Table 7.9 Percent of Total Public Education (All Levels), Public Elementary and Secondary, Public Community College, Public University, and Total Public College and University Enrollment for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios __________________________________________________________________ Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other __________________________________________________________________ State of Texas Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 45.7 13.8 37.2 3.3 2010 42.8 12.9 40.9 3.4 2020 40.6 11.9 44.2 3.3 2030 38.4 11.3 47.4 2.9 2040 35.7 10.4 51.1 2.8 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 43.2 14.4 39.5 2.9 2010 39.9 13.2 43.9 3.0 2020 38.0 12.1 47.1 2.8 2030 35.7 11.5 50.4 2.4 2040 33.0 10.4 54.2 2.4 Public Community Colleges 2000 54.7 11.1 29.5 4.7 2010 53.2 11.7 30.8 4.3 2020 49.5 11.4 34.6 4.5 2030 47.1 10.9 37.7 4.3 2040 44.5 10.5 41.0 4.0 Public Universities 2000 61.5 10.3 21.3 6.9 2010 61.0 11.0 21.9 6.1 2020 57.3 10.7 25.3 6.7 2030 55.5 10.2 28.0 6.3 2040 53.4 10.0 30.9 5.7 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 58.0 10.7 25.6 5.7 2010 56.9 11.4 26.6 5.1 2020 53.2 11.0 30.3 5.5 2030 51.1 10.5 33.2 5.2 2040 48.6 10.2 36.4 4.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 45.7 13.8 37.2 3.3 2010 41.2 12.8 42.2 3.8 2020 36.7 11.5 47.7 4.1 2030 32.4 10.7 52.8 4.1 2040 28.0 9.5 58.0 4.5 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 43.2 14.4 39.5 2.9 2010 38.5 13.2 45.0 3.3 2020 34.4 11.7 50.4 3.5 2030 30.2 10.8 55.6 3.4 2040 25.9 9.5 60.9 3.7 Public Community Colleges 2000 54.7 11.1 29.5 4.7 2010 50.2 11.4 33.4 5.0 2020 44.4 11.0 38.7 5.9 2030 39.5 10.2 44.0 6.3 2040 34.7 9.5 49.2 6.6 Public Universities 2000 61.5 10.3 21.3 6.9 2010 57.8 10.9 24.1 7.2 2020 52.1 10.5 28.8 8.6 2030 47.6 9.7 33.4 9.3 2040 42.9 9.3 38.2 9.6 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 58.0 10.7 25.6 5.7 2010 53.7 11.2 29.1 6.0 2020 48.0 10.8 34.1 7.1 2030 43.2 10.0 39.1 7.7 2040 38.5 9.4 44.2 7.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 45.7 13.8 37.2 3.3 2010 39.4 12.8 43.5 4.3 2020 33.0 11.1 50.9 5.0 2030 26.9 9.8 57.6 5.7 2040 21.4 8.3 63.6 6.7 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 43.2 14.4 39.5 2.9 2010 37.0 13.2 46.1 3.7 2020 30.9 11.3 53.6 4.2 2030 24.9 10.0 60.4 4.7 2040 19.9 8.3 66.3 5.5 Public Community Colleges 2000 54.7 11.1 29.5 4.7 2010 46.9 11.1 36.2 5.8 2020 39.3 10.5 42.8 7.4 2030 32.3 9.2 49.7 8.8 2040 25.7 8.1 56.0 10.2 Public Universities 2000 61.5 10.3 21.3 6.9 2010 54.5 10.7 26.4 8.4 2020 46.5 10.1 32.4 11.0 2030 39.3 9.0 38.5 13.2 2040 32.3 8.1 44.5 15.1 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 58.0 10.7 25.6 5.7 2010 50.5 10.9 31.6 7.0 2020 42.5 10.3 38.1 9.1 2030 35.4 9.1 44.7 10.8 2040 28.7 8.1 50.9 12.3 Panhandle Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 63.0 5.0 29.8 2.2 2010 60.5 5.0 32.4 2.1 2020 58.9 4.5 34.6 2.0 2030 56.2 4.5 37.4 1.9 2040 54.1 4.0 40.1 1.8 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 59.6 5.4 33.4 1.6 2010 56.2 5.4 36.9 1.5 2020 55.5 4.5 38.6 1.4 2030 52.0 4.7 42.0 1.3 2040 49.8 4.1 44.9 1.2 Public Community Colleges 2000 73.1 3.8 17.4 5.7 2010 70.2 4.4 19.9 5.5 2020 67.3 4.6 22.8 5.3 2030 65.5 4.5 24.7 5.3 2040 62.9 4.5 27.5 5.1 Public Universities 2000 84.3 2.6 10.1 3.0 2010 82.7 3.0 11.2 3.1 2020 79.8 3.5 13.5 3.2 2030 79.9 3.0 14.2 2.9 2040 78.5 3.1 15.8 2.6 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 77.9 3.3 14.3 4.5 2010 75.8 3.8 16.0 4.4 2020 72.8 4.1 18.7 4.4 2030 71.9 3.8 20.1 4.2 2040 69.6 3.9 22.5 4.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 63.0 5.0 29.8 2.2 2010 58.6 5.1 34.0 2.3 2020 54.7 4.5 38.3 2.5 2030 49.5 4.6 43.3 2.6 2040 44.6 4.2 48.5 2.7 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 59.6 5.4 33.4 1.6 2010 54.4 5.5 38.5 1.6 2020 51.3 4.6 42.4 1.7 2030 45.5 4.8 48.0 1.7 2040 40.9 4.2 53.2 1.7 Public Community Colleges 2000 73.1 3.8 17.4 5.7 2010 67.6 4.3 21.9 6.2 2020 61.8 4.6 26.9 6.7 2030 57.1 4.3 31.3 7.3 2040 50.8 4.4 37.0 7.8 Public Universities 2000 84.3 2.6 10.1 3.0 2010 81.0 3.0 12.5 3.5 2020 76.0 3.6 16.5 3.9 2030 74.1 3.0 18.9 4.0 2040 69.4 3.3 23.2 4.1 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 77.9 3.3 14.3 4.5 2010 73.6 3.7 17.7 5.0 2020 67.9 4.2 22.4 5.5 2030 64.3 3.8 26.0 5.9 2040 58.4 4.0 31.3 6.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 63.0 5.0 29.8 2.2 2010 56.4 5.2 35.8 2.6 2020 49.3 4.6 42.9 3.2 2030 40.4 4.7 51.0 3.9 2040 32.3 4.2 58.8 4.7 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 59.6 5.4 33.4 1.6 2010 52.3 5.6 40.3 1.8 2020 46.1 4.7 47.1 2.1 2030 36.9 5.0 55.6 2.5 2040 29.6 4.3 63.2 2.9 Public Community Colleges 2000 73.1 3.8 17.4 5.7 2010 64.2 4.4 24.1 7.3 2020 54.5 4.6 32.2 8.7 2030 45.3 4.1 39.9 10.7 2040 34.6 4.0 48.8 12.6 Public Universities 2000 84.3 2.6 10.1 3.0 2010 78.6 3.2 14.2 4.0 2020 70.4 3.9 20.8 4.9 2030 63.3 3.4 26.9 6.4 2040 52.7 3.6 35.8 7.9 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 77.9 3.3 14.3 4.5 2010 70.6 3.9 19.7 5.8 2020 61.2 4.3 27.4 7.1 2030 52.6 3.8 34.6 9.0 2040 41.5 3.9 43.8 10.8 South Plains Association of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 48.4 7.9 42.7 1.0 2010 48.2 7.5 43.0 1.3 2020 47.3 6.7 44.7 1.3 2030 44.7 6.5 47.6 1.2 2040 42.5 6.0 50.3 1.2 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 43.5 8.6 47.1 0.8 2010 43.1 8.1 47.7 1.1 2020 43.0 7.1 48.8 1.1 2030 39.4 7.0 52.6 1.0 2040 37.5 6.4 55.1 1.0 Public Community Colleges 2000 66.3 4.7 27.4 1.6 2010 61.4 5.7 31.2 1.7 2020 59.0 5.5 33.8 1.7 2030 57.5 5.2 35.8 1.5 2040 54.3 5.0 39.1 1.6 Public Universities 2000 79.2 3.7 14.3 2.8 2010 77.2 4.2 16.3 2.3 2020 74.2 4.2 19.0 2.6 2030 74.2 3.8 19.5 2.5 2040 71.9 3.7 21.9 2.5 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 73.3 4.2 20.2 2.3 2010 70.4 4.8 22.8 2.0 2020 67.3 4.8 25.7 2.2 2030 66.7 4.4 26.8 2.1 2040 63.9 4.3 29.7 2.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 48.4 7.9 42.7 1.0 2010 46.8 7.6 44.2 1.4 2020 44.4 6.9 47.1 1.6 2030 40.4 6.8 51.1 1.7 2040 36.9 6.4 54.8 1.9 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 43.5 8.6 47.1 0.8 2010 41.5 8.3 49.0 1.2 2020 40.1 7.4 51.2 1.3 2030 35.3 7.3 56.0 1.4 2040 32.1 6.8 59.5 1.6 Public Community Colleges 2000 66.3 4.7 27.4 1.6 2010 59.3 5.8 33.0 1.9 2020 55.4 5.6 36.9 2.1 2030 52.2 5.2 40.3 2.3 2040 46.9 5.4 45.1 2.6 Public Universities 2000 79.2 3.7 14.3 2.8 2010 75.7 4.3 17.4 2.6 2020 71.0 4.3 21.4 3.3 2030 69.2 4.0 23.1 3.7 2040 65.0 4.0 26.7 4.3 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 73.3 4.2 20.2 2.3 2010 68.6 4.9 24.2 2.3 2020 63.9 4.9 28.4 2.8 2030 61.5 4.6 30.9 3.0 2040 56.8 4.6 35.1 3.