12.9 22.3 12.4 9.6 2020-2030 1.7 6.5 17.8 9.7 6.3 2030-2040 -3.7 0.6 12.2 3.7 1.1 2000-2040 9.8 41.4 112.0 50.6 32.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 18.1 26.5 60.4 47.2 27.5 2010-2020 15.6 22.7 47.1 41.0 24.4 2020-2030 12.4 16.4 40.0 37.2 21.4 2030-2040 7.0 10.9 33.8 29.4 16.9 2000-2040 64.1 100.3 342.1 268.6 125.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 30.7 37.1 95.6 83.0 44.9 2010-2020 27.1 34.0 77.2 76.5 42.2 2020-2030 23.2 28.2 65.9 71.7 39.4 2030-2040 17.1 23.8 57.6 60.7 35.4 2000-2040 139.4 191.3 805.8 791.0 288.9 Brazos Valley Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 0.6 10.7 30.1 13.7 5.5 2010-2020 1.3 12.5 23.9 12.1 6.2 2020-2030 1.4 8.4 19.5 14.4 5.7 2030-2040 -0.4 5.1 13.5 8.9 3.2 2000-2040 3.0 41.9 118.8 58.7 22.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 8.2 12.9 44.9 25.8 13.3 2010-2020 7.7 14.5 37.7 26.0 13.4 2020-2030 5.4 10.1 31.7 28.9 11.3 2030-2040 1.2 6.9 25.7 24.1 7.9 2000-2040 24.4 52.1 230.5 153.6 54.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 15.6 17.4 63.6 39.7 21.8 2010-2020 11.9 16.4 53.6 40.6 19.6 2020-2030 5.1 10.1 43.9 40.3 14.5 2030-2040 -3.9 4.1 35.4 35.9 8.3 2000-2040 30.6 56.7 389.8 274.4 80.5 Deep East Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -2.2 6.8 35.2 24.8 1.3 2010-2020 -2.1 8.4 27.3 17.7 1.8 2020-2030 -2.0 4.4 22.2 12.0 1.4 2030-2040 -1.7 2.8 16.7 3.9 1.1 2000-2040 -7.7 24.4 145.4 70.9 5.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 5.0 9.7 53.0 25.6 8.4 2010-2020 4.3 10.4 45.8 20.4 8.5 2020-2030 1.8 5.9 39.8 13.4 6.3 2030-2040 -0.9 3.4 34.0 4.2 4.4 2000-2040 10.5 32.6 317.9 78.6 30.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 12.4 13.6 77.7 43.5 16.3 2010-2020 9.6 11.6 68.1 47.6 15.0 2020-2030 2.6 5.3 58.7 50.7 10.3 2030-2040 -5.2 0.1 49.8 41.8 5.7 2000-2040 19.9 33.6 609.6 352.6 55.9 South East Texas Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 3.4 12.5 25.1 30.5 7.2 2010-2020 2.2 11.2 21.2 20.2 6.0 2020-2030 0.6 7.0 17.0 13.6 3.7 2030-2040 -2.3 3.3 11.9 6.9 0.6 2000-2040 3.8 38.3 98.5 90.4 18.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 0.8 14.7 46.4 58.6 7.6 2010-2020 -0.8 13.4 45.6 44.4 7.4 2020-2030 -3.2 8.9 42.0 36.4 5.9 2030-2040 -7.0 4.8 37.1 27.5 3.7 2000-2040 -10.0 48.6 314.7 298.3 26.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -3.1 16.3 73.4 96.0 7.4 2010-2020 -6.5 14.0 75.4 75.7 8.6 2020-2030 -11.0 8.1 70.7 63.4 9.7 2030-2040 -16.7 2.1 63.1 50.6 11.2 2000-2040 -32.8 46.3 747.1 747.4 42.2 Houston-Galveston Area Council Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 7.1 16.0 33.0 19.9 14.7 2010-2020 5.1 12.3 23.9 10.9 11.2 2020-2030 0.6 6.1 19.0 5.4 6.9 2030-2040 -4.0 1.0 13.6 -0.8 2.4 2000-2040 8.6 39.6 122.9 39.2 39.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 5.5 20.4 57.5 52.7 21.3 2010-2020 3.6 16.8 45.2 39.4 19.4 2020-2030 -0.5 10.1 38.0 30.3 16.3 2030-2040 -4.7 4.8 32.0 23.0 13.6 2000-2040 3.5 62.2 316.8 241.1 91.