Table 6.4 Percent Change in Projected Civilian Labor Force for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios ______________________________________________________________________ Time Period Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total ______________________________________________________________________ State of Texas Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 1.2 13.8 22.1 9.9 8.6 2010-2020 -4.3 5.0 16.2 0.6 3.2 2020-2030 -5.0 -0.5 11.2 -3.4 1.2 2030-2040 -4.2 -1.5 8.3 -4.5 0.9 2000-2040 -11.9 17.1 71.0 2.1 14.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 3.2 19.4 40.9 38.5 16.5 2010-2020 -2.5 10.5 32.7 25.7 11.8 2020-2030 -3.3 4.7 27.5 19.4 10.7 2030-2040 -2.6 3.7 23.2 16.5 10.7 2000-2040 -5.2 43.1 193.6 142.2 59.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 5.2 25.3 62.7 73.6 25.4 2010-2020 -0.7 16.1 52.4 56.7 22.7 2020-2030 -1.5 10.1 45.9 47.5 23.6 2030-2040 -0.9 9.2 39.9 42.2 24.4 2000-2040 2.0 74.9 406.0 470.5 136.7 Panhandle Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -1.7 57.5 27.7 8.2 6.2 2010-2020 -4.0 9.6 19.6 1.5 2.4 2020-2030 -1.6 2.4 13.4 -0.7 2.8 2030-2040 -1.3 2.6 10.8 -5.6 2.5 2000-2040 -8.3 81.6 91.9 2.9 14.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -0.9 59.5 40.0 25.1 9.7 2010-2020 -4.6 12.2 30.9 17.6 5.7 2020-2030 -3.6 4.6 24.3 14.0 6.0 2030-2040 -4.5 5.2 20.1 7.6 5.4 2000-2040 -13.0 96.9 173.5 80.4 29.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -1.3 65.7 54.7 49.1 13.0 2010-2020 -7.9 15.2 44.0 38.7 8.5 2020-2030 -9.7 5.4 36.2 36.1 9.2 2030-2040 -12.9 4.3 30.1 27.4 9.0 2000-2040 -28.4 109.9 294.8 258.6 45.9 South Plains Association of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -0.5 17.7 18.9 5.1 6.2 2010-2020 -4.4 7.3 14.7 2.9 2.7 2020-2030 -2.5 1.9 11.6 -0.1 3.0 2030-2040 -3.7 0.5 8.4 -2.4 1.4 2000-2040 -10.6 29.3 64.9 5.4 13.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -3.5 19.7 24.8 21.0 6.4 2010-2020 -9.0 8.5 18.9 21.5 2.1 2020-2030 -7.3 3.1 15.3 16.0 2.9 2030-2040 -8.2 1.6 10.6 11.2 1.3 2000-2040 -25.3 36.2 89.4 89.7 13.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -7.4 21.9 29.8 39.8 5.8 2010-2020 -16.5 9.2 20.9 37.6 -0.4 2020-2030 -16.3 2.3 15.5 32.1 0.1 2030-2040 -18.0 -1.0 8.2 27.2 -2.0 2000-2040 -46.9 34.9 96.2 223.2 3.3 NORTEX Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 3.8 50.7 31.5 22.9 9.4 2010-2020 -3.5 8.5 17.9 2.8 0.0 2020-2030 -1.7 4.3 13.5 -0.8 0.9 2030-2040 -1.4 3.3 10.9 -7.9 0.7 2000-2040 -2.9 76.3 95.3 15.4 11.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 2.8 52.9 42.5 46.5 10.1 2010-2020 -5.9 10.0 28.1 23.3 0.3 2020-2030 -4.8 5.8 23.7 17.2 1.3 2030-2040 -4.9 4.4 20.1 6.1 1.2 2000-2040 -12.5 85.8 171.4 124.7 13.