Table 7.12 Percent Change in Projected Enrollment in Selected Public Elementary and Secondary School Programs for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity, Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios ______________________________________________________________________________________________ Program Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total ______________________________________________________________________________________________ State of Texas Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -30.6 -22.3 91.3 63.6 87.6 Economically Disadvantaged -22.7 -17.3 95.2 68.1 51.7 Gifted and Talented -25.3 -17.2 90.6 66.0 10.1 Immigrants -17.9 -9.1 94.9 60.1 83.8 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -29.9 -21.6 92.2 64.8 88.3 Special Education -24.5 -16.5 95.8 62.1 21.3 Title1 -28.6 -21.2 88.5 61.0 40.8 Career and Technology Education -24.8 -12.5 97.5 59.2 22.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -26.6 -5.5 189.0 231.8 186.8 Economically Disadvantaged -18.3 0.7 194.8 243.7 119.9 Gifted and Talented -21.0 1.0 187.0 243.1 48.5 Immigrants -13.0 11.0 194.7 228.2 183.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -25.8 -4.4 190.4 234.4 188.1 Special Education -20.1 2.0 195.8 232.0 64.7 Title1 -24.5 -4.1 184.6 226.4 101.9 Career and Technology Education -20.2 7.8 201.4 236.7 69.9 Panhandle Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -75.4 25.0 25.9 14.9 23.2 Economically Disadvantaged -40.7 -32.3 42.6 -1.9 6.1 Gifted and Talented -41.1 -22.9 58.4 0.0 -28.5 Immigrants -93.5 -50.0 -28.5 -45.2 -36.6 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -69.3 75.0 31.3 16.4 28.6 Special Education -35.8 -29.1 52.5 9.7 -6.0 Title1 -43.6 -37.8 33.7 -3.1 -7.9 Career and Technology Education -37.0 -8.3 56.2 -5.8 -6.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -83.3 25.0 51.8 98.0 50.8 Economically Disadvantaged -51.4 -24.8 84.3 81.6 27.3 Gifted and Talented -51.6 8.3 127.1 90.9 -27.1 Immigrants -100.0 -50.0 -3.9 -15.1 -14.8 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -80.3 50.0 58.5 102.5 57.4 Special Education -48.8 -18.8 103.0 194.4 5.1 Title1 -52.2 -31.3 73.2 61.6 7.0 Career and Technology Education -49.7 -0.1 100.3 75.4 0.2 South Plains Association of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 11.4 0.0 19.2 116.1 20.7 Economically Disadvantaged -33.5 -27.6 15.2 66.2 0.1 Gifted and Talented -34.7 -35.4 4.4 124.1 -27.1 Immigrants -50.0 375.0 64.8 67.9 52.6 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 1.0 0.0 14.1 105.4 15.5 Special Education -39.0 -34.0 9.4 47.6 -13.3 Title1 -35.3 -32.5 10.0 40.8 -9.3 Career and Technology Education -45.7 -30.1 3.6 41.3 -21.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -18.6 30.0 6.9 244.6 10.8 Economically Disadvantaged -48.3 -21.2 13.5 163.4 -2.6 Gifted and Talented -49.7 -32.7 4.9 222.4 -38.2 Immigrants -58.3 400.0 48.1 160.7 51.3 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -26.0 28.6 3.5 223.0 7.3 Special Education -55.3 -32.9 5.2 102.4 -21.0 Title1 -47.9 -24.4 10.9 117.9 -11.8 Career and Technology Education -61.1 -27.8 -1.4 105.8 -30.5 NORTEX Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -17.2 1400.0 64.2 6.5 58.9 Economically Disadvantaged -34.3 -6.5 70.9 1.4 -2.3 Gifted and Talented -30.4 7.1 79.5 7.3 -22.8 Immigrants 660.0 0.0 1310.5 0.0 1454.2 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -32.4 400.0 68.0 12.9 61.2 Special Education -29.0 6.8 77.6 -22.7 -8.3 Title1 -48.9 -20.9 59.7 -11.9 -26.1 Career and Technology Education -32.7 35.5 69.6 19.2 -13.