Table 5.15 Number of Households for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity and by Housing Tenure of Householder in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios ______________________________________________________________________ Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total ______________________________________________________________________ State of Texas Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 4,540,078 843,712 1,789,623 219,941 7,393,354 2010 4,855,688 1,022,198 2,607,216 333,617 8,818,719 2020 5,126,311 1,207,150 3,614,696 467,026 10,415,183 2030 5,262,528 1,351,408 4,821,738 617,857 12,053,531 2040 5,203,862 1,441,747 6,200,085 770,565 13,616,259 Owner 2000 3,209,443 388,743 1,004,091 114,682 4,716,959 2010 3,494,994 487,745 1,507,071 191,984 5,681,794 2020 3,744,777 598,662 2,151,436 279,777 6,774,652 2030 3,876,811 697,514 2,930,642 377,188 7,882,155 2040 3,834,180 763,891 3,822,205 476,305 8,896,581 Renter 2000 1,330,635 454,969 785,532 105,259 2,676,395 2010 1,360,694 534,453 1,100,145 141,633 3,136,925 2020 1,381,534 608,488 1,463,260 187,249 3,640,531 2030 1,385,717 653,894 1,891,096 240,669 4,171,376 2040 1,369,682 677,856 2,377,880 294,260 4,719,678 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 4,540,078 843,712 1,789,623 219,941 7,393,354 2010 4,950,419 1,068,979 2,956,070 414,118 9,389,586 2020 5,327,431 1,324,961 4,676,499 717,860 12,046,751 2030 5,571,513 1,557,897 7,051,958 1,166,697 15,348,065 2040 5,610,322 1,746,730 10,231,880 1,787,865 19,376,797 Owner 2000 3,209,443 388,743 1,004,091 114,682 4,716,959 2010 3,562,473 508,827 1,683,602 236,909 5,991,811 2020 3,892,076 653,916 2,735,480 428,350 7,709,822 2030 4,107,312 800,023 4,227,907 713,393 9,848,635 2040 4,137,975 920,475 6,236,864 1,109,529 12,404,843 Renter 2000 1,330,635 454,969 785,532 105,259 2,676,395 2010 1,387,946 560,152 1,272,468 177,209 3,397,775 2020 1,435,355 671,045 1,941,019 289,510 4,336,929 2030 1,464,201 757,874 2,824,051 453,304 5,499,430 2040 1,472,347 826,255 3,995,016 678,336 6,971,954 Panhandle Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 115,699 5,083 25,673 2,518 148,973 2010 119,174 6,171 37,556 3,598 166,499 2020 121,625 7,390 51,950 4,835 185,800 2030 121,703 8,441 68,094 6,096 204,334 2040 117,687 9,244 85,049 7,173 219,153 Owner 2000 84,142 2,319 15,158 1,448 103,067 2010 86,510 2,834 22,853 2,238 114,435 2020 88,913 3,451 32,435 3,113 127,912 2030 89,396 4,113 43,551 3,995 141,055 2040 86,257 4,677 55,257 4,756 150,947 Renter 2000 31,557 2,764 10,515 1,070 45,906 2010 32,664 3,337 14,703 1,360 52,064 2020 32,712 3,939 19,515 1,722 57,888 2030 32,307 4,328 24,543 2,101 63,279 2040 31,430 4,567 29,792 2,417 68,206 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 115,699 5,083 25,673 2,518 148,973 2010 119,713 6,459 41,173 4,240 171,585 2020 119,594 8,008 62,497 6,633 196,732 2030 114,101 9,385 89,194 9,723 222,403 2040 101,711 10,421 120,651 13,271 246,054 Owner 2000 84,142 2,319 15,158 1,448 103,067 2010 87,017 2,945 24,962 2,605 117,529 2020 87,433 3,681 38,907 4,179 134,200 2030 83,715 4,483 57,057 6,191 151,446 2040 74,416 5,157 78,719 8,514 166,806 Renter 2000 31,557 2,764 10,515 1,070 45,906 2010 32,696 3,514 16,211 1,635 54,056 2020 32,161 4,327 23,590 2,454 62,532 2030 30,386 4,902 32,137 3,532 70,957 2040 27,295 5,264 41,932 4,757 79,248 South Plains Association of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 93,497 7,995 35,821 1,889 139,202 2010 92,586 9,337 47,861 2,654 152,438 2020 89,508 10,509 60,115 3,557 163,689 2030 85,605 11,444 72,310 4,567 173,926 2040 79,387 11,941 83,396 5,523 180,247 Owner 2000 63,475 3,441 20,289 889 88,094 2010 62,967 3,970 27,967 1,394 96,298 2020 61,657 4,580 36,236 2,002 104,475 2030 58,885 5,235 44,702 2,659 111,481 2040 54,367 5,648 52,611 3,309 115,935 Renter 2000 30,022 4,554 15,532 1,000 51,108 2010 29,619 5,367 19,894 1,260 56,140 2020 27,851 5,929 23,879 1,555 59,214 2030 26,720 6,209 27,608 1,908 62,445 2040 25,020 6,293 30,785 2,214 64,312 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 93,497 7,995 35,821 1,889 139,202 2010 89,746 9,497 49,543 3,087 151,873 2020 81,196 10,823 63,579 4,631 160,229 2030 70,570 11,730 76,944 