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -0.1 54.3 57.7 71.8 9.8 2010-2020 -11.6 10.4 41.1 45.3 -0.9 2020-2030 -12.8 4.9 34.4 39.9 0.3 2030-2040 -14.2 1.1 28.3 24.1 0.8 2000-2040 -33.9 80.6 283.7 333.3 10.0 North Central Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 1.8 10.3 21.6 13.0 6.9 2010-2020 -3.2 5.8 20.8 2.4 3.1 2020-2030 -6.3 -1.3 10.5 -3.8 -1.5 2030-2040 -5.5 -2.3 7.7 -4.6 -1.5 2000-2040 -12.7 12.4 74.9 6.3 7.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 5.2 17.8 51.9 43.4 16.8 2010-2020 1.1 13.9 48.3 29.2 15.2 2020-2030 -1.3 7.1 36.5 21.0 12.4 2030-2040 -0.7 5.7 31.5 18.0 12.9 2000-2040 4.3 51.9 304.1 164.4 70.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 9.4 25.8 88.8 79.8 28.7 2010-2020 7.1 23.0 80.9 61.3 31.7 2020-2030 5.4 17.3 65.8 50.9 31.9 2030-2040 5.0 15.9 57.0 45.3 33.1 2000-2040 29.7 110.2 789.3 535.7 197.5 Ark-Tex Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 0.1 22.0 55.6 17.1 6.5 2010-2020 -4.4 5.0 19.5 2.8 -0.9 2020-2030 -2.8 0.5 7.6 -0.2 -1.1 2030-2040 -2.3 -1.5 4.5 -4.4 -1.4 2000-2040 -9.1 26.9 108.9 14.9 2.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -0.6 23.8 71.7 18.4 7.1 2010-2020 -6.7 5.4 31.2 4.5 -1.1 2020-2030 -6.2 0.7 17.6 0.9 -2.0 2030-2040 -6.1 -1.2 12.0 -4.0 -2.6 2000-2040 -18.2 29.9 196.8 19.8 1.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -2.8 25.1 93.9 39.8 7.0 2010-2020 -12.1 3.9 45.1 24.7 -3.1 2020-2030 -14.4 -2.1 27.7 21.7 -5.2 2030-2040 -15.7 -5.0 19.8 15.6 -5.7 2000-2040 -38.3 20.9 330.3 145.4 -7.3 East Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 2.0 18.9 41.5 18.6 7.4 2010-2020 -5.0 3.2 22.2 1.0 -1.1 2020-2030 -3.0 0.2 13.7 1.2 -0.5 2030-2040 -2.3 -0.5 11.2 -1.2 -0.2 2000-2040 -8.2 22.4 118.6 19.9 5.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 5.3 20.9 71.9 31.8 12.5 2010-2020 -3.5 4.1 50.3 13.3 3.7 2020-2030 -3.3 0.9 39.6 15.1 4.4 2030-2040 -2.9 0.4 37.2 13.6 6.3 2000-2040 -4.6 27.6 394.5 95.4 29.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 7.6 21.7 110.3 67.2 17.5 2010-2020 -4.4 3.0 84.4 42.9 8.7 2020-2030 -7.6 -1.7 68.7 44.5 10.8 2030-2040 -8.8 -3.4 64.4 40.6 17.3 2000-2040 -13.3 19.0 975.9 385.5 66.0 West Central Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 4.8 60.2 27.5 5.8 10.7 2010-2020 -3.5 8.5 15.1 5.2 0.7 2020-2030 -0.9 2.1 12.8 0.4 2.2 2030-2040 -2.1 0.5 9.5 -5.1 0.8 2000-2040 -1.8 78.4 81.2 6.0 14.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 3.7 64.2 33.0 23.0 11.1 2010-2020 -6.7 11.4 18.9 23.9 -0.3 2020-2030 -4.8 5.1 16.7 18.5 1.3 2030-2040 -5.5 3.5 12.8 10.1 0.3 2000-2040 -13.0 99.0 108.1 99.0 12.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 0.9 69.9 39.4 44.4 10.4 2010-2020 -13.1 13.1 22.1 50.4 -3.2 2020-2030 -13.5 5.7 17.9 39.3 -2.6 2030-2040 -15.3 1.8 12.2 27.3 -3.8 2000-2040 -35.8 106.8 125.1 285.0 0.1 Rio Grande Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 6.8 33.7 24.7 5.7 20.9 2010-2020 -6.5 8.6 12.1 4.9 8.6 2020-2030 -4.9 1.1 11.7 -1.5 8.6 2030-2040 -2.5 1.5 10.1 -2.0 8.0 2000-2040 -7.5 49.0 71.9 7.0 53.