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -24.1 1400.0 135.1 87.0 128.3 Economically Disadvantaged -43.9 -1.0 151.5 78.1 15.4 Gifted and Talented -40.8 8.3 172.4 87.8 -25.2 Immigrants 960.0 0.0 2052.6 0.0 2254.2 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -48.6 375.0 140.9 93.1 131.6 Special Education -42.3 7.6 154.7 28.4 -4.8 Title1 -53.7 -12.0 151.3 52.3 -11.0 Career and Technology Education -46.4 32.2 139.2 100.5 -13.6 North Central Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -31.9 -20.9 170.4 70.4 154.9 Economically Disadvantaged -17.2 -5.1 216.3 84.1 100.2 Gifted and Talented -20.2 -10.3 185.6 94.9 28.2 Immigrants 0.2 -0.6 114.9 42.5 96.1 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -29.9 -19.3 177.5 73.5 160.9 Special Education -18.7 -2.9 257.7 86.6 42.3 Title1 -24.8 -5.9 227.1 85.5 96.1 Career and Technology Education -15.1 1.8 277.0 82.0 58.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -20.8 1.6 395.1 255.7 368.6 Economically Disadvantaged 0.4 30.2 517.5 289.9 263.7 Gifted and Talented -5.3 13.3 431.1 316.7 101.4 Immigrants 0.8 30.9 276.3 209.0 243.6 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -15.8 5.1 412.3 264.2 383.7 Special Education -1.1 39.0 630.0 291.9 140.1 Title1 -10.7 22.5 543.4 293.4 254.3 Career and Technology Education 2.6 38.4 624.6 293.3 162.1 Ark-Tex Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -53.3 100.0 67.3 53.3 64.8 Economically Disadvantaged -35.1 -38.4 98.9 -23.0 -16.7 Gifted and Talented -28.8 -26.7 144.6 -21.3 -25.8 Immigrants 33.3 950.0 65.1 -50.0 67.7 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -50.0 160.0 66.6 5.0 63.8 Special Education -34.9 -36.7 111.3 -42.6 -26.2 Title1 -41.1 -44.4 77.5 -41.6 -31.1 Career and Technology Education -35.4 -38.4 133.7 -8.8 -26.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -73.3 80.0 122.0 226.7 118.6 Economically Disadvantaged -44.8 -38.4 186.7 22.0 -7.9 Gifted and Talented -40.7 -29.7 272.3 42.6 -34.0 Immigrants 53.3 800.0 136.9 275.0 138.9 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -62.5 140.0 121.7 175.0 118.3 Special Education -48.0 -40.4 204.2 13.1 -28.9 Title1 -47.9 -44.4 164.2 -5.1 -27.3 Career and Technology Education -49.5 -41.4 232.8 43.8 -30.6 East Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -67.4 -76.0 185.4 67.5 175.2 Economically Disadvantaged -20.8 -30.0 255.3 43.2 35.3 Gifted and Talented -21.3 -31.6 334.8 56.5 -10.8 Immigrants -20.6 260.0 49.7 72.4 50.2 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -47.4 -8.3 190.6 81.7 186.4 Special Education -23.3 -32.8 255.6 9.5 -3.7 Title1 -26.7 -33.4 248.5 40.4 12.4 Career and Technology Education -28.4 -35.0 289.6 12.9 -1.