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 48.4 7.9 42.7 1.0 2010 45.1 7.9 45.4 1.6 2020 40.9 7.5 49.6 2.0 2030 35.5 7.5 54.5 2.5 2040 30.4 7.3 59.0 3.3 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 43.5 8.6 47.1 0.8 2010 39.8 8.6 50.3 1.3 2020 36.8 7.9 53.7 1.6 2030 30.7 8.2 59.1 2.0 2040 26.1 7.9 63.4 2.6 Public Community Colleges 2000 66.3 4.7 27.4 1.6 2010 57.1 6.0 34.8 2.1 2020 51.2 6.0 40.1 2.7 2030 45.6 5.8 45.3 3.3 2040 38.3 5.9 51.4 4.4 Public Universities 2000 79.2 3.7 14.3 2.8 2010 74.0 4.4 18.7 2.9 2020 67.3 4.7 23.9 4.1 2030 63.2 4.4 27.1 5.3 2040 55.9 4.6 32.3 7.2 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 73.3 4.2 20.2 2.3 2010 66.6 5.1 25.7 2.6 2020 59.9 5.3 31.3 3.5 2030 55.0 5.1 35.5 4.4 2040 47.6 5.2 41.3 5.9 NORTEX Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 76.0 7.9 13.7 2.4 2010 72.9 8.9 15.9 2.3 2020 72.0 8.4 17.4 2.2 2030 70.3 8.7 19.0 2.0 2040 68.7 8.7 20.7 1.9 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 74.5 8.5 14.9 2.1 2010 70.8 9.7 17.5 2.0 2020 70.4 8.9 18.9 1.8 2030 68.2 9.4 20.8 1.6 2040 66.7 9.3 22.5 1.5 Public Community Colleges 2000 80.7 5.9 10.2 3.2 2010 76.7 7.7 11.8 3.8 2020 73.9 8.5 13.7 3.9 2030 73.7 8.1 14.9 3.3 2040 71.7 8.2 16.9 3.2 Public Universities 2000 84.2 4.7 6.5 4.6 2010 83.9 4.8 7.5 3.8 2020 81.4 5.5 8.9 4.2 2030 81.3 5.2 9.8 3.7 2040 80.1 5.5 11.0 3.4 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 83.0 5.1 7.7 4.2 2010 81.4 5.8 9.0 3.8 2020 78.8 6.5 10.6 4.1 2030 78.6 6.2 11.6 3.6 2040 77.1 6.5 13.1 3.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 76.0 7.9 13.7 2.4 2010 71.3 9.0 17.0 2.7 2020 68.6 8.6 20.0 2.8 2030 64.7 8.9 23.5 2.9 2040 60.7 8.9 27.3 3.1 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 74.5 8.5 14.9 2.1 2010 69.3 9.7 18.8 2.2 2020 67.0 9.0 21.7 2.3 2030 62.6 9.5 25.6 2.3 2040 58.5 9.4 29.6 2.5 Public Community Colleges 2000 80.7 5.9 10.2 3.2 2010 74.8 7.8 13.0 4.4 2020 71.3 8.3 15.6 4.8 2030 68.6 8.1 18.6 4.7 2040 64.5 8.3 22.3 4.9 Public Universities 2000 84.2 4.7 6.5 4.6 2010 82.3 4.8 8.4 4.5 2020 78.4 5.6 10.6 5.4 2030 76.3 5.4 12.7 5.6 2040 72.8 5.6 15.7 5.9 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 83.0 5.1 7.7 4.2 2010 79.6 5.9 10.0 4.5 2020 76.1 6.5 12.3 5.1 2030 73.6 6.3 14.8 5.3 2040 69.8 6.6 18.1 5.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 76.0 7.9 13.7 2.4 2010 69.3 9.0 18.8 2.9 2020 63.4 8.7 24.4 3.5 2030 55.9 8.9 31.0 4.2 2040 47.8 8.6 38.5 5.1 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 74.5 8.5 14.9 2.1 2010 67.1 9.8 20.7 2.4 2020 61.7 9.2 26.3 2.8 2030 53.5 9.6 33.5 3.4 2040 45.6 9.2 41.1 4.1 Public Community Colleges 2000 80.7 5.9 10.2 3.2 2010 72.8 7.7 14.6 4.9 2020 65.9 8.3 19.7 6.1 2030 60.0 7.8 25.2 7.0 2040 50.9 7.7 33.2 8.2 Public Universities 2000 84.2 4.7 6.5 4.6 2010 80.3 4.9 9.6 5.2 2020 73.8 5.6 13.7 6.9 2030 68.0 5.4 18.3 8.3 2040 59.2 5.5 25.0 10.3 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 83.0 5.1 7.7 4.2 2010 77.6 5.9 11.4 5.1 2020 71.0 6.6 15.8 6.6 2030 65.1 6.3 20.8 7.8 2040 56.2 6.3 28.0 9.5 North Central Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 54.3 17.5 23.2 5.0 2010 50.5 15.9 28.6 5.0 2020 48.3 15.3 31.4 5.0 2030 45.8 14.7 35.1 4.4 2040 42.8 13.6 39.1 4.5 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 51.8 18.3 25.6 4.3 2010 47.4 16.2 31.8 4.6 2020 45.2 15.6 34.9 4.3 2030 42.6 14.9 38.8 3.7 2040 39.5 13.6 43.0 3.9 Public Community Colleges 2000 62.9 15.0 13.6 8.5 2010 62.9 16.0 13.4 7.7 2020 59.6 15.4 16.6 8.4 2030 57.6 15.5 18.5 8.4 2040 55.6 15.2 21.4 7.8 Public Universities 2000 73.0 11.1 7.5 8.4 2010 73.1 12.0 7.4 7.5 2020 70.5 11.5 9.2 8.8 2030 69.3 11.6 10.5 8.6 2040 68.1 11.6 12.4 7.9 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 67.6 13.2 10.8 8.4 2010 67.6 14.2 10.6 7.6 2020 64.6 13.6 13.2 8.6 2030 62.8 13.8 14.9 8.5 2040 61.3 13.6 17.3 7.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 54.3 17.5 23.2 5.0 2010 47.8 15.8 30.9 5.5 2020 42.4 14.6 37.0 6.0 2030 36.7 13.4 44.0 5.9 2040 31.3 11.6 50.8 6.3 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 51.8 18.3 25.6 4.3 2010 44.9 16.1 34.1 4.9 2020 39.5 14.8 40.6 5.1 2030 33.8 13.5 47.9 4.8 2040 28.5 11.5 54.7 5.3 Public Community Colleges 2000 62.9 15.0 13.6 8.5 2010 59.1 15.8 16.1 9.0 2020 52.7 15.0 21.7 10.6 2030 47.1 14.4 26.8 11.7 2040 41.8 13.3 33.1 11.8 Public Universities 2000 73.0 11.1 7.5 8.4 2010 69.8 12.1 9.1 9.0 2020 64.2 11.6 12.8 11.4 2030 59.6 11.3 16.5 12.6 2040 54.9 10.9 21.5 12.7 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 67.6 13.2 10.8 8.4 2010 64.0 14.1 12.9 9.0 2020 58.0 13.4 17.6 11.0 2030 52.7 13.0 22.2 12.1 2040 47.5 12.3 28.0 12.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 54.3 17.5 23.2 5.0 2010 45.1 15.6 33.2 6.1 2020 37.4 13.6 42.1 6.9 2030 29.5 11.7 51.5 7.3 2040 22.8 9.5 59.6 8.1 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 51.8 18.3 25.6 4.3 2010 42.4 15.9 36.4 5.3 2020 34.7 13.8 45.8 5.7 2030 27.1 11.7 55.4 5.8 2040 20.7 9.4 63.3 6.6 Public Community Colleges 2000 62.9 15.0 13.6 8.5 2010 55.3 15.5 18.9 10.3 2020 46.0 14.1 27.1 12.8 2030 37.6 12.5 35.2 14.7 2040 29.7 10.7 44.1 15.5 Public Universities 2000 73.0 11.1 7.5 8.4 2010 66.6 12.0 10.9 10.5 2020 57.7 11.2 17.0 14.1 2030 49.6 10.4 23.5 16.5 2040 41.3 9.3 31.8 17.6 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 67.6 13.2 10.8 8.4 2010 60.4 13.9 15.3 10.4 2020 51.2 12.8 22.6 13.4 2030 42.9 11.6 30.0 15.5 2040 34.6 10.1 38.9 16.4 Ark-Tex Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 70.3 21.4 7.3 1.0 2010 68.3 20.4 10.2 1.1 2020 69.0 19.3 10.7 1.0 2030 67.5 18.9 12.6 1.0 2040 66.8 18.0 14.3 0.9 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 67.9 23.0 8.2 0.9 2010 65.8 21.7 11.5 1.0 2020 67.2 20.2 11.8 0.8 2030 65.1 19.9 14.2 0.8 2040 64.4 18.8 16.0 0.8 Public Community Colleges 2000 81.9 13.5 3.3 1.3 2010 78.4 15.5 4.7 1.4 2020 77.5 15.5 5.5 1.5 2030 77.5 15.2 6.0 1.3 2040 76.5 14.9 7.4 1.2 Public Universities 2000 83.1 12.7 2.4 1.8 2010 79.4 13.9 4.0 2.7 2020 77.9 14.4 4.9 2.8 2030 78.7 13.9 5.0 2.4 2040 77.8 13.9 6.2 2.1 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 82.3 13.2 3.0 1.5 2010 78.9 14.9 4.4 1.8 2020 77.7 15.1 5.3 1.9 2030 78.0 14.7 5.6 1.7 2040 77.0 14.5 7.0 1.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 70.3 21.4 7.3 1.0 2010 67.5 20.3 11.1 1.1 2020 67.1 19.3 12.5 1.1 2030 64.0 19.0 16.0 1.0 2040 61.5 18.0 19.5 1.0 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 67.9 23.0 8.2 0.9 2010 64.9 21.5 12.6 1.0 2020 65.2 20.2 13.8 0.8 2030 61.4 19.9 17.9 0.8 2040 58.9 18.7 21.5 0.9 Public Community Colleges 2000 81.9 13.5 3.3 1.3 2010 78.1 15.5 5.0 1.4 2020 76.1 15.6 6.7 1.6 2030 74.9 15.5 8.1 1.5 2040 72.4 15.1 11.1 1.4 Public Universities 2000 83.1 12.7 2.4 1.8 2010 78.8 14.0 4.4 2.8 2020 76.4 14.4 6.3 2.9 2030 76.0 14.1 7.2 2.7 2040 73.6 14.1 9.8 2.5 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 82.3 13.2 3.0 1.5 2010 78.3 15.0 4.8 1.9 2020 76.2 15.2 6.5 2.1 2030 75.3 15.0 7.8 1.9 2040 72.8 14.8 10.6 1.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 70.3 21.4 7.3 1.0 2010 65.8 20.3 12.6 1.3 2020 63.4 19.5 15.7 1.4 2030 57.4 19.0 22.0 1.6 2040 51.4 17.7 29.0 1.9 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 67.9 23.0 8.2 0.9 2010 63.4 21.5 14.1 1.0 2020 61.4 20.4 17.2 1.0 2030 54.8 19.8 24.3 1.1 2040 48.7 18.4 31.5 1.4 Public Community Colleges 2000 81.9 13.5 3.3 1.3 2010 76.7 15.6 6.0 1.7 2020 73.1 15.6 9.0 2.3 2030 69.5 15.6 12.2 2.7 2040 62.9 15.2 18.8 3.1 Public Universities 2000 83.1 12.7 2.4 1.8 2010 77.6 14.1 5.1 3.2 2020 72.4 14.7 8.7 4.2 2030 69.7 14.4 11.0 4.9 2040 62.8 14.4 17.5 5.3 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 82.3 13.2 3.0 1.5 2010 76.9 15.1 5.7 2.3 2020 72.9 15.3 8.9 2.9 2030 69.5 15.2 11.8 3.5 2040 62.9 14.9 18.3 3.9 East Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 68.5 20.4 10.2 0.9 2010 66.1 19.2 13.6 1.1 2020 66.1 18.1 14.7 1.1 2030 64.1 17.4 17.4 1.1 2040 62.1 16.7 20.1 1.1 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 66.4 21.4 11.4 0.8 2010 63.8 19.9 15.4 0.9 2020 64.3 18.5 16.3 0.9 2030 61.7 17.8 19.6 0.9 2040 59.8 16.9 22.4 0.9 Public Community Colleges 2000 76.5 17.2 5.0 1.3 2010 74.5 18.2 6.1 1.2 2020 72.5 18.4 7.7 1.4 2030 72.3 17.6 8.6 1.5 2040 70.6 17.5 10.5 1.4 Public Universities 2000 82.2 12.0 3.0 2.8 2010 80.6 12.6 3.8 3.0 2020 78.0 13.1 5.4 3.5 2030 78.3 12.3 5.9 3.5 2040 77.2 12.1 7.4 3.3 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 78.7 15.2 4.2 1.9 2010 76.9 16.0 5.2 1.9 2020 74.5 16.4 6.9 2.2 2030 74.8 15.5 7.5 2.2 2040 73.1 15.5 9.3 2.