Table 5.31 Number of Nursing Home Residents and Total Monthly Costs for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Age of Resident in 2000 and Projections for 2010 and 2040 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 1990-2000 Rates of Net Migration (1.0 Scenario) ______________________________________________________________________ Age of Number Total Patient of Residents Costs* ______________________________________________________________________ State of Texas 2000 0-64 12,394 34,748,450 65-74 12,041 33,758,760 75-84 24,674 69,177,287 85+ 32,228 90,356,063 Total 81,337 228,040,560 2010 0-64 15,378 43,114,542 65-74 15,583 43,689,294 75-84 29,703 83,276,850 85+ 40,411 113,298,343 Total 101,075 283,379,029 2040 0-64 28,109 78,807,821 65-74 44,928 125,962,438 75-84 101,743 285,251,865 85+ 134,491 377,065,828 Total 309,271 867,087,952 Panhandle Regional Planning Commission 2000 0-64 233 653,250 65-74 298 835,488 75-84 640 1,794,338 85+ 908 2,545,714 Total 2,079 5,828,790 2010 0-64 261 731,751 65-74 321 899,972 75-84 706 1,979,378 85+ 984 2,758,793 Total 2,272 6,369,894 2040 0-64 327 916,792 65-74 513 1,438,275 75-84 1,336 3,745,679 85+ 1,911 5,357,778 Total 4,087 11,458,524 South Plains Association of Governments 2000 0-64 219 614,001 65-74 261 731,753 75-84 553 1,550,419 85+ 781 2,189,650 Total 1,814 5,085,823 2010 0-64 231 647,644 65-74 276 773,810 75-84 613 1,718,639 85+ 854 2,394,320 Total 1,974 5,534,413 2040 0-64 221 619,609 65-74 324 908,384 75-84 939 2,632,628 85+ 1,431 4,012,024 Total 2,915 8,172,645 NORTEX Regional Planning Commission 2000 0-64 124 347,652 65-74 186 521,478 75-84 406 1,138,280 85+ 597 1,673,779 Total 1,313 3,681,189 2010 0-64 127 356,064 65-74 197 552,318 75-84 443 1,242,017 85+ 620 1,738,264 Total 1,387 3,888,663 2040 0-64 132 370,082 65-74 200 560,730 75-84 668 1,872,838 85+ 1,037 2,907,388 Total 2,037 5,711,038 North Central Texas Council of Governments 2000 0-64 3,224 9,038,972 65-74 2,506 7,025,949 75-84 5,051 14,161,241 85+ 6,489 18,192,891 Total 17,270 48,419,053 2010 0-64 4,215 11,817,389 65-74 3,562 9,986,605 75-84 6,171 17,301,329 85+ 8,623 24,175,881 Total 22,571 63,281,204 2040 0-64 9,647 27,046,821 65-74 15,072 42,256,628 75-84 29,269 82,060,062 85+ 35,118 98,458,616 Total 89,106 249,822,127 Ark-Tex Council of Governments 2000 0-64 151 423,351 65-74 221 619,608 75-84 522 1,463,506 85+ 784 2,198,063 Total 1,678 4,704,528 2010 0-64 159 445,779 65-74 259 726,145 75-84 514 1,441,077 85+ 793 2,223,295 Total 1,725 4,836,296 2040 0-64 134 375,688 65-74 281 787,826 75-84 822 2,304,602 85+ 1,258 3,526,993 Total 2,495 6,995,109 East Texas Council of Governments 2000 0-64 419 1,174,730 65-74 633 1,774,711 75-84 1,340 3,756,892 85+ 1,874 5,254,043 Total 4,266 11,960,376 2010 0-64 471 1,320,519 65-74 819 2,296,188 75-84 1,544 4,328,836 85+ 2,031 5,694,215 Total 4,865 13,639,758 2040 0-64 685 1,920,502 65-74 1,215 3,406,437 75-84 3,418 9,582,878 85+ 4,567 12,804,272 Total 9,885 27,714,089 West Central Texas Council of Governments 2000 0-64 178 499,050 65-74 280 785,022 75-84 635 1,780,320 85+ 975 2,733,560 Total 2,068 5,797,952 2010 0-64 189 529,891 65-74 296 829,881 75-84 656 1,839,196 85+ 945 2,649,451 Total 2,086 5,848,419 2040 0-64 170 476,620 65-74 277 776,611 75-84 919 2,576,554 85+ 