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -65.2 -78.0 476.7 289.2 455.7 Economically Disadvantaged -20.5 -27.4 656.4 205.0 122.7 Gifted and Talented -24.3 -29.8 866.0 264.8 4.8 Immigrants 17.6 260.0 209.3 303.4 205.3 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -54.4 -16.7 490.1 314.0 481.0 Special Education -27.4 -34.2 652.2 181.0 25.4 Title1 -24.4 -28.9 684.0 206.2 79.9 Career and Technology Education -32.6 -35.6 725.0 158.5 34.7 West Central Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -30.4 0.0 28.8 105.9 29.5 Economically Disadvantaged -33.6 -24.7 17.6 49.3 -11.5 Gifted and Talented -32.1 -35.4 11.6 37.9 -27.3 Immigrants 560.0 0.0 389.2 1800.0 445.1 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -32.0 80.0 30.9 92.1 31.5 Special Education -35.4 -23.4 18.9 28.4 -18.6 Title1 -32.8 -28.9 21.8 16.8 -16.4 Career and Technology Education -40.4 -2.2 12.6 46.2 -24.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -52.2 40.0 35.1 258.8 38.5 Economically Disadvantaged -43.8 -14.8 29.0 154.8 -10.2 Gifted and Talented -42.8 -24.1 24.1 124.1 -34.4 Immigrants 840.0 0.0 433.7 2900.0 537.4 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -60.0 80.0 37.9 223.7 40.5 Special Education -49.0 -18.7 26.3 117.6 -23.8 Title1 -40.9 -15.3 37.9 94.8 -15.9 Career and Technology Education -53.4 1.9 18.7 147.6 -31.3 Rio Grande Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -50.0 -30.3 15.3 60.3 15.1 Economically Disadvantaged -50.8 -20.9 27.5 59.4 22.5 Gifted and Talented -52.9 -31.2 23.7 48.4 2.7 Immigrants -50.9 -13.9 16.6 63.2 15.5 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -46.7 -34.2 14.9 56.7 14.7 Special Education -54.5 -21.1 25.4 51.0 13.8 Title1 -56.9 -30.7 24.5 56.8 15.8 Career and Technology Education -60.3 -19.5 13.2 59.8 3.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -68.3 -39.4 8.7 153.9 8.8 Economically Disadvantaged -72.1 -32.1 25.8 161.5 20.3 Gifted and Talented -74.2 -38.1 23.6 129.7 -1.7 Immigrants -64.0 -33.3 13.2 195.6 15.1 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -70.3 -49.3 8.6 149.8 8.7 Special Education -76.7 -36.6 20.5 129.0 7.0 Title1 -74.9 -41.1 26.2 165.3 16.3 Career and Technology Education -78.7 -35.9 8.8 157.8 -2.3 Permian Basin Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 24.7 0.0 27.7 131.8 27.9 Economically Disadvantaged -42.4 -31.4 28.1 -8.9 8.6 Gifted and Talented -50.1 -31.2 28.8 -18.2 -33.5 Immigrants -25.8 -100.0 40.1 100.0 36.2 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 8.3 0.0 28.1 48.6 27.8 Special Education -44.9 -36.7 23.0 -15.4 -9.4 Title1 -40.7 -35.4 26.5 -22.3 0.1 Career and Technology Education -51.5 -36.2 12.2 -13.8 -19.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -11.6 0.0 22.8 590.9 23.9 Economically Disadvantaged -61.1 -32.8 28.3 140.9 5.5 Gifted and Talented -67.3 -35.3 34.1 122.7 -42.6 Immigrants -51.6 -100.0 45.6 507.1 55.3 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -26.0 0.0 24.2 317.1 24.2 Special Education -64.6 -39.0 16.9 98.5 -20.0 Title1 -56.9 -34.8 28.6 103.3 -3.4 Career and Technology Education -69.1 -37.9 6.8 113.1 -28.7 Concho Valley Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 46.2 0.0 13.3 100.0 14.9 Economically Disadvantaged -40.1 -33.1 6.7 -1.2 -10.7 Gifted and Talented -48.7 -25.0 -10.6 18.2 -41.8 Immigrants 2300.0 0.0 585.7 0.0 688.9 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 56.3 0.0 7.6 36.0 8.8 Special Education -39.2 -23.6 9.4 20.0 -14.8 Title1 -45.7 -31.7 14.4 -13.8 -13.5 Career and Technology Education -46.8 -23.7 -5.2 -13.0 -28.