Table 7.13 Percent of Enrollment in Selected Public Elementary and Secondary School Programs for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios ______________________________________________________________________________________________ Program Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______________________________________________________________________________________________ State of Texas All Scenarios 2000 Bilingual/ESL 1.5 0.6 93.1 4.8 Economically Disadvantaged 18.4 18.9 60.8 1.9 Gifted and Talented 59.0 10.1 25.7 5.2 Immigrants 4.9 2.5 83.8 8.8 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 1.5 0.6 93.0 4.9 Special Education 45.1 17.7 35.9 1.3 Title1 25.5 15.9 57.1 1.5 Career and Technology Education 46.6 15.0 35.7 2.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2040 Bilingual/ESL 0.5 0.2 95.1 4.2 Economically Disadvantaged 9.4 10.3 78.2 2.1 Gifted and Talented 40.0 7.6 44.6 7.8 Immigrants 2.2 1.2 89.0 7.6 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.6 0.2 94.9 4.3 Special Education 28.0 12.2 58.1 1.7 Title1 12.9 8.9 76.5 1.7 Career and Technology Education 28.5 10.7 57.3 3.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 0.4 0.2 93.9 5.5 Economically Disadvantaged 6.8 8.7 81.6 2.9 Gifted and Talented 31.4 6.8 49.9 11.9 Immigrants 1.5 1.0 87.3 10.2 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.4 0.2 93.8 5.6 Special Education 21.9 11.0 64.6 2.5 Title1 9.5 7.5 80.5 2.5 Career and Technology Education 21.9 9.5 63.2 5.4 Panhandle Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 Bilingual/ESL 2.2 0.1 93.3 4.4 Economically Disadvantaged 34.9 8.8 54.6 1.7 Gifted and Talented 84.8 1.6 11.4 2.2 Immigrants 10.2 0.2 81.6 8.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 2.1 0.1 93.6 4.2 Special Education 58.7 7.8 32.8 0.7 Title1 48.1 5.4 44.9 1.6 Career and Technology Education 63.2 4.8 30.3 1.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2040 Bilingual/ESL 0.4 0.1 95.4 4.1 Economically Disadvantaged 19.5 5.6 73.3 1.6 Gifted and Talented 69.9 1.7 25.4 3.0 Immigrants 1.0 0.2 91.9 6.9 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.5 0.1 95.6 3.8 Special Education 40.1 5.9 53.2 0.8 Title1 29.5 3.7 65.1 1.7 Career and Technology Education 42.8 4.8 50.7 1.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 0.2 0.1 94.0 5.7 Economically Disadvantaged 13.3 5.2 79.0 2.5 Gifted and Talented 56.3 2.4 35.6 5.7 Immigrants 0.0 0.1 91.9 8.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.3 0.1 94.1 5.5 Special Education 28.6 6.0 63.4 2.0 Title1 21.5 3.5 72.6 2.4 Career and Technology Education 31.7 4.8 60.6 2.9 South Plains Association of Governments All Scenarios 2000 Bilingual/ESL 2.3 0.3 95.6 1.8 Economically Disadvantaged 20.0 13.1 66.4 0.5 Gifted and Talented 81.2 2.7 15.0 1.1 Immigrants 15.7 1.7 70.4 12.2 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 2.6 0.4 95.0 2.0 Special Education 35.9 12.7 51.0 0.4 Title1 33.3 10.2 56.1 0.4 Career and Technology Education 46.3 8.5 44.5 0.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2040 Bilingual/ESL 2.1 0.3 94.3 3.3 Economically Disadvantaged 13.3 9.4 76.4 0.9 Gifted and Talented 72.8 2.4 21.5 3.3 Immigrants 5.1 5.4 76.1 13.4 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 2.3 0.3 93.8 3.6 Special Education 25.3 9.7 64.3 0.7 Title1 23.7 7.6 68.0 0.7 Career and Technology Education 32.1 7.6 59.1 1.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 1.7 0.4 92.2 5.7 Economically Disadvantaged 10.6 10.6 77.3 1.5 Gifted and Talented 66.0 3.0 25.4 5.6 Immigrants 4.3 5.7 69.0 21.