Table 5.17 Percent of Households for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity and by Housing Tenure of Householder in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios ______________________________________________________________________ Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______________________________________________________________________ State of Texas Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 61.4 11.4 24.2 3.0 2010 55.0 11.6 29.6 3.8 2020 49.2 11.6 34.7 4.5 2030 43.7 11.2 40.0 5.1 2040 38.2 10.6 45.5 5.7 Owner 2000 68.1 8.2 21.3 2.4 2010 61.5 8.6 26.5 3.4 2020 55.3 8.8 31.8 4.1 2030 49.2 8.8 37.2 4.8 2040 43.0 8.6 43.0 5.4 Renter 2000 49.7 17.0 29.4 3.9 2010 43.4 17.0 35.1 4.5 2020 38.0 16.7 40.2 5.1 2030 33.2 15.7 45.3 5.8 2040 29.0 14.4 50.4 6.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 61.4 11.4 24.2 3.0 2010 52.7 11.4 31.5 4.4 2020 44.2 11.0 38.8 6.0 2030 36.3 10.2 45.9 7.6 2040 29.0 9.0 52.8 9.2 Owner 2000 68.1 8.2 21.3 2.4 2010 59.4 8.5 28.1 4.0 2020 50.4 8.5 35.5 5.6 2030 41.8 8.1 42.9 7.2 2040 33.4 7.4 50.3 8.9 Renter 2000 49.7 17.0 29.4 3.9 2010 40.8 16.5 37.5 5.2 2020 33.0 15.5 44.8 6.7 2030 26.6 13.8 51.4 8.2 2040 21.1 11.9 57.3 9.7 Panhandle Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 77.7 3.4 17.2 1.7 2010 71.5 3.7 22.6 2.2 2020 65.4 4.0 28.0 2.6 2030 59.6 4.1 33.3 3.0 2040 53.7 4.2 38.8 3.3 Owner 2000 81.7 2.2 14.7 1.4 2010 75.5 2.5 20.0 2.0 2020 69.5 2.7 25.4 2.4 2030 63.4 2.9 30.9 2.8 2040 57.1 3.1 36.6 3.2 Renter 2000 68.8 6.0 22.9 2.3 2010 62.8 6.4 28.2 2.6 2020 56.5 6.8 33.7 3.0 2030 51.1 6.8 38.8 3.3 2040 46.1 6.7 43.7 3.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 77.7 3.4 17.2 1.7 2010 69.7 3.8 24.0 2.5 2020 60.7 4.1 31.8 3.4 2030 51.3 4.2 40.1 4.4 2040 41.4 4.2 49.0 5.4 Owner 2000 81.7 2.2 14.7 1.4 2010 74.1 2.5 21.2 2.2 2020 65.2 2.7 29.0 3.1 2030 55.2 3.0 37.7 4.1 2040 44.6 3.1 47.2 5.1 Renter 2000 68.8 6.0 22.9 2.3 2010 60.5 6.5 30.0 3.0 2020 51.5 6.9 37.7 3.9 2030 42.8 6.9 45.3 5.0 2040 34.5 6.6 52.9 6.0 South Plains Association of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 67.2 5.7 25.7 1.4 2010 60.8 6.1 31.4 1.7 2020 54.7 6.4 36.7 2.2 2030 49.2 6.6 41.6 2.6 2040 44.0 6.6 46.3 3.1 Owner 2000 72.1 3.9 23.0 1.0 2010 65.5 4.1 29.0 1.4 2020 59.0 4.4 34.7 1.9 2030 52.8 4.7 40.1 2.4 2040 46.8 4.9 45.4 2.9 Renter 2000 58.7 8.9 30.4 2.0 2010 52.8 9.6 35.4 2.2 2020 47.1 10.0 40.3 2.6 2030 42.8 9.9 44.2 3.1 2040 38.9 9.8 47.9 3.