6,582 165,826 2040 57,549 11,892 87,936 8,952 166,329 Owner 2000 63,475 3,441 20,289 889 88,094 2010 60,689 4,004 28,934 1,621 95,248 2020 55,310 4,637 38,385 2,592 100,924 2030 47,590 5,254 47,830 3,760 104,434 2040 38,199 5,446 56,001 5,233 104,879 Renter 2000 30,022 4,554 15,532 1,000 51,108 2010 29,057 5,493 20,609 1,466 56,625 2020 25,886 6,186 25,194 2,039 59,305 2030 22,980 6,476 29,114 2,822 61,392 2040 19,350 6,446 31,935 3,719 61,450 NORTEX Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 71,731 5,050 6,557 1,510 84,848 2010 72,620 5,861 9,334 2,236 90,051 2020 72,917 6,669 12,725 3,114 95,425 2030 72,052 7,443 16,574 4,030 100,099 2040 68,898 8,073 20,574 4,852 102,397 Owner 2000 51,299 1,997 3,610 826 57,732 2010 51,847 2,299 5,294 1,305 60,745 2020 52,425 2,664 7,504 1,928 64,521 2030 52,034 3,075 10,059 2,585 67,753 2040 49,580 3,467 12,762 3,209 69,018 Renter 2000 20,432 3,053 2,947 684 27,116 2010 20,773 3,562 4,040 931 29,306 2020 20,492 4,005 5,221 1,186 30,904 2030 20,018 4,368 6,515 1,445 32,346 2040 19,318 4,606 7,812 1,643 33,379 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 71,731 5,050 6,557 1,510 84,848 2010 71,696 5,902 10,171 2,617 90,386 2020 69,273 6,766 15,151 4,232 95,422 2030 63,518 7,493 21,191 6,317 98,519 2040 54,257 7,896 28,029 8,807 98,989 Owner 2000 51,299 1,997 3,610 826 57,732 2010 51,287 2,295 5,724 1,512 60,818 2020 49,857 2,660 8,848 2,579 63,944 2030 45,818 3,043 12,752 3,994 65,607 2040 38,824 3,314 17,304 5,714 65,156 Renter 2000 20,432 3,053 2,947 684 27,116 2010 20,409 3,607 4,447 1,105 29,568 2020 19,416 4,106 6,303 1,653 31,478 2030 17,700 4,450 8,439 2,323 32,912 2040 15,433 4,582 10,725 3,093 33,833 North Central Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 1,314,429 265,115 283,897 73,788 1,937,229 2010 1,458,686 332,909 477,220 113,936 2,382,751 2020 1,592,531 404,695 728,906 161,237 2,887,369 2030 1,683,419 464,039 1,057,400 215,797 3,420,655 2040 1,712,189 504,548 1,465,327 271,932 3,953,996 Owner 2000 900,981 111,020 123,874 36,686 1,172,561 2010 1,029,976 147,929 229,306 63,389 1,470,600 2020 1,145,586 188,114 374,123 92,997 1,800,820 2030 1,224,429 225,364 563,831 126,418 2,140,042 2040 1,247,960 251,633 802,939 161,514 2,464,046 Renter 2000 413,448 154,095 160,023 37,102 764,668 2010 428,710 184,980 247,914 50,547 912,151 2020 446,945 216,581 354,783 68,240 1,086,549 2030 458,990 238,675 493,569 89,379 1,280,613 2040 464,229 252,915 662,388 110,418 1,489,950 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 1,314,429 265,115 283,897 73,788 1,937,229 2010 1,502,506 353,144 583,499 142,164 2,581,313 2020 1,708,324 460,737 1,080,529 250,569 3,500,159 2030 1,896,758 572,868 1,874,039 415,978 4,759,643 2040 2,044,317 680,594 3,078,202 650,125 6,453,238 Owner 2000 900,981 111,020 123,874 36,686 1,172,561 2010 1,057,352 155,036 277,473 78,630 1,568,491 2020 1,222,049 209,482 551,764 143,943 2,127,238 2030 1,369,401 270,777 1,003,901 244,061 2,888,140 2040 1,477,270 329,688 1,708,495 387,021 3,902,474 Renter 2000 413,448 154,095 160,023 37,102 764,668 2010 445,154 198,108 306,026 63,534 1,012,822 2020 486,275 251,255 528,765 106,626 1,372,921 2030 527,357 302,091 870,138 171,917 1,871,503 2040 567,047 350,906 1,369,707 263,104 2,550,764 Ark-Tex Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 81,836 16,204 4,110 903 103,053 2010 82,269 18,045 6,355 1,155 107,824 2020 82,426 20,151 8,988 1,436 113,001 2030 80,270 21,617 11,859 1,616 115,362 2040 75,665 22,131 14,777 1,640 114,213 Owner 2000 63,002 8,873 2,160 522 74,557 2010 63,299 9,741 3,591 732 77,363 2020 63,499 11,077 5,233 933 80,742 2030 61,675 12,224 7,055 1,065 82,019 2040 57,811 12,771 8,852 1,086 80,520 Renter 2000 18,834 7,331 1,950 381 28,496 2010 18,970 8,304 2,764 423 30,461 2020 18,927 9,074 3,755 503 32,259 2030 18,595 9,393 4,804 551 33,343 2040 17,854 9,360 5,925 554 33,693 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 81,836 16,204 4,110 903 103,053 2010 82,134 18,449 7,022 1,312 108,917 2020 79,903 20,526 10,818 1,888 113,135 2030 72,622 21,647 15,424 2,568 112,261 2040 61,154 21,383 20,534 3,160 106,231 Owner 2000 63,002 8,873 2,160 522 74,557 2010 63,247 9,980 3,974 817 78,018 2020 61,431 11,278 6,319 1,220 