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 68.5 20.4 10.2 0.9 2010 64.6 18.5 15.8 1.1 2020 62.1 17.0 19.7 1.2 2030 56.5 15.3 26.9 1.3 2040 50.4 13.6 34.6 1.4 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 66.4 21.4 11.4 0.8 2010 62.2 19.2 17.7 0.9 2020 60.0 17.3 21.7 1.0 2030 53.8 15.5 29.8 0.9 2040 47.6 13.6 37.8 1.0 Public Community Colleges 2000 76.5 17.2 5.0 1.3 2010 73.2 17.7 7.6 1.5 2020 69.6 17.4 11.2 1.8 2030 67.3 16.1 14.5 2.1 2040 61.8 15.3 20.6 2.3 Public Universities 2000 82.2 12.0 3.0 2.8 2010 79.5 12.4 4.9 3.2 2020 75.4 12.6 8.0 4.0 2030 73.5 11.6 10.5 4.4 2040 68.7 11.1 15.7 4.5 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 78.7 15.2 4.2 1.9 2010 75.6 15.6 6.6 2.2 2020 71.8 15.6 10.0 2.6 2030 69.6 14.4 13.0 3.0 2040 64.4 13.7 18.8 3.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 68.5 20.4 10.2 0.9 2010 62.5 17.9 18.3 1.3 2020 56.4 15.7 26.3 1.6 2030 45.7 12.7 39.7 1.9 2040 34.5 9.8 53.5 2.2 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 66.4 21.4 11.4 0.8 2010 60.0 18.5 20.5 1.0 2020 54.2 16.0 28.6 1.2 2030 42.9 12.7 43.0 1.4 2040 31.9 9.7 56.8 1.6 Public Community Colleges 2000 76.5 17.2 5.0 1.3 2010 71.7 17.1 9.3 1.9 2020 64.9 16.1 16.3 2.7 2030 57.9 14.0 24.5 3.6 2040 46.0 11.5 38.0 4.5 Public Universities 2000 82.2 12.0 3.0 2.8 2010 77.9 12.0 6.1 4.0 2020 70.6 11.8 12.2 5.4 2030 63.9 10.4 18.8 6.9 2040 51.8 8.6 31.3 8.3 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 78.7 15.2 4.2 1.9 2010 74.1 15.1 8.1 2.7 2020 67.0 14.5 14.8 3.7 2030 60.1 12.7 22.4 4.8 2040 48.2 10.4 35.5 5.9 West Central Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 68.9 6.0 24.0 1.1 2010 66.3 6.5 25.9 1.3 2020 66.1 5.7 27.0 1.2 2030 63.4 5.7 29.7 1.2 2040 61.9 5.3 31.7 1.1 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 67.2 6.2 25.7 0.9 2010 64.5 6.5 27.9 1.1 2020 64.8 5.5 28.6 1.1 2030 61.4 5.7 31.9 1.0 2040 60.0 5.2 33.8 1.0 Public Community Colleges 2000 76.0 6.0 15.9 2.1 2010 72.3 7.8 17.9 2.0 2020 69.7 8.1 20.1 2.1 2030 69.0 7.4 21.5 2.1 2040 66.5 7.7 23.8 2.0 Public Universities 2000 86.3 2.8 8.9 2.0 2010 81.6 4.9 11.6 1.9 2020 79.3 5.0 13.8 1.9 2030 80.0 4.1 14.1 1.8 2040 77.8 4.3 16.2 1.7 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 80.4 4.6 12.9 2.1 2010 76.3 6.5 15.2 2.0 2020 73.7 6.8 17.5 2.0 2030 73.7 6.0 18.3 2.0 2040 71.1 6.3 20.7 1.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 68.9 6.0 24.0 1.1 2010 65.3 6.7 26.6 1.4 2020 63.7 6.1 28.6 1.6 2030 59.9 6.3 32.0 1.8 2040 56.6 6.1 35.3 2.0 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 67.2 6.2 25.7 0.9 2010 63.3 6.8 28.7 1.2 2020 62.5 5.9 30.2 1.4 2030 57.9 6.3 34.3 1.5 2040 54.7 6.0 37.6 1.7 Public Community Colleges 2000 76.0 6.0 15.9 2.1 2010 71.0 8.0 18.6 2.4 2020 67.1 8.5 21.7 2.7 2030 65.0 8.0 23.8 3.2 2040 60.8 8.4 27.3 3.5 Public Universities 2000 86.3 2.8 8.9 2.0 2010 80.8 4.8 12.2 2.2 2020 77.2 5.3 15.0 2.5 2030 76.6 4.7 16.0 2.7 2040 73.1 4.8 18.7 3.4 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 80.4 4.6 12.9 2.1 2010 75.3 6.6 15.8 2.3 2020 71.3 7.2 18.9 2.6 2030 69.9 6.6 20.5 3.0 2040 65.8 6.9 23.8 3.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 68.9 6.0 24.0 1.1 2010 63.8 7.0 27.7 1.5 2020 60.1 6.6 31.2 2.1 2030 53.9 7.0 36.3 2.8 2040 48.3 7.1 40.9 3.7 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 67.2 6.2 25.7 0.9 2010 61.8 7.0 29.9 1.3 2020 58.9 6.4 32.9 1.8 2030 52.1 7.0 38.6 2.3 2040 46.7 7.0 43.2 3.1 Public Community Colleges 2000 76.0 6.0 15.9 2.1 2010 69.0 8.3 19.8 2.9 2020 63.1 9.1 24.1 3.7 2030 58.0 8.7 28.3 5.0 2040 50.9 9.1 33.3 6.7 Public Universities 2000 86.3 2.8 8.9 2.0 2010 79.1 5.1 13.2 2.6 2020 73.9 5.8 16.9 3.4 2030 70.6 5.4 19.4 4.6 2040 63.7 5.7 24.0 6.6 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 80.4 4.6 12.9 2.1 2010 73.5 6.9 16.9 2.7 2020 67.5 7.7 21.2 3.6 2030 63.3 7.3 24.6 4.8 2040 56.0 7.7 29.6 6.7 Rio Grande Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 12.1 2.7 84.0 1.2 2010 11.3 2.7 84.8 1.2 2020 10.4 2.3 86.2 1.1 2030 9.6 2.3 87.0 1.1 2040 8.7 2.1 88.2 1.0 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 11.6 2.8 84.6 1.0 2010 10.9 2.7 85.4 1.0 2020 10.0 2.3 86.8 0.9 2030 9.3 2.4 87.4 0.9 2040 8.4 2.1 88.7 0.8 Public Community Colleges 2000 10.0 2.3 86.6 1.1 2010 8.8 2.3 87.6 1.3 2020 7.9 2.3 88.5 1.3 2030 7.0 2.1 89.7 1.2 2040 6.4 2.0 90.5 1.1 Public Universities 2000 20.7 2.2 74.6 2.5 2010 18.5 2.3 76.5 2.7 2020 16.8 2.3 77.9 3.0 2030 15.2 2.1 79.9 2.8 2040 14.1 2.1 81.2 2.6 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 15.4 2.2 80.6 1.8 2010 13.5 2.3 82.2 2.0 2020 12.2 2.3 83.3 2.2 2030 10.9 2.1 85.0 2.0 2040 10.1 2.0 86.1 1.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 12.1 2.7 84.0 1.2 2010 10.2 2.6 85.9 1.3 2020 8.0 2.2 88.4 1.4 2030 6.2 2.1 90.1 1.6 2040 4.9 1.8 91.6 1.7 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 11.6 2.8 84.6 1.0 2010 9.8 2.8 86.2 1.2 2020 7.6 2.3 88.9 1.2 2030 6.1 2.2 90.4 1.3 2040 4.8 1.9 91.9 1.4 Public Community Colleges 2000 10.0 2.3 86.6 1.1 2010 7.1 2.0 89.5 1.4 2020 5.6 2.0 90.9 1.5 2030 4.1 1.7 92.7 1.5 2040 3.2 1.5 93.7 1.6 Public Universities 2000 20.7 2.2 74.6 2.5 2010 15.2 2.1 79.8 2.9 2020 12.3 2.1 82.0 3.6 2030 9.5 1.7 85.3 3.5 2040 7.4 1.6 87.3 3.7 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 15.4 2.2 80.6 1.8 2010 11.0 2.1 84.8 2.1 2020 8.8 2.0 86.7 2.5 2030 6.6 1.7 89.2 2.5 2040 5.2 1.5 90.8 2.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 12.1 2.7 84.0 1.2 2010 8.9 2.5 87.1 1.5 2020 5.9 2.0 90.3 1.8 2030 3.9 1.8 92.1 2.2 2040 2.6 1.5 93.2 2.7 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 11.6 2.8 84.6 1.0 2010 8.9 2.7 87.1 1.3 2020 5.8 2.1 90.6 1.5 2030 3.8 2.0 92.2 2.0 2040 2.6 1.7 93.3 2.4 Public Community Colleges 2000 10.0 2.3 86.6 1.1 2010 5.6 1.8 91.1 1.5 2020 3.8 1.6 92.8 1.8 2030 2.4 1.3 94.4 1.9 2040 1.6 1.0 95.2 2.2 Public Universities 2000 20.7 2.2 74.6 2.5 2010 12.4 1.9 82.6 3.1 2020 8.9 1.7 85.3 4.1 2030 5.7 1.4 88.5 4.4 2040 3.8 1.2 89.9 5.1 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 15.4 2.2 80.6 1.8 2010 8.8 1.8 87.1 2.3 2020 6.1 1.7 89.3 2.9 2030 4.0 1.3 91.6 3.1 2040 2.7 1.1 92.7 3.5 Permian Basin Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 47.2 5.3 46.3 1.2 2010 44.8 5.2 48.8 1.2 2020 43.1 4.6 51.2 1.1 2030 40.9 4.3 53.8 1.0 2040 37.6 4.0 57.4 1.0 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 43.4 5.5 50.2 0.9 2010 40.1 5.3 53.7 0.9 2020 39.9 4.6 54.7 0.8 2030 36.8 4.4 58.0 0.8 2040 33.6 4.0 61.6 0.8 Public Community Colleges 2000 62.3 4.0 31.8 1.9 2010 58.5 4.6 34.9 2.0 2020 53.8 4.6 39.6 2.0 2030 52.6 4.1 41.4 1.9 2040 48.7 4.1 45.4 1.8 Public Universities 2000 72.8 3.6 20.8 2.8 2010 71.2 4.3 21.8 2.7 2020 65.6 4.8 26.8 2.8 2030 65.8 4.1 27.6 2.5 2040 62.8 4.1 30.6 2.5 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 66.4 3.8 27.6 2.2 2010 63.7 4.5 29.6 2.2 2020 58.3 4.6 34.8 2.3 2030 57.7 4.1 36.1 2.1 2040 54.0 4.1 39.8 2.