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -5.5 31.6 35.4 26.2 26.8 2010-2020 -18.4 6.3 19.0 23.8 13.0 2020-2030 -17.5 -1.4 17.1 16.5 12.8 2030-2040 -15.3 -0.9 14.7 13.8 11.9 2000-2040 -46.1 36.6 116.5 107.2 81.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -17.5 25.9 46.3 48.3 32.8 2010-2020 -30.8 0.2 24.5 44.2 17.3 2020-2030 -30.7 -7.3 19.0 36.0 15.1 2030-2040 -28.6 -7.8 14.6 30.4 12.7 2000-2040 -71.7 7.8 148.4 279.1 102.3 Permian Basin Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 1.8 24.9 31.2 7.9 13.0 2010-2020 -6.0 5.5 14.3 -1.7 2.7 2020-2030 -2.2 2.4 13.0 1.3 4.8 2030-2040 -0.1 2.1 10.4 -1.9 5.0 2000-2040 -6.5 37.9 87.2 5.3 27.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -4.7 24.7 38.5 11.9 11.6 2010-2020 -13.1 4.5 19.4 2.4 1.8 2020-2030 -10.0 1.7 17.3 7.2 4.5 2030-2040 -8.4 0.8 13.8 1.6 4.7 2000-2040 -31.8 33.6 120.7 24.8 24.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -13.1 24.7 44.8 42.7 9.1 2010-2020 -23.2 2.6 22.3 27.9 -0.3 2020-2030 -22.2 -1.5 18.1 31.5 2.5 2030-2040 -21.7 -4.1 12.8 27.7 2.7 2000-2040 -59.4 20.8 135.9 206.6 14.4 Concho Valley Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 1.4 17.0 15.4 15.2 6.1 2010-2020 -5.4 7.6 12.0 3.2 0.7 2020-2030 -2.8 2.9 10.4 0.7 2.1 2030-2040 -2.5 1.8 7.2 -3.2 1.4 2000-2040 -9.1 31.9 52.9 15.9 10.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -0.7 18.1 23.1 21.5 7.1 2010-2020 -9.2 7.7 17.9 10.7 0.7 2020-2030 -7.5 3.5 15.8 3.6 2.2 2030-2040 -7.2 1.6 11.4 -3.3 1.5 2000-2040 -22.7 33.7 87.2 34.8 11.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -3.5 19.8 31.8 56.4 8.2 2010-2020 -15.0 9.6 23.0 41.5 0.3 2020-2030 -15.8 5.4 19.2 38.6 1.5 2030-2040 -16.3 1.0 12.1 28.6 0.4 2000-2040 -42.2 39.7 116.7 294.8 10.6 Heart of Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 1.4 17.3 23.3 18.7 6.8 2010-2020 -5.0 6.4 18.6 6.0 0.6 2020-2030 -2.7 2.6 12.6 -0.3 1.1 2030-2040 -4.1 -0.4 8.3 -6.2 -0.9 2000-2040 -10.2 27.4 78.3 17.8 7.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 1.9 20.2 46.6 44.1 11.2 2010-2020 -6.3 8.0 39.5 30.9 5.0 2020-2030 -4.8 4.4 32.1 21.6 6.4 2030-2040 -6.0 1.1 26.8 11.6 5.7 2000-2040 -14.6 37.1 242.5 155.9 31.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 1.1 22.8 75.9 74.8 15.5 2010-2020 -10.5 8.2 63.8 56.9 9.6 2020-2030 -11.8 3.2 50.4 48.2 12.2 2030-2040 -13.8 -1.7 40.6 34.8 13.4 2000-2040 -31.2 34.8 509.4 448.2 61.2 Capital Area Planning Council Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -0.2 7.0 12.1 7.2 3.4 2010-2020 -4.9 5.6 16.1 2.4 1.2 2020-2030 -6.7 -1.4 9.1 -3.6 -1.8 2030-2040 -6.2 -3.4 3.8 -3.3 -2.8 2000-2040 -17.0 7.6 47.3 2.3 -0.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 10.9 16.8 40.3 33.4 18.8 2010-2020 5.5 16.4 41.6 27.6 16.8 2020-2030 3.4 9.0 33.1 18.1 14.1 2030-2040 3.4 7.7 26.0 17.0 12.8 2000-2040 25.1 59.6 233.2 135.0 78.