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 67.2 5.7 25.7 1.4 2010 59.1 6.3 32.6 2.0 2020 50.6 6.8 39.7 2.9 2030 42.5 7.1 46.4 4.0 2040 34.6 7.1 52.9 5.4 Owner 2000 72.1 3.9 23.0 1.0 2010 63.7 4.2 30.4 1.7 2020 54.8 4.6 38.0 2.6 2030 45.6 5.0 45.8 3.6 2040 36.4 5.2 53.4 5.0 Renter 2000 58.7 8.9 30.4 2.0 2010 51.3 9.7 36.4 2.6 2020 43.7 10.4 42.5 3.4 2030 37.5 10.5 47.4 4.6 2040 31.4 10.5 52.0 6.1 NORTEX Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 84.5 6.0 7.7 1.8 2010 80.6 6.5 10.4 2.5 2020 76.4 7.0 13.3 3.3 2030 72.0 7.4 16.6 4.0 2040 67.3 7.9 20.1 4.7 Owner 2000 88.8 3.5 6.3 1.4 2010 85.4 3.8 8.7 2.1 2020 81.3 4.1 11.6 3.0 2030 76.9 4.5 14.8 3.8 2040 71.9 5.0 18.5 4.6 Renter 2000 75.3 11.3 10.9 2.5 2010 70.8 12.2 13.8 3.2 2020 66.3 13.0 16.9 3.8 2030 61.9 13.5 20.1 4.5 2040 57.9 13.8 23.4 4.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 84.5 6.0 7.7 1.8 2010 79.3 6.5 11.3 2.9 2020 72.6 7.1 15.9 4.4 2030 64.5 7.6 21.5 6.4 2040 54.8 8.0 28.3 8.9 Owner 2000 88.8 3.5 6.3 1.4 2010 84.3 3.8 9.4 2.5 2020 78.0 4.2 13.8 4.0 2030 69.9 4.6 19.4 6.1 2040 59.5 5.1 26.6 8.8 Renter 2000 75.3 11.3 10.9 2.5 2010 69.1 12.2 15.0 3.7 2020 61.7 13.0 20.0 5.3 2030 53.8 13.5 25.6 7.1 2040 45.7 13.5 31.7 9.1 North Central Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 67.8 13.7 14.7 3.8 2010 61.2 14.0 20.0 4.8 2020 55.2 14.0 25.2 5.6 2030 49.2 13.6 30.9 6.3 2040 43.2 12.8 37.1 6.9 Owner 2000 76.8 9.5 10.6 3.1 2010 70.0 10.1 15.6 4.3 2020 63.6 10.4 20.8 5.2 2030 57.3 10.5 26.3 5.9 2040 50.6 10.2 32.6 6.6 Renter 2000 54.0 20.2 20.9 4.9 2010 47.0 20.3 27.2 5.5 2020 41.1 19.9 32.7 6.3 2030 35.9 18.6 38.5 7.0 2040 31.1 17.0 44.5 7.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 67.8 13.7 14.7 3.8 2010 58.2 13.7 22.6 5.5 2020 48.7 13.2 30.9 7.2 2030 39.9 12.0 39.4 8.7 2040 31.7 10.5 47.7 10.1 Owner 2000 76.8 9.5 10.6 3.1 2010 67.4 9.9 17.7 5.0 2020 57.5 9.8 25.9 6.8 2030 47.3 9.4 34.8 8.5 2040 37.9 8.4 43.8 9.9 Renter 2000 54.0 20.2 20.9 4.9 2010 43.9 19.6 30.2 6.3 2020 35.4 18.3 38.5 7.8 2030 28.2 16.1 46.5 9.2 2040 22.2 13.8 53.7 10.3 Ark-Tex Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 79.4 15.7 4.0 0.9 2010 76.3 16.7 5.9 1.1 2020 72.9 17.8 8.0 1.3 2030 69.6 18.7 10.3 1.4 2040 66.3 19.4 12.9 1.4 Owner 2000 84.5 11.9 2.9 0.7 2010 81.9 12.6 4.6 0.9 2020 78.6 13.7 6.5 1.2 2030 75.2 14.9 8.6 1.3 2040 71.8 15.9 11.0 1.3 Renter 2000 66.2 25.7 6.8 1.3 2010 62.2 27.3 9.1 1.4 2020 58.7 28.1 11.6 1.6 2030 55.7 28.2 14.4 1.7 2040 53.0 27.8 17.6 1.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 79.4 15.7 4.0 0.9 2010 75.5 16.9 6.4 1.2 2020 70.6 18.1 9.6 1.7 2030 64.7 19.3 13.7 2.3 2040 57.6 20.1 19.3 3.0 Owner 2000 84.5 11.9 2.9 0.7 2010 81.1 12.8 5.1 1.0 2020 76.5 14.1 7.9 1.5 2030 70.7 15.5 11.7 2.1 2040 63.4 16.8 16.9 2.9 Renter 2000 66.2 25.7 6.8 1.3 2010 61.1 27.4 9.9 1.6 2020 56.2 28.1 13.7 2.0 2030 50.8 28.1 18.5 2.6 2040 44.6 27.5 24.7 3.2 East Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 79.2 14.9 5.1 0.8 2010 76.3 14.9 7.8 1.0 2020 72.7 15.0 11.2 1.1 2030 68.4 14.8 15.5 1.3 2040 63.2 14.4 20.9 1.5 Owner 2000 83.5 11.9 3.9 0.7 2010 81.0 11.8 6.3 0.9 2020 77.8 12.0 9.2 1.0 2030 73.6 12.2 13.0 1.2 2040 68.5 12.2 17.9 1.4 Renter 2000 66.9 23.5 8.5 1.1 2010 62.6 23.9 12.2 1.3 2020 58.4 23.4 16.8 1.4 2030 53.9 22.1 22.4 1.6 2040 48.9 20.4 28.9 1.