Table 4.7 Aggregate Household Income by Race/Ethnicity and Mean Household Income for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Mean Household Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total Income ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ State of Texas All Scenarios 2000 $286,552,620,249 $33,203,781,019 $69,526,069,600 $13,220,870,332 $402,503,341,200 $54,441 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 $300,614,916,930 $38,469,636,101 $89,532,350,817 $16,091,410,349 $444,708,314,197 $53,498 2020 311,350,230,745 43,286,181,978 109,542,400,441 18,157,004,154 482,335,817,318 52,688 2030 313,737,223,555 46,138,746,436 129,748,018,760 19,535,469,281 509,159,458,032 51,913 2040 304,651,136,905 46,832,289,058 147,790,648,868 19,791,121,304 519,065,196,135 51,138 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 $306,472,734,502 $40,227,990,772 $101,289,199,501 $20,054,046,756 $468,043,971,531 $53,074 2020 323,553,438,787 47,506,666,086 140,429,356,171 28,073,393,263 539,562,854,307 51,805 2030 332,150,942,678 53,183,853,376 187,322,409,122 37,139,993,365 609,797,198,541 50,591 2040 328,448,165,762 56,739,090,676 240,870,586,283 46,319,421,788 672,377,264,509 49,380 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 $312,451,798,357 $42,069,029,041 $114,842,024,584 $24,893,041,225 $494,255,893,207 $52,639 2020 336,247,375,540 52,143,047,512 181,679,937,595 43,151,272,280 613,221,632,927 50,903 2030 351,652,911,889 61,310,104,441 273,965,479,168 70,131,306,822 757,059,802,320 49,326 2040 354,102,389,770 68,741,514,189 397,504,055,893 107,470,327,661 927,818,287,513 47,883 Panhandle Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 $5,636,668,055 $149,742,054 $856,346,776 $111,561,619 $6,754,318,504 $45,339 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 $5,716,259,459 $181,887,623 $1,150,459,308 $141,386,258 $7,189,992,648 $44,478 2020 5,794,475,873 214,231,745 1,460,545,698 166,228,744 7,635,482,060 43,704 2030 5,834,428,358 240,809,922 1,759,771,498 183,066,759 8,018,076,537 43,105 2040 5,796,166,720 258,702,226 2,022,296,097 188,705,156 8,265,870,199 42,677 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 $5,814,291,178 $182,203,475 $1,244,399,020 $158,913,784 $7,399,807,457 $44,444 2020 5,938,292,043 217,502,891 1,712,664,249 213,438,661 8,081,897,844 43,498 2030 5,943,954,517 248,439,685 2,234,033,411 269,347,176 8,695,774,789 42,557 2040 5,744,211,579 271,573,389 2,777,282,911 317,807,505 9,110,875,384 41,573 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 $5,864,506,562 $189,771,647 $1,358,473,115 $187,984,334 $7,600,735,658 $44,297 2020 5,872,222,170 232,332,958 2,042,217,251 294,595,654 8,441,368,033 42,908 2030 5,589,028,866 268,945,398 2,885,710,987 432,448,609 9,176,133,860 41,259 2040 4,941,462,345 291,482,162 3,861,928,030 591,940,259 9,686,812,796 39,369 South Plains Association of Governments All Scenarios 2000 $4,587,238,971 $227,552,053 $1,103,857,025 $92,962,433 $6,011,610,482 $43,186 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 $4,617,129,159 $260,019,904 $1,408,734,605 $115,751,831 $6,401,635,499 $42,060 2020 4,611,968,642 289,081,706 1,703,316,068 134,031,651 6,738,398,067 41,169 2030 4,621,814,157 311,171,990 1,991,725,728 149,010,378 7,073,722,253 40,533 2040 4,559,931,150 322,059,600 2,241,476,540 156,487,596 7,279,954,886 40,087 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 $4,515,753,567 $261,530,853 $1,458,010,285 $130,314,370 $6,365,609,075 $41,759 2020 4,340,474,591 291,531,972 1,816,775,823 174,016,669 6,622,799,055 40,460 2030 4,131,357,873 313,784,162 2,170,860,248 223,097,955 6,839,100,238 39,322 2040 3,816,011,543 324,465,743 2,486,791,121 269,716,366 6,896,984,773 38,264 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 $4,373,742,191 $263,433,952 $1,498,772,525 $151,014,581 $6,286,963,249 $41,396 2020 3,918,965,519 293,420,182 1,893,502,411 224,876,802 6,330,764,914 39,511 2030 3,362,653,206 308,847,148 2,256,119,966 