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 3.8 24.9 86.8 90.6 29.1 2010-2020 1.6 21.4 71.3 72.7 31.2 2020-2030 -1.9 13.7 57.5 58.7 29.9 2030-2040 -5.5 8.0 48.6 49.7 28.9 2000-2040 -2.2 86.4 649.0 682.3 183.7 Golden Crescent Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -2.2 10.4 23.1 25.0 5.8 2010-2020 -0.5 9.8 19.7 21.4 6.9 2020-2030 -1.0 6.1 16.9 13.0 6.0 2030-2040 -1.9 2.5 13.0 4.3 4.4 2000-2040 -5.5 31.9 94.7 78.9 25.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -0.9 11.0 29.6 28.1 8.5 2010-2020 -0.5 10.1 26.7 24.0 9.4 2020-2030 -2.6 5.4 23.1 16.5 7.8 2030-2040 -5.8 2.5 18.9 4.8 5.5 2000-2040 -9.5 32.1 140.2 94.0 35.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -1.0 13.5 37.8 58.0 11.1 2010-2020 -3.3 12.0 33.7 54.3 11.0 2020-2030 -9.0 6.2 27.4 55.8 8.1 2030-2040 -16.0 0.7 20.8 39.6 4.3 2000-2040 -26.9 36.0 183.5 430.3 39.2 Alamo Area Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 1.3 14.6 21.8 22.1 11.0 2010-2020 1.2 11.2 17.6 13.7 9.6 2020-2030 -0.8 5.2 14.1 8.5 7.1 2030-2040 -3.8 0.3 9.4 1.3 3.5 2000-2040 -2.2 34.5 78.8 52.6 34.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 4.9 19.5 28.7 55.2 16.6 2010-2020 4.7 16.9 24.8 43.7 15.7 2020-2030 1.8 10.5 20.3 36.1 12.6 2030-2040 -2.3 5.4 15.3 28.1 8.7 2000-2040 9.3 62.7 122.8 288.4 65.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 8.8 24.1 35.6 97.5 22.5 2010-2020 9.1 21.3 30.9 83.1 22.1 2020-2030 5.8 13.9 24.7 72.0 18.6 2030-2040 0.2 7.2 18.5 62.8 14.2 2000-2040 25.9 83.8 162.0 912.5 102.6 South Texas Development Council Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 6.5 32.1 23.7 71.1 22.7 2010-2020 5.7 25.7 21.7 36.0 20.8 2020-2030 1.9 22.6 20.8 16.1 19.7 2030-2040 -2.8 3.1 18.7 13.3 17.6 2000-2040 11.4 109.8 115.8 206.2 108.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 8.1 32.1 35.2 73.0 33.4 2010-2020 7.2 23.6 33.7 39.4 32.2 2020-2030 3.3 20.8 30.3 20.9 29.0 2030-2040 -2.9 1.8 27.2 23.0 26.0 2000-2040 16.2 100.9 199.7 258.4 186.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 10.4 31.3 47.2 98.9 44.8 2010-2020 6.2 22.4 45.3 57.7 43.2 2020-2030 0.4 15.6 37.7 49.7 36.3 2030-2040 -8.9 -4.8 32.1 45.1 30.9 2000-2040 7.2 76.8 288.8 581.6 269.8 Coastal Bend Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 1.9 12.6 18.5 28.3 10.7 2010-2020 0.4 10.9 15.5 17.0 8.9 2020-2030 -1.0 6.1 12.9 9.1 7.1 2030-2040 -2.9 1.5 9.2 2.5 4.4 2000-2040 -1.6 34.6 68.7 67.9 34.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 2.6 15.6 25.7 50.5 15.0 2010-2020 0.4 14.8 22.9 37.6 13.6 2020-2030 -2.3 8.8 19.5 29.7 11.4 2030-2040 -5.6 3.9 15.8 20.6 8.6 2000-2040 -5.0 50.1 113.7 223.9 58.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 2.5 19.9 32.8 86.4 19.1 2010-2020 -1.6 20.1 29.8 70.3 17.8 2020-2030 -6.7 13.1 23.9 62.8 14.6 2030-2040 -12.7 6.8 19.0 51.5 11.5 2000-2040 -17.9 74.0 154.0 682.9 79.3 Lower Rio Grande Valley Development Council Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -7.1 24.8 28.2 26.1 21.2 2010-2020 -9.6 20.0 24.3 20.4 19.1 2020-2030 -8.0 11.2 21.8 14.6 18.3 2030-2040 -5.6 4.6 18.4 6.6 16.2 2000-2040 -27.1 74.3 130.1 85.4 98.