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 1.8 0.5 91.6 6.1 Special Education 20.3 10.8 67.9 1.0 Title1 19.7 8.8 70.4 1.1 Career and Technology Education 25.9 8.8 63.3 2.0 NORTEX Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 Bilingual/ESL 2.8 0.1 89.6 7.5 Economically Disadvantaged 57.1 15.1 25.7 2.1 Gifted and Talented 89.5 2.7 5.1 2.7 Immigrants 20.8 0.0 79.2 0.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 3.2 0.3 87.9 8.6 Special Education 72.3 10.2 15.9 1.6 Title1 71.0 9.2 18.0 1.8 Career and Technology Education 78.0 6.8 13.3 1.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2040 Bilingual/ESL 1.5 0.9 92.6 5.0 Economically Disadvantaged 38.4 14.5 44.9 2.2 Gifted and Talented 80.7 3.8 11.8 3.7 Immigrants 10.2 2.9 71.9 15.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 1.3 1.1 91.6 6.0 Special Education 55.9 11.9 30.8 1.4 Title1 49.1 9.8 38.9 2.2 Career and Technology Education 60.7 10.7 25.9 2.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 0.9 0.6 92.4 6.1 Economically Disadvantaged 27.8 13.0 55.9 3.3 Gifted and Talented 70.8 4.0 18.5 6.7 Immigrants 9.4 1.9 72.4 16.3 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.7 0.7 91.4 7.2 Special Education 43.8 11.5 42.5 2.2 Title1 36.9 9.1 50.8 3.2 Career and Technology Education 48.4 10.4 36.7 4.5 North Central Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 Bilingual/ESL 2.5 1.2 88.1 8.2 Economically Disadvantaged 20.9 28.2 47.3 3.6 Gifted and Talented 57.8 17.1 19.5 5.6 Immigrants 6.3 3.4 79.7 10.6 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 2.6 1.2 87.8 8.4 Special Education 57.2 20.6 20.2 2.0 Title1 24.6 28.1 44.7 2.6 Career and Technology Education 53.2 20.0 22.4 4.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2040 Bilingual/ESL 0.7 0.4 93.4 5.5 Economically Disadvantaged 8.7 13.4 74.6 3.3 Gifted and Talented 35.9 11.9 43.7 8.5 Immigrants 3.2 1.7 87.4 7.7 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.7 0.4 93.3 5.6 Special Education 32.7 14.1 50.6 2.6 Title1 9.5 13.5 74.6 2.4 Career and Technology Education 28.6 12.9 53.4 5.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 0.4 0.3 93.1 6.2 Economically Disadvantaged 5.8 10.1 80.3 3.8 Gifted and Talented 27.2 9.6 51.6 11.6 Immigrants 1.8 1.3 87.4 9.5 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.5 0.3 92.8 6.4 Special Education 23.6 11.9 61.2 3.3 Title1 6.2 9.7 81.3 2.8 Career and Technology Education 20.8 10.6 62.0 6.6 Ark-Tex Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 Bilingual/ESL 2.1 0.2 97.0 0.7 Economically Disadvantaged 45.6 39.0 14.5 0.9 Gifted and Talented 91.4 5.8 1.6 1.2 Immigrants 4.7 0.6 93.4 1.3 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 2.1 0.2 96.8 0.9 Special Education 60.4 32.4 6.4 0.8 Title1 63.9 26.1 9.1 0.9 Career and Technology Education 70.3 23.2 5.8 0.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2040 Bilingual/ESL 0.6 0.3 98.5 0.6 Economically Disadvantaged 35.5 28.8 34.9 0.8 Gifted and Talented 87.7 5.7 5.4 1.2 Immigrants 3.8 4.0 91.8 0.4 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.6 0.4 98.4 0.6 Special Education 53.3 27.7 18.4 0.6 Title1 54.7 21.0 23.5 0.8 Career and Technology Education 61.5 19.3 18.3 0.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 0.3 0.2 98.5 1.0 Economically Disadvantaged 27.3 26.1 45.5 1.1 Gifted and Talented 82.1 6.2 9.2 2.5 Immigrants 3.0 2.4 92.6 2.