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 23.3 28.0 74.7 65.3 36.8 2010-2020 16.4 29.1 72.5 59.0 35.4 2020-2030 12.8 21.5 60.3 46.0 32.6 2030-2040 11.5 22.1 50.6 42.4 31.3 2000-2040 80.6 145.1 628.1 446.2 222.4 Brazos Valley Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 0.4 26.7 24.4 22.0 7.1 2010-2020 -3.4 7.7 16.6 5.4 1.4 2020-2030 -0.8 4.2 12.0 6.4 2.5 2030-2040 -0.4 2.1 7.9 5.9 1.8 2000-2040 -4.1 45.1 75.5 44.8 13.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 6.7 29.1 40.3 35.7 14.5 2010-2020 -0.1 8.8 30.3 19.5 6.7 2020-2030 0.7 5.3 25.1 18.7 6.9 2030-2040 0.1 3.9 19.9 18.0 6.0 2000-2040 7.4 53.8 174.3 127.2 38.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 12.3 32.9 60.3 50.3 22.1 2010-2020 0.1 9.0 45.8 32.6 10.5 2020-2030 -2.6 3.7 37.6 29.0 9.0 2030-2040 -5.8 0.6 28.7 27.6 6.8 2000-2040 3.2 51.0 313.9 228.0 57.0 Deep East Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 2.3 22.0 40.8 0.4 8.1 2010-2020 -3.8 4.6 19.3 3.9 0.0 2020-2030 -1.8 1.3 14.1 3.4 0.7 2030-2040 -0.5 0.6 11.5 0.8 1.4 2000-2040 -3.8 30.2 113.7 8.7 10.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 7.4 24.6 60.8 1.4 14.0 2010-2020 -1.4 5.1 37.5 5.2 4.0 2020-2030 -1.5 1.3 31.5 3.7 3.8 2030-2040 -0.5 1.1 28.5 1.9 5.1 2000-2040 3.8 34.0 273.5 12.7 29.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 11.9 26.6 88.1 19.6 20.1 2010-2020 -1.3 3.8 59.1 32.5 7.2 2020-2030 -5.2 -1.3 49.3 40.3 5.9 2030-2040 -5.7 -3.1 43.5 40.2 8.2 2000-2040 -1.3 25.6 540.7 211.9 47.5 South East Texas Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 3.0 21.8 42.0 27.2 10.2 2010-2020 -5.3 4.6 13.0 3.8 -1.1 2020-2030 -4.6 1.7 6.4 1.6 -1.8 2030-2040 -3.7 1.1 5.3 -0.3 -1.4 2000-2040 -10.3 31.1 79.7 33.7 5.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -0.4 24.2 71.1 57.1 11.0 2010-2020 -8.8 6.5 39.6 25.8 0.9 2020-2030 -9.0 3.4 33.1 21.4 1.3 2030-2040 -8.3 2.9 32.4 17.8 3.4 2000-2040 -24.2 40.7 321.0 182.6 17.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -5.0 25.9 107.6 97.7 11.5 2010-2020 -14.9 6.7 71.7 54.9 3.8 2020-2030 -17.1 2.1 63.4 44.9 7.7 2030-2040 -17.1 0.1 59.7 38.1 14.9 2000-2040 -44.5 37.3 830.1 512.8 43.1 Houston-Galveston Area Council Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -0.8 9.1 22.7 7.3 6.9 2010-2020 -5.1 3.7 18.4 -2.5 3.0 2020-2030 -6.2 -1.0 10.1 -4.8 -0.1 2030-2040 -4.8 -2.1 6.7 -6.0 -0.3 2000-2040 -15.9 9.6 70.8 -6.5 9.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -2.1 13.6 47.7 38.1 14.6 2010-2020 -6.1 7.9 39.5 23.1 12.3 2020-2030 -7.1 2.5 32.0 18.0 11.3 2030-2040 -5.5 1.9 25.9 15.4 11.5 2000-2040 -19.3 28.0 242.3 131.5 59.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -3.3 18.4 78.0 74.3 24.0 2010-2020 -7.5 12.2 64.6 53.7 25.2 2020-2030 -8.4 5.4 53.5 43.9 26.7 2030-2040 -6.6 4.7 42.8 39.1 26.8 2000-2040 -23.4 46.7 542.1 436.5 149.5 Golden Crescent Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -4.1 10.6 14.2 18.8 2.8 2010-2020 -5.7 3.9 12.6 -0.4 1.4 2020-2030 -2.7 0.8 11.9 2.0 3.2 2030-2040 -0.1 2.9 9.8 0.6 4.3 2000-2040 -12.2 19.2 58.0 21.3 12.