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 47.2 5.3 46.3 1.2 2010 43.0 5.2 50.6 1.2 2020 39.0 4.7 55.1 1.2 2030 34.6 4.4 59.8 1.2 2040 29.8 4.0 65.0 1.2 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 43.4 5.5 50.2 0.9 2010 38.5 5.4 55.2 0.9 2020 36.0 4.7 58.4 0.9 2030 31.0 4.5 63.6 0.9 2040 26.7 4.0 68.4 0.9 Public Community Colleges 2000 62.3 4.0 31.8 1.9 2010 55.4 4.6 37.9 2.1 2020 48.6 4.6 44.6 2.2 2030 44.2 4.2 49.4 2.2 2040 38.0 4.0 55.8 2.2 Public Universities 2000 72.8 3.6 20.8 2.8 2010 68.5 4.4 24.2 2.9 2020 60.7 4.9 31.3 3.1 2030 57.7 4.4 34.8 3.1 2040 51.6 4.3 41.0 3.1 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 66.4 3.8 27.6 2.2 2010 60.5 4.6 32.5 2.4 2020 53.2 4.7 39.6 2.5 2030 49.4 4.2 43.9 2.5 2040 42.9 4.1 50.4 2.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 47.2 5.3 46.3 1.2 2010 40.5 5.4 52.5 1.6 2020 34.0 4.9 59.2 1.9 2030 27.3 4.6 65.6 2.5 2040 21.1 4.1 71.4 3.4 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 43.4 5.5 50.2 0.9 2010 36.4 5.6 56.8 1.2 2020 31.4 4.9 62.3 1.4 2030 24.6 4.7 68.9 1.8 2040 19.2 4.2 74.1 2.5 Public Community Colleges 2000 62.3 4.0 31.8 1.9 2010 51.6 4.5 41.0 2.9 2020 41.7 4.6 50.0 3.7 2030 34.0 4.0 57.3 4.7 2040 25.2 3.7 65.1 6.0 Public Universities 2000 72.8 3.6 20.8 2.8 2010 64.8 4.6 26.7 3.9 2020 53.4 5.0 36.5 5.1 2030 46.4 4.4 42.6 6.6 2040 36.0 4.3 51.0 8.7 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 66.4 3.8 27.6 2.2 2010 56.7 4.6 35.4 3.3 2020 46.1 4.7 45.0 4.2 2030 38.4 4.2 52.0 5.4 2040 29.0 3.9 60.1 7.0 Concho Valley Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 56.2 3.9 38.9 1.0 2010 54.1 4.1 40.5 1.3 2020 52.8 3.5 42.5 1.2 2030 50.7 3.6 44.5 1.2 2040 48.3 3.5 47.0 1.2 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 52.5 4.1 42.6 0.8 2010 50.0 4.2 44.6 1.2 2020 49.7 3.5 45.8 1.0 2030 47.0 3.6 48.5 0.9 2040 44.4 3.5 51.1 1.0 Public Community Colleges 2000 67.3 3.9 27.1 1.7 2010 62.2 5.6 29.6 2.6 2020 59.3 5.9 32.2 2.6 2030 57.9 5.5 34.0 2.6 2040 55.2 5.9 36.5 2.4 Public Universities 2000 77.2 2.6 18.4 1.8 2010 73.8 2.6 21.7 1.9 2020 71.1 2.7 24.4 1.8 2030 70.5 2.6 25.1 1.8 2040 68.3 2.6 27.3 1.8 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 74.7 2.9 20.6 1.8 2010 70.7 3.4 23.8 2.1 2020 67.9 3.6 26.5 2.0 2030 67.0 3.4 27.6 2.0 2040 64.7 3.5 29.8 2.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 56.2 3.9 38.9 1.0 2010 52.7 4.1 41.8 1.4 2020 49.5 3.6 45.6 1.3 2030 46.1 3.7 49.0 1.2 2040 42.0 3.6 53.1 1.3 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 52.5 4.1 42.6 0.8 2010 48.6 4.3 45.9 1.2 2020 46.5 3.6 48.8 1.1 2030 42.3 3.8 52.9 1.0 2040 38.5 3.6 56.9 1.0 Public Community Colleges 2000 67.3 3.9 27.1 1.7 2010 60.6 5.5 31.2 2.7 2020 55.5 5.8 35.9 2.8 2030 52.8 5.4 39.0 2.8 2040 47.6 5.9 43.9 2.6 Public Universities 2000 77.2 2.6 18.4 1.8 2010 71.9 2.6 23.5 2.0 2020 67.4 2.8 27.8 2.0 2030 65.2 2.7 30.2 1.9 2040 60.8 2.7 34.5 2.0 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 74.7 2.9 20.6 1.8 2010 68.9 3.4 25.5 2.2 2020 64.1 3.6 30.1 2.2 2030 61.7 3.4 32.7 2.2 2040 57.0 3.6 37.2 2.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 56.2 3.9 38.9 1.0 2010 50.7 4.3 43.3 1.7 2020 45.3 3.9 48.6 2.2 2030 39.8 4.1 53.3 2.8 2040 33.7 4.1 58.6 3.6 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 52.5 4.1 42.6 0.8 2010 46.7 4.5 47.4 1.4 2020 42.5 3.9 51.8 1.8 2030 36.5 4.2 57.0 2.3 2040 30.8 4.1 62.2 2.9 Public Community Colleges 2000 67.3 3.9 27.1 1.7 2010 57.8 5.4 32.9 3.9 2020 49.2 6.1 39.2 5.5 2030 44.1 5.6 43.6 6.7 2040 36.2 5.8 49.2 8.8 Public Universities 2000 77.2 2.6 18.4 1.8 2010 69.6 2.6 25.4 2.4 2020 62.4 3.0 31.4 3.2 2030 56.7 2.9 36.2 4.2 2040 48.8 3.1 42.3 5.8 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 74.7 2.9 20.6 1.8 2010 66.5 3.3 27.4 2.8 2020 58.6 3.9 33.6 3.9 2030 53.1 3.7 38.3 4.9 2040 45.0 3.9 44.4 6.7 Heart of Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 60.0 19.4 19.7 0.9 2010 56.7 19.1 23.0 1.2 2020 56.2 17.9 24.7 1.2 2030 54.3 17.4 27.2 1.1 2040 52.4 16.6 30.0 1.0 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 57.1 20.5 21.6 0.8 2010 53.8 19.7 25.5 1.0 2020 53.8 18.1 27.0 1.1 2030 51.3 17.7 30.1 0.9 2040 49.3 16.8 33.0 0.9 Public Community Colleges 2000 71.8 15.4 11.4 1.4 2010 69.4 17.3 11.9 1.4 2020 66.5 17.9 14.1 1.5 2030 65.7 17.3 15.5 1.5 2040 63.9 17.1 17.5 1.5 Public Universities 2000 82.3 9.6 5.0 3.1 2010 76.3 12.4 8.3 3.0 2020 74.0 13.5 9.7 2.8 2030 74.3 12.4 10.4 2.9 2040 72.7 12.2 12.3 2.8 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 74.6 13.9 9.7 1.8 2010 71.2 16.0 10.9 1.9 2020 68.5 16.8 12.9 1.8 2030 68.2 15.9 14.1 1.8 2040 66.3 15.8 16.1 1.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 60.0 19.4 19.7 0.9 2010 54.6 18.8 25.3 1.3 2020 51.1 17.1 30.2 1.6 2030 46.0 15.9 36.5 1.6 2040 40.9 14.5 43.0 1.6 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 57.1 20.5 21.6 0.8 2010 51.6 19.4 27.9 1.1 2020 48.7 17.2 32.7 1.4 2030 43.2 16.0 39.5 1.3 2040 38.0 14.5 46.1 1.4 Public Community Colleges 2000 71.8 15.4 11.4 1.4 2010 67.0 17.0 14.3 1.7 2020 61.8 17.4 18.9 1.9 2030 57.7 16.4 23.7 2.2 2040 52.3 15.5 29.8 2.4 Public Universities 2000 82.3 9.6 5.0 3.1 2010 74.0 12.4 10.1 3.5 2020 69.1 12.8 14.0 4.1 2030 67.0 11.8 17.0 4.2 2040 61.5 11.2 22.7 4.6 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 74.6 13.9 9.7 1.8 2010 69.0 15.7 13.1 2.2 2020 63.7 16.2 17.6 2.5 2030 60.3 15.1 21.9 2.7 2040 54.7 14.4 27.9 3.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 60.0 19.4 19.7 0.9 2010 52.3 18.4 27.8 1.5 2020 45.1 16.1 36.8 2.0 2030 36.4 13.9 47.4 2.3 2040 27.9 11.7 57.7 2.7 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 57.1 20.5 21.6 0.8 2010 49.3 19.0 30.4 1.3 2020 42.6 16.3 39.3 1.8 2030 33.6 14.0 50.4 2.0 2040 25.7 11.6 60.5 2.2 Public Community Colleges 2000 71.8 15.4 11.4 1.4 2010 64.0 16.7 17.4 1.9 2020 55.5 16.6 25.5 2.4 2030 47.0 14.9 35.0 3.1 2040 36.9 12.9 46.2 4.0 Public Universities 2000 82.3 9.6 5.0 3.1 2010 71.6 12.1 12.4 3.9 2020 62.5 12.3 20.5 4.7 2030 55.7 10.8 27.2 6.3 2040 44.6 9.3 38.3 7.8 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 74.6 13.9 9.7 1.8 2010 66.1 15.5 16.0 2.4 2020 57.3 15.5 24.2 3.0 2030 49.3 13.8 33.0 3.9 2040 38.8 12.0 44.2 5.0 Capital Area Planning Council Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 56.6 10.0 29.7 3.7 2010 53.3 9.2 33.6 3.9 2020 50.7 8.6 36.7 4.0 2030 48.8 8.5 39.1 3.6 2040 46.3 7.8 42.2 3.7 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 53.6 10.8 32.6 3.0 2010 50.1 9.6 36.9 3.4 2020 47.1 9.0 40.4 3.5 2030 45.3 8.9 42.9 2.9 2040 42.5 8.1 46.3 3.1 Public Community Colleges 2000 65.9 7.2 20.1 6.8 2010 66.0 7.9 20.0 6.1 2020 62.9 7.7 22.8 6.6 2030 60.6 7.6 25.1 6.7 2040 58.9 7.4 27.2 6.5 Public Universities 2000 75.2 5.3 12.5 7.0 2010 75.7 5.9 12.3 6.1 2020 73.2 5.8 14.2 6.8 2030 71.6 5.7 15.8 6.9 2040 70.6 5.6 17.3 6.5 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 70.4 6.3 16.4 6.9 2010 70.8 6.9 16.2 6.1 2020 67.9 6.8 18.6 6.7 2030 66.0 6.6 20.6 6.8 2040 64.5 6.6 22.4 6.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 56.6 10.0 29.7 3.7 2010 52.0 9.1 34.8 4.1 2020 47.5 8.2 40.0 4.3 2030 43.8 7.9 44.2 4.1 2040 39.5 7.1 49.1 4.3 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 53.6 10.8 32.6 3.0 2010 48.8 9.6 38.0 3.6 2020 44.3 8.5 43.5 3.7 2030 40.8 8.2 47.7 3.3 2040 36.4 7.3 52.7 3.6 Public Community Colleges 2000 65.9 7.2 20.1 6.8 2010 63.4 7.6 22.4 6.6 2020 58.1 7.4 27.0 7.5 2030 53.4 6.9 31.8 7.9 2040 49.0 6.5 36.5 8.0 Public Universities 2000 75.2 5.3 12.5 7.0 2010 73.6 5.8 14.1 6.5 2020 69.1 5.7 17.6 7.6 2030 65.0 5.4 21.6 8.0 2040 61.1 5.4 25.6 7.9 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 70.4 6.3 16.4 6.9 2010 68.5 6.7 18.3 6.5 2020 63.5 6.6 22.4 7.5 2030 59.0 6.2 26.9 7.9 2040 54.7 6.0 31.3 8.