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -4.4 24.8 40.5 52.5 31.7 2010-2020 -7.7 19.9 36.2 48.8 30.0 2020-2030 -8.3 10.3 31.7 41.8 27.6 2030-2040 -9.6 3.5 27.2 32.5 24.5 2000-2040 -26.9 71.0 220.6 326.5 172.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -2.4 28.3 52.9 91.7 42.2 2010-2020 -7.1 24.7 47.1 81.8 40.1 2020-2030 -12.0 12.8 39.5 69.3 35.2 2030-2040 -20.1 4.9 32.7 58.9 30.0 2000-2040 -36.3 89.4 316.4 837.2 249.9 Texoma Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 1.9 15.9 43.8 33.5 4.8 2010-2020 1.8 12.9 31.3 21.2 4.5 2020-2030 0.1 9.6 21.3 13.4 2.4 2030-2040 -1.9 4.0 16.8 6.9 0.3 2000-2040 1.8 49.3 167.4 96.1 12.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 5.6 15.9 65.9 48.4 9.2 2010-2020 4.7 12.7 51.3 38.4 8.8 2020-2030 1.2 8.8 40.2 34.5 5.9 2030-2040 -2.6 2.7 35.5 28.0 3.1 2000-2040 9.0 46.0 376.6 253.6 29.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 8.2 16.7 95.6 82.5 13.4 2010-2020 4.7 14.3 74.9 67.4 11.7 2020-2030 -2.5 8.0 60.4 55.2 7.2 2030-2040 -9.9 1.0 50.4 45.2 3.7 2000-2040 -0.5 45.5 724.8 588.5 40.7 Central Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 7.0 25.7 31.7 26.2 13.7 2010-2020 6.1 18.7 23.7 16.3 11.2 2020-2030 5.9 12.4 18.1 12.5 9.3 2030-2040 3.6 5.9 12.7 4.8 5.7 2000-2040 24.6 77.6 116.8 73.0 46.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 9.8 39.3 51.4 57.9 21.2 2010-2020 7.5 30.5 41.4 44.7 18.6 2020-2030 5.6 22.1 34.3 37.4 15.8 2030-2040 1.7 14.2 27.5 29.8 11.5 2000-2040 26.7 153.7 266.6 307.7 85.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 11.8 54.6 75.9 96.2 29.3 2010-2020 6.2 41.9 62.2 76.8 25.9 2020-2030 1.3 29.9 51.0 65.5 22.5 2030-2040 -5.3 18.6 41.1 56.9 18.0 2000-2040 13.9 238.1 507.7 800.8 135.3 Middle Rio Grande Development Council Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -2.5 30.0 15.3 31.9 11.0 2010-2020 -1.9 22.2 16.7 24.2 12.6 2020-2030 -1.8 12.7 15.0 20.9 11.7 2030-2040 -2.3 0.3 13.6 11.2 10.7 2000-2040 -8.3 79.6 75.7 120.3 54.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -0.5 29.4 18.8 32.4 14.1 2010-2020 -1.7 21.8 19.3 25.9 14.7 2020-2030 -3.6 11.6 16.7 23.1 12.9 2030-2040 -6.0 -0.3 14.2 11.8 10.8 2000-2040 -11.4 75.5 89.0 129.3 63.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 1.9 35.0 22.0 42.1 17.1 2010-2020 -2.9 25.9 20.1 40.4 15.2 2020-2030 -9.6 18.0 15.5 36.3 11.1 2030-2040 -15.4 2.6 10.5 35.1 6.9 2000-2040 -24.3 105.8 87.0 267.4 60.2 ___________________________________ Sources: Derived by the authors from Texas Population Estimates and Projections Program, Projections of the Population of Texas and Counties in Texas by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity for 2000-2040, 2001. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 1, [machine readable data files], 2001b. ______________________________________________________________________