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -4.2 10.9 22.0 22.2 5.2 2010-2020 -7.9 4.0 19.9 0.8 3.1 2020-2030 -6.1 0.6 18.8 3.0 5.0 2030-2040 -4.3 3.8 15.2 1.9 5.6 2000-2040 -20.6 20.4 100.3 29.3 20.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -6.4 14.2 31.3 57.9 7.4 2010-2020 -13.2 4.9 26.7 31.0 4.0 2020-2030 -14.6 1.3 23.0 38.8 5.1 2030-2040 -15.2 2.6 15.8 34.9 4.3 2000-2040 -41.2 24.5 137.0 287.2 22.4 Alamo Area Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -2.2 11.6 14.9 -0.3 6.5 2010-2020 -6.4 2.2 10.1 -1.7 2.4 2020-2030 -5.8 -3.5 7.0 -5.0 1.2 2030-2040 -4.3 -2.5 4.7 -6.7 0.9 2000-2040 -17.5 7.4 41.7 -13.2 11.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 0.7 17.0 23.3 30.5 12.7 2010-2020 -4.3 7.9 17.2 28.1 8.1 2020-2030 -4.4 1.7 13.7 22.8 6.7 2030-2040 -2.2 3.2 10.6 18.3 6.3 2000-2040 -9.9 32.5 81.5 142.6 38.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 4.0 22.5 31.6 71.3 19.2 2010-2020 -2.0 12.7 22.9 68.0 13.8 2020-2030 -3.0 4.9 17.9 59.7 11.9 2030-2040 -0.2 5.7 12.9 51.2 11.1 2000-2040 -1.3 53.0 115.2 595.0 68.6 South Texas Development Council Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 28.6 8.1 27.7 40.7 27.8 2010-2020 1.9 8.9 17.5 26.2 16.7 2020-2030 -7.6 -9.1 17.8 9.6 16.4 2030-2040 -8.6 -2.4 15.2 15.6 14.3 2000-2040 10.6 4.6 103.6 125.0 98.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 31.7 8.1 42.6 42.5 42.0 2010-2020 4.5 7.0 28.1 29.5 26.9 2020-2030 -5.1 -10.5 27.1 14.9 25.7 2030-2040 -7.4 -2.9 23.0 28.5 22.1 2000-2040 20.9 0.5 185.7 172.4 176.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 34.9 7.1 58.5 65.4 57.2 2010-2020 5.1 4.7 37.9 41.7 36.3 2020-2030 -5.0 -14.5 33.4 31.1 31.9 2030-2040 -11.1 -11.1 26.3 48.7 25.5 2000-2040 19.6 -14.7 268.0 357.1 254.8 Coastal Bend Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 3.4 37.9 15.8 1.9 11.0 2010-2020 -6.7 3.7 8.7 0.8 2.3 2020-2030 -4.6 -1.4 8.2 0.4 3.1 2030-2040 -2.6 -2.2 6.2 -1.1 2.9 2000-2040 -10.3 38.0 44.7 2.0 20.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 3.3 41.3 25.2 22.5 16.4 2010-2020 -7.9 6.9 16.7 19.1 7.1 2020-2030 -6.9 0.9 15.8 18.2 8.0 2030-2040 -5.4 -0.6 12.7 15.2 7.3 2000-2040 -16.2 51.5 90.8 98.6 44.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 2.1 46.1 34.6 54.5 21.6 2010-2020 -11.4 11.0 23.8 50.4 11.4 2020-2030 -12.8 3.2 20.5 50.8 11.4 2030-2040 -12.6 1.1 15.3 44.1 9.8 2000-2040 -31.1 69.2 131.6 405.2 65.7 Lower Rio Grande Valley Development Council Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 10.9 37.8 28.8 -10.8 26.3 2010-2020 -8.4 7.4 17.3 -0.2 14.5 2020-2030 -5.7 0.6 17.3 2.3 15.2 2030-2040 -1.6 2.1 13.9 5.9 12.7 2000-2040 -5.7 51.9 101.8 -3.6 88.