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 56.6 10.0 29.7 3.7 2010 50.9 9.0 35.9 4.2 2020 44.3 8.0 43.0 4.7 2030 38.4 7.6 49.3 4.7 2040 32.1 6.8 55.9 5.2 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 53.6 10.8 32.6 3.0 2010 47.8 9.5 39.0 3.7 2020 41.5 8.3 46.3 3.9 2030 35.8 8.0 52.4 3.8 2040 30.0 7.0 58.8 4.2 Public Community Colleges 2000 65.9 7.2 20.1 6.8 2010 60.8 7.3 25.0 6.9 2020 53.1 7.0 31.7 8.2 2030 45.8 6.2 38.9 9.1 2040 38.6 5.7 45.9 9.8 Public Universities 2000 75.2 5.3 12.5 7.0 2010 71.3 5.7 16.2 6.8 2020 64.2 5.7 21.7 8.4 2030 57.1 5.2 28.4 9.3 2040 49.2 5.2 35.8 9.8 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 70.4 6.3 16.4 6.9 2010 66.0 6.5 20.7 6.8 2020 58.6 6.3 26.8 8.3 2030 51.2 5.7 33.9 9.2 2040 43.6 5.5 41.1 9.8 Brazos Valley Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 59.8 20.0 18.1 2.1 2010 57.9 17.8 21.1 3.2 2020 58.1 16.6 21.8 3.5 2030 57.2 16.0 23.4 3.4 2040 56.2 15.2 24.9 3.7 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 55.3 22.7 20.2 1.8 2010 53.8 19.3 23.8 3.1 2020 54.7 17.7 24.3 3.3 2030 53.1 17.3 26.4 3.2 2040 52.1 16.3 28.0 3.6 Public Community Colleges 2000 73.1 12.1 12.4 2.4 2010 70.2 14.1 12.9 2.8 2020 68.2 14.1 14.5 3.2 2030 68.2 13.6 15.1 3.1 2040 66.8 13.4 16.5 3.3 Public Universities 2000 80.2 7.7 7.7 4.4 2010 78.3 9.6 7.8 4.3 2020 76.3 9.5 8.9 5.3 2030 77.0 8.9 9.3 4.8 2040 76.2 8.6 10.1 5.1 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 76.6 9.9 10.1 3.4 2010 74.1 11.9 10.5 3.5 2020 72.1 11.9 11.8 4.2 2030 72.4 11.4 12.3 3.9 2040 71.2 11.1 13.5 4.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 59.8 20.0 18.1 2.1 2010 57.2 17.5 22.1 3.2 2020 56.3 15.9 24.2 3.6 2030 54.2 14.8 27.3 3.7 2040 51.4 13.7 30.6 4.3 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 55.3 22.7 20.2 1.8 2010 52.9 19.1 24.9 3.1 2020 52.8 17.0 26.8 3.4 2030 50.2 16.0 30.4 3.4 2040 47.3 14.7 33.9 4.1 Public Community Colleges 2000 73.1 12.1 12.4 2.4 2010 69.1 13.7 14.2 3.0 2020 66.3 13.3 17.0 3.4 2030 64.8 12.6 19.0 3.6 2040 61.8 12.1 22.1 4.0 Public Universities 2000 80.2 7.7 7.7 4.4 2010 77.5 9.2 8.9 4.4 2020 74.7 9.0 10.8 5.5 2030 74.1 8.2 12.1 5.6 2040 71.7 7.9 14.2 6.2 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 76.6 9.9 10.1 3.4 2010 73.2 11.5 11.6 3.7 2020 70.4 11.2 14.0 4.4 2030 69.3 10.5 15.7 4.5 2040 66.5 10.1 18.4 5.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 59.8 20.0 18.1 2.1 2010 56.2 17.3 23.4 3.1 2020 53.6 15.4 27.5 3.5 2030 49.3 14.0 32.9 3.8 2040 44.1 12.6 38.7 4.6 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 55.3 22.7 20.2 1.8 2010 51.7 19.0 26.3 3.0 2020 50.1 16.6 30.1 3.2 2030 45.5 15.1 36.0 3.4 2040 40.2 13.6 42.0 4.2 Public Community Colleges 2000 73.1 12.1 12.4 2.4 2010 68.3 13.0 15.7 3.0 2020 63.4 12.5 20.5 3.6 2030 59.7 11.5 24.9 3.9 2040 53.3 10.6 31.4 4.7 Public Universities 2000 80.2 7.7 7.7 4.4 2010 76.5 8.9 10.1 4.5 2020 72.1 8.5 13.5 5.9 2030 69.2 7.9 16.7 6.2 2040 63.8 7.3 21.4 7.5 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 76.6 9.9 10.1 3.4 2010 72.3 11.0 13.0 3.7 2020 67.5 10.6 17.2 4.7 2030 64.2 9.8 21.0 5.0 2040 58.1 9.1 26.8 6.0 Deep East Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 67.4 21.1 10.3 1.2 2010 66.9 18.9 12.9 1.3 2020 66.4 18.0 14.4 1.2 2030 65.3 17.0 16.5 1.2 2040 64.2 16.0 18.7 1.1 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 65.6 22.4 11.1 0.9 2010 64.5 19.9 14.6 1.0 2020 64.4 18.8 16.0 0.8 2030 62.9 17.8 18.5 0.8 2040 61.6 16.6 21.0 0.8 Public Community Colleges 2000 75.7 15.5 7.1 1.7 2010 74.9 16.5 7.3 1.3 2020 73.9 15.9 8.7 1.5 2030 73.3 15.5 9.8 1.4 2040 72.4 14.9 11.4 1.3 Public Universities 2000 80.4 12.2 4.2 3.2 2010 79.6 12.8 3.9 3.7 2020 78.5 12.2 5.0 4.3 2030 78.9 11.7 5.6 3.8 2040 78.4 11.2 6.6 3.8 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 78.1 13.8 5.6 2.5 2010 77.3 14.6 5.5 2.6 2020 76.3 14.0 6.8 2.9 2030 76.1 13.5 7.7 2.7 2040 75.4 13.0 9.0 2.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 67.4 21.1 10.3 1.2 2010 66.5 18.2 14.1 1.2 2020 65.0 16.8 17.1 1.1 2030 62.1 15.2 21.6 1.1 2040 58.7 13.6 26.6 1.1 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 65.6 22.4 11.1 0.9 2010 64.1 19.1 15.9 0.9 2020 62.7 17.5 19.0 0.8 2030 59.5 15.8 23.9 0.8 2040 56.0 14.0 29.3 0.7 Public Community Colleges 2000 75.7 15.5 7.1 1.7 2010 74.4 15.9 8.3 1.4 2020 72.6 15.0 10.9 1.5 2030 70.8 14.2 13.7 1.3 2040 67.9 13.2 17.6 1.3 Public Universities 2000 80.4 12.2 4.2 3.2 2010 79.2 12.5 4.6 3.7 2020 77.7 11.7 6.4 4.2 2030 77.1 11.0 8.1 3.8 2040 75.0 10.3 10.9 3.8 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 78.1 13.8 5.6 2.5 2010 76.8 14.2 6.4 2.6 2020 75.2 13.3 8.6 2.9 2030 73.9 12.6 10.9 2.6 2040 71.3 11.8 14.3 2.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 67.4 21.1 10.3 1.2 2010 65.3 17.6 15.7 1.4 2020 61.7 15.8 21.0 1.5 2030 55.9 13.6 28.7 1.8 2040 49.1 11.3 37.3 2.3 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 65.6 22.4 11.1 0.9 2010 63.0 18.5 17.5 1.0 2020 59.5 16.5 23.0 1.0 2030 53.3 14.0 31.4 1.3 2040 46.4 11.7 40.3 1.6 Public Community Colleges 2000 75.7 15.5 7.1 1.7 2010 73.5 15.3 9.6 1.6 2020 69.7 14.0 14.2 2.1 2030 64.7 12.8 20.0 2.5 2040 57.5 10.8 28.4 3.3 Public Universities 2000 80.4 12.2 4.2 3.2 2010 78.2 12.1 5.4 4.3 2020 74.5 11.0 8.8 5.7 2030 71.1 10.2 12.4 6.3 2040 64.8 8.8 18.2 8.2 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 78.1 13.8 5.6 2.5 2010 75.8 13.7 7.5 3.0 2020 72.1 12.5 11.5 3.9 2030 67.9 11.5 16.2 4.4 2040 61.1 9.8 23.4 5.7 South East Texas Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 58.9 30.9 7.1 3.1 2010 55.9 30.5 10.2 3.4 2020 55.6 30.1 10.8 3.5 2030 54.3 29.9 12.3 3.5 2040 52.8 29.5 14.0 3.7 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 56.8 32.7 7.6 2.9 2010 53.7 31.8 11.4 3.1 2020 54.2 30.9 11.8 3.1 2030 52.3 30.8 13.7 3.2 2040 51.0 30.2 15.5 3.3 Public Community Colleges 2000 63.9 26.8 5.3 4.0 2010 60.2 29.3 6.1 4.4 2020 57.6 30.5 7.3 4.6 2030 57.6 30.2 7.5 4.7 2040 55.8 30.5 8.9 4.8 Public Universities 2000 71.2 19.9 4.3 4.6 2010 68.1 22.5 4.7 4.7 2020 65.8 23.3 5.9 5.0 2030 65.7 23.1 6.0 5.2 2040 63.9 23.7 7.1 5.3 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 68.3 22.7 4.7 4.3 2010 64.7 25.4 5.3 4.6 2020 62.2 26.4 6.5 4.9 2030 62.1 26.2 6.7 5.0 2040 60.5 26.6 7.8 5.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 58.9 30.9 7.1 3.1 2010 53.3 30.4 12.5 3.8 2020 49.9 29.7 16.1 4.3 2030 44.3 28.6 22.1 5.0 2040 38.6 26.7 29.1 5.6 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 56.8 32.7 7.6 2.9 2010 51.3 31.5 13.8 3.4 2020 48.4 30.4 17.4 3.8 2030 42.2 29.2 24.2 4.4 2040 36.7 26.9 31.6 4.8 Public Community Colleges 2000 63.9 26.8 5.3 4.0 2010 57.5 29.6 7.6 5.3 2020 52.3 30.5 11.3 5.9 2030 48.6 30.0 14.3 7.1 2040 42.7 28.8 20.1 8.4 Public Universities 2000 71.2 19.9 4.3 4.6 2010 65.3 23.0 6.1 5.6 2020 60.1 23.7 9.5 6.7 2030 56.5 23.4 12.0 8.1 2040 49.9 23.3 17.4 9.4 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 68.3 22.7 4.7 4.3 2010 61.9 25.9 6.7 5.5 2020 56.6 26.7 10.3 6.4 2030 53.0 26.3 13.0 7.7 2040 46.7 25.8 18.6 8.