1,408 3,947,543 Total 2,774 7,777,328 Rio Grande Council of Governments 2000 0-64 420 1,177,533 65-74 431 1,208,373 75-84 788 2,209,277 85+ 897 2,514,875 Total 2,536 7,110,058 2010 0-64 503 1,410,236 65-74 491 1,376,593 75-84 1,093 3,064,390 85+ 1,289 3,613,906 Total 3,376 9,465,125 2040 0-64 704 1,973,770 65-74 1,044 2,927,012 75-84 2,874 8,057,693 85+ 4,027 11,290,304 Total 8,649 24,248,779 Permian Basin Regional Planning Commission 2000 0-64 216 605,588 65-74 268 751,380 75-84 524 1,469,113 85+ 649 1,819,569 Total 1,657 4,645,650 2010 0-64 227 636,428 65-74 272 762,595 75-84 618 1,732,657 85+ 824 2,310,208 Total 1,941 5,441,888 2040 0-64 231 647,643 65-74 372 1,042,958 75-84 1,109 3,109,250 85+ 1,685 4,724,151 Total 3,397 9,524,002 Concho Valley Council of Governments 2000 0-64 82 229,897 65-74 119 333,633 75-84 267 748,575 85+ 398 1,115,854 Total 866 2,427,959 2010 0-64 89 249,523 65-74 138 386,906 75-84 306 857,917 85+ 433 1,213,981 Total 966 2,708,327 2040 0-64 90 252,327 65-74 149 417,745 75-84 498 1,396,218 85+ 811 2,273,763 Total 1,548 4,340,053 Heart of Texas Council of Governments 2000 0-64 181 507,462 65-74 249 698,109 75-84 582 1,631,726 85+ 879 2,464,408 Total 1,891 5,301,705 2010 0-64 205 574,749 65-74 273 765,397 75-84 591 1,656,957 85+ 931 2,610,200 Total 2,000 5,607,303 2040 0-64 288 807,451 65-74 342 958,849 75-84 991 2,778,418 85+ 1,534 4,300,801 Total 3,155 8,845,519 Capital Area Planning Council 2000 0-64 816 2,287,780 65-74 631 1,769,104 75-84 1,319 3,698,015 85+ 1,876 5,259,650 Total 4,642 13,014,549 2010 0-64 1,145 3,210,180 65-74 1,002 2,809,257 75-84 1,820 5,102,646 85+ 2,584 7,244,634 Total 6,551 18,366,717 2040 0-64 2,585 7,247,439 65-74 4,847 13,589,298 75-84 11,425 32,031,713 85+ 16,330 45,783,620 Total 35,187 98,652,070 Brazos Valley Council of Governments 2000 0-64 157 440,172 65-74 162 454,191 75-84 342 958,847 85+ 540 1,513,971 Total 1,201 3,367,181 2010 0-64 186 521,480 65-74 213 597,178 75-84 389 1,090,619 85+ 558 1,564,438 Total 1,346 3,773,715 2040 0-64 229 642,037 65-74 381 1,068,193 75-84 1,073 3,008,317 85+ 1,422 3,986,792 Total 3,105 8,705,339 Deep East Texas Council of Governments 2000 0-64 197 552,319 65-74 324 908,381 75-84 650 1,822,373 85+ 894 2,506,463 Total 2,065 5,789,536 2010 0-64 224 628,016 65-74 405 1,135,478 75-84 740 2,074,701 85+ 947 2,655,058 Total 2,316 6,493,253 2040 0-64 269 754,181 65-74 577 1,617,705 75-84 1,514 4,244,728 85+ 1,958 5,489,548 Total 4,318 12,106,162 South East Texas Regional Planning Commission 2000 0-64 221 619,607 65-74 290 813,059 75-84 631 1,769,103 85+ 770 2,158,812 Total 1,912 5,360,581 2010 0-64 234 656,054 65-74 296 829,881 75-84 671 1,881,250 85+ 877 2,458,802 Total 2,078 5,825,987 2040 0-64 310 869,132 65-74 428 1,199,962 75-84 1,148 3,218,592 85+ 1,543 4,326,033 Total 3,429 9,613,719 Houston-Galveston Area Council 2000 0-64 2,955 8,284,787 65-74 2,340 6,560,543 75-84 4,378 12,274,386 85+ 5,241 14,693,936 Total 14,914 41,813,652 2010 0-64 3,714 10,412,760 65-74 3,265 9,153,920 75-84 5,579 15,641,570 85+ 7,052 19,771,348 Total 19,610 54,979,598 2040 0-64 7,259 20,351,702 65-74 10,784 30,234,572 75-84 23,735 66,544,657 85+ 30,921 86,691,692 Total 72,699 203,822,623 Golden Crescent Regional Planning Commission 2000 0-64 104 291,581 65-74 150 420,546 