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 0.0 0.0 14.6 466.7 20.7 Economically Disadvantaged -51.1 -23.9 14.0 187.8 -8.2 Gifted and Talented -58.3 -11.1 -4.5 181.8 -46.9 Immigrants 2700.0 0.0 660.0 0.0 858.3 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 12.5 0.0 7.7 296.0 13.4 Special Education -53.2 -18.4 13.5 215.0 -18.2 Title1 -53.3 -19.1 29.6 157.4 -7.3 Career and Technology Education -60.0 -16.1 -3.6 127.8 -33.4 Heart of Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -16.7 163.6 102.2 91.7 101.0 Economically Disadvantaged -29.3 -22.7 127.2 87.3 26.2 Gifted and Talented -30.4 -23.3 117.6 80.9 -8.6 Immigrants 740.0 0.0 291.0 2400.0 414.9 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -23.1 91.7 102.8 103.3 101.3 Special Education -33.8 -29.3 115.5 127.0 -5.1 Title1 -35.8 -27.7 121.8 65.0 8.4 Career and Technology Education -37.8 -30.3 99.9 37.7 -7.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -46.7 181.8 226.4 283.3 224.3 Economically Disadvantaged -36.4 -19.5 278.5 292.0 76.9 Gifted and Talented -38.7 -20.5 260.4 258.8 6.8 Immigrants 980.0 0.0 573.1 4950.0 755.4 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -41.0 91.7 226.5 319.7 224.6 Special Education -44.6 -30.9 250.6 335.1 13.6 Title1 -40.3 -22.9 295.0 246.3 54.2 Career and Technology Education -47.8 -31.6 219.8 161.0 12.3 Capital Area Planning Council Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -16.6 -15.8 105.2 92.1 100.8 Economically Disadvantaged 13.7 5.9 157.1 112.1 97.1 Gifted and Talented 4.7 -5.4 130.7 85.9 27.2 Immigrants -31.7 7.9 87.9 118.6 81.8 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -17.2 -19.1 101.1 83.8 96.0 Special Education 5.7 9.1 164.7 84.8 61.1 Title1 -0.1 -27.1 89.8 75.1 42.4 Career and Technology Education 8.2 23.0 174.2 90.7 61.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 17.7 43.6 259.5 272.0 253.3 Economically Disadvantaged 64.0 69.2 390.2 324.8 258.5 Gifted and Talented 52.2 49.2 341.5 286.4 107.2 Immigrants 7.5 86.8 217.1 339.9 212.5 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 23.1 44.7 256.7 262.0 249.6 Special Education 49.2 84.1 419.8 271.2 182.9 Title1 50.4 18.1 275.4 273.3 162.6 Career and Technology Education 57.2 122.1 439.8 310.1 184.5 Brazos Valley Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 8.0 -61.5 59.8 122.9 63.2 Economically Disadvantaged -2.2 -26.1 89.1 138.3 20.2 Gifted and Talented 3.1 -15.1 117.6 232.0 20.5 Immigrants -16.4 -30.8 58.8 143.0 85.4 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 1.5 6.7 65.2 128.3 68.3 Special Education -1.4 -23.7 104.3 121.2 12.0 Title1 -3.1 -23.7 120.0 88.0 20.1 Career and Technology Education -11.3 -16.2 112.0 152.3 8.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 22.0 -23.1 117.0 161.7 117.8 Economically Disadvantaged -1.7 -21.5 163.6 187.0 47.1 Gifted and Talented -2.3 -9.9 199.3 261.0 26.7 Immigrants 26.2 -23.1 137.1 205.0 146.6 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 13.6 33.3 123.2 167.9 123.5 Special Education -8.1 -22.6 174.0 163.6 23.2 Title1 -1.9 -18.0 216.1 127.1 43.3 Career and Technology Education -18.8 -16.1 186.0 190.0 15.1 Deep East Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 17.1 -100.0 120.8 -42.5 114.1 Economically Disadvantaged -14.2 -35.5 171.3 -25.6 11.8 Gifted and Talented -10.5 -36.1 138.1 22.8 -7.7 Immigrants 0.0 0.0 2275.0 -100.0 1087.5 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -29.6 -73.3 124.1 -20.4 120.0 Special Education -15.2 -33.4 177.0 -62.3 -7.5 Title1 -15.3 -37.5 168.9 -28.5 2.5 Career and Technology Education -15.3 -36.7 227.3 -28.2 -1.