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 79.2 14.9 5.1 0.8 2010 75.5 14.4 9.0 1.1 2020 69.9 13.7 14.8 1.6 2030 61.8 12.7 23.4 2.1 2040 50.8 11.2 35.3 2.7 Owner 2000 83.5 11.9 3.9 0.7 2010 80.4 11.4 7.2 1.0 2020 75.4 11.0 12.2 1.4 2030 67.6 10.5 19.9 2.0 2040 56.7 9.6 31.2 2.5 Renter 2000 66.9 23.5 8.5 1.1 2010 61.4 23.0 14.1 1.5 2020 54.5 21.3 22.1 2.1 2030 46.3 18.5 32.6 2.6 2040 36.2 15.2 45.4 3.2 West Central Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 81.4 3.9 13.6 1.1 2010 76.5 4.6 17.4 1.5 2020 71.7 5.3 21.1 1.9 2030 67.1 5.9 24.6 2.4 2040 62.7 6.3 28.1 2.9 Owner 2000 84.9 2.3 11.9 0.9 2010 80.1 2.8 15.8 1.3 2020 75.3 3.3 19.6 1.8 2030 70.7 3.8 23.2 2.3 2040 66.0 4.3 27.0 2.7 Renter 2000 73.2 7.6 17.6 1.6 2010 68.4 8.7 21.0 1.9 2020 63.1 9.9 24.7 2.3 2030 59.0 10.5 27.7 2.8 2040 55.4 10.7 30.6 3.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 81.4 3.9 13.6 1.1 2010 75.6 4.7 18.0 1.7 2020 69.0 5.7 22.7 2.6 2030 62.0 6.5 27.6 3.9 2040 53.9 7.2 33.3 5.6 Owner 2000 84.9 2.3 11.9 0.9 2010 79.4 2.8 16.3 1.5 2020 73.2 3.4 21.0 2.4 2030 65.8 4.1 26.5 3.6 2040 57.2 4.8 32.8 5.2 Renter 2000 73.2 7.6 17.6 1.6 2010 66.9 9.1 21.7 2.3 2020 59.8 10.7 26.2 3.3 2030 53.3 11.8 30.3 4.6 2040 46.7 12.4 34.4 6.5 Rio Grande Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 25.3 3.2 70.0 1.5 2010 19.0 3.0 76.1 1.9 2020 14.2 2.7 81.0 2.1 2030 10.5 2.4 84.8 2.3 2040 7.6 2.1 87.9 2.4 Owner 2000 27.1 2.1 69.5 1.3 2010 20.4 2.0 75.9 1.7 2020 15.0 1.9 81.1 2.0 2030 11.0 1.7 85.1 2.2 2040 7.8 1.5 88.4 2.3 Renter 2000 22.3 5.0 70.9 1.8 2010 16.8 4.7 76.4 2.1 2020 12.6 4.3 80.8 2.3 2030 9.6 3.8 84.2 2.4 2040 7.4 3.3 86.8 2.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 25.3 3.2 70.0 1.5 2010 16.4 2.8 78.7 2.1 2020 10.2 2.3 84.9 2.6 2030 6.1 1.9 88.8 3.2 2040 3.7 1.5 91.1 3.7 Owner 2000 27.1 2.1 69.5 1.3 2010 17.5 1.9 78.6 2.0 2020 10.8 1.6 85.2 2.4 2030 6.4 1.3 89.3 3.0 2040 3.6 1.0 91.9 3.5 Renter 2000 22.3 5.0 70.9 1.8 2010 14.3 4.4 78.9 2.4 2020 9.1 3.7 84.3 2.9 2030 5.9 3.0 87.6 3.5 2040 3.7 2.5 89.6 4.2 Permian Basin Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 63.1 4.6 31.2 1.1 2010 55.9 4.8 38.0 1.3 2020 48.9 4.9 44.7 1.5 2030 42.4 4.9 51.1 1.6 2040 36.3 4.8 57.3 1.6 Owner 2000 65.6 3.2 30.1 1.1 2010 57.9 3.3 37.5 1.3 2020 50.7 3.3 44.5 1.5 2030 43.7 3.5 51.2 1.6 2040 37.0 3.4 57.9 1.7 Renter 2000 56.6 8.2 33.9 1.3 2010 50.7 8.6 39.3 1.4 2020 44.4 8.9 45.2 1.5 2030 39.0 8.8 50.7 1.5 2040 34.4 8.5 55.6 1.