317,476,354 6,245,096,674 37,661 2040 2,697,046,830 303,385,572 2,536,222,415 429,798,821 5,966,453,638 35,871 NORTEX Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 $3,187,266,289 $157,134,694 $223,787,262 $72,611,711 $3,640,799,956 $42,910 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 $3,215,602,815 $179,393,202 $298,095,201 $93,088,319 $3,786,179,537 $42,426 2020 3,248,520,972 201,930,799 376,549,051 111,283,061 3,938,283,883 42,024 2030 3,289,644,988 223,960,920 455,981,813 122,285,272 4,091,872,993 41,773 2040 3,288,840,541 241,564,700 524,519,590 124,567,134 4,179,491,965 41,673 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 $3,211,268,167 $179,166,302 $314,834,456 $107,032,005 $3,812,300,930 $42,335 2020 3,208,670,420 201,942,469 424,871,259 148,653,051 3,984,137,199 41,752 2030 3,157,703,812 224,149,141 548,125,936 191,752,918 4,121,731,807 41,177 2040 3,009,326,130 241,903,060 674,148,142 230,259,216 4,155,636,548 40,584 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 $3,166,226,381 $178,802,886 $339,768,639 $124,748,249 $3,809,546,155 $42,148 2020 3,031,178,482 200,298,051 495,951,437 200,023,665 3,927,451,635 41,159 2030 2,745,040,097 216,830,627 679,940,351 296,280,912 3,938,091,987 39,973 2040 2,308,401,425 222,438,010 881,972,640 410,404,051 3,823,216,126 38,623 North Central Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 $94,381,966,990 $11,312,072,926 $12,778,203,528 $4,702,542,883 $123,174,786,327 $63,583 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 $101,663,239,473 $13,315,723,465 $17,405,681,823 $5,744,759,118 $138,129,403,879 $62,369 2020 107,355,177,086 15,090,347,703 21,829,568,175 6,462,388,613 150,737,481,577 61,456 2030 109,199,686,913 16,068,606,390 26,288,988,925 6,933,672,172 158,490,954,400 60,708 2040 105,848,647,620 16,193,376,551 30,287,794,309 7,026,904,704 159,356,723,184 60,009 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 $104,723,925,000 $14,159,532,824 $21,297,952,215 $7,230,410,462 $147,411,820,501 $61,866 2020 114,429,843,036 17,183,968,653 32,357,391,639 10,216,466,621 174,187,669,949 60,327 2030 121,229,815,378 19,698,105,643 46,710,230,442 13,669,804,470 201,307,955,933 58,851 2040 123,645,039,546 21,421,726,029 64,429,192,130 17,204,070,093 226,700,027,798 57,334 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 $108,374,593,007 $15,027,730,200 $25,947,593,688 $9,007,753,768 $158,357,670,663 $61,348 2020 123,760,298,280 19,597,360,868 47,658,129,481 15,852,095,154 206,867,883,783 59,102 2030 137,785,102,012 24,406,479,239 82,056,784,913 26,319,293,500 270,567,659,664 56,846 2040 148,376,689,782 29,032,104,940 133,809,206,939 41,075,124,138 352,293,125,799 54,592 Ark-Tex Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 $3,777,467,055 $450,104,300 $140,463,772 $43,734,289 $4,411,769,416 $42,811 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 $3,748,700,926 $491,226,480 $200,793,383 $55,897,635 $4,496,618,424 $42,230 2020 3,746,180,372 542,603,448 263,524,077 68,112,637 4,620,420,534 41,721 2030 3,718,920,237 578,397,114 321,269,780 75,700,774 4,694,287,905 41,425 2040 3,664,200,179 591,333,798 372,936,404 76,022,896 4,704,493,277 41,334 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 $3,775,083,063 $494,595,410 $214,490,588 $55,863,549 $4,540,032,610 $42,106 2020 3,759,851,268 546,609,842 301,052,598 69,313,237 4,676,826,945 41,387 2030 3,642,252,655 581,906,101 394,189,111 77,920,285 4,696,268,152 40,709 2040 3,417,284,265 591,437,335 487,572,057 78,330,611 4,574,624,268 40,053 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 $3,760,711,891 $501,032,005 $235,203,841 $63,464,157 $4,560,411,894 $41,871 2020 3,618,431,543 544,463,412 355,995,178 91,316,175 4,610,206,308 40,750 2030 3,241,322,568 560,166,356 498,078,770 124,002,469 4,423,570,163 39,404 2040 2,679,959,918 537,573,000 650,351,172 151,500,916 4,019,385,006 37,836 East Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 $10,659,841,849 $1,258,473,245 $496,755,833 $115,642,165 $12,530,713,092 $45,170 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 $10,741,064,864 $1,365,071,792 $703,215,685 $145,727,063 $12,955,079,404 $44,624 2020 10,739,884,228 1,478,709,176 910,532,009 172,332,775 13,301,458,188 44,138 2030 10,648,061,765 1,560,548,717 1,115,060,594 194,104,662 13,517,775,738 43,837 2040 10,461,535,462 1,598,326,106 1,306,128,698 202,129,770 13,568,120,036 43,698 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 $11,263,467,009 $1,383,358,968 $839,150,880 $159,478,826 $13,645,455,683 $44,422 2020 11,722,527,134 1,510,657,513 1,312,967,697 209,977,442 14,756,129,786 43,624 2030 11,819,624,364 1,601,195,740 1,945,045,713 269,142,242 15,635,008,059 42,810 2040 11,463,169,475 1,635,082,829 2,762,206,701 320,168,318 16,180,627,323 41,926 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 $11,717,817,389 $1,394,224,437 $1,010,026,880 $199,561,033 $14,321,629,739 $44,147 2020 12,450,217,399 1,510,694,084 1,910,215,101 327,992,197 16,199,118,781 42,839 2030 12,318,395,364 1,555,924,055 3,382,552,162 512,529,007 17,769,400,588 41,205 2040 11,126,155,064 1,501,604,768 5,651,320,327 738,424,780 19,017,504,939 39,237 West Central Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 $4,256,366,280 $146,008,909 $502,173,948 $54,363,323 $4,958,912,460 $40,801 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 $4,252,099,348 $180,029,201 $662,290,933 $71,107,990 $5,165,527,472 $40,233 2020 4,236,874,909 210,634,544 820,659,413 85,106,887 5,353,275,753 39,700 2030 4,261,701,654 236,769,452 967,541,735 97,363,388 5,563,376,229 39,367 2040 4,262,573,032 251,878,975 1,095,044,462 102,503,374 5,711,999,843 39,179 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 $4,254,143,676 $182,356,403 $677,679,623 $80,026,508 $5,194,206,210 $40,086 2020 4,177,573,018 218,963,344 859,630,643 108,552,476 5,364,719,481 39,302 2030 4,054,821,488 250,825,821 1,032,332,170 142,216,557 5,480,196,036 38,597 2040 3,836,777,579 272,752,801 1,192,949,017 174,763,074 5,477,242,471 37,903 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 $4,212,213,782 $186,937,833 $696,260,041 $92,570,195 $5,187,981,851 $39,837 2020 3,953,744,910 227,444,057 897,042,263 147,025,240 5,225,256,470 38,608 2030 3,516,788,471 258,230,783 1,080,710,836 219,343,628 5,075,073,718 37,274 2040 2,907,946,046 271,102,410 1,237,037,172 308,845,115 4,724,930,743 35,831 Rio Grande Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 $3,372,593,497 $313,068,050 $5,405,633,520 $152,387,849 $9,243,682,916 $42,158 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 $3,394,602,845 $360,605,448 $6,632,067,985 $192,227,972 $10,579,504,250 $41,102 2020 3,388,916,627 404,313,617 7,914,928,895 220,662,478 11,928,821,617 40,323 2030 3,339,539,537 433,779,824 9,268,247,610 238,051,912 13,279,618,883 39,702 2040 3,248,123,803 449,165,805 10,538,935,848 242,454,707 14,478,680,163 39,247 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 $3,047,486,319 $351,047,826 $7,020,518,209 $224,993,294 $10,644,045,648 $40,138 2020 2,699,552,116 382,145,318 8,879,426,776 302,847,758 12,263,971,968 38,561 2030 2,319,425,441 396,530,143 10,818,260,254 381,162,492 13,915,378,330 37,315 2040 1,926,425,419 395,640,713 12,727,417,949 455,535,290 15,505,019,371 36,326 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 $2,687,477,965 $333,976,371 $7,391,594,373 $260,378,465 $10,673,427,174 $39,166 2020 2,046,340,044 340,649,062 9,775,594,228 401,353,734 12,563,937,068 36,900 2030 1,467,016,063 325,928,068 12,090,118,218 577,268,325 14,460,330,674 35,241 2040 981,008,945 293,737,790 14,189,436,888 789,614,264 16,253,797,887 33,993 Permian Basin Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 $4,367,571,241 $193,136,782 $1,337,014,413 $98,921,652 $5,996,644,088 $44,997 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 $4,482,264,884 $221,964,330 $1,716,126,258 $123,707,656 $6,544,063,128 $43,860 2020 4,557,933,962 249,636,250 2,116,446,551 