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 35.0 -100.0 245.8 130.0 235.2 Economically Disadvantaged -9.4 -33.4 351.0 98.2 48.1 Gifted and Talented -9.0 -35.4 328.8 264.9 3.0 Immigrants 0.0 0.0 3925.0 -100.0 1912.5 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -29.6 -73.3 250.0 153.1 245.1 Special Education -16.8 -34.8 360.9 52.5 4.7 Title1 -10.2 -35.8 380.6 100.5 33.8 Career and Technology Education -16.6 -36.8 447.0 95.3 15.0 South East Texas Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -30.8 483.3 215.6 48.8 176.8 Economically Disadvantaged -42.1 -25.8 273.5 62.7 8.2 Gifted and Talented -43.2 -37.0 267.8 46.9 -27.5 Immigrants 2500.0 414.3 198.9 200.0 208.8 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -31.9 222.2 212.4 65.6 177.2 Special Education -44.3 -25.4 259.9 50.6 -23.5 Title1 -44.6 -27.4 277.5 61.8 6.5 Career and Technology Education -48.4 -23.4 277.9 51.2 -19.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -48.7 483.3 594.7 175.4 494.8 Economically Disadvantaged -49.6 -22.5 768.4 210.9 72.4 Gifted and Talented -53.6 -33.7 768.3 174.3 -11.8 Immigrants 3900.0 428.6 582.4 512.0 583.6 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -48.9 233.3 591.1 194.7 495.0 Special Education -54.9 -26.6 726.5 222.2 -7.7 Title1 -50.2 -21.9 823.4 200.7 78.1 Career and Technology Education -59.8 -23.9 752.9 184.8 4.9 Houston-Galveston Area Council Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -37.7 -29.6 98.5 50.1 91.7 Economically Disadvantaged -21.3 -23.2 124.2 52.3 60.9 Gifted and Talented -34.2 -24.5 118.4 44.9 0.1 Immigrants -51.6 -41.4 109.0 40.1 85.8 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -37.2 -31.6 102.1 50.1 94.6 Special Education -30.6 -20.6 132.1 40.9 19.0 Title1 -29.1 -25.7 124.6 49.7 49.8 Career and Technology Education -28.7 -20.7 114.7 32.8 20.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -39.0 -25.7 216.0 199.4 209.0 Economically Disadvantaged -12.3 -13.1 270.2 204.6 150.3 Gifted and Talented -35.0 -12.1 259.6 198.0 40.3 Immigrants -51.8 -34.2 226.0 188.1 196.1 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -39.3 -27.7 222.6 200.4 214.5 Special Education -29.3 -11.7 275.9 182.5 64.9 Title1 -19.3 -12.9 290.8 196.6 141.3 Career and Technology Education -26.5 -8.3 243.7 179.1 70.6 Golden Crescent Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -20.0 -100.0 29.5 -42.5 24.5 Economically Disadvantaged -31.9 -32.2 39.3 -26.8 12.5 Gifted and Talented -31.0 -49.3 42.1 -38.9 -17.2 Immigrants 633.3 0.0 1355.2 0.0 1287.5 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -31.8 -100.0 33.2 -43.4 27.4 Special Education -31.8 -34.5 43.0 -63.6 2.3 Title1 -29.3 -26.5 52.1 -48.7 14.0 Career and Technology Education -39.5 -34.0 36.4 -21.7 -10.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -70.0 -100.0 34.8 25.3 32.7 Economically Disadvantaged -43.8 -21.5 52.9 61.6 19.9 Gifted and Talented -40.9 -46.4 56.1 41.6 -17.8 Immigrants 333.3 0.0 1510.3 0.0 1478.1 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -63.6 -100.0 38.6 24.5 36.3 Special Education -46.7 -27.7 53.6 100.0 2.7 Title1 -39.0 -12.3 74.2 20.9 24.1 Career and Technology Education -52.5 -27.9 43.9 89.9 -13.5 Alamo Area Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -30.8 5.0 17.3 92.4 18.4 Economically Disadvantaged -21.4 -14.3 28.8 84.1 18.7 Gifted and Talented -22.8 -15.9 23.8 81.8 -1.4 Immigrants 122.2 1175.0 38.9 101.4 47.3 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -27.6 -2.0 15.0 97.7 16.2 Special Education -25.4 -21.1 29.3 70.2 7.1 Title1 -22.3 -24.3 24.8 74.2 14.5 Career and Technology Education -23.3 -15.1 25.3 81.6 4.