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 63.1 4.6 31.2 1.1 2010 53.1 4.9 40.4 1.6 2020 42.7 5.1 49.9 2.3 2030 33.1 5.1 58.8 3.0 2040 24.3 4.8 67.1 3.8 Owner 2000 65.6 3.2 30.1 1.1 2010 55.2 3.3 39.9 1.6 2020 44.3 3.5 50.0 2.2 2030 33.9 3.6 59.5 3.0 2040 24.5 3.4 68.4 3.7 Renter 2000 56.6 8.2 33.9 1.3 2010 47.8 8.8 41.6 1.8 2020 38.8 9.2 49.6 2.4 2030 30.8 9.0 57.1 3.1 2040 24.0 8.5 63.7 3.8 Concho Valley Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 70.8 3.0 25.1 1.1 2010 64.5 3.2 30.9 1.4 2020 58.5 3.4 36.5 1.6 2030 53.0 3.5 41.8 1.7 2040 47.5 3.5 47.2 1.8 Owner 2000 73.8 1.7 23.5 1.0 2010 67.2 1.9 29.6 1.3 2020 60.7 2.1 35.6 1.6 2030 54.6 2.1 41.6 1.7 2040 48.4 2.2 47.6 1.8 Renter 2000 64.8 5.6 28.2 1.4 2010 59.0 6.0 33.5 1.5 2020 53.7 6.3 38.4 1.6 2030 49.2 6.5 42.5 1.8 2040 45.5 6.4 46.4 1.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 70.8 3.0 25.1 1.1 2010 63.1 3.2 32.0 1.7 2020 54.9 3.4 39.3 2.4 2030 46.4 3.6 46.7 3.3 2040 37.7 3.6 54.2 4.5 Owner 2000 73.8 1.7 23.5 1.0 2010 66.0 1.8 30.7 1.5 2020 57.3 2.0 38.4 2.3 2030 48.0 2.1 46.7 3.2 2040 38.3 2.1 55.3 4.3 Renter 2000 64.8 5.6 28.2 1.4 2010 57.2 6.0 34.9 1.9 2020 49.8 6.4 41.2 2.6 2030 43.1 6.7 46.6 3.6 2040 36.4 6.8 52.0 4.8 Heart of Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 73.6 14.1 11.2 1.1 2010 68.2 14.5 15.9 1.4 2020 62.5 14.7 20.9 1.9 2030 56.6 14.7 26.4 2.3 2040 50.5 14.3 32.5 2.7 Owner 2000 80.1 9.8 9.3 0.8 2010 75.3 9.9 13.6 1.2 2020 69.5 10.2 18.6 1.7 2030 63.2 10.5 24.1 2.2 2040 56.5 10.5 30.4 2.6 Renter 2000 61.3 22.2 14.9 1.6 2010 55.4 22.8 19.9 1.9 2020 49.6 23.1 25.1 2.2 2030 44.4 22.5 30.5 2.6 2040 39.6 21.3 36.3 2.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 73.6 14.1 11.2 1.1 2010 66.1 14.3 17.9 1.7 2020 57.2 14.0 26.3 2.5 2030 47.1 13.4 36.0 3.5 2040 36.4 12.1 46.9 4.6 Owner 2000 80.1 9.8 9.3 0.8 2010 73.6 9.8 15.2 1.4 2020 64.5 9.7 23.5 2.3 2030 53.6 9.6 33.5 3.3 2040 41.6 8.9 45.0 4.5 Renter 2000 61.3 22.2 14.9 1.6 2010 53.0 22.3 22.6 2.1 2020 44.2 21.6 31.3 2.9 2030 35.7 19.9 40.5 3.9 2040 27.7 17.4 50.1 4.8 Capital Area Planning Council Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 70.8 7.2 18.5 3.5 2010 65.6 7.2 23.2 4.0 2020 60.9 7.1 27.5 4.5 2030 56.4 6.8 31.7 5.1 2040 51.6 6.4 36.3 5.7 Owner 2000 77.3 5.6 14.7 2.4 2010 71.9 5.5 19.4 3.2 2020 66.8 5.5 23.8 3.9 2030 61.8 5.5 28.2 4.5 2040 56.6 5.3 33.0 5.1 Renter 2000 61.2 9.7 24.1 5.0 2010 55.2 9.9 29.6 5.3 2020 50.2 9.9 34.1 5.8 2030 45.8 9.3 38.5 6.4 2040 41.8 8.7 42.7 6.