146,318,136 7,070,334,899 42,943 2030 4,586,484,678 273,089,317 2,518,184,443 163,879,882 7,541,638,320 42,214 2040 4,552,402,349 287,007,163 2,887,971,547 166,791,662 7,894,172,721 41,656 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 $4,264,743,182 $219,547,213 $1,784,124,239 $127,135,288 $6,395,549,922 $43,356 2020 4,072,565,890 242,962,103 2,287,291,472 156,980,092 6,759,799,557 41,808 2030 3,794,897,884 261,699,342 2,805,143,648 182,922,241 7,044,663,115 40,351 2040 3,419,329,525 268,314,424 3,307,088,154 192,814,728 7,187,546,831 38,956 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 $3,966,020,982 $217,441,490 $1,846,442,147 $156,458,434 $6,186,363,053 $42,794 2020 3,418,322,042 236,710,052 2,420,606,407 238,952,589 6,314,591,090 40,532 2030 2,773,546,588 244,810,754 2,992,098,513 343,445,765 6,353,901,620 38,346 2040 2,095,339,267 234,867,269 3,501,525,262 449,412,339 6,281,144,137 36,348 Concho Valley Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 $1,892,061,568 $48,223,370 $474,477,106 $25,243,032 $2,440,005,076 $43,329 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 $1,892,138,386 $56,708,443 $605,233,533 $32,666,137 $2,586,746,499 $42,457 2020 1,888,759,319 64,554,649 738,153,406 38,304,166 2,729,771,540 41,729 2030 1,874,345,074 70,216,218 861,653,316 42,978,888 2,849,193,496 41,209 2040 1,839,474,982 73,307,776 964,317,261 44,238,021 2,921,338,040 40,866 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 $1,882,368,020 $56,499,449 $633,236,313 $33,692,838 $2,605,796,620 $42,206 2020 1,838,687,250 63,674,992 804,487,731 41,453,596 2,748,303,569 41,120 2030 1,747,517,177 68,756,467 968,303,650 47,056,429 2,831,633,723 40,109 2040 1,608,170,208 70,859,850 1,118,911,286 49,832,505 2,847,773,849 39,137 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 $1,868,972,646 $56,289,176 $663,950,729 $39,988,385 $2,629,200,936 $41,846 2020 1,755,693,677 63,406,652 873,123,164 58,321,236 2,750,544,729 40,183 2030 1,538,234,437 68,037,716 1,070,163,951 81,678,462 2,758,114,566 38,388 2040 1,243,600,830 67,877,282 1,239,486,922 107,721,484 2,658,686,518 36,492 Heart of Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 $4,230,364,299 $473,093,375 $458,439,792 $60,625,280 $5,222,522,746 $43,968 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 $4,213,689,118 $518,313,678 $612,561,864 $77,524,269 $5,422,088,929 $43,221 2020 4,192,402,682 565,208,732 764,260,355 91,620,682 5,613,492,451 42,580 2030 4,163,725,232 601,622,419 911,348,318 101,565,344 5,778,261,313 42,147 2040 4,077,467,091 618,543,527 1,035,709,184 105,277,132 5,836,996,934 41,901 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 $4,272,656,942 $526,334,559 $702,912,911 $90,519,600 $5,592,424,012 $42,881 2020 4,266,928,109 579,754,325 1,006,840,267 127,691,060 5,981,213,761 41,778 2030 4,164,020,355 623,039,885 1,367,762,203 171,256,932 6,326,079,375 40,715 2040 3,933,750,581 641,907,313 1,782,913,550 212,113,368 6,570,684,812 39,679 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 $4,281,944,166 $534,195,124 $815,028,513 $107,832,233 $5,739,000,036 $42,424 2020 4,174,473,885 584,612,111 1,345,929,439 179,860,704 6,284,876,139 40,605 2030 3,813,570,429 613,712,980 2,041,156,562 283,229,533 6,751,669,504 38,642 2040 3,231,880,104 603,377,844 2,913,473,511 414,430,319 7,163,161,778 36,659 Capital Area Planning Council All Scenarios 2000 $24,869,741,465 $1,713,873,916 $4,468,577,562 $1,071,259,804 $32,123,452,747 $62,919 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 $26,497,126,621 $1,998,274,345 $5,837,748,147 $1,269,921,279 $35,603,070,392 $61,994 2020 27,729,197,502 2,252,505,431 7,134,314,797 1,433,547,371 38,549,565,101 61,272 2030 28,201,222,209 2,398,554,360 8,403,614,894 1,578,055,527 40,581,446,990 60,706 2040 27,202,275,605 2,412,676,328 9,436,676,302 1,640,005,546 40,691,633,781 60,194 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 $29,143,879,730 $2,155,038,527 $7,097,299,349 $1,582,013,915 $39,978,231,521 $61,410 2020 33,404,350,001 2,631,270,283 10,377,971,396 2,234,909,978 48,648,501,658 60,055 2030 37,275,204,709 3,053,418,073 14,462,471,977 3,072,897,144 57,863,991,903 58,833 2040 39,606,025,898 3,375,458,431 19,271,666,375 3,977,437,019 66,230,587,723 57,614 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 $32,086,990,269 $2,326,799,556 $8,597,752,607 $1,964,667,225 $44,976,209,657 $60,779 2020 40,095,698,771 3,086,013,437 15,042,250,205 3,470,770,080 61,694,732,493 58,634 2030 48,486,957,495 3,916,613,806 24,691,509,240 5,964,722,855 83,059,803,396 56,623 2040 55,653,262,819 4,797,613,780 38,555,065,436 9,579,776,079 108,585,718,114 54,686 Brazos Valley Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 $3,368,114,863 $329,439,930 $382,752,666 $91,898,295 $4,172,205,754 $43,047 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 $3,363,554,904 $365,507,796 $497,147,239 $105,355,174 $4,331,565,113 $42,352 2020 3,389,174,532 411,678,790 616,238,658 118,779,952 4,535,871,932 41,751 2030 3,431,030,084 448,000,008 736,800,642 136,325,183 4,752,155,917 41,381 2040 3,426,719,579 472,527,496 837,797,145 148,129,845 4,885,174,065 41,201 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 $3,618,197,664 $369,676,875 $549,074,618 $115,205,987 $4,652,155,144 $42,359 2020 3,874,968,395 420,326,290 750,010,736 143,955,561 5,189,260,982 41,668 2030 4,063,877,174 460,376,518 980,301,067 184,168,756 5,688,723,515 41,024 2040 4,096,961,618 489,247,744 1,223,839,470 226,117,813 6,036,166,645 40,359 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 $3,864,589,940 $380,835,328 $614,614,808 $126,763,033 $4,986,803,109 $42,248 2020 4,283,669,228 435,101,674 927,784,575 175,678,639 5,822,234,116 41,258 2030 4,445,796,739 469,604,337 1,311,359,109 243,443,102 6,470,203,287 40,056 2040 4,201,591,376 476,359,390 1,743,404,327 326,344,506 6,747,699,599 38,574 Deep East Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 $4,520,370,681 $527,841,613 $264,747,452 $52,177,547 $5,365,137,293 $40,368 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 $4,394,477,629 $562,000,918 $356,690,214 $64,777,393 $5,377,946,154 $39,926 2020 4,282,683,397 608,560,296 453,484,674 76,161,921 5,420,890,288 39,534 2030 4,193,978,466 636,121,702 553,425,452 85,560,171 5,469,085,791 39,345 2040 4,134,361,974 654,708,442 645,766,467 89,449,375 5,524,286,258 39,316 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 $4,713,643,081 $572,773,261 $401,743,013 $64,644,490 $5,752,803,845 $39,925 2020 4,885,465,756 626,195,499 581,393,977 77,131,672 6,170,186,904 39,481 2030 4,944,320,755 658,278,233 807,718,893 87,002,103 6,497,319,984 39,096 2040 4,875,251,031 674,574,028 1,075,421,910 90,944,320 6,716,191,289 38,709 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 $5,034,206,760 $587,958,601 $462,943,217 $73,450,643 $6,158,559,221 $39,854 2020 5,458,349,284 641,483,621 766,155,455 106,207,675 6,972,196,035 39,225 2030 5,522,292,866 660,102,839 1,196,891,151 158,166,010 7,537,452,866 38,459 2040 5,143,812,000 641,585,753 1,762,726,334 224,461,931 7,772,586,018 37,518 South East Texas Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 $5,094,910,529 $1,086,984,053 $323,671,735 $160,007,088 $6,665,573,405 $46,833 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 $5,216,105,034 $1,217,346,397 $404,729,313 $209,222,451 $7,047,403,195 $46,207 2020 5,289,893,307 1,351,069,389 491,573,516 252,002,344 7,384,538,556 45,695 2030 5,304,209,910 1,447,417,024 575,291,495 286,895,544 7,613,813,973 45,432 2040 5,190,292,361 1,499,795,905 643,959,350 307,353,916 7,641,401,532 45,339 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 $5,078,279,539 $1,231,281,679 $468,573,550 $252,111,613 $7,030,246,381 $45,926 2020 4,989,132,533 1,381,153,779 676,517,022 361,852,157 7,408,655,491 45,070 2030 4,787,844,132 1,490,927,287 951,246,267 490,741,659 7,720,759,345 44,357 2040 4,419,561,211 1,550,762,712 1,291,765,515 623,195,766 7,885,285,204 43,703 