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 58.9 30.9 7.1 3.1 2010 50.6 30.0 15.1 4.3 2020 42.9 28.3 23.3 5.5 2030 32.5 24.7 35.9 6.9 2040 22.9 19.7 49.6 7.8 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 56.8 32.7 7.6 2.9 2010 48.5 31.0 16.7 3.8 2020 41.4 28.9 25.0 4.7 2030 30.8 24.9 38.5 5.8 2040 21.4 19.6 52.5 6.5 Public Community Colleges 2000 63.9 26.8 5.3 4.0 2010 54.3 29.7 9.5 6.5 2020 45.1 29.4 17.1 8.4 2030 36.8 26.9 25.6 10.7 2040 26.3 22.5 38.2 13.0 Public Universities 2000 71.2 19.9 4.3 4.6 2010 62.1 23.3 7.8 6.8 2020 52.5 23.2 15.3 9.0 2030 43.5 21.7 22.8 12.0 2040 31.4 18.5 35.5 14.6 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 68.3 22.7 4.7 4.3 2010 58.7 26.1 8.6 6.6 2020 49.3 25.9 16.1 8.7 2030 40.5 24.0 24.1 11.4 2040 29.1 20.3 36.7 13.9 Houston-Galveston Area Council Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 43.0 20.2 31.3 5.5 2010 40.6 18.9 35.3 5.2 2020 38.7 18.0 38.2 5.1 2030 37.1 17.3 41.1 4.5 2040 34.7 16.1 44.9 4.3 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 40.2 20.8 34.2 4.8 2010 37.0 19.1 39.2 4.7 2020 35.4 18.1 42.1 4.4 2030 33.9 17.2 45.1 3.8 2040 31.2 15.9 49.2 3.7 Public Community Colleges 2000 58.2 15.4 20.5 5.9 2010 58.5 15.9 20.3 5.3 2020 54.4 15.8 24.2 5.6 2030 52.7 15.7 26.3 5.3 2040 50.8 15.3 29.1 4.8 Public Universities 2000 55.5 19.0 13.1 12.4 2010 57.5 19.9 12.2 10.4 2020 54.0 19.5 15.3 11.2 2030 52.7 19.5 16.8 11.0 2040 52.2 19.3 18.8 9.7 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 56.8 17.2 16.8 9.2 2010 58.0 17.9 16.3 7.8 2020 54.3 17.6 19.8 8.3 2030 52.7 17.5 21.7 8.1 2040 51.6 17.2 24.1 7.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 43.0 20.2 31.3 5.5 2010 38.4 18.6 37.1 5.9 2020 33.2 16.7 43.7 6.4 2030 28.9 15.2 49.5 6.4 2040 24.4 13.2 55.7 6.7 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 40.2 20.8 34.2 4.8 2010 35.2 18.8 40.8 5.2 2020 30.3 16.7 47.6 5.4 2030 26.3 15.0 53.4 5.3 2040 21.8 12.9 59.7 5.6 Public Community Colleges 2000 58.2 15.4 20.5 5.9 2010 54.2 15.5 23.9 6.4 2020 47.5 14.9 30.3 7.3 2030 41.7 13.9 36.5 7.9 2040 36.5 12.7 42.6 8.2 Public Universities 2000 55.5 19.0 13.1 12.4 2010 52.8 19.7 14.8 12.7 2020 46.5 19.0 19.6 14.9 2030 41.3 17.9 24.1 16.7 2040 36.9 16.9 29.0 17.2 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 56.8 17.2 16.8 9.2 2010 53.5 17.6 19.4 9.5 2020 47.0 16.9 25.1 11.0 2030 41.5 15.8 30.6 12.1 2040 36.7 14.7 36.2 12.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 43.0 20.2 31.3 5.5 2010 36.4 18.2 38.8 6.6 2020 28.3 15.3 48.8 7.6 2030 21.9 12.9 56.7 8.5 2040 16.6 10.4 63.3 9.7 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 40.2 20.8 34.2 4.8 2010 33.5 18.5 42.3 5.7 2020 25.9 15.2 52.5 6.4 2030 20.0 12.7 60.3 7.0 2040 15.1 10.2 66.8 7.9 Public Community Colleges 2000 58.2 15.4 20.5 5.9 2010 49.8 14.9 27.9 7.4 2020 40.4 13.7 36.9 9.0 2030 31.5 11.6 46.3 10.6 2040 24.4 9.6 54.3 11.7 Public Universities 2000 55.5 19.0 13.1 12.4 2010 48.2 19.3 17.6 14.9 2020 38.9 17.9 24.5 18.7 2030 30.4 15.5 31.6 22.5 2040 23.4 13.2 38.2 25.2 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 56.8 17.2 16.8 9.2 2010 49.0 17.1 22.8 11.1 2020 39.6 15.7 31.0 13.7 2030 31.0 13.4 39.4 16.2 2040 23.9 11.3 46.8 18.0 Golden Crescent Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 51.2 7.5 40.0 1.3 2010 49.2 7.0 42.5 1.3 2020 47.3 6.2 45.4 1.1 2030 46.0 5.9 47.0 1.1 2040 42.7 5.5 50.8 1.0 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 46.9 8.1 43.9 1.1 2010 43.8 7.3 47.8 1.1 2020 43.2 6.3 49.6 0.9 2030 41.3 6.1 51.7 0.9 2040 37.7 5.6 56.0 0.7 Public Community Colleges 2000 67.0 4.8 27.0 1.2 2010 64.7 5.7 28.3 1.3 2020 60.1 5.5 33.1 1.3 2030 59.1 5.1 34.5 1.3 2040 56.7 5.2 36.9 1.2 Public Universities 2000 77.0 4.4 14.8 3.8 2010 77.5 5.5 14.3 2.7 2020 72.6 6.1 18.0 3.3 2030 72.8 5.3 19.1 2.8 2040 71.1 5.3 20.8 2.8 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 71.2 4.6 22.0 2.2 2010 70.2 5.6 22.3 1.9 2020 65.3 5.7 26.9 2.1 2030 64.8 5.2 28.1 1.9 2040 62.6 5.2 30.3 1.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 51.2 7.5 40.0 1.3 2010 48.2 7.1 43.4 1.3 2020 44.6 6.2 48.1 1.1 2030 41.5 5.9 51.5 1.1 2040 36.8 5.5 56.7 1.0 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 46.9 8.1 43.9 1.1 2010 42.8 7.5 48.6 1.1 2020 40.5 6.3 52.3 0.9 2030 37.1 6.1 55.9 0.9 2040 32.4 5.5 61.3 0.8 Public Community Colleges 2000 67.0 4.8 27.0 1.2 2010 62.7 5.6 30.4 1.3 2020 56.6 5.6 36.5 1.3 2030 53.4 5.0 40.3 1.3 2040 48.4 5.2 45.1 1.3 Public Universities 2000 77.0 4.4 14.8 3.8 2010 76.1 5.4 15.7 2.8 2020 69.8 6.1 20.6 3.5 2030 68.4 5.4 23.3 2.9 2040 64.4 5.8 26.9 2.9 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 71.2 4.6 22.0 2.2 2010 68.5 5.5 24.1 1.9 2020 62.0 5.8 30.0 2.2 2030 59.4 5.2 33.5 1.9 2040 54.7 5.5 37.9 1.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 51.2 7.5 40.0 1.3 2010 46.7 7.3 44.5 1.5 2020 40.6 6.6 51.3 1.5 2030 35.3 6.5 56.3 1.9 2040 29.0 6.1 62.4 2.5 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 46.9 8.1 43.9 1.1 2010 41.6 7.8 49.4 1.2 2020 36.9 6.7 55.3 1.1 2030 31.3 6.8 60.4 1.5 2040 25.6 6.1 66.5 1.8 Public Community Colleges 2000 67.0 4.8 27.0 1.2 2010 59.6 5.8 32.8 1.8 2020 50.9 6.0 40.9 2.2 2030 44.5 5.5 47.3 2.7 2040 36.4 5.4 54.3 3.9 Public Universities 2000 77.0 4.4 14.8 3.8 2010 73.4 5.7 17.4 3.5 2020 64.5 6.7 23.7 5.1 2030 60.0 6.0 28.8 5.2 2040 51.4 6.3 34.6 7.7 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 71.2 4.6 22.0 2.2 2010 65.5 5.7 26.3 2.5 2020 56.3 6.3 34.0 3.4 2030 50.5 5.7 40.1 3.7 2040 42.0 5.8 46.8 5.4 Alamo Area Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 36.0 6.9 55.5 1.6 2010 33.4 6.4 58.5 1.7 2020 31.9 5.8 60.7 1.6 2030 30.5 5.6 62.5 1.4 2040 28.7 5.0 64.9 1.4 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 33.9 7.0 57.8 1.3 2010 30.9 6.4 61.2 1.5 2020 29.9 5.7 63.0 1.4 2030 28.4 5.5 64.9 1.2 2040 26.6 4.9 67.4 1.1 Public Community Colleges 2000 36.8 7.0 53.6 2.6 2010 35.1 7.3 55.3 2.3 2020 32.2 6.9 58.6 2.3 2030 30.6 6.5 60.7 2.2 2040 28.8 6.2 63.0 2.0 Public Universities 2000 58.0 5.5 32.4 4.1 2010 57.9 5.9 32.7 3.5 2020 54.0 5.6 36.8 3.6 2030 53.2 5.1 38.2 3.5 2040 51.5 5.0 40.4 3.1 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 45.9 6.4 44.5 3.2 2010 45.0 6.7 45.5 2.8 2020 41.3 6.4 49.5 2.8 2030 40.1 5.9 51.3 2.7 2040 38.2 5.7 53.7 2.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 36.0 6.9 55.5 1.6 2010 32.7 6.7 58.6 2.0 2020 30.1 6.1 61.6 2.2 2030 28.3 5.9 63.4 2.4 2040 26.0 5.5 65.8 2.7 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 33.9 7.0 57.8 1.3 2010 30.4 6.7 61.2 1.7 2020 28.4 6.0 63.8 1.8 2030 26.6 5.9 65.6 1.9 2040 24.3 5.4 68.1 2.2 Public Community Colleges 2000 36.8 7.0 53.6 2.6 2010 33.3 7.2 56.6 2.9 2020 29.1 7.0 60.6 3.3 2030 26.5 6.5 63.4 3.6 2040 24.0 6.3 65.8 3.9 Public Universities 2000 58.0 5.5 32.4 4.1 2010 56.1 5.8 33.8 4.3 2020 50.9 5.7 38.5 4.9 2030 48.5 5.2 40.7 5.6 2040 46.1 5.0 43.1 5.8 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 45.9 6.4 44.5 3.2 2010 43.1 6.6 46.8 3.5 2020 38.3 6.4 51.3 4.0 2030 35.7 5.9 53.9 4.5 2040 33.1 5.8 56.4 4.