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.4 0.2 98.3 1.1 Special Education 44.2 27.1 27.4 1.3 Title1 45.8 19.9 33.1 1.2 Career and Technology Education 51.2 19.6 27.7 1.5 East Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 Bilingual/ESL 2.7 0.7 95.4 1.2 Economically Disadvantaged 43.4 34.8 21.3 0.5 Gifted and Talented 88.1 7.7 2.9 1.3 Immigrants 4.1 1.2 91.2 3.5 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.8 0.5 97.4 1.3 Special Education 62.7 29.0 7.9 0.4 Title1 58.8 25.9 14.7 0.6 Career and Technology Education 68.5 22.0 8.8 0.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2040 Bilingual/ESL 0.3 0.1 98.9 0.7 Economically Disadvantaged 25.4 18.0 56.1 0.5 Gifted and Talented 77.7 5.9 14.2 2.2 Immigrants 2.2 2.9 90.9 4.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.1 0.2 98.9 0.8 Special Education 50.0 20.2 29.4 0.4 Title1 38.4 15.3 45.5 0.8 Career and Technology Education 49.9 14.5 34.8 0.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 0.2 0.0 99.0 0.8 Economically Disadvantaged 15.5 11.3 72.5 0.7 Gifted and Talented 63.7 5.2 26.7 4.4 Immigrants 1.6 1.4 92.4 4.6 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.1 0.1 98.9 0.9 Special Education 36.3 15.2 47.7 0.8 Title1 24.7 10.2 64.0 1.1 Career and Technology Education 34.3 10.5 53.8 1.4 West Central Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 Bilingual/ESL 1.4 0.3 96.3 2.0 Economically Disadvantaged 49.4 9.4 40.5 0.7 Gifted and Talented 88.1 1.7 8.9 1.3 Immigrants 5.5 0.0 91.2 3.3 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 1.4 0.3 96.2 2.1 Special Education 61.9 9.4 28.0 0.7 Title1 65.2 5.1 29.1 0.6 Career and Technology Education 69.7 5.4 24.0 0.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2040 Bilingual/ESL 0.7 0.2 95.9 3.2 Economically Disadvantaged 37.1 8.0 53.7 1.2 Gifted and Talented 82.3 1.5 13.8 2.4 Immigrants 6.7 0.0 81.8 11.5 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.7 0.4 95.9 3.0 Special Education 49.1 8.8 41.0 1.1 Title1 52.4 4.4 42.4 0.8 Career and Technology Education 55.3 7.0 36.0 1.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 0.5 0.3 93.9 5.3 Economically Disadvantaged 30.9 8.9 58.1 2.1 Gifted and Talented 76.8 2.0 16.8 4.4 Immigrants 8.1 0.0 76.4 15.5 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.4 0.4 94.4 4.8 Special Education 41.5 10.0 46.5 2.0 Title1 45.8 5.2 47.7 1.3 Career and Technology Education 47.4 8.0 41.5 3.1 Rio Grande Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 Bilingual/ESL 0.5 0.1 99.1 0.3 Economically Disadvantaged 5.1 2.3 92.0 0.6 Gifted and Talented 26.3 2.3 69.6 1.8 Immigrants 2.9 0.6 94.1 2.4 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.6 0.1 98.8 0.5 Special Education 12.5 4.0 82.6 0.9 Title1 9.2 2.6 87.4 0.8 Career and Technology Education 12.9 2.9 83.2 1.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2040 Bilingual/ESL 0.2 0.0 99.3 0.5 Economically Disadvantaged 2.0 1.5 95.7 0.8 Gifted and Talented 12.1 1.5 83.8 2.6 Immigrants 1.2 0.5 94.8 3.5 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.3 0.1 98.9 0.7 Special Education 5.0 2.8 91.0 1.2 Title1 3.4 1.6 93.8 1.2 Career and Technology Education 5.0 2.3 91.1 1.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 0.1 0.0 99.1 0.8 Economically Disadvantaged 1.2 1.3 96.1 1.4 Gifted and Talented 6.9 1.4 87.5 4.2 Immigrants 0.9 0.4 92.4 6.3 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.2 0.1 98.6 1.1 Special Education 2.7 2.4 92.9 2.0 Title1 2.0 1.3 94.8 1.9 Career and Technology Education 2.8 1.9 92.7 2.6 Permian Basin Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 Bilingual/ESL 2.1 0.0 97.6 0.3 Economically Disadvantaged 21.0 7.6 70.8 0.6 Gifted and Talented 76.1 2.1 19.6 2.2 Immigrants 9.1 0.3 86.5 4.1 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 2.1 0.0 97.5 0.4 Special Education 40.9 7.4 51.0 0.7 Title1 34.2 5.1 60.1 0.6 Career and Technology Education 44.8 5.2 49.3 0.