80,248 2030 55,503 12,185 9,201 1,685 78,574 2040 46,268 12,223 12,306 2,099 72,896 Renter 2000 18,834 7,331 1,950 381 28,496 2010 18,887 8,469 3,048 495 30,899 2020 18,472 9,248 4,499 668 32,887 2030 17,119 9,462 6,223 883 33,687 2040 14,886 9,160 8,228 1,061 33,335 East Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 219,782 41,310 14,160 2,163 277,415 2010 234,243 45,875 24,104 2,954 307,176 2020 245,872 50,580 37,953 3,850 338,255 2030 249,772 54,030 56,534 4,879 365,215 2040 243,889 55,621 80,695 5,726 385,931 Owner 2000 172,292 24,583 8,114 1,350 206,339 2010 184,247 26,808 14,358 1,950 227,363 2020 194,558 29,973 23,148 2,581 250,260 2030 197,917 32,725 35,008 3,297 268,947 2040 192,593 34,222 50,441 3,864 281,120 Renter 2000 47,490 16,727 6,046 813 71,076 2010 49,996 19,067 9,746 1,004 79,813 2020 51,314 20,607 14,805 1,269 87,995 2030 51,855 21,305 21,526 1,582 96,268 2040 51,296 21,399 30,254 1,862 104,811 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 219,782 41,310 14,160 2,163 277,415 2010 244,796 46,735 29,216 3,661 324,408 2020 264,268 51,849 56,074 5,951 378,142 2030 266,402 54,791 100,820 9,230 431,243 2040 245,895 54,485 171,129 13,169 484,678 Owner 2000 172,292 24,583 8,114 1,350 206,339 2010 193,398 27,414 17,356 2,383 240,551 2020 210,359 30,789 34,188 3,921 279,257 2030 212,418 33,126 62,719 6,136 314,399 2040 195,244 33,263 107,752 8,700 344,959 Renter 2000 47,490 16,727 6,046 813 71,076 2010 51,398 19,321 11,860 1,278 83,857 2020 53,909 21,060 21,886 2,030 98,885 2030 53,984 21,665 38,101 3,094 116,844 2040 50,651 21,222 63,377 4,469 139,719 West Central Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 98,907 4,765 16,528 1,340 121,540 2010 99,057 5,991 22,567 1,961 129,576 2020 97,745 7,255 28,849 2,651 136,500 2030 95,285 8,328 34,914 3,458 141,985 2040 90,591 9,083 40,619 4,213 144,506 Owner 2000 72,051 1,966 10,087 767 84,871 2010 71,531 2,471 14,083 1,185 89,270 2020 71,307 3,100 18,494 1,670 94,571 2030 69,665 3,759 22,876 2,247 98,547 2040 65,961 4,307 27,024 2,751 100,043 Renter 2000 26,856 2,799 6,441 573 36,669 2010 27,526 3,520 8,484 776 40,306 2020 26,438 4,155 10,355 981 41,929 2030 25,620 4,569 12,038 1,211 43,438 2040 24,630 4,776 13,595 1,462 44,463 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 98,907 4,765 16,528 1,340 121,540 2010 98,397 6,185 23,389 2,259 130,230 2020 93,418 7,684 30,669 3,570 135,341 2030 84,315 8,883 37,642 5,317 136,157 2040 70,985 9,553 43,880 7,450 131,868 Owner 2000 72,051 1,966 10,087 767 84,871 2010 71,209 2,505 14,576 1,338 89,628 2020 68,311 3,190 19,651 2,205 93,357 2030 61,605 3,880 24,765 3,366 93,616 2040 51,338 4,350 29,421 4,712 89,821 Renter 2000 26,856 2,799 6,441 573 36,669 2010 27,188 3,680 8,813 921 40,602 2020 25,107 4,494 11,018 1,365 41,984 2030 22,710 5,003 12,877 1,951 42,541 2040 19,647 5,203 14,459 2,738 42,047 Rio Grande Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 55,460 6,917 153,560 3,324 219,261 2010 50,598 7,858 201,802 4,927 265,185 2020 45,195 8,648 257,539 6,658 318,040 2030 39,112 9,048 316,348 8,409 372,917 2040 32,680 9,096 374,981 10,071 426,828 Owner 2000 37,786 2,932 97,241 1,883 139,842 2010 34,870 3,412 130,309 2,988 171,579 2020 31,438 3,878 168,925 4,135 208,376 2030 27,193 4,275 210,983 5,372 247,823 2040 22,348 4,424 252,642 6,534 285,948 Renter 2000 17,674 3,985 56,319 1,441 79,419 2010 15,728 4,446 71,493 1,939 93,606 2020 13,757 4,770 88,614 2,523 109,664 2030 11,919 4,773 105,365 3,037 125,094 2040 10,332 4,672 122,339 3,537 140,880 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 55,460 6,917 153,560 3,324 219,261 2010 44,843 7,545 214,401 5,729 272,518 2020 34,755 7,884 288,932 8,913 340,484 2030 25,471 7,735 364,196 12,930 410,332 2040 17,487 7,178 435,689 17,793 478,147 Owner 2000 37,786 2,932 97,241 1,883 139,842 2010 30,948 3,283 138,153 3,439 175,823 2020 24,103 3,510 189,789 5,449 222,851 2030 17,511 3,602 245,348 8,136 274,597 2040 11,677 3,405 298,104 11,352 324,538 Renter 2000 17,674 3,985 56,319 1,441 79,419 2010 13,895 4,262 76,248 2,290 96,695 2020 10,652 4,374 99,143 3,464 117,633 2030 7,960 4,133 118,848 4,794 135,735 2040 5,810 3,773 137,585 6,441 153,609 Permian Basin Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 