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 12.0 38.4 43.2 12.7 39.2 2010-2020 -10.4 7.1 27.5 23.9 23.8 2020-2030 -9.7 0.0 25.7 28.3 23.3 2030-2040 -7.4 0.8 21.0 30.3 19.6 2000-2040 -16.1 49.3 177.6 133.5 154.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 11.3 42.2 57.8 43.4 52.2 2010-2020 -15.5 9.4 36.0 53.2 31.7 2020-2030 -18.7 1.3 31.3 56.8 28.8 2030-2040 -19.6 1.4 23.6 55.6 22.6 2000-2040 -38.6 59.8 248.7 436.1 216.7 Texoma Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -0.1 22.5 36.5 10.2 3.3 2010-2020 -4.6 5.8 23.4 7.8 -1.7 2020-2030 -3.1 3.3 12.5 0.8 -1.1 2030-2040 -2.7 2.8 9.4 -5.9 -1.1 2000-2040 -10.1 37.7 107.5 12.6 -0.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 2.8 22.5 59.9 27.5 7.4 2010-2020 -3.6 4.5 44.4 28.7 1.6 2020-2030 -3.6 2.6 31.8 24.9 1.7 2030-2040 -3.6 1.8 27.4 15.7 2.1 2000-2040 -7.9 33.7 287.7 137.2 13.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 4.4 23.4 90.7 61.2 11.2 2010-2020 -5.8 4.7 67.3 54.3 3.4 2020-2030 -9.0 1.6 51.0 46.8 3.1 2030-2040 -10.2 0.7 42.3 33.7 4.8 2000-2040 -19.5 32.3 585.4 388.4 24.1 Central Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 23.3 66.3 45.3 43.9 33.5 2010-2020 1.2 12.5 18.5 3.9 6.0 2020-2030 1.6 4.0 10.2 2.1 3.6 2030-2040 -0.8 0.9 6.8 -2.0 0.9 2000-2040 25.7 96.3 102.7 49.5 47.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 26.1 85.0 70.5 84.6 43.0 2010-2020 1.0 23.6 37.5 32.1 12.8 2020-2030 0.2 12.7 28.1 27.5 9.9 2030-2040 -3.6 7.6 21.9 20.4 6.2 2000-2040 23.1 177.2 266.1 274.4 88.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 27.9 105.8 101.7 133.5 53.2 2010-2020 -1.8 34.4 59.7 65.2 20.1 2020-2030 -4.9 19.8 46.5 56.4 17.4 2030-2040 -10.9 10.7 35.9 43.6 13.3 2000-2040 6.5 266.9 541.5 766.4 144.6 Middle Rio Grande Development Council Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 8.8 47.3 23.8 32.8 21.0 2010-2020 -4.6 7.8 11.9 9.0 8.8 2020-2030 -2.5 -2.3 13.8 4.1 10.9 2030-2040 -1.8 -1.6 12.4 2.9 10.2 2000-2040 -0.6 52.7 77.2 55.0 60.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 10.0 47.6 27.8 33.0 24.3 2010-2020 -6.4 7.3 13.1 10.6 9.6 2020-2030 -4.8 -2.7 14.0 5.2 10.9 2030-2040 -4.9 -1.7 11.8 4.2 9.4 2000-2040 -6.8 51.4 84.3 61.3 65.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 10.0 55.0 30.0 47.5 26.3 2010-2020 -10.3 11.2 11.3 27.9 7.6 2020-2030 -12.4 1.5 9.6 18.7 6.4 2030-2040 -13.8 3.9 5.3 31.0 3.3 2000-2040 -25.5 81.8 67.0 193.5 49.5 ___________________________________ Source: Derived by the authors from Texas Population Estimates and Projections Program, Projections of the Population of Texas and Counties in Texas by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity for 2000-2040, 2001. U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 3,[machine readable data files], 2002a. ______________________________________________________________________