Table 6.3 Civilian Labor Force for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity of Householder in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios ________________________________________________________________________________________ Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total ________________________________________________________________________________________ State of Texas All Scenarios 2000 5,741,765 1,053,552 2,700,075 335,167 9,830,559 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 5,811,724 1,198,932 3,298,073 368,436 10,677,165 2020 5,559,312 1,259,250 3,831,918 370,692 11,021,172 2030 5,279,065 1,252,736 4,260,825 358,061 11,150,687 2040 5,058,191 1,233,430 4,616,453 342,043 11,250,117 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 5,923,856 1,257,844 3,803,488 464,118 11,449,306 2020 5,774,312 1,389,297 5,047,718 583,281 12,794,608 2030 5,584,578 1,454,344 6,433,953 696,647 14,169,522 2040 5,441,430 1,508,040 7,927,467 811,942 15,688,879 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 6,038,211 1,319,679 4,392,161 581,844 12,331,895 2020 5,997,764 1,532,682 6,691,490 911,887 15,133,823 2030 5,907,902 1,687,921 9,764,451 1,344,888 18,705,162 2040 5,853,781 1,842,923 13,661,252 1,912,166 23,270,122 Panhandle Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 140,646 5,935 37,442 3,574 187,597 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 138,304 9,350 47,796 3,867 199,317 2020 132,820 10,249 57,169 3,925 204,163 2030 130,641 10,500 64,856 3,898 209,895 2040 128,919 10,775 71,848 3,678 215,220 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 139,443 9,464 52,412 4,472 205,791 2020 133,083 10,623 68,609 5,259 217,574 2030 128,227 11,110 85,248 5,993 230,578 2040 122,411 11,688 102,421 6,449 242,969 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 138,855 9,832 57,934 5,330 211,951 2020 127,922 11,324 83,422 7,393 230,061 2030 115,509 11,937 113,653 10,063 251,162 2040 100,662 12,456 147,827 12,818 273,763 South Plains Association of Governments All Scenarios 2000 114,438 9,715 52,228 2,680 179,061 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 113,833 11,432 62,073 2,816 190,154 2020 108,867 12,264 71,174 2,897 195,202 2030 106,170 12,501 79,447 2,893 201,011 2040 102,287 12,558 86,108 2,825 203,778 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 110,445 11,631 65,174 3,242 190,492 2020 100,462 12,621 77,512 3,940 194,535 2030 93,149 13,015 89,382 4,572 200,118 2040 85,465 13,227 98,898 5,084 202,674 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 105,979 11,842 67,796 3,746 189,363 2020 88,518 12,937 81,987 5,154 188,596 2030 74,082 13,234 94,670 6,808 188,794 2040 60,731 13,104 102,451 8,662 184,948 NORTEX Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 83,281 5,291 9,770 1,905 100,247 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 86,477 7,974 12,849 2,341 109,641 2020 83,466 8,655 15,155 2,407 109,683 2030 82,024 9,030 17,202 2,388 110,644 2040 80,844 9,326 19,085 2,199 111,454 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 85,603 8,088 13,923 2,790 110,404 2020 80,570 8,895 17,839 3,441 110,745 2030 76,695 9,414 22,075 4,033 112,217 2040 72,907 9,831 26,520 4,280 113,538 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 83,221 8,163 15,405 3,273 110,062 2020 73,558 9,009 21,740 4,756 109,063 2030 64,113 9,451 29,209 6,654 109,427 2040 55,025 9,554 37,487 8,255 110,321 North Central Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 1,790,402 347,844 491,752 117,245 2,747,243 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 1,823,382 383,544 597,826 132,537 2,937,289 2020 1,765,113 405,761 722,402 135,770 3,029,046 2030 1,654,148 400,385 798,430 130,552 2,983,515 2040 1,562,734 391,087 860,199 124,577 2,938,597 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 