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 36.0 6.9 55.5 1.6 2010 32.4 6.8 58.5 2.3 2020 28.7 6.3 61.9 3.1 2030 26.7 6.2 63.0 4.1 2040 24.5 5.7 64.1 5.7 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 33.9 7.0 57.8 1.3 2010 30.2 6.9 61.0 1.9 2020 27.1 6.3 64.1 2.5 2030 25.3 6.3 65.1 3.3 2040 23.3 5.8 66.4 4.5 Public Community Colleges 2000 36.8 7.0 53.6 2.6 2010 31.7 7.1 57.6 3.6 2020 26.7 7.0 61.6 4.7 2030 23.3 6.4 64.1 6.2 2040 20.7 6.1 64.9 8.3 Public Universities 2000 58.0 5.5 32.4 4.1 2010 54.4 5.7 34.6 5.3 2020 48.2 5.6 39.2 7.0 2030 44.2 5.0 41.4 9.4 2040 41.1 4.7 42.2 12.0 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 45.9 6.4 44.5 3.2 2010 41.5 6.5 47.7 4.3 2020 35.9 6.4 52.1 5.6 2030 32.1 5.8 54.5 7.6 2040 29.4 5.5 55.2 9.9 South Texas Development Council Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 2.3 0.1 97.2 0.4 2010 2.8 0.1 96.5 0.6 2020 1.7 0.1 97.4 0.8 2030 1.5 0.1 97.5 0.9 2040 1.1 0.1 97.9 0.9 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 2.0 0.1 97.6 0.3 2010 2.5 0.1 97.0 0.4 2020 1.4 0.1 98.0 0.5 2030 1.3 0.1 97.9 0.7 2040 1.0 0.0 98.4 0.6 Public Community Colleges 2000 2.2 0.1 97.1 0.6 2010 2.4 0.1 96.3 1.2 2020 1.9 0.1 96.6 1.4 2030 1.4 0.1 97.0 1.5 2040 1.2 0.1 97.2 1.5 Public Universities 2000 5.8 0.3 92.8 1.1 2010 6.3 0.2 90.8 2.7 2020 5.2 0.2 91.3 3.3 2030 3.5 0.2 93.0 3.3 2040 2.9 0.2 93.4 3.5 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 3.6 0.2 95.4 0.8 2010 3.9 0.1 94.2 1.8 2020 3.2 0.1 94.6 2.1 2030 2.1 0.2 95.5 2.2 2040 1.8 0.1 95.8 2.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 2.3 0.1 97.2 0.4 2010 2.9 0.1 96.4 0.6 2020 1.8 0.1 97.3 0.8 2030 1.5 0.1 97.5 0.9 2040 1.2 0.0 97.9 0.9 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 2.0 0.1 97.6 0.3 2010 2.8 0.1 96.7 0.4 2020 1.6 0.1 97.8 0.5 2030 1.4 0.0 97.9 0.7 2040 1.1 0.0 98.3 0.6 Public Community Colleges 2000 2.2 0.1 97.1 0.6 2010 2.1 0.1 96.7 1.1 2020 1.8 0.1 96.9 1.2 2030 1.2 0.1 97.4 1.3 2040 0.8 0.1 97.7 1.4 Public Universities 2000 5.8 0.3 92.8 1.1 2010 5.5 0.1 91.9 2.5 2020 4.6 0.1 92.4 2.9 2030 3.0 0.1 94.1 2.8 2040 2.4 0.1 94.4 3.1 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 3.6 0.2 95.4 0.8 2010 3.4 0.1 94.9 1.6 2020 2.8 0.1 95.2 1.9 2030 1.9 0.1 96.2 1.8 2040 1.5 0.1 96.4 2.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 2.3 0.1 97.2 0.4 2010 3.1 0.1 96.1 0.7 2020 2.0 0.1 97.1 0.8 2030 1.5 0.1 97.4 1.0 2040 1.3 0.0 97.6 1.1 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 2.0 0.1 97.6 0.3 2010 3.1 0.1 96.3 0.5 2020 1.7 0.1 97.6 0.6 2030 1.6 0.0 97.6 0.8 2040 1.2 0.0 98.0 0.8 Public Community Colleges 2000 2.2 0.1 97.1 0.6 2010 1.8 0.1 97.0 1.1 2020 1.5 0.1 97.1 1.3 2030 1.0 0.1 97.6 1.3 2040 0.8 0.0 97.8 1.4 Public Universities 2000 5.8 0.3 92.8 1.1 2010 4.9 0.1 92.7 2.3 2020 4.0 0.1 92.9 3.0 2030 2.5 0.1 94.6 2.8 2040 1.8 0.1 95.0 3.1 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 3.6 0.2 95.4 0.8 2010 3.0 0.1 95.4 1.5 2020 2.5 0.1 95.5 1.9 2030 1.5 0.1 96.5 1.9 2040 1.3 0.0 96.7 2.0 Coastal Bend Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 32.1 3.7 62.8 1.4 2010 30.3 3.6 64.6 1.5 2020 29.3 3.1 66.1 1.5 2030 28.0 3.1 67.5 1.4 2040 26.1 2.8 69.7 1.4 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 29.5 3.9 65.3 1.3 2010 27.4 3.7 67.6 1.3 2020 27.2 3.1 68.4 1.3 2030 25.6 3.1 70.1 1.2 2040 23.7 2.7 72.4 1.2 Public Community Colleges 2000 40.5 2.5 55.9 1.1 2010 38.4 2.9 57.2 1.5 2020 35.0 2.9 60.6 1.5 2030 33.9 2.6 61.9 1.6 2040 31.9 2.6 64.0 1.5 Public Universities 2000 47.5 3.0 46.5 3.0 2010 45.6 3.4 48.0 3.0 2020 41.6 3.5 51.7 3.2 2030 41.1 3.1 52.7 3.1 2040 38.9 3.1 54.9 3.1 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 44.1 2.7 51.2 2.0 2010 41.9 3.2 52.6 2.3 2020 38.3 3.2 56.2 2.3 2030 37.5 2.9 57.3 2.3 2040 35.3 2.9 59.5 2.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 32.1 3.7 62.8 1.4 2010 28.8 3.6 66.0 1.6 2020 26.2 3.0 69.0 1.8 2030 23.6 2.9 71.6 1.9 2040 20.6 2.6 74.7 2.1 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 29.5 3.9 65.3 1.3 2010 26.2 3.8 68.7 1.3 2020 24.5 3.0 71.0 1.5 2030 21.7 3.0 73.7 1.6 2040 18.9 2.6 76.7 1.8 Public Community Colleges 2000 40.5 2.5 55.9 1.1 2010 35.3 2.8 60.2 1.7 2020 30.3 2.7 65.2 1.8 2030 27.1 2.4 68.5 2.0 2040 23.6 2.2 72.0 2.2 Public Universities 2000 47.5 3.0 46.5 3.0 2010 42.7 3.3 50.6 3.4 2020 36.8 3.3 56.1 3.8 2030 34.2 2.8 58.8 4.2 2040 30.0 2.8 62.5 4.7 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 44.1 2.7 51.2 2.0 2010 39.0 3.0 55.4 2.6 2020 33.5 3.0 60.7 2.8 2030 30.5 2.6 63.8 3.1 2040 26.6 2.5 67.5 3.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 32.1 3.7 62.8 1.4 2010 27.2 3.7 67.2 1.9 2020 22.8 3.2 71.6 2.4 2030 19.0 3.0 74.8 3.2 2040 15.3 2.8 77.7 4.2 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 29.5 3.9 65.3 1.3 2010 24.9 3.9 69.7 1.5 2020 21.5 3.2 73.3 2.0 2030 17.7 3.2 76.4 2.7 2040 14.4 2.9 79.2 3.5 Public Community Colleges 2000 40.5 2.5 55.9 1.1 2010 32.1 2.7 63.1 2.1 2020 25.3 2.6 69.5 2.6 2030 20.6 2.3 73.7 3.4 2040 16.1 2.2 77.3 4.4 Public Universities 2000 47.5 3.0 46.5 3.0 2010 39.4 3.2 53.2 4.2 2020 31.4 3.3 60.2 5.1 2030 26.7 2.8 63.9 6.6 2040 20.9 2.7 67.6 8.8 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 44.1 2.7 51.2 2.0 2010 35.8 2.9 58.2 3.1 2020 28.2 3.0 65.0 3.8 2030 23.6 2.5 69.0 4.9 2040 18.4 2.4 72.7 6.5 Lower Rio Grande Valley Development Council Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 5.6 0.2 93.7 0.5 2010 5.5 0.2 93.7 0.6 2020 4.6 0.2 94.6 0.6 2030 4.3 0.2 95.0 0.5 2040 3.7 0.1 95.7 0.5 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 4.7 0.2 94.7 0.4 2010 4.6 0.2 94.7 0.5 2020 3.9 0.2 95.5 0.4 2030 3.7 0.2 95.7 0.4 2040 3.1 0.1 96.4 0.4 Public Community Colleges 2000 6.4 0.1 92.6 0.9 2010 6.2 0.4 92.2 1.2 2020 5.1 0.3 93.3 1.3 2030 4.3 0.3 94.3 1.1 2040 4.0 0.2 94.8 1.0 Public Universities 2000 15.2 0.5 82.9 1.4 2010 14.4 0.6 83.2 1.8 2020 11.7 0.5 85.9 1.9 2030 10.0 0.4 87.9 1.7 2040 9.1 0.4 88.9 1.6 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 10.8 0.3 87.8 1.1 2010 10.1 0.5 87.9 1.5 2020 8.3 0.4 89.8 1.5 2030 7.0 0.4 91.2 1.4 2040 6.4 0.3 92.0 1.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 5.6 0.2 93.7 0.5 2010 5.2 0.2 93.9 0.7 2020 4.0 0.2 95.1 0.7 2030 3.3 0.1 95.8 0.8 2040 2.6 0.1 96.4 0.9 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 4.7 0.2 94.7 0.4 2010 4.5 0.2 94.8 0.5 2020 3.5 0.1 95.9 0.5 2030 2.9 0.1 96.4 0.6 2040 2.2 0.1 97.0 0.7 Public Community Colleges 2000 6.4 0.1 92.6 0.9 2010 5.4 0.3 92.9 1.4 2020 4.1 0.3 94.1 1.5 2030 3.1 0.2 95.2 1.5 2040 2.4 0.2 95.7 1.7 Public Universities 2000 15.2 0.5 82.9 1.4 2010 12.4 0.5 85.1 2.0 2020 9.4 0.4 88.0 2.2 2030 7.1 0.3 90.4 2.2 2040 5.5 0.3 91.8 2.4 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 10.8 0.3 87.8 1.1 2010 8.7 0.4 89.2 1.7 2020 6.6 0.4 91.2 1.8 2030 4.9 0.3 92.9 1.9 2040 4.0 0.2 93.8 2.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 5.6 0.2 93.7 0.5 2010 4.8 0.2 94.2 0.8 2020 3.2 0.2 95.6 1.0 2030 2.3 0.2 96.3 1.2 2040 1.6 0.1 96.7 1.6 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 4.7 0.2 94.7 0.4 2010 4.2 0.2 95.0 0.6 2020 2.9 0.1 96.3 0.7 2030 2.1 0.1 96.9 0.9 2040 1.5 0.1 97.3 1.1 Public Community Colleges 2000 6.4 0.1 92.6 0.9 2010 4.4 0.3 93.7 1.6 2020 3.1 0.3 94.7 1.9 2030 2.1 0.2 95.6 2.1 2040 1.5 0.1 95.8 2.6 Public Universities 2000 15.2 0.5 82.9 1.4 2010 10.4 0.5 86.9 2.2 2020 7.1 0.4 89.9 2.6 2030 4.5 0.3 92.1 3.1 2040 3.0 0.2 93.1 3.7 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 10.8 0.3 87.8 1.1 2010 7.3 0.4 90.4 1.9 2020 5.1 0.3 92.4 2.2 2030 3.3 0.2 93.9 2.6 2040 2.2 0.2 94.5 3.1 Texoma Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 84.2 6.9 7.1 1.8 2010 79.1 7.4 11.5 2.0 2020 78.4 7.2 12.5 1.9 2030 76.5 7.2 14.5 1.8 2040 74.4 7.0 16.9 1.7 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 83.2 7.3 7.9 1.6 2010 77.6 7.5 13.1 1.8 2020 77.5 7.1 13.7 1.7 2030 75.0 7.2 16.3 1.5 2040 72.7 6.9 18.9 1.5 Public Community Colleges 2000 90.1 4.7 3.5 1.7 2010 87.1 6.3 4.7 1.9 2020 84.6 6.9 6.4 2.1 2030 84.4 6.7 6.9 2.0 2040 82.9 6.9 8.4 1.8 Public Universities 2000 88.7 4.9 2.6 3.8 2010 83.4 8.0 4.4 4.2 2020 80.8 8.8 6.2 4.2 2030 80.6 8.2 7.0 4.2 2040 79.2 8.4 8.2 4.2 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 89.6 4.8 3.2 2.4 2010 85.8 6.9 4.6 2.7 2020 83.3 7.6 6.3 2.8 2030 83.1 7.2 6.9 2.8 2040 81.5 7.5 8.4 2.