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 70.8 7.2 18.5 3.5 2010 63.9 6.8 24.9 4.4 2020 57.1 6.4 31.1 5.4 2030 50.4 5.9 37.0 6.7 2040 43.7 5.4 43.0 7.9 Owner 2000 77.3 5.6 14.7 2.4 2010 70.3 5.3 20.8 3.6 2020 63.1 5.0 27.2 4.7 2030 55.8 4.7 33.5 6.0 2040 48.2 4.4 40.1 7.3 Renter 2000 61.2 9.7 24.1 5.0 2010 53.3 9.4 31.6 5.7 2020 46.3 9.0 38.0 6.7 2030 40.0 8.2 43.7 8.1 2040 34.3 7.5 48.9 9.3 Brazos Valley Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 73.3 12.8 11.1 2.8 2010 70.1 12.7 14.1 3.1 2020 66.5 12.8 17.2 3.5 2030 63.0 12.7 20.3 4.0 2040 59.1 12.6 23.7 4.6 Owner 2000 78.8 11.1 8.8 1.3 2010 75.9 10.5 11.9 1.7 2020 72.3 10.5 15.0 2.2 2030 68.5 10.6 18.3 2.6 2040 64.1 10.8 21.9 3.2 Renter 2000 65.6 15.1 14.3 5.0 2010 61.3 16.0 17.5 5.2 2020 57.4 16.5 20.6 5.5 2030 54.2 16.0 23.6 6.2 2040 51.0 15.5 26.5 7.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 73.3 12.8 11.1 2.8 2010 69.7 12.3 14.8 3.2 2020 65.1 12.0 19.1 3.8 2030 59.9 11.5 24.0 4.6 2040 53.1 11.1 30.0 5.8 Owner 2000 78.8 11.1 8.8 1.3 2010 75.7 10.2 12.3 1.8 2020 71.3 9.8 16.5 2.4 2030 65.7 9.6 21.5 3.2 2040 58.4 9.4 28.0 4.2 Renter 2000 65.6 15.1 14.3 5.0 2010 60.7 15.4 18.6 5.3 2020 55.3 15.5 23.2 6.0 2030 50.0 14.8 28.1 7.1 2040 44.4 13.8 33.3 8.5 Deep East Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 79.2 14.7 5.3 0.8 2010 76.7 14.9 7.5 0.9 2020 73.9 15.1 10.0 1.0 2030 70.6 15.1 13.2 1.1 2040 67.1 14.9 16.9 1.1 Owner 2000 83.5 11.6 4.2 0.7 2010 81.4 11.6 6.1 0.9 2020 78.7 11.9 8.4 1.0 2030 75.5 12.1 11.3 1.1 2040 71.8 12.3 14.8 1.1 Renter 2000 65.2 24.8 8.9 1.1 2010 61.9 25.3 11.7 1.1 2020 58.6 25.1 15.1 1.2 2030 55.9 24.0 18.9 1.2 2040 52.7 22.8 23.4 1.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 79.2 14.7 5.3 0.8 2010 76.5 14.4 8.1 1.0 2020 73.0 13.9 11.8 1.3 2030 67.9 13.3 17.0 1.8 2040 60.9 12.6 24.1 2.4 Owner 2000 83.5 11.6 4.2 0.7 2010 81.3 11.2 6.6 0.9 2020 77.9 11.0 9.9 1.2 2030 72.8 10.8 14.7 1.7 2040 65.9 10.5 21.3 2.3 Renter 2000 65.2 24.8 8.9 1.1 2010 61.4 24.5 12.9 1.2 2020 57.3 23.1 18.0 1.6 2030 52.3 21.2 24.4 2.1 2040 45.8 19.0 32.6 2.6 South East Texas Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 69.8 22.9 5.3 2.0 2010 65.3 24.5 7.2 3.0 2020 60.5 25.8 9.7 4.0 2030 55.2 26.6 13.0 5.2 2040 49.5 26.9 17.2 6.4 Owner 2000 76.8 17.0 4.5 1.7 2010 72.7 18.2 6.4 2.7 2020 67.7 19.6 8.9 3.8 2030 62.3 20.7 12.1 4.9 2040 56.1 21.4 16.3 6.2 Renter 2000 53.2 37.1 7.0 2.7 2010 48.1 39.3 9.0 3.6 2020 43.0 40.7 11.7 4.6 2030 38.6 40.6 15.1 5.7 2040 34.1 39.7 19.3 6.