83,975 6,150 41,614 1,530 133,269 2010 82,414 7,091 56,040 1,968 147,513 2020 79,031 7,926 72,306 2,425 161,688 2030 73,974 8,603 89,185 2,824 174,586 2040 66,962 8,881 105,707 2,956 184,506 Owner 2000 62,329 3,024 28,632 1,017 95,002 2010 60,903 3,428 39,341 1,376 105,048 2020 58,846 3,886 51,766 1,748 116,246 2030 55,250 4,380 64,812 2,083 126,525 2040 49,462 4,588 77,480 2,207 133,737 Renter 2000 21,646 3,126 12,982 513 38,267 2010 21,511 3,663 16,699 592 42,465 2020 20,185 4,040 20,540 677 45,442 2030 18,724 4,223 24,373 741 48,061 2040 17,500 4,293 28,227 749 50,769 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 83,975 6,150 41,614 1,530 133,269 2010 76,690 7,095 58,412 2,366 144,563 2020 66,637 7,915 77,699 3,541 155,792 2030 54,749 8,405 97,512 5,032 165,698 2040 42,084 8,307 115,922 6,491 172,804 Owner 2000 62,329 3,024 28,632 1,017 95,002 2010 56,773 3,439 41,098 1,636 102,946 2020 49,598 3,902 55,941 2,507 111,948 2030 40,698 4,290 71,506 3,622 120,116 2040 30,776 4,277 85,919 4,697 125,669 Renter 2000 21,646 3,126 12,982 513 38,267 2010 19,917 3,656 17,314 730 41,617 2020 17,039 4,013 21,758 1,034 43,844 2030 14,051 4,115 26,006 1,410 45,582 2040 11,308 4,030 30,003 1,794 47,135 Concho Valley Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 39,883 1,679 14,117 634 56,313 2010 39,841 2,001 19,050 848 61,740 2020 39,113 2,279 24,381 1,063 66,836 2030 37,363 2,486 29,539 1,210 70,598 2040 34,537 2,578 34,356 1,293 72,764 Owner 2000 27,998 648 8,933 375 37,954 2010 27,962 784 12,315 547 41,608 2020 27,669 936 16,195 723 45,523 2030 26,395 1,039 20,086 820 48,340 2040 24,147 1,104 23,740 898 49,889 Renter 2000 11,885 1,031 5,184 259 18,359 2010 11,879 1,217 6,735 301 20,132 2020 11,444 1,343 8,186 340 21,313 2030 10,968 1,447 9,453 390 22,258 2040 10,390 1,474 10,616 395 22,875 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 39,883 1,679 14,117 634 56,313 2010 39,639 2,011 20,136 1,045 62,831 2020 37,594 2,319 26,913 1,625 68,451 2030 33,390 2,555 33,536 2,367 71,848 2040 27,459 2,617 39,517 3,264 72,857 Owner 2000 27,998 648 8,933 375 37,954 2010 27,900 775 12,970 655 42,300 2020 26,645 917 17,868 1,060 46,490 2030 23,564 1,016 22,904 1,549 49,033 2040 19,057 1,057 27,520 2,155 49,789 Renter 2000 11,885 1,031 5,184 259 18,359 2010 11,739 1,236 7,166 390 20,531 2020 10,949 1,402 9,045 565 21,961 2030 9,826 1,539 10,632 818 22,815 2040 8,402 1,560 11,997 1,109 23,068 Heart of Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 87,418 16,748 13,354 1,259 118,779 2010 88,917 18,904 20,708 1,889 130,418 2020 89,486 21,065 29,931 2,685 143,167 2030 87,912 22,834 41,007 3,621 155,374 2040 83,538 23,701 53,861 4,497 165,597 Owner 2000 62,169 7,626 7,214 610 77,619 2010 63,205 8,317 11,460 1,029 84,011 2020 64,442 9,423 17,274 1,578 92,717 2030 63,612 10,542 24,299 2,202 100,655 2040 60,343 11,209 32,552 2,833 106,937 Renter 2000 25,249 9,122 6,140 649 41,160 2010 25,712 10,587 9,248 860 46,407 2020 25,044 11,642 12,657 1,107 50,450 2030 24,300 12,292 16,708 1,419 54,719 2040 23,195 12,492 21,309 1,664 58,660 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 87,418 16,748 13,354 1,259 118,779 2010 89,433 19,364 24,214 2,267 135,278 2020 88,481 21,724 40,745 3,829 154,779 2030 82,258 23,399 62,971 6,096 174,724 2040 71,111 23,678 91,630 8,981 195,400 Owner 2000 62,169 7,626 7,214 610 77,619 2010 63,549 8,485 13,177 1,224 86,435 2020 63,658 9,601 23,178 2,227 98,664 2030 59,366 10,624 37,015 3,614 110,619 2040 50,949 10,938 55,028 5,474 122,389 Renter 2000 25,249 9,122 6,140 649 41,160 2010 25,884 10,879 11,037 1,043 48,843 2020 24,823 12,123 17,567 1,602 56,115 2030 22,892 12,775 25,956 2,482 64,105 2040 20,162 12,740 36,602 3,507 73,011 Capital Area Planning Council Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 361,560 36,956 94,360 17,679 510,555 2010 426,880 46,750 151,349 26,029 651,008 2020 493,326 57,340 222,698 36,705 810,069 2030 554,574 66,751 311,843 50,365 983,533 2040 593,203 74,035 417,167 65,158 1,149,563 Owner 2000 235,857 17,068 44,964 7,405 305,294 2010 291,141 22,464 78,684 13,070 405,359 2020 348,394 28,932 124,389 20,097 521,812 2030 399,634 35,232 181,840 28,751 645,457 2040 431,398 40,219 251,532 