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 84.2 6.9 7.1 1.8 2010 78.0 7.1 12.8 2.1 2020 75.4 6.7 15.5 2.4 2030 71.2 6.3 19.8 2.7 2040 66.0 5.8 25.2 3.0 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 83.2 7.3 7.9 1.6 2010 76.3 7.2 14.6 1.9 2020 74.3 6.6 17.0 2.1 2030 69.4 6.3 22.0 2.3 2040 64.0 5.7 27.8 2.5 Public Community Colleges 2000 90.1 4.7 3.5 1.7 2010 86.1 6.1 5.5 2.3 2020 82.6 6.3 8.2 2.9 2030 80.5 6.0 10.1 3.4 2040 76.6 5.9 13.8 3.7 Public Universities 2000 88.7 4.9 2.6 3.8 2010 82.3 7.7 5.3 4.7 2020 78.1 8.1 8.3 5.5 2030 76.4 7.3 10.3 6.0 2040 72.5 7.0 13.5 7.0 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 89.6 4.8 3.2 2.4 2010 84.8 6.7 5.4 3.1 2020 81.1 6.9 8.2 3.8 2030 79.0 6.5 10.2 4.3 2040 75.1 6.3 13.7 4.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 84.2 6.9 7.1 1.8 2010 76.1 7.2 14.3 2.4 2020 70.8 6.8 19.3 3.1 2030 62.9 6.3 26.9 3.9 2040 53.5 5.6 36.0 4.9 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 83.2 7.3 7.9 1.6 2010 74.4 7.3 16.2 2.1 2020 69.4 6.8 21.1 2.7 2030 60.9 6.3 29.4 3.4 2040 51.4 5.5 39.0 4.1 Public Community Colleges 2000 90.1 4.7 3.5 1.7 2010 84.5 6.0 6.6 2.9 2020 79.2 6.1 10.8 3.9 2030 73.6 5.7 15.6 5.1 2040 64.8 5.4 23.2 6.6 Public Universities 2000 88.7 4.9 2.6 3.8 2010 80.6 7.5 6.3 5.6 2020 74.5 7.8 10.7 7.0 2030 68.8 7.0 15.0 9.2 2040 59.1 6.6 22.7 11.6 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 89.6 4.8 3.2 2.4 2010 83.1 6.5 6.5 3.9 2020 77.5 6.7 10.8 5.0 2030 71.8 6.2 15.4 6.6 2040 62.7 5.9 23.0 8.4 Central Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 55.7 23.4 17.6 3.3 2010 54.3 22.8 19.5 3.4 2020 55.4 21.5 19.5 3.6 2030 53.6 22.1 20.9 3.4 2040 53.8 21.4 21.3 3.5 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 54.3 24.3 18.5 2.9 2010 53.2 23.3 20.4 3.1 2020 54.7 21.8 20.2 3.3 2030 52.7 22.4 21.9 3.0 2040 53.2 21.5 22.1 3.2 Public Community Colleges 2000 60.9 19.7 14.8 4.6 2010 58.0 21.4 16.0 4.6 2020 56.8 21.6 17.0 4.6 2030 55.8 21.8 17.7 4.7 2040 54.5 22.3 18.8 4.4 Public Universities 2000 69.3 14.9 9.0 6.8 2010 66.2 16.5 11.1 6.2 2020 63.3 17.6 12.6 6.5 2030 63.4 17.2 12.8 6.6 2040 61.5 18.4 14.0 6.1 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 63.9 18.0 12.7 5.4 2010 61.0 19.6 14.2 5.2 2020 59.1 20.2 15.4 5.3 2030 58.6 20.1 15.9 5.4 2040 57.0 20.9 17.1 5.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 55.7 23.4 17.6 3.3 2010 51.3 23.4 21.4 3.9 2020 49.2 22.4 23.5 4.9 2030 44.3 23.0 27.2 5.5 2040 40.9 22.6 30.2 6.3 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 54.3 24.3 18.5 2.9 2010 50.1 24.0 22.4 3.5 2020 48.5 22.7 24.4 4.4 2030 43.5 23.4 28.3 4.8 2040 40.3 22.8 31.3 5.6 Public Community Colleges 2000 60.9 19.7 14.8 4.6 2010 54.5 22.0 18.0 5.5 2020 49.9 22.6 21.2 6.3 2030 45.6 22.7 24.1 7.6 2040 40.6 23.2 27.8 8.4 Public Universities 2000 69.3 14.9 9.0 6.8 2010 63.2 16.8 12.4 7.6 2020 57.3 18.2 15.6 8.9 2030 54.2 18.2 16.9 10.7 2040 49.0 19.1 20.2 11.7 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 63.9 18.0 12.7 5.4 2010 57.7 20.1 15.9 6.3 2020 52.5 21.0 19.2 7.3 2030 48.7 21.1 21.5 8.7 2040 43.5 21.8 25.1 9.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 55.7 23.4 17.6 3.3 2010 48.2 23.8 23.6 4.4 2020 42.6 23.0 28.3 6.1 2030 34.5 23.0 34.7 7.8 2040 27.9 21.6 40.5 10.0 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 54.3 24.3 18.5 2.9 2010 47.0 24.5 24.7 3.8 2020 42.1 23.3 29.2 5.4 2030 33.8 23.4 36.0 6.8 2040 27.6 21.9 41.8 8.7 Public Community Colleges 2000 60.9 19.7 14.8 4.6 2010 50.7 22.4 20.4 6.5 2020 42.2 23.1 26.6 8.1 2030 34.5 22.7 32.1 10.7 2040 26.4 21.8 38.7 13.1 Public Universities 2000 69.3 14.9 9.0 6.8 2010 60.0 17.1 14.0 8.9 2020 50.1 18.8 19.6 11.5 2030 42.9 18.4 23.4 15.3 2040 33.4 18.3 29.4 18.9 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 63.9 18.0 12.7 5.4 2010 54.1 20.5 18.0 7.4 2020 45.0 21.6 24.1 9.3 2030 37.4 21.2 29.0 12.4 2040 28.8 20.6 35.4 15.2 Middle Rio Grande Development Council Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 12.2 0.6 86.3 0.9 2010 12.6 0.7 85.8 0.9 2020 10.8 0.5 87.9 0.8 2030 9.8 0.4 89.1 0.7 2040 8.8 0.3 90.3 0.6 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 10.7 0.6 87.9 0.8 2010 11.0 0.6 87.6 0.8 2020 9.6 0.4 89.4 0.6 2030 8.6 0.4 90.4 0.6 2040 7.7 0.3 91.5 0.5 Public Community Colleges 2000 18.6 0.4 79.4 1.6 2010 16.2 0.5 81.7 1.6 2020 14.2 0.5 83.9 1.4 2030 12.4 0.4 86.0 1.2 2040 11.1 0.4 87.4 1.1 Public Universities 2000 26.4 1.0 71.1 1.5 2010 25.0 1.7 71.4 1.9 2020 22.3 1.4 74.5 1.8 2030 19.8 0.9 77.8 1.5 2040 17.7 1.0 79.8 1.5 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 21.7 0.7 76.0 1.6 2010 19.7 1.0 77.6 1.7 2020 17.5 0.8 80.2 1.5 2030 15.3 0.6 82.8 1.3 2040 13.6 0.6 84.5 1.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 12.2 0.6 86.3 0.9 2010 12.3 0.7 86.1 0.9 2020 10.5 0.5 88.2 0.8 2030 9.4 0.4 89.5 0.7 2040 8.1 0.3 90.9 0.7 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 10.7 0.6 87.9 0.8 2010 10.8 0.6 87.8 0.8 2020 9.4 0.4 89.6 0.6 2030 8.3 0.4 90.7 0.6 2040 7.1 0.3 92.0 0.6 Public Community Colleges 2000 18.6 0.4 79.4 1.6 2010 15.5 0.5 82.4 1.6 2020 13.3 0.4 84.9 1.4 2030 11.3 0.4 87.1 1.2 2040 9.7 0.4 88.8 1.1 Public Universities 2000 26.4 1.0 71.1 1.5 2010 24.2 1.6 72.3 1.9 2020 20.7 1.4 76.0 1.9 2030 18.0 0.9 79.5 1.6 2040 15.4 0.9 82.2 1.5 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 21.7 0.7 76.0 1.6 2010 19.0 0.9 78.4 1.7 2020 16.2 0.8 81.4 1.6 2030 13.8 0.6 84.2 1.4 2040 11.8 0.6 86.3 1.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 12.2 0.6 86.3 0.9 2010 11.8 0.8 86.3 1.1 2020 10.0 0.6 88.3 1.1 2030 8.6 0.7 89.5 1.2 2040 7.1 0.6 90.5 1.8 Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 10.7 0.6 87.9 0.8 2010 10.4 0.7 88.0 0.9 2020 9.1 0.5 89.6 0.8 2030 7.8 0.6 90.6 1.0 2040 6.5 0.5 91.5 1.5 Public Community Colleges 2000 18.6 0.4 79.4 1.6 2010 15.0 0.5 82.6 1.9 2020 12.0 0.5 85.4 2.1 2030 10.0 0.5 87.7 1.8 2040 7.8 0.6 88.9 2.7 Public Universities 2000 26.4 1.0 71.1 1.5 2010 23.2 1.6 73.0 2.2 2020 18.5 1.5 77.3 2.7 2030 15.7 1.1 80.8 2.4 2040 12.6 1.4 82.7 3.3 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 21.7 0.7 76.0 1.6 2010 18.3 0.9 78.8 2.0 2020 14.6 0.9 82.2 2.3 2030 12.2 0.8 85.0 2.0 2040 9.7 0.9 86.5 2.9 ___________________________________ Sources: Derived by the authors from Texas Population Estimates and Projections Program, Projections of the Population of Texas and Counties in Texas by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity for 2000-2040, 2001. Texas Education Agency, Demographic data for public school students, [machine readable data files]. 2001. Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, Demographic data for public community college and university students, [machine readable data files]. 2001a. __________________________________________________________________