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 69.8 22.9 5.3 2.0 2010 63.0 24.8 8.5 3.7 2020 54.2 26.1 13.7 6.0 2030 44.0 25.7 21.4 8.9 2040 33.0 23.6 31.3 12.1 Owner 2000 76.8 17.0 4.5 1.7 2010 70.5 18.5 7.6 3.4 2020 61.8 19.9 12.6 5.7 2030 50.9 20.2 20.1 8.8 2040 38.6 19.0 30.3 12.1 Renter 2000 53.2 37.1 7.0 2.7 2010 45.6 39.4 10.6 4.4 2020 37.3 39.8 16.3 6.6 2030 29.2 37.5 24.0 9.3 2040 21.5 33.1 33.4 12.0 Houston-Galveston Area Council Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 57.0 17.0 21.2 4.8 2010 49.6 16.9 27.5 6.0 2020 42.9 16.5 33.5 7.1 2030 36.8 15.6 39.7 7.9 2040 30.8 14.4 46.2 8.6 Owner 2000 66.1 12.9 16.6 4.4 2010 58.2 13.4 22.5 5.9 2020 50.9 13.6 28.5 7.0 2030 43.8 13.4 34.8 8.0 2040 36.9 12.8 41.6 8.7 Renter 2000 42.7 23.4 28.4 5.5 2010 35.6 22.5 35.6 6.3 2020 30.0 21.3 41.6 7.1 2030 25.1 19.3 47.8 7.8 2040 20.9 17.1 53.7 8.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 57.0 17.0 21.2 4.8 2010 45.8 16.4 30.7 7.1 2020 35.5 15.2 40.0 9.3 2030 26.8 13.3 48.5 11.4 2040 19.6 11.2 56.0 13.2 Owner 2000 66.1 12.9 16.6 4.4 2010 54.7 13.4 24.9 7.0 2020 43.1 13.1 34.3 9.5 2030 32.8 12.1 43.3 11.8 2040 24.1 10.5 51.5 13.9 Renter 2000 42.7 23.4 28.4 5.5 2010 31.9 21.2 39.6 7.3 2020 23.7 18.4 48.9 9.0 2030 17.4 15.3 56.6 10.7 2040 12.7 12.1 63.0 12.2 Golden Crescent Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 65.1 6.7 27.1 1.1 2010 59.5 6.8 32.4 1.3 2020 54.2 6.9 37.5 1.4 2030 49.0 6.7 42.8 1.5 2040 43.8 6.5 48.2 1.5 Owner 2000 71.7 5.1 22.3 0.9 2010 66.1 5.3 27.5 1.1 2020 60.7 5.3 32.7 1.3 2030 55.1 5.3 38.2 1.4 2040 49.2 5.3 44.1 1.4 Renter 2000 48.8 10.6 39.0 1.6 2010 43.9 10.5 44.0 1.6 2020 39.1 10.4 48.7 1.8 2030 34.9 9.9 53.3 1.9 2040 31.7 9.2 57.4 1.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 65.1 6.7 27.1 1.1 2010 58.1 6.8 33.6 1.5 2020 50.5 6.9 40.5 2.1 2030 42.6 6.7 47.7 3.0 2040 34.2 6.5 55.2 4.1 Owner 2000 71.7 5.1 22.3 0.9 2010 64.9 5.2 28.6 1.3 2020 57.2 5.3 35.6 1.9 2030 48.5 5.3 43.4 2.8 2040 39.1 5.2 51.8 3.9 Renter 2000 48.8 10.6 39.0 1.6 2010 42.0 10.5 45.5 2.0 2020 35.5 10.4 51.5 2.6 2030 29.4 9.9 57.2 3.5 2040 23.9 9.3 62.4 4.4 Alamo Area Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 50.4 6.1 41.6 1.9 2010 45.3 6.3 45.9 2.5 2020 41.0 6.4 49.5 3.1 2030 37.2 6.2 52.9 3.7 2040 33.4 6.0 56.2 4.4 Owner 2000 55.6 4.5 38.3 1.6 2010 49.9 4.7 43.1 2.3 2020 45.2 4.8 47.1 2.9 2030 40.6 4.9 51.0 3.5 2040 36.3 4.8 54.7 4.2 Renter 2000 40.8 9.1 47.7 2.4 2010 36.2 9.4 51.5 2.9 2020 32.5 9.5 54.5 3.5 2030 29.5 9.2 57.2 4.1 2040 27.1 8.8 59.4 4.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 50.4 6.1 41.6 1.9 2010 44.8 6.2 46.0 3.0 2020 40.0 6.2 49.3 4.5 2030 35.7 5.9 51.9 6.5 2040 31.3 5.6 53.8 9.3 Owner 2000 55.6 4.5 38.3 1.6 2010 49.6 4.6 43.1 2.7 2020 44.4 4.6 46.9 4.1 2030 39.6 4.4 50.0 6.0 2040 34.5 4.2 52.7 8.6 Renter 2000 40.8 9.1 47.7 2.4 2010 35.3 9.4 51.7 3.6 2020 30.7 9.5 54.4 5.4 2030 27.2 9.2 55.9 7.7 2040 24.1 8.7 56.4 10.8 South