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 $4,871,128,476 $1,235,905,492 $550,813,926 $308,577,760 $6,966,425,654 $45,575 2020 4,482,833,283 1,374,208,464 950,098,061 533,851,679 7,340,991,487 44,232 2030 3,918,791,262 1,447,226,977 1,591,142,715 861,450,723 7,818,611,677 42,957 2040 3,192,370,994 1,434,200,047 2,539,451,850 1,285,068,783 8,451,091,674 41,771 Houston-Galveston Area Council All Scenarios 2000 $70,673,799,396 $11,813,919,270 $15,466,136,724 $5,129,885,610 $103,083,741,000 $60,538 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 $75,235,844,485 $13,682,688,768 $20,490,426,821 $6,162,682,259 $115,571,642,333 $59,172 2020 78,729,468,218 15,367,127,140 25,367,132,602 6,849,950,311 126,313,678,271 58,133 2030 79,066,590,652 16,310,778,648 30,183,769,234 7,229,239,030 132,790,377,564 57,195 2040 75,952,742,269 16,493,518,642 34,329,374,594 7,183,878,994 133,959,514,499 56,354 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 $73,954,172,772 $14,220,649,926 $24,075,190,597 $7,826,919,039 $120,076,932,334 $58,142 2020 76,032,579,083 16,610,391,400 34,687,234,053 10,904,831,744 138,235,036,280 56,044 2030 75,130,483,207 18,277,898,848 47,527,345,839 14,193,947,437 155,129,675,331 54,074 2040 71,069,005,116 19,173,282,180 62,345,808,154 17,463,632,782 170,051,728,232 52,200 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 $72,554,136,191 $14,791,525,813 $28,337,976,825 $9,755,080,694 $125,438,719,523 $57,047 2020 72,752,523,332 17,964,692,907 47,727,085,371 16,821,678,706 155,265,980,316 53,802 2030 70,256,572,135 20,392,875,812 74,019,669,708 26,672,501,340 191,341,618,995 51,031 2040 65,149,206,999 21,976,233,334 108,298,423,337 39,964,860,398 235,388,724,068 48,718 Golden Crescent Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 $2,248,707,137 $144,236,005 $647,367,660 $36,313,323 $3,076,624,125 $45,817 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 $2,197,711,744 $158,755,648 $795,044,664 $45,527,768 $3,197,039,824 $45,011 2020 2,183,636,690 174,091,837 952,503,404 55,142,461 3,365,374,392 44,337 2030 2,162,395,620 185,181,413 1,115,940,293 62,725,576 3,526,242,902 43,819 2040 2,131,265,494 190,380,490 1,264,049,424 65,570,781 3,651,266,189 43,480 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 $2,221,935,320 $158,266,925 $831,894,804 $46,372,512 $3,258,469,561 $44,739 2020 2,200,725,608 172,542,619 1,048,323,808 57,019,238 3,478,611,273 43,678 2030 2,131,562,933 180,572,165 1,284,267,592 66,290,801 3,662,693,491 42,644 2040 2,000,324,647 183,590,555 1,518,402,865 69,643,375 3,771,961,442 41,623 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 $2,211,773,298 $160,413,368 $877,953,622 $57,929,923 $3,308,070,211 $44,342 2020 2,114,373,617 175,596,290 1,157,777,755 89,691,059 3,537,438,721 42,703 2030 1,893,806,734 182,141,110 1,453,001,894 140,929,513 3,669,879,251 40,969 2040 1,561,155,330 178,280,664 1,726,297,713 198,072,141 3,663,805,848 39,204 Alamo Area Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 $19,795,451,612 $1,665,632,513 $10,421,840,720 $630,474,449 $32,513,399,294 $51,058 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 $19,966,307,173 $1,899,751,061 $12,651,605,469 $771,983,112 $35,289,646,815 $49,915 2020 20,132,474,432 2,108,455,770 14,864,796,233 879,820,656 37,985,547,091 49,039 2030 19,952,288,325 2,219,759,440 16,970,192,202 957,413,307 40,099,653,274 48,346 2040 19,235,541,619 2,232,650,081 18,597,051,832 972,300,766 41,037,544,298 47,820 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 $20,580,396,629 $1,965,588,741 $13,250,088,820 $973,679,595 $36,769,753,785 $49,505 2020 21,350,197,074 2,274,012,098 16,378,984,438 1,392,750,066 41,395,943,676 48,187 2030 21,551,455,181 2,492,837,572 19,535,253,073 1,888,667,864 45,468,213,690 47,012 2040 20,901,151,881 2,609,074,013 22,349,260,762 2,412,516,150 48,272,002,806 45,936 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 $21,227,709,566 $2,023,631,176 $13,824,771,073 $1,234,706,815 $38,310,818,630 $49,093 2020 