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -26.9 35.0 27.5 360.0 34.7 Economically Disadvantaged -11.5 9.6 46.8 347.6 38.1 Gifted and Talented -13.3 8.1 41.2 332.0 17.4 Immigrants 133.3 1475.0 53.3 402.9 78.7 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -28.5 19.6 24.6 371.7 31.4 Special Education -20.0 -4.5 45.8 290.2 21.5 Title1 -8.3 -0.1 50.0 333.3 39.3 Career and Technology Education -10.4 4.4 41.2 351.3 23.6 South Texas Development Council Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -9.0 -72.7 58.6 328.6 58.7 Economically Disadvantaged -6.7 -35.9 84.9 276.1 84.1 Gifted and Talented -4.6 -33.3 74.1 246.6 72.2 Immigrants -40.0 -40.0 64.8 290.5 66.2 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -3.5 -69.2 62.8 302.4 62.9 Special Education -15.5 -75.0 87.3 470.0 85.7 Title1 -20.7 -68.9 81.9 254.5 80.3 Career and Technology Education -26.2 100.0 58.5 257.6 56.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 30.8 -72.7 64.5 482.9 64.8 Economically Disadvantaged 15.8 -35.9 100.4 452.2 99.9 Gifted and Talented 16.6 -33.3 90.7 383.6 91.0 Immigrants -40.0 -40.0 75.5 433.3 77.9 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 44.7 -69.2 69.2 461.0 69.6 Special Education 1.4 -75.0 97.8 710.0 96.6 Title1 5.3 -68.9 93.0 428.4 92.1 Career and Technology Education -18.6 80.0 67.9 397.0 66.5 Coastal Bend Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -45.2 -33.3 21.5 52.4 21.2 Economically Disadvantaged -30.2 -28.6 25.7 39.2 15.1 Gifted and Talented -31.8 -36.5 19.6 43.4 -5.1 Immigrants 15.8 0.0 433.3 533.3 380.3 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -47.9 -33.3 23.6 56.2 23.0 Special Education -35.3 -32.8 23.4 34.5 4.6 Title1 -32.2 -30.1 25.8 19.4 11.2 Career and Technology Education -34.7 -25.1 17.6 49.4 -0.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -61.9 -25.0 30.8 251.0 35.0 Economically Disadvantaged -38.8 -12.1 44.2 225.5 30.9 Gifted and Talented -39.2 -10.2 37.2 198.6 4.5 Immigrants 21.1 0.0 519.8 1125.0 502.4 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -61.3 -26.7 34.5 249.4 37.8 Special Education -47.0 -21.8 38.6 222.7 13.5 Title1 -35.2 -10.5 50.2 193.5 31.0 Career and Technology Education -45.4 -5.4 31.6 256.2 7.8 Lower Rio Grande Valley Development Council Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 6.2 -100.0 61.6 199.3 61.7 Economically Disadvantaged -20.0 -34.3 74.4 152.5 72.5 Gifted and Talented -20.6 -40.3 70.0 106.2 57.4 Immigrants 0.0 -50.0 91.9 249.6 92.6 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.0 -72.7 64.7 202.3 64.8 Special Education -15.5 -24.5 79.0 352.2 74.8 Title1 -18.1 -39.0 75.9 171.3 72.2 Career and Technology Education -34.4 -22.7 63.4 129.4 57.