75-84 335 939,223 85+ 492 1,379,395 Total 1,081 3,030,745 2010 0-64 114 319,617 65-74 162 454,190 75-84 353 989,689 85+ 529 1,483,132 Total 1,158 3,246,628 2040 0-64 127 356,063 65-74 203 569,141 75-84 607 1,701,816 85+ 935 2,621,413 Total 1,872 5,248,433 Alamo Area Council of Governments 2000 0-64 1,058 2,966,263 65-74 1,161 3,255,039 75-84 2,543 7,129,684 85+ 3,180 8,915,609 Total 7,942 22,266,595 2010 0-64 1,252 3,510,172 65-74 1,475 4,135,385 75-84 2,925 8,200,681 85+ 4,064 11,394,038 Total 9,716 27,240,276 2040 0-64 1,661 4,656,865 65-74 3,279 9,193,173 75-84 8,614 24,150,650 85+ 10,842 30,397,183 Total 24,396 68,397,871 South Texas Development Council 2000 0-64 160 448,584 65-74 130 364,475 75-84 246 689,698 85+ 316 885,954 Total 852 2,388,711 2010 0-64 225 630,822 65-74 171 479,425 75-84 327 916,794 85+ 420 1,177,534 Total 1,143 3,204,575 2040 0-64 458 1,284,072 65-74 558 1,564,437 75-84 1,142 3,201,769 85+ 1,402 3,930,719 Total 3,560 9,980,997 Coastal Bend Council of Governments 2000 0-64 319 894,365 65-74 381 1,068,191 75-84 767 2,150,400 85+ 956 2,680,291 Total 2,423 6,793,247 2010 0-64 370 1,037,352 65-74 433 1,213,981 75-84 884 2,478,428 85+ 1,155 3,238,215 Total 2,842 7,967,976 2040 0-64 486 1,362,574 65-74 691 1,937,322 75-84 1,834 5,141,895 85+ 2,491 6,983,895 Total 5,502 15,425,686 Lower Rio Grande Valley Development Council 2000 0-64 547 1,533,598 65-74 565 1,584,063 75-84 1,163 3,260,647 85+ 1,303 3,653,158 Total 3,578 10,031,466 2010 0-64 749 2,099,934 65-74 707 1,982,182 75-84 1,660 4,654,062 85+ 2,294 6,431,575 Total 5,410 15,167,753 2040 0-64 1,435 4,023,238 65-74 2,312 6,482,041 75-84 5,293 14,839,725 85+ 8,466 23,735,710 Total 17,506 49,080,714 Texoma Council of Governments 2000 0-64 100 280,365 65-74 145 406,530 75-84 342 958,849 85+ 499 1,399,022 Total 1,086 3,044,766 2010 0-64 110 308,401 65-74 175 490,638 75-84 354 992,492 85+ 549 1,539,204 Total 1,188 3,330,735 2040 0-64 125 350,457 65-74 231 647,644 75-84 701 1,965,360 85+ 1,011 2,834,491 Total 2,068 5,797,952 Central Texas Council of Governments 2000 0-64 222 622,411 65-74 203 569,142 75-84 436 1,222,392 85+ 667 1,870,035 Total 1,528 4,283,980 2010 0-64 273 765,398 65-74 251 703,716 75-84 496 1,390,612 85+ 738 2,069,094 Total 1,758 4,928,820 2040 0-64 418 1,171,926 65-74 643 1,802,747 75-84 1,340 3,756,891 85+ 1,739 4,875,549 Total 4,140 11,607,113 Middle Rio Grande Development Council 2000 0-64 91 255,132 65-74 107 299,992 75-84 214 599,983 85+ 263 737,361 Total 675 1,892,468 2010 0-64 105 294,383 65-74 124 347,653 75-84 250 700,913 85+ 317 888,757 Total 796 2,231,706 2040 0-64 118 330,830 65-74 205 574,748 75-84 474 1,328,932 85+ 644 1,805,550 Total 1,441 4,040,060 ___________________________________ Sources: Derived by the authors from Texas Population Estimates and Projections Program, Projections of the Population of Texas and Counties in Texas by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity for 2000-2040, 2001. National Center for Health Statistics, National Nursing Home Survey 1999, [online], 2002b. Texas Health and Human Services Commission, Nursing Facility Program, 1999. Rate Analysis for Long-Term Care Services [online], 2002. *Total costs in constant 2000 dollars. ______________________________________________________________________