22,750,550,110 2,399,453,503 17,739,164,060 2,241,955,346 45,131,123,019 47,365 2030 23,588,686,495 2,668,189,797 21,689,326,310 3,825,635,649 51,771,838,251 45,821 2040 23,140,560,777 2,784,835,378 25,196,892,928 6,190,584,218 57,312,873,301 44,428 South Texas Development Council All Scenarios 2000 $309,201,949 $7,763,650 $2,288,230,536 $15,364,383 $2,620,560,518 $36,969 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 $333,404,344 $9,950,110 $2,831,676,794 $26,680,417 $3,201,711,665 $36,800 2020 356,113,201 12,580,457 3,450,623,264 36,552,300 3,855,869,222 36,679 2030 363,848,580 15,516,999 4,175,599,541 42,399,630 4,597,364,750 36,533 2040 353,706,324 16,027,878 4,966,552,081 48,308,460 5,384,594,743 36,388 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 $339,692,946 $9,869,086 $3,076,974,917 $26,767,317 $3,453,304,266 $36,505 2020 369,099,839 12,205,011 4,098,255,049 37,280,757 4,516,840,656 36,125 2030 383,174,006 14,660,687 5,320,105,035 44,747,555 5,762,687,283 35,740 2040 371,869,517 14,831,310 6,744,066,768 55,197,326 7,185,964,921 35,362 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 $346,500,877 $9,706,836 $3,330,318,582 $30,769,613 $3,717,295,908 $36,221 2020 372,485,001 11,723,808 4,787,960,277 48,389,979 5,220,559,065 35,529 2030 374,011,374 13,242,438 6,514,688,820 72,082,306 6,974,024,938 34,827 2040 337,387,953 12,228,022 8,490,551,460 104,540,346 8,944,707,781 34,122 Coastal Bend Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 $4,827,060,657 $227,670,929 $3,265,088,617 $137,786,262 $8,457,606,465 $44,684 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 $4,892,115,710 $256,120,192 $3,861,752,571 $176,485,610 $9,186,474,083 $43,834 2020 4,889,814,335 284,404,186 4,463,403,187 206,106,206 9,843,727,914 43,121 2030 4,835,351,708 301,683,121 5,044,410,465 224,534,594 10,405,979,888 42,552 2040 4,703,299,106 305,026,546 5,518,723,195 230,430,171 10,757,479,018 42,127 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 $4,913,078,694 $261,695,233 $4,068,053,926 $208,477,219 $9,451,305,072 $43,420 2020 4,892,633,720 300,090,181 4,970,692,308 288,218,665 10,451,634,874 42,260 2030 4,741,170,504 325,189,083 5,905,141,907 375,068,286 11,346,569,780 41,194 2040 4,442,013,588 334,682,502 6,799,473,722 455,035,126 12,031,204,938 40,204 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 $4,883,595,202 $270,057,409 $4,266,977,217 $258,276,884 $9,678,906,712 $42,942 2020 4,728,748,199 321,462,342 5,460,764,722 439,748,017 10,950,723,280 41,228 2030 4,327,509,529 358,739,772 6,664,737,082 711,953,093 12,062,939,476 39,630 2040 3,696,037,120 376,569,342 7,805,832,944 1,076,678,685 12,955,118,091 38,178 Lower Rio Grande Valley Development Council All Scenarios 2000 $2,720,726,006 $39,692,955 $6,457,725,996 $126,196,163 $9,344,341,120 $35,985 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 $2,510,552,230 $48,733,401 $8,252,021,243 $159,670,364 $10,970,977,238 $34,850 2020 2,255,300,011 58,391,319 10,253,023,415 192,717,488 12,759,432,233 34,019 2030 2,069,862,693 65,031,799 12,495,957,207 221,648,415 14,852,500,114 33,471 2040 1,958,413,322 68,281,909 14,822,299,893 236,959,647 17,085,954,771 33,150 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 $2,583,345,793 $48,284,282 $8,959,462,150 $191,819,038 $11,782,911,263 $34,456 2020 2,369,236,099 57,407,524 12,086,069,530 284,077,073 14,796,790,226 33,288 2030 2,161,377,438 62,791,820 15,772,986,347 401,882,324 18,399,037,929 32,429 2040 1,945,992,306 64,537,695 19,899,296,042 531,430,958 22,441,257,001 31,771 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 $2,636,232,168 $49,170,806 $9,656,430,515 $240,073,361 $12,581,906,850 $34,074 2020 2,425,135,824 60,017,092 13,923,519,958 432,369,708 16,841,042,582 32,563 2030 2,105,820,945 66,011,026 19,038,557,586 726,054,727 21,936,444,284 31,374 2040 1,655,290,219 67,507,556 24,756,805,550 1,146,400,241 27,626,003,566 30,403 Texoma Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 $2,917,151,898 $107,634,851 $124,908,961 $39,880,170 $3,189,575,880 $47,185 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 $2,952,608,041 $125,467,656 $179,142,113 $53,469,723 $3,310,687,533 $46,731 2020 2,990,121,638 142,018,084 234,887,126 64,991,563 3,432,018,411 46,374 2030 2,987,225,333 156,239,519 285,440,576 74,195,136 3,503,100,564 46,202 2040 2,939,314,489 162,952,307 335,169,179 79,527,743 3,516,963,718 46,229 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 $3,059,753,863 $124,412,045 $206,394,437 $59,482,701 $3,450,043,046 $46,723 2020 3,185,432,201 139,228,942 310,780,241 82,805,505 3,718,246,889 46,279 2030 3,206,316,740 150,498,289 434,727,841 112,262,795 3,903,805,665 45,874 2040 3,107,394,688 153,542,339 587,597,896 144,696,765 3,993,231,688 45,494 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 $3,133,938,355 $124,039,769 $242,314,162 $73,467,888 $3,573,760,174 $46,628 2020 3,248,374,521 139,216,510 418,893,781 123,662,220 3,930,147,032 45,895 2030 3,122,731,255 147,185,753 664,686,586 192,525,260 4,127,128,854 44,975 2040 2,763,201,299 144,876,633 987,257,761 280,539,216 4,175,874,909 43,891 Central Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 $4,302,752,385 $795,823,395 $600,955,735 $181,308,434 $5,880,839,949 $45,632 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 $4,580,879,870 $995,444,014 $787,985,687 $228,605,537 $6,592,915,108 $44,980 2020 4,837,440,126 1,181,158,395 973,212,843 266,132,970 7,257,944,334 44,515 2030 5,117,155,176 1,329,749,719 1,150,262,310 300,205,354 7,897,372,559 44,311 2040 5,319,942,104 1,412,416,185 1,297,446,517 315,286,515 8,345,091,321 44,305 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 $4,691,662,683 $1,095,868,353 $899,331,830 $285,035,301 $6,971,898,167 $44,622 2020 5,006,825,633 1,419,819,251 1,258,797,277 410,418,870 8,095,861,031 43,706 2030 5,251,614,721 1,723,311,082 1,677,178,619 561,638,163 9,213,742,585 42,947 2040 5,308,179,460 1,955,291,150 2,122,812,120 725,796,357 10,112,079,087 42,269 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 $4,764,519,359 $1,206,108,302 $1,035,928,093 $352,928,026 $7,359,483,780 $44,167 2020 4,993,532,106 1,679,098,817 1,646,735,731 617,197,597 8,936,564,251 42,603 2030 4,974,677,380 2,133,131,990 2,435,899,563 1,010,051,135 10,553,760,068 41,077 2040 4,614,895,657 2,464,491,598 3,365,334,334 1,567,348,459 12,012,070,048 39,608 Middle Rio Grande Development Council All Scenarios 2000 $555,225,577 $14,658,181 $1,036,912,261 $17,722,568 $1,624,518,587 $34,047 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 $537,437,868 $18,652,229 $1,191,119,964 $23,185,014 $1,770,395,075 $33,423 2020 523,818,684 22,888,515 1,388,723,024 28,708,781 1,964,139,004 32,924 2030 513,712,206 25,740,401 1,597,540,689 34,592,383 2,171,585,679 32,581 2040 503,899,730 26,060,622 1,818,652,949 37,837,393 2,386,450,694 32,345 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 $549,509,665 $18,412,557 $1,217,808,751 $23,137,505 $1,808,868,478 $33,235 2020 537,827,970 22,309,787 1,440,926,182 28,751,314 2,029,815,253 32,505 2030 517,150,234 24,661,589 1,669,377,879 34,998,781 2,246,188,483 31,872 2040 484,938,951 24,552,531 1,894,701,666 38,366,957 2,442,560,105 31,294 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 $562,250,934 $19,041,464 $1,240,115,446 $24,595,526 $1,846,003,370 $33,039 2020 541,214,313 23,587,558 1,463,441,284 33,658,425 2,061,901,580 32,023 2030 484,559,579 27,125,660 1,660,574,175 44,794,545 2,217,053,959 30,996 2040 404,126,671 27,181,645 1,804,050,641 58,436,172 2,293,795,129 30,002 ___________________________________ Sources: Derived by the authors from Texas Population Estimates and Projections Program, Projections of the Population of Texas and Counties in Texas by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity for 2000-2040, 2001. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 3, [machine readable data files], 2002a. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________