Texas Development Council Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 7.2 0.2 92.1 0.5 2010 5.8 0.2 93.3 0.7 2020 4.8 0.1 94.4 0.7 2030 3.8 0.1 95.4 0.7 2040 2.9 0.1 96.3 0.7 Owner 2000 7.0 0.1 92.6 0.3 2010 5.6 0.1 93.9 0.4 2020 4.4 0.1 95.0 0.5 2030 3.6 0.1 95.9 0.4 2040 2.8 0.1 96.7 0.4 Renter 2000 7.6 0.4 91.0 1.0 2010 6.4 0.3 92.0 1.3 2020 5.5 0.3 92.9 1.3 2030 4.4 0.3 94.1 1.2 2040 3.4 0.2 95.2 1.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 7.2 0.2 92.1 0.5 2010 5.5 0.1 93.7 0.7 2020 4.1 0.1 95.0 0.8 2030 3.0 0.1 96.0 0.9 2040 2.0 0.1 96.9 1.0 Owner 2000 7.0 0.1 92.6 0.3 2010 5.2 0.1 94.2 0.5 2020 3.7 0.1 95.7 0.5 2030 2.7 0.1 96.6 0.6 2040 1.9 0.1 97.3 0.7 Renter 2000 7.6 0.4 91.0 1.0 2010 6.1 0.3 92.3 1.3 2020 4.8 0.3 93.5 1.4 2030 3.8 0.2 94.5 1.5 2040 2.6 0.1 95.7 1.6 Coastal Bend Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 46.4 3.3 48.8 1.5 2010 41.5 3.3 53.3 1.9 2020 36.6 3.4 57.7 2.3 2030 32.1 3.3 61.9 2.7 2040 27.9 3.2 65.9 3.0 Owner 2000 50.1 2.2 46.5 1.2 2010 44.7 2.2 51.3 1.8 2020 39.8 2.2 55.8 2.2 2030 34.7 2.3 60.4 2.6 2040 29.9 2.2 65.0 2.9 Renter 2000 39.7 5.4 53.0 1.9 2010 35.2 5.5 57.1 2.2 2020 30.6 5.6 61.2 2.6 2030 27.0 5.3 64.8 2.9 2040 23.9 5.0 67.9 3.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 46.4 3.3 48.8 1.5 2010 40.0 3.3 54.4 2.3 2020 33.4 3.4 59.9 3.3 2030 27.1 3.4 64.8 4.7 2040 21.3 3.2 69.1 6.4 Owner 2000 50.1 2.2 46.5 1.2 2010 43.6 2.2 52.1 2.1 2020 36.8 2.2 57.9 3.1 2030 29.9 2.3 63.3 4.5 2040 23.2 2.2 68.4 6.2 Renter 2000 39.7 5.4 53.0 1.9 2010 33.2 5.5 58.6 2.7 2020 27.0 5.6 63.7 3.7 2030 21.9 5.5 67.5 5.1 2040 17.6 5.2 70.4 6.8 Lower Rio Grande Valley Development Council Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 19.7 0.3 79.2 0.8 2010 14.3 0.3 84.5 0.9 2020 10.2 0.3 88.5 1.0 2030 7.4 0.2 91.3 1.1 2040 5.3 0.2 93.3 1.2 Owner 2000 22.3 0.2 76.9 0.6 2010 15.9 0.2 83.1 0.8 2020 11.1 0.2 87.8 0.9 2030 7.9 0.1 91.0 1.0 2040 5.6 0.1 93.2 1.1 Renter 2000 13.6 0.6 84.7 1.1 2010 10.3 0.6 87.9 1.2 2020 7.8 0.5 90.4 1.3 2030 5.7 0.5 92.4 1.4 2040 4.4 0.4 93.7 1.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 19.7 0.3 79.2 0.8 2010 13.6 0.3 85.1 1.0 2020 9.1 0.2 89.4 1.3 2030 5.8 0.2 92.3 1.7 2040 3.6 0.2 94.2 2.0 Owner 2000 22.3 0.2 76.9 0.6 2010 15.1 0.2 83.8 0.9 2020 10.0 0.1 88.8 1.1 2030 6.4 0.1 92.1 1.4 2040 3.8 0.1 94.3 1.8 Renter 2000 13.6 0.6 84.7 1.1 2010 9.5 0.6 88.5 1.4 2020 6.6 0.5 91.1 1.8 2030 4.5 0.4 92.8 2.3 2040 2.9 0.4 93.9 2.8 Texoma Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 89.5 4.9 4.3 1.3 2010 86.5 5.2 6.5 1.8 2020 83.2 5.4 9.1 2.3 2030 79.6 5.5 12.0 2.9 2040 75.1 5.5 15.8 3.6 Owner 2000 92.8 3.3 2.9 1.0 2010 90.3 3.4 4.9 1.4 2020 87.4 3.6 7.1 1.9 2030 83.8 3.9 9.8 2.5 2040 79.4 4.0 13.4 3.2 Renter 2000 81.1 9.0 7.7 2.2 2010 77.0 9.6 10.7 2.7 2020 73.2 9.7 13.9 3.2 2030 69.1 9.5 17.5 3.9 2040 64.9 9.1 21.5 4.