38,637 761,786 Renter 2000 125,703 19,888 49,396 10,274 205,261 2010 135,739 24,286 72,665 12,959 245,649 2020 144,932 28,408 98,309 16,608 288,257 2030 154,940 31,519 130,003 21,614 338,076 2040 161,805 33,816 165,635 26,521 387,777 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 361,560 36,956 94,360 17,679 510,555 2010 472,471 50,650 184,525 32,351 739,997 2020 600,300 67,854 326,942 57,098 1,052,194 2030 739,573 86,958 542,319 98,030 1,466,880 2040 865,734 107,663 854,704 157,516 1,985,617 Owner 2000 235,857 17,068 44,964 7,405 305,294 2010 321,631 24,131 95,233 16,378 457,373 2020 425,350 33,867 183,361 31,809 674,387 2030 537,652 45,501 321,990 57,428 962,571 2040 637,709 58,074 530,040 95,901 1,321,724 Renter 2000 125,703 19,888 49,396 10,274 205,261 2010 150,840 26,519 89,292 15,973 282,624 2020 174,950 33,987 143,581 25,289 377,807 2030 201,921 41,457 220,329 40,602 504,309 2040 228,025 49,589 324,664 61,615 663,893 Brazos Valley Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 71,127 12,359 10,710 2,726 96,922 2010 76,925 13,954 15,520 3,429 109,828 2020 82,877 15,974 21,368 4,319 124,538 2030 87,367 17,584 28,148 5,568 138,667 2040 88,453 18,799 35,396 6,912 149,560 Owner 2000 45,021 6,350 5,040 735 57,146 2010 49,872 6,919 7,791 1,146 65,728 2020 55,071 8,001 11,405 1,638 76,115 2030 58,603 9,104 15,644 2,253 85,604 2040 59,426 10,008 20,319 2,932 92,685 Renter 2000 26,106 6,009 5,670 1,991 39,776 2010 27,053 7,035 7,729 2,283 44,100 2020 27,806 7,973 9,963 2,681 48,423 2030 28,764 8,480 12,504 3,315 53,063 2040 29,027 8,791 15,077 3,980 56,875 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 71,127 12,359 10,710 2,726 96,922 2010 82,201 14,511 17,518 3,807 118,037 2020 91,970 16,887 26,907 5,352 141,116 2030 96,685 18,601 38,732 7,511 161,529 2040 92,904 19,365 52,456 10,205 174,930 Owner 2000 45,021 6,350 5,040 735 57,146 2010 53,570 7,225 8,706 1,280 70,781 2020 61,994 8,476 14,318 2,092 86,880 2030 66,210 9,617 21,618 3,182 100,627 2040 63,593 10,230 30,452 4,572 108,847 Renter 2000 26,106 6,009 5,670 1,991 39,776 2010 28,631 7,286 8,812 2,527 47,256 2020 29,976 8,411 12,589 3,260 54,236 2030 30,475 8,984 17,114 4,329 60,902 2040 29,311 9,135 22,004 5,633 66,083 Deep East Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 105,265 19,524 7,037 1,080 132,906 2010 110,540 21,426 10,770 1,356 144,092 2020 115,306 23,645 15,698 1,632 156,281 2030 117,350 25,043 21,945 1,851 166,189 2040 116,278 25,889 29,407 1,929 173,503 Owner 2000 84,822 11,748 4,247 739 101,556 2010 89,031 12,632 6,690 974 109,327 2020 92,924 14,087 9,960 1,185 118,156 2030 94,470 15,206 14,190 1,358 125,224 2040 93,312 15,928 19,168 1,427 129,835 Renter 2000 20,443 7,776 2,790 341 31,350 2010 21,509 8,794 4,080 382 34,765 2020 22,382 9,558 5,738 447 38,125 2030 22,880 9,837 7,755 493 40,965 2040 22,966 9,961 10,239 502 43,668 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 105,265 19,524 7,037 1,080 132,906 2010 118,291 22,186 12,502 1,550 154,529 2020 129,700 24,751 21,011 2,288 177,750 2030 133,118 26,072 33,347 3,448 195,985 2040 126,254 26,092 49,938 4,888 207,172 Owner 2000 84,822 11,748 4,247 739 101,556 2010 95,766 13,209 7,765 1,101 117,841 2020 105,424 14,954 13,362 1,628 135,368 2030 108,297 16,038 21,770 2,471 148,576 2040 102,403 16,212 32,987 3,523 155,125 Renter 2000 20,443 7,776 2,790 341 31,350 2010 22,525 8,977 4,737 449 36,688 2020 24,276 9,797 7,649 660 42,382 2030 24,821 10,034 11,577 977 47,409 2040 23,851 9,880 16,951 1,365 52,047 South East Texas Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 99,328 32,627 7,483 2,889 142,327 2010 100,107 37,434 10,956 4,581 153,078 2020 99,348 42,467 15,949 6,617 164,381 2030 96,152 46,244 22,640 9,023 174,059 2040 89,405 48,482 31,033 11,507 180,427 Owner 2000 77,048 17,079 4,548 1,740 100,415 2010 78,145 19,532 6,861 2,944 107,482 2020 78,364 22,600 10,228 4,357 115,549 2030 76,305 25,303 14,841 6,061 122,510 2040 70,927 27,030 20,604 7,802 126,363 Renter 2000 22,280 15,548 2,935 1,149 41,912 2010 21,962 17,902 4,095 1,637 45,596 2020 20,984 19,867 5,721 2,260 48,832 2030 19,847 20,941 7,799 2,962 51,549 2040 18,478 21,452 10,429 3,705 54,064 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 99,328 