1,884,003 409,752 747,012 168,082 3,208,849 2020 1,905,298 466,878 1,107,666 217,102 3,696,944 2030 1,880,809 500,042 1,511,595 262,745 4,155,191 2040 1,867,077 528,410 1,987,372 309,989 4,692,848 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 1,959,051 437,447 928,554 210,784 3,535,836 2020 2,097,504 537,921 1,680,093 340,086 4,655,604 2030 2,211,562 630,838 2,784,845 513,049 6,140,294 2040 2,322,117 731,196 4,373,339 745,304 8,171,956 Ark-Tex Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 93,796 16,559 6,680 1,208 118,243 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 93,910 20,210 10,391 1,415 125,926 2020 89,742 21,221 12,413 1,455 124,831 2030 87,262 21,329 13,355 1,452 123,398 2040 85,253 21,016 13,956 1,388 121,613 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 93,202 20,492 11,468 1,430 126,592 2020 87,004 21,608 15,045 1,494 125,151 2030 81,650 21,768 17,700 1,507 122,625 2040 76,685 21,505 19,829 1,447 119,466 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 91,151 20,718 12,953 1,689 126,511 2020 80,139 21,535 18,791 2,107 122,572 2030 68,609 21,080 23,989 2,565 116,243 2040 57,856 20,019 28,746 2,964 109,585 East Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 256,377 46,473 23,681 2,986 329,517 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 261,460 55,255 33,499 3,542 353,756 2020 248,335 57,039 40,934 3,578 349,886 2030 240,795 57,178 46,541 3,621 348,135 2040 235,304 56,892 51,776 3,579 347,551 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 269,899 56,199 40,709 3,937 370,744 2020 260,376 58,524 61,173 4,462 384,535 2030 251,777 59,050 85,373 5,137 401,337 2040 244,462 59,277 117,091 5,836 426,666 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 275,852 56,551 49,792 4,994 387,189 2020 263,655 58,260 91,840 7,136 420,891 2030 243,669 57,255 154,945 10,311 466,180 2040 222,315 55,295 254,789 14,496 546,895 West Central Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 113,054 5,558 23,389 1,871 143,872 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 118,520 8,905 29,810 1,979 159,214 2020 114,320 9,663 34,319 2,081 160,383 2030 113,310 9,862 38,717 2,090 163,979 2040 110,971 9,913 42,385 1,984 165,253 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 117,246 9,127 31,114 2,301 159,788 2020 109,354 10,166 37,002 2,852 159,374 2030 104,130 10,689 43,170 3,380 161,369 2040 98,389 11,061 48,681 3,723 161,854 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 114,075 9,443 32,599 2,702 158,819 2020 99,116 10,679 39,804 4,063 153,662 2030 85,737 11,286 46,942 5,659 149,624 2040 72,636 11,494 52,660 7,204 143,994 Rio Grande Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 56,506 7,262 207,998 5,184 276,950 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 60,321 9,712 259,290 5,477 334,800 2020 56,381 10,545 290,779 5,745 363,450 2030 53,634 10,662 324,706 5,659 394,661 2040 52,291 10,824 357,646 5,548 426,309 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 53,406 9,554 281,706 6,541 351,207 2020 43,572 10,152 335,184 8,097 397,005 2030 35,948 10,006 392,503 9,437 447,894 2040 30,432 9,920 450,308 10,740 501,400 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 46,625 9,140 304,385 7,689 367,839 2020 32,263 9,162 379,019 11,086 431,530 2030 22,368 8,492 450,902 15,074 496,836 2040 15,975 7,826 516,679 19,654 560,134 Permian Basin Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 98,124 6,937 56,264 1,880 163,205 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 99,927 8,667 73,831 2,028 184,453 2020 93,936 9,143 84,421 1,993 189,493 2030 91,875 9,366 95,419 2,019 198,679 2040 91,771 9,563 105,335 1,980 208,649 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 93,525 8,653 77,899 2,103 182,180 2020 81,270 9,040 92,978 2,154 185,442 2030 73,139 9,193 109,073 2,310 193,715 2040 66,966 9,271 124,168 