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 89.5 4.9 4.3 1.3 2010 85.5 5.0 7.4 2.1 2020 80.1 5.1 11.6 3.2 2030 72.8 5.2 17.4 4.6 2040 63.3 5.0 25.2 6.5 Owner 2000 92.8 3.3 2.9 1.0 2010 89.5 3.3 5.5 1.7 2020 84.6 3.5 9.2 2.7 2030 77.8 3.7 14.5 4.0 2040 68.1 3.7 22.3 5.9 Renter 2000 81.1 9.0 7.7 2.2 2010 75.5 9.2 12.1 3.2 2020 69.1 9.1 17.4 4.4 2030 61.3 8.7 24.0 6.0 2040 52.5 8.0 31.7 7.8 Central Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 68.2 16.6 12.2 3.0 2010 61.7 19.1 15.3 3.9 2020 55.9 21.1 18.2 4.8 2030 51.0 22.2 21.1 5.7 2040 46.6 22.7 24.1 6.6 Owner 2000 76.2 10.9 10.3 2.6 2010 69.5 13.5 13.3 3.7 2020 63.0 15.9 16.4 4.7 2030 57.1 17.7 19.6 5.6 2040 52.0 18.5 22.9 6.6 Renter 2000 56.3 25.0 15.1 3.6 2010 50.3 27.3 18.1 4.3 2020 45.0 29.0 21.0 5.0 2030 41.0 29.6 23.6 5.8 2040 37.4 29.7 26.2 6.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 68.2 16.6 12.2 3.0 2010 58.9 19.9 16.6 4.6 2020 49.8 22.4 21.4 6.4 2030 41.1 23.8 26.4 8.7 2040 33.0 23.9 31.6 11.5 Owner 2000 76.2 10.9 10.3 2.6 2010 67.2 14.1 14.4 4.3 2020 57.0 17.2 19.5 6.3 2030 47.2 19.3 24.8 8.7 2040 37.8 20.0 30.5 11.7 Renter 2000 56.3 25.0 15.1 3.6 2010 47.1 28.1 19.8 5.0 2020 38.8 30.2 24.4 6.6 2030 31.7 30.7 28.9 8.7 2040 25.4 30.1 33.2 11.3 Middle Rio Grande Development Council Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total 2000 25.6 0.7 72.8 0.9 2010 22.4 0.8 75.8 1.0 2020 19.1 0.9 78.9 1.1 2030 16.3 0.9 81.6 1.2 2040 13.9 0.8 84.1 1.2 Owner 2000 26.6 0.4 72.3 0.7 2010 23.0 0.5 75.6 0.9 2020 19.6 0.5 78.9 1.0 2030 16.6 0.6 81.7 1.1 2040 14.0 0.5 84.4 1.1 Renter 2000 23.1 1.5 74.0 1.4 2010 20.6 1.6 76.4 1.4 2020 17.9 1.7 78.9 1.5 2030 15.7 1.6 81.2 1.5 2040 13.7 1.4 83.4 1.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total 2000 25.6 0.7 72.8 0.9 2010 22.3 0.8 75.8 1.1 2020 18.8 0.9 79.0 1.3 2030 15.2 1.0 82.2 1.6 2040 12.1 0.9 85.0 2.0 Owner 2000 26.6 0.4 72.3 0.7 2010 22.9 0.5 75.7 0.9 2020 19.2 0.5 79.2 1.1 2030 15.4 0.6 82.6 1.4 2040 12.0 0.6 85.6 1.8 Renter 2000 23.1 1.5 74.0 1.4 2010 20.5 1.7 76.3 1.5 2020 17.8 1.9 78.5 1.8 2030 15.0 1.9 80.9 2.2 2040 12.3 1.8 83.2 2.7 ___________________________________ Sources: Derived by the authors from Texas Population Estimates and Projections Program, Projections of the Population of Texas and Counties in Texas by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity for 2000-2040, 2001. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 3, [machine readable data files], 2002a. ______________________________________________________________________