32,627 7,483 2,889 142,327 2010 96,278 37,938 12,977 5,662 152,855 2020 90,010 43,244 22,762 9,949 165,965 2030 80,149 46,739 38,865 16,258 182,011 2040 66,730 47,717 63,389 24,482 202,318 Owner 2000 77,048 17,079 4,548 1,740 100,415 2010 75,201 19,684 8,047 3,628 106,560 2020 70,830 22,734 14,378 6,537 114,479 2030 63,309 25,134 25,040 10,900 124,383 2040 52,572 25,968 41,404 16,579 136,523 Renter 2000 22,280 15,548 2,935 1,149 41,912 2010 21,077 18,254 4,930 2,034 46,295 2020 19,180 20,510 8,384 3,412 51,486 2030 16,840 21,605 13,825 5,358 57,628 2040 14,158 21,749 21,985 7,903 65,795 Houston-Galveston Area Council Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 970,612 289,429 360,931 81,820 1,702,792 2010 1,023,553 348,413 568,311 124,942 2,065,219 2020 1,059,991 406,965 825,449 174,151 2,466,556 2030 1,054,879 447,883 1,139,198 226,857 2,868,817 2040 1,005,038 469,361 1,504,265 279,063 3,257,727 Owner 2000 686,541 133,849 171,784 45,197 1,037,371 2010 742,580 170,304 286,457 74,895 1,274,236 2020 780,303 208,594 437,171 108,063 1,534,131 2030 784,289 239,720 623,800 142,743 1,790,552 2040 747,319 259,015 842,540 176,400 2,025,274 Renter 2000 284,071 155,580 189,147 36,623 665,421 2010 280,973 178,109 281,854 50,047 790,983 2020 279,688 198,371 388,278 66,088 932,425 2030 270,590 208,163 515,398 84,114 1,078,265 2040 257,719 210,346 661,725 102,663 1,232,453 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 970,612 289,429 360,931 81,820 1,702,792 2010 1,007,049 361,607 674,292 155,918 2,198,866 2020 1,022,893 438,965 1,154,726 269,290 2,885,874 2030 1,003,568 499,224 1,819,230 427,474 3,749,496 2040 948,844 539,392 2,703,350 640,086 4,831,672 Owner 2000 686,541 133,849 171,784 45,197 1,037,371 2010 731,294 178,491 332,828 92,930 1,335,543 2020 754,151 229,485 599,994 166,705 1,750,335 2030 748,837 275,593 989,663 270,586 2,284,679 2040 709,895 310,324 1,515,776 409,294 2,945,289 Renter 2000 284,071 155,580 189,147 36,623 665,421 2010 275,755 183,116 341,464 62,988 863,323 2020 268,742 209,480 554,732 102,585 1,135,539 2030 254,731 223,631 829,567 156,888 1,464,817 2040 238,949 229,068 1,187,574 230,792 1,886,383 Golden Crescent Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 43,759 4,474 18,199 719 67,151 2010 43,364 4,968 23,580 921 72,833 2020 43,163 5,468 29,870 1,142 79,643 2030 42,020 5,764 36,775 1,331 85,890 2040 39,602 5,909 43,717 1,395 90,623 Owner 2000 34,385 2,444 10,713 415 47,957 2010 33,936 2,699 14,108 570 51,313 2020 33,783 2,971 18,207 712 55,673 2030 32,864 3,175 22,827 846 59,712 2040 30,672 3,293 27,461 900 62,326 Renter 2000 9,374 2,030 7,486 304 19,194 2010 9,428 2,269 9,472 351 21,520 2020 9,380 2,497 11,663 430 23,970 2030 9,156 2,589 13,948 485 26,178 2040 8,930 2,616 16,256 495 28,297 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 43,759 4,474 18,199 719 67,151 2010 43,309 5,080 25,079 1,136 74,604 2020 41,871 5,689 33,526 1,753 82,839 2030 38,083 6,042 42,722 2,731 89,578 2040 31,972 6,084 51,587 3,813 93,456 Owner 2000 34,385 2,444 10,713 415 47,957 2010 33,980 2,741 14,967 702 52,390 2020 32,856 3,049 20,423 1,086 57,414 2030 29,807 3,267 26,651 1,740 61,465 2040 24,737 3,279 32,741 2,492 63,249 Renter 2000 9,374 2,030 7,486 304 19,194 2010 9,329 2,339 10,112 434 22,214 2020 9,015 2,640 13,103 667 25,425 2030 8,276 2,775 16,071 991 28,113 2040 7,235 2,805 18,846 1,321 30,207 Alamo Area Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 320,952 39,048 264,947 11,849 636,796 2010 336,711 46,655 340,991 18,385 742,742 2020 352,570 54,553 425,529 26,411 859,063 2030 358,982 60,278 511,975 35,933 967,168 2040 350,901 63,539 590,395 46,026 1,050,861 Owner 2000 229,948 18,719 158,744 6,598 414,009 2010 245,480 23,090 211,586 11,085 491,241 2020 261,252 27,855 272,437 16,653 578,197 2030 268,606 32,083 336,765 23,383 660,837 2040 262,371 34,602 395,971 30,643 723,587 Renter 2000 91,004 20,329 106,203 5,251 222,787 2010 91,231 23,565 129,405 7,300 251,501 2020 91,318 26,698 153,092 9,758 280,866 2030 90,376 28,195 175,210 12,550 306,331 2040 88,530 28,937 194,424 15,383 327,274 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 320,952 39,048 264,947 11,849 636,796 2010 349,355 48,446 359,171 23,398 780,370 2020 