2,346 202,751 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 85,240 8,652 81,470 2,683 178,045 2020 65,485 8,873 99,636 3,431 177,425 2030 50,935 8,737 117,664 4,513 181,849 2040 39,881 8,380 132,731 5,765 186,757 Concho Valley Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 45,376 2,036 19,954 768 68,134 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 45,993 2,383 23,030 885 72,291 2020 43,501 2,564 25,783 913 72,761 2030 42,291 2,639 28,455 919 74,304 2040 41,233 2,686 30,507 890 75,316 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 45,050 2,404 24,568 933 72,955 2020 40,889 2,589 28,961 1,033 73,472 2030 37,806 2,679 33,529 1,070 75,084 2040 35,096 2,722 37,354 1,035 76,207 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 43,799 2,439 26,302 1,201 73,741 2020 37,231 2,672 32,348 1,700 73,951 2030 31,347 2,817 38,557 2,357 75,078 2040 26,245 2,845 43,239 3,032 75,361 Heart of Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 105,259 18,256 21,263 1,770 146,548 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 106,742 21,409 26,216 2,101 156,468 2020 101,387 22,772 31,097 2,228 157,484 2030 98,628 23,355 35,021 2,222 159,226 2040 94,572 23,264 37,911 2,085 157,832 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 107,291 21,941 31,162 2,551 162,945 2020 100,538 23,696 43,483 3,338 171,055 2030 95,707 24,745 57,452 4,059 181,963 2040 89,934 25,023 72,828 4,529 192,314 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 106,412 22,413 37,404 3,094 169,323 2020 95,224 24,252 61,262 4,856 185,594 2030 83,951 25,030 92,134 7,196 208,311 2040 72,386 24,602 129,567 9,703 236,258 Capital Area Planning Council All Scenarios 2000 489,635 50,042 165,476 27,531 732,684 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 488,855 53,543 185,416 29,517 757,331 2020 464,773 56,522 215,238 30,211 766,744 2030 433,453 55,726 234,835 29,118 753,132 2040 406,541 53,859 243,665 28,155 732,220 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 542,799 58,467 232,130 36,731 870,127 2020 572,730 68,035 328,749 46,866 1,016,380 2030 592,323 74,145 437,581 55,327 1,159,376 2040 612,295 79,883 551,409 64,707 1,308,294 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 603,917 64,048 289,169 45,508 1,002,642 2020 703,165 82,655 498,958 72,338 1,357,116 2030 793,239 100,437 799,805 105,622 1,799,103 2040 884,184 122,671 1,204,836 150,383 2,362,074 Brazos Valley Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 92,881 13,453 17,419 3,556 127,309 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 93,297 17,043 21,674 4,338 136,352 2020 90,110 18,348 25,277 4,574 138,309 2030 89,412 19,115 28,321 4,865 141,713 2040 89,051 19,516 30,564 5,150 144,281 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 99,118 17,368 24,446 4,826 145,758 2020 99,004 18,904 31,851 5,768 155,527 2030 99,723 19,906 39,846 6,846 166,321 2040 99,775 20,688 47,772 8,080 176,315 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 104,314 17,876 27,923 5,345 155,458 2020 104,442 19,478 40,708 7,086 171,714 2030 101,734 20,199 56,027 9,140 187,100 2040 95,812 20,313 72,096 11,665 199,886 Deep East Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 113,449 20,789 11,570 1,676 147,484 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 116,101 25,371 16,286 1,682 159,440 2020 111,705 26,531 19,427 1,748 159,411 2030 109,664 26,886 22,165 1,807 160,522 2040 109,106 27,058 24,720 1,821 162,705 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 121,874 25,909 18,609 1,699 168,091 2020 120,188 27,221 25,583 1,787 174,779 2030 118,341 27,568 33,630 1,853 181,392 2040 117,724 27,860 43,219 1,889 190,692 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 127,004 26,316 21,759 2,005 177,084 2020 125,306 27,312 34,619 2,656 189,893 2030 118,762 26,949 51,670 3,727 201,108 2040 112,020 26,121 74,134 5,227 