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -15.4 -70.0 74.0 489.5 74.6 Economically Disadvantaged -40.0 -3.9 96.4 407.6 94.2 Gifted and Talented -42.1 -23.9 97.1 286.6 79.7 Immigrants 21.4 -12.5 116.0 636.3 120.9 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -15.9 -45.5 77.7 488.4 78.3 Special Education -41.5 0.0 94.6 708.7 88.9 Title1 -37.9 -3.9 97.4 441.6 92.8 Career and Technology Education -54.9 -6.8 84.6 349.6 77.2 Texoma Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -14.3 -100.0 176.9 200.0 172.1 Economically Disadvantaged -27.7 -27.0 229.1 45.7 15.7 Gifted and Talented -24.0 -33.3 267.1 31.0 -15.6 Immigrants 3800.0 0.0 492.9 0.0 769.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 26.1 -100.0 178.7 184.0 174.1 Special Education -29.7 -30.2 237.7 50.0 -10.8 Title1 -31.0 -25.6 219.1 45.9 -0.6 Career and Technology Education -29.5 -19.6 255.4 46.6 -11.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -9.5 -100.0 336.8 466.7 330.5 Economically Disadvantaged -28.0 -13.5 446.8 184.8 55.5 Gifted and Talented -25.4 -22.6 522.9 136.2 -7.6 Immigrants 5200.0 0.0 878.6 0.0 1331.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 21.7 -100.0 342.0 436.0 335.1 Special Education -34.5 -20.3 454.7 173.5 2.4 Title1 -31.2 -7.7 442.4 184.9 28.4 Career and Technology Education -35.2 -10.6 479.7 187.4 -1.0 Central Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -19.6 10.3 56.2 130.6 57.0 Economically Disadvantaged -16.5 8.0 90.7 128.9 23.0 Gifted and Talented -12.1 2.7 108.5 118.6 6.8 Immigrants 983.3 716.7 217.2 10700.0 484.1 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -16.2 -10.7 63.9 131.7 61.9 Special Education -18.8 2.2 85.6 102.3 8.9 Title1 -25.8 -9.1 66.2 91.3 -0.1 Career and Technology Education -17.4 19.7 90.3 109.8 13.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -38.1 30.8 125.9 320.1 129.9 Economically Disadvantaged -29.9 22.8 191.3 314.4 53.4 Gifted and Talented -32.2 15.9 239.2 276.3 12.7 Immigrants 933.3 866.7 363.4 19850.0 787.9 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -37.8 3.6 136.9 312.1 135.4 Special Education -36.4 8.2 178.0 246.9 21.4 Title1 -33.4 9.7 167.6 261.2 25.2 Career and Technology Education -35.4 31.0 182.2 287.4 27.5 Middle Rio Grande Development Council Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -75.0 -77.8 -1.6 -42.7 -2.2 Economically Disadvantaged -28.7 -60.0 20.2 -23.0 17.0 Gifted and Talented -30.4 -76.5 -11.3 -7.5 -15.4 Immigrants -100.0 -100.0 -52.5 -100.0 -53.7 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -78.3 -75.0 -0.2 -47.9 -0.9 Special Education -25.8 -45.2 27.4 0.0 20.6 Title1 -24.1 -58.4 17.6 -40.8 12.6 Career and Technology Education -33.0 -15.6 15.9 6.8 9.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL -93.8 -22.2 -15.6 53.3 -15.2 Economically Disadvantaged -40.0 -19.3 8.7 79.3 6.5 Gifted and Talented -44.3 0.0 -17.6 140.0 -21.0 Immigrants -100.0 -100.0 -58.0 -100.0 -59.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) -95.7 -12.5 -13.9 30.9 -13.7 Special Education -41.1 9.7 11.8 170.0 6.6 Title1 -37.3 -22.0 3.9 49.1 0.0 Career and Technology Education -48.7 31.3 3.6 163.6 -2.5 ___________________________________ Sources: Derived by the authors from Texas Population Estimates and Projections Program, Projections of the Population of Texas and Counties in Texas by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity for 2000-2040, 2001. Texas Education Agency, Demographic data for public school students, [machine readable data files]. 2001. ______________________________________________________________________________________________