381,180 58,783 470,026 42,846 952,835 2030 403,208 66,927 586,063 73,684 1,129,882 2040 404,097 71,757 694,206 119,967 1,290,027 Owner 2000 229,948 18,719 158,744 6,598 414,009 2010 256,397 23,749 222,793 13,853 516,792 2020 286,278 29,377 302,104 26,298 644,057 2030 308,037 34,636 389,837 46,636 779,146 2040 310,105 37,765 473,990 77,603 899,463 Renter 2000 91,004 20,329 106,203 5,251 222,787 2010 92,958 24,697 136,378 9,545 263,578 2020 94,902 29,406 167,922 16,548 308,778 2030 95,171 32,291 196,226 27,048 350,736 2040 93,992 33,992 220,216 42,364 390,564 South Texas Development Council Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 5,090 112 65,314 370 70,886 2010 5,504 148 88,305 640 94,597 2020 5,898 183 118,062 892 125,035 2030 6,090 221 153,848 1,078 161,237 2040 5,915 225 195,748 1,326 203,214 Owner 2000 3,460 29 45,752 152 49,393 2010 3,705 56 62,495 282 66,538 2020 3,916 65 84,154 406 88,541 2030 4,076 98 110,639 518 115,331 2040 4,014 112 141,436 629 146,191 Renter 2000 1,630 83 19,562 218 21,493 2010 1,799 92 25,810 358 28,059 2020 1,982 118 33,908 486 36,494 2030 2,014 123 43,209 560 45,906 2040 1,901 113 54,312 697 57,023 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 5,090 112 65,314 370 70,886 2010 5,617 147 96,128 736 102,628 2020 5,968 180 139,629 1,161 146,938 2030 5,989 208 192,311 1,738 200,246 2040 5,454 198 253,963 2,522 262,137 Owner 2000 3,460 29 45,752 152 49,393 2010 3,759 56 67,916 329 72,060 2020 3,902 65 99,561 552 104,080 2030 3,876 92 139,110 888 143,966 2040 3,562 99 184,992 1,379 190,032 Renter 2000 1,630 83 19,562 218 21,493 2010 1,858 91 28,212 407 30,568 2020 2,066 115 40,068 609 42,858 2030 2,113 116 53,201 850 56,280 2040 1,892 99 68,971 1,143 72,105 Coastal Bend Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 87,911 6,285 92,303 2,778 189,277 2010 90,235 7,267 115,992 4,180 217,674 2020 90,630 8,345 142,589 5,753 247,317 2030 88,509 9,081 170,390 7,459 275,439 2040 83,536 9,431 197,286 8,998 299,251 Owner 2000 61,727 2,715 57,382 1,538 123,362 2010 63,697 3,095 72,860 2,499 142,151 2020 64,871 3,662 91,237 3,608 163,378 2030 63,793 4,185 110,999 4,804 183,781 2040 59,889 4,512 130,346 5,864 200,611 Renter 2000 26,184 3,570 34,921 1,240 65,915 2010 26,538 4,172 43,132 1,681 75,523 2020 25,759 4,683 51,352 2,145 83,939 2030 24,716 4,896 59,391 2,655 91,658 2040 23,647 4,919 66,940 3,134 98,640 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 87,911 6,285 92,303 2,778 189,277 2010 90,097 7,538 122,584 5,178 225,397 2020 88,659 9,052 159,081 8,819 265,611 2030 82,699 10,240 197,094 14,356 304,389 2040 72,197 10,937 234,455 21,749 339,338 Owner 2000 61,727 2,715 57,382 1,538 123,362 2010 63,813 3,181 76,298 3,065 146,357 2020 63,784 3,904 100,587 5,443 173,718 2030 60,064 4,612 127,504 9,105 201,285 2040 52,176 5,068 154,299 13,995 225,538 Renter 2000 26,184 3,570 34,921 1,240 65,915 2010 26,284 4,357 46,286 2,113 79,040 2020 24,875 5,148 58,494 3,376 91,893 2030 22,635 5,628 69,590 5,251 103,104 2040 20,021 5,869 80,156 7,754 113,800 Lower Rio Grande Valley Development Council Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 51,373 789 205,545 1,968 259,675 2010 49,096 985 288,885 3,002 341,968 2020 45,308 1,181 393,552 4,466 444,507 2030 41,552 1,303 518,182 6,334 567,371 2040 37,566 1,349 659,025 8,394 706,334 Owner 2000 41,220 318 142,126 1,107 184,771 2010 39,250 407 204,529 1,849 246,035 2020 35,859 522 283,212 2,846 322,439 2030 32,832 614 378,630 4,201 416,277 2040 29,401 654 486,464 5,642 522,161 Renter 2000 10,153 471 63,419 861 74,904 2010 9,846 578 84,356 1,153 95,933 2020 9,449 659 110,340 1,620 122,068 2030 8,720 689 139,552 2,133 151,094 2040 8,165 695 172,561 2,752 184,173 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 51,373 789 205,545 1,968 259,675 2010 50,135 1,012 314,335 3,773 369,255 2020 46,577 1,262 462,481 6,859 517,179 2030 40,969 1,424 645,196 11,610 699,199 2040 32,739 1,494 855,986 18,444 908,663 Owner 2000 41,220 318 142,126 1,107 184,771 2010 40,362 415 223,368 2,299 266,444 2020 37,448 547 335,891 4,300 378,186 2030 33,009 661 478,920 7,518 520,108 2040 26,099 705 644,770 12,098 683,672 Renter 2000 10,153 471 63,419 861 74,904 2010 9,773 597 90,967 1,474 102,811 2020 