217,502 South East Texas Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 117,260 36,858 10,917 4,045 169,080 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 120,801 44,901 15,498 5,146 186,346 2020 114,458 46,982 17,517 5,339 184,296 2030 109,200 47,787 18,630 5,424 181,041 2040 105,204 48,329 19,621 5,408 178,562 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 116,775 45,790 18,678 6,355 187,598 2020 106,471 48,783 26,082 7,992 189,328 2030 96,864 50,424 34,705 9,702 191,695 2040 88,862 51,873 45,962 11,432 198,129 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 111,449 46,406 22,668 7,998 188,521 2020 94,803 49,492 38,929 12,388 195,612 2030 78,573 50,521 63,599 17,953 210,646 2040 65,117 50,589 101,542 24,787 242,035 Houston-Galveston Area Council All Scenarios 2000 1,274,759 375,027 569,433 123,187 2,342,406 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 1,264,765 409,123 698,779 132,224 2,504,891 2020 1,200,626 424,175 827,240 128,859 2,580,900 2030 1,125,808 419,754 911,189 122,614 2,579,365 2040 1,071,878 410,850 972,497 115,221 2,570,446 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 1,248,398 426,129 840,780 170,158 2,685,465 2020 1,172,517 459,612 1,173,142 209,532 3,014,803 2030 1,089,609 471,163 1,548,347 247,144 3,356,263 2040 1,029,206 479,977 1,949,308 285,134 3,743,625 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 1,232,641 443,879 1,013,485 214,712 2,904,717 2020 1,140,721 498,191 1,668,164 330,088 3,637,164 2030 1,045,435 525,213 2,560,887 475,008 4,606,543 2040 976,022 550,120 3,656,351 660,895 5,843,388 Golden Crescent Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 51,878 4,929 26,488 942 84,237 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 49,726 5,453 30,259 1,119 86,557 2020 46,877 5,666 34,075 1,114 87,732 2030 45,589 5,711 38,114 1,136 90,550 2040 45,550 5,874 41,855 1,143 94,422 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 49,720 5,464 32,307 1,151 88,642 2020 45,810 5,681 38,747 1,160 91,398 2030 43,036 5,717 46,048 1,195 95,996 2040 41,175 5,935 53,067 1,218 101,395 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 48,549 5,627 34,768 1,487 90,431 2020 42,132 5,903 44,058 1,948 94,041 2030 35,975 5,980 54,204 2,703 98,862 2040 30,515 6,135 62,783 3,647 103,080 Alamo Area Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 377,590 45,789 378,671 18,036 820,086 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 369,135 51,123 435,154 17,987 873,399 2020 345,576 52,259 479,001 17,676 894,512 2030 325,403 50,435 512,408 16,793 905,039 2040 311,431 49,173 536,643 15,661 912,908 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 380,295 53,576 466,740 23,529 924,140 2020 363,894 57,832 546,871 30,131 998,728 2030 347,914 58,799 621,713 37,007 1,065,433 2040 340,365 60,673 687,468 43,762 1,132,268 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 392,655 56,082 498,226 30,891 977,854 2020 384,975 63,179 612,406 51,907 1,112,467 2030 373,351 66,256 721,777 82,913 1,244,297 2040 372,748 70,051 814,849 125,350 1,382,998 South Texas Development Council All Scenarios 2000 4,933 197 85,897 739 91,766 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 6,342 213 109,680 1,040 117,275 2020 6,460 232 128,895 1,312 136,899 2030 5,969 211 151,774 1,438 159,392 2040 5,455 206 174,869 1,663 182,193 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 6,498 213 122,528 1,053 130,292 2020 6,788 228 156,974 1,364 165,354 2030 6,443 204 199,558 1,567 207,772 2040 5,963 198 245,450 2,013 253,624 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 6,653 211 136,163 1,222 144,249 2020 6,989 221 187,712 1,732 196,654 2030 6,637 189 250,317 2,271 259,414 2040 5,902 168 316,109 3,378 325,557 Coastal Bend Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 99,028 7,043 123,619 4,152 233,842 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 102,372 9,714 143,192 4,229 259,507 2020 95,549 10,069 155,603 4,264 265,485 2030 91,129 9,932 168,365 4,283 273,709 2040 88,779 9,717 178,853 4,234 281,583 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 102,339 9,954 154,783 5,085 272,161 2020 94,290 10,641 180,610 6,057 291,598 2030 87,754 10,732 209,214 7,160 314,860 2040 82,992 10,672 235,881 8,245 337,790 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 101,120 10,288 166,451 6,416 284,275 2020 89,605 11,421 206,134 9,651 316,811 2030 78,113 11,789 248,320 14,556 352,778 2040 68,248 11,920 286,333 20,977 387,478 Lower Rio Grande Valley Development Council All Scenarios 2000 38,744 1,404 290,818 3,708 334,674 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 42,972 1,935 374,630 3,306 422,843 2020 39,365 2,078 439,560 3,301 484,304 2030 37,136 2,090 515,407 3,377 558,010 2040 36,544 2,133 586,825 3,576 629,078 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 43,392 1,943 416,360 4,179 465,874 2020 38,866 2,081 530,697 5,177 576,821 2030 35,089 2,080 667,217 6,644 711,030 2040 32,507 2,096 807,328 8,660 850,591 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 43,110 1,997 459,040 5,318 509,465 2020 36,415 2,185 624,460 8,148 671,208 2030 29,603 2,213 820,070 12,780 864,666 2040 23,798 2,244 1,013,955 19,880 1,059,877 Texoma Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 73,420 4,016 4,751 1,378 83,565 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 73,363 4,919 6,486 1,518 86,286 2020 69,954 5,206 8,003 1,636 84,799 2030 67,818 5,380 9,006 1,649 83,853 2040 66,010 5,529 9,856 1,552 82,947 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 75,464 4,919 7,596 1,757 89,736 2020 72,756 5,141 10,970 2,262 91,129 2030 70,149 5,275 14,460 2,825 92,709 2040 67,634 5,368 18,418 3,268 94,688 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 76,679 4,956 9,059 2,221 92,915 2020 72,268 5,190 15,155 3,428 96,041 2030 65,787 5,274 22,881 5,033 98,975 2040 59,081 5,313 32,565 6,730 103,689 Central Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 99,466 21,748 20,724 4,588 146,526 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 122,656 36,177 30,105 6,601 195,539 2020 124,090 40,685 35,674 6,858 207,307 2030 126,103 42,295 39,320 7,003 214,721 2040 125,067 42,685 42,003 6,861 216,616 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 125,465 40,230 35,331 8,471 209,497 2020 126,781 49,727 48,567 11,192 236,267 2030 127,062 56,018 62,234 14,270 259,584 2040 122,426 60,290 75,880 17,176 275,772 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 127,253 44,747 41,806 10,713 224,519 2020 125,021 60,157 66,774 17,696 269,648 2030 118,909 72,060 97,817 27,683 316,469 2040 105,967 79,796 132,941 39,752 358,456 Middle Rio Grande Development Council All Scenarios 2000 11,463 391 43,871 558 56,283 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 12,470 576 54,303 741 68,090 2020 11,901 621 60,762 808 74,092 2030 11,603 607 69,142 841 82,193 2040 11,396 597 77,726 865 90,584 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 12,606 577 56,053 742 69,978 2020 11,801 619 63,423 821 76,664 2030 11,234 602 72,300 864 85,000 2040 10,682 592 80,835 900 93,009 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 12,607 606 57,050 823 71,086 2020 11,307 674 63,471 1,053 76,505 2030 9,902 684 69,567 1,250 81,403 2040 8,538 711 73,243 1,638 84,130 ___________________________________ Sources: Derived by the authors from Texas Population Estimates and Projections Program, Projections of the Population of Texas and Counties in Texas by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity for 2000-2040, 2001. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 3, [machine readable data files], 2002a. ________________________________________________________________________________________