9,129 715 126,590 2,559 138,993 2030 7,960 763 166,276 4,092 179,091 2040 6,640 789 211,216 6,346 224,991 Texoma Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 60,492 3,298 2,912 895 67,597 2010 63,859 3,823 4,830 1,328 73,840 2020 66,890 4,307 7,309 1,838 80,344 2030 67,694 4,686 10,246 2,472 85,098 2040 65,915 4,814 13,880 3,165 87,774 Owner 2000 44,898 1,574 1,427 479 48,378 2010 47,419 1,781 2,550 755 52,505 2020 49,989 2,075 4,090 1,098 57,252 2030 50,709 2,338 5,928 1,514 60,489 2040 49,126 2,460 8,309 1,993 61,888 Renter 2000 15,594 1,724 1,485 416 19,219 2010 16,440 2,042 2,280 573 21,335 2020 16,901 2,232 3,219 740 23,092 2030 16,985 2,348 4,318 958 24,609 2040 16,789 2,354 5,571 1,172 25,886 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 60,492 3,298 2,912 895 67,597 2010 65,465 3,850 5,696 1,633 76,644 2020 68,539 4,401 9,960 2,734 85,634 2030 66,798 4,751 15,971 4,244 91,764 2040 60,166 4,797 24,017 6,162 95,142 Owner 2000 44,898 1,574 1,427 479 48,378 2010 48,615 1,795 3,000 918 54,328 2020 51,101 2,116 5,583 1,626 60,426 2030 49,745 2,336 9,286 2,584 63,951 2040 44,364 2,377 14,470 3,820 65,031 Renter 2000 15,594 1,724 1,485 416 19,219 2010 16,850 2,055 2,696 715 22,316 2020 17,438 2,285 4,377 1,108 25,208 2030 17,053 2,415 6,685 1,660 27,813 2040 15,802 2,420 9,547 2,342 30,111 Central Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 87,777 21,452 15,758 3,887 128,874 2010 96,356 29,888 23,861 6,138 156,243 2020 103,604 39,014 33,731 8,884 185,233 2030 109,372 47,653 45,301 12,211 214,537 2040 111,203 54,415 57,767 15,846 239,231 Owner 2000 58,052 8,287 7,804 1,974 76,117 2010 64,518 12,590 12,406 3,439 92,953 2020 70,977 17,984 18,544 5,268 112,773 2030 75,774 23,437 25,938 7,453 132,602 2040 77,640 27,706 34,249 9,837 149,432 Renter 2000 29,725 13,165 7,954 1,913 52,757 2010 31,838 17,298 11,455 2,699 63,290 2020 32,627 21,030 15,187 3,616 72,460 2030 33,598 24,216 19,363 4,758 81,935 2040 33,563 26,709 23,518 6,009 89,799 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 87,777 21,452 15,758 3,887 128,874 2010 98,116 33,165 27,719 7,628 166,628 2020 104,240 47,075 44,962 13,485 209,762 2030 105,594 61,132 67,875 22,323 256,924 2040 99,980 72,524 95,758 35,014 303,276 Owner 2000 58,052 8,287 7,804 1,974 76,117 2010 65,556 13,801 14,094 4,200 97,651 2020 71,315 21,452 24,305 7,876 124,948 2030 73,260 29,939 38,494 13,519 155,212 2040 70,019 36,922 56,442 21,605 184,988 Renter 2000 29,725 13,165 7,954 1,913 52,757 2010 32,560 19,364 13,625 3,428 68,977 2020 32,925 25,623 20,657 5,609 84,814 2030 32,334 31,193 29,381 8,804 101,712 2040 29,961 35,602 39,316 13,409 118,288 Middle Rio Grande Development Council Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 12,215 343 34,733 423 47,714 2010 12,153 444 41,269 560 54,426 2020 11,951 541 49,249 705 62,446 2030 11,520 604 57,483 868 70,475 2040 10,824 602 65,657 970 78,053 Owner 2000 8,940 134 24,248 230 33,552 2010 8,903 183 29,177 343 38,606 2020 8,734 232 35,069 438 44,473 2030 8,405 288 41,339 560 50,592 2040 7,856 302 47,506 638 56,302 Renter 2000 3,275 209 10,485 193 14,162 2010 3,250 261 12,092 217 15,820 2020 3,217 309 14,180 267 17,973 2030 3,115 316 16,144 308 19,883 2040 2,968 300 18,151 332 21,751 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 12,215 343 34,733 423 47,714 2010 12,442 463 42,368 601 55,874 2020 12,081 583 50,880 844 64,388 2030 10,926 688 58,764 1,150 71,528 2040 9,242 706 64,952 1,554 76,454 Owner 2000 8,940 134 24,248 230 33,552 2010 9,160 188 30,190 366 39,904 2020 8,889 243 36,775 516 46,423 2030 8,020 317 43,026 722 52,085 2040 6,723 334 47,932 997 55,986 Renter 2000 3,275 209 10,485 193 14,162 2010 3,282 275 12,178 235 15,970 2020 3,192 340 14,105 328 17,965 2030 2,906 371 15,738 428 19,443 2040 2,519 372 17,020 557 20,468 ___________________________________ Sources: Derived by the authors from Texas Population Estimates and Projections Program, Projections of the Population of Texas and Counties in Texas by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity for 2000-2040, 2001. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 3, [machine readable data files], 2002a. ______________________________________________________________________