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2040 Bilingual/ESL 2.0 0.0 97.4 0.6 Economically Disadvantaged 11.1 4.8 83.6 0.5 Gifted and Talented 57.2 2.2 37.9 2.7 Immigrants 5.0 0.0 89.0 6.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 1.8 0.0 97.8 0.4 Special Education 24.8 5.1 69.5 0.6 Title1 20.3 3.3 76.0 0.4 Career and Technology Education 26.8 4.1 68.3 0.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 1.5 0.0 96.7 1.8 Economically Disadvantaged 7.7 4.9 86.1 1.3 Gifted and Talented 43.4 2.4 45.8 8.4 Immigrants 2.8 0.0 81.1 16.1 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 1.3 0.0 97.4 1.3 Special Education 18.1 5.6 74.6 1.7 Title1 15.3 3.5 80.0 1.2 Career and Technology Education 19.4 4.5 74.0 2.1 Concho Valley Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 Bilingual/ESL 1.2 0.0 97.4 1.4 Economically Disadvantaged 32.5 5.5 61.4 0.6 Gifted and Talented 82.0 1.7 15.3 1.0 Immigrants 2.8 0.0 97.2 0.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 1.2 0.0 96.9 1.9 Special Education 46.6 4.9 48.0 0.5 Title1 43.1 4.2 52.1 0.6 Career and Technology Education 53.9 3.5 41.8 0.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2040 Bilingual/ESL 1.5 0.0 96.1 2.4 Economically Disadvantaged 21.8 4.1 73.4 0.7 Gifted and Talented 72.3 2.1 23.5 2.1 Immigrants 8.5 0.0 84.5 7.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 1.8 0.0 95.8 2.4 Special Education 33.2 4.4 61.7 0.7 Title1 27.1 3.3 69.0 0.6 Career and Technology Education 40.0 3.8 55.2 1.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 1.0 0.0 92.5 6.5 Economically Disadvantaged 17.3 4.6 76.2 1.9 Gifted and Talented 64.4 2.8 27.4 5.4 Immigrants 8.1 0.0 77.1 14.8 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 1.2 0.0 92.0 6.8 Special Education 26.7 4.9 66.6 1.8 Title1 21.7 3.6 72.9 1.8 Career and Technology Education 32.4 4.4 60.4 2.8 Heart of Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 Bilingual/ESL 1.1 0.4 96.8 1.7 Economically Disadvantaged 34.1 31.6 33.8 0.5 Gifted and Talented 74.1 11.4 13.1 1.4 Immigrants 6.8 0.0 90.5 2.7 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 1.2 0.4 96.6 1.8 Special Education 57.3 24.2 18.1 0.4 Title1 48.8 24.2 26.4 0.6 Career and Technology Education 58.2 20.5 20.7 0.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2040 Bilingual/ESL 0.4 0.5 97.5 1.6 Economically Disadvantaged 19.1 19.4 60.7 0.8 Gifted and Talented 56.4 9.5 31.2 2.9 Immigrants 11.0 7.1 68.8 13.1 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.4 0.3 97.5 1.8 Special Education 40.0 18.0 41.1 0.9 Title1 28.9 16.1 54.1 0.9 Career and Technology Education 39.0 15.4 44.6 1.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 0.2 0.3 97.5 2.0 Economically Disadvantaged 12.3 14.4 72.1 1.2 Gifted and Talented 42.5 8.5 44.1 4.9 Immigrants 8.5 4.3 71.2 16.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.2 0.2 97.3 2.3 Special Education 27.9 14.8 55.8 1.5 Title1 18.9 12.1 67.7 1.3 Career and Technology Education 27.0 12.5 59.0 1.5 Capital Area Planning Council All Scenarios 2000 Bilingual/ESL 2.4 0.5 90.6 6.5 Economically Disadvantaged 22.1 18.1 57.8 2.0 Gifted and Talented 74.8 5.3 15.3 4.6 Immigrants 6.5 1.2 83.8 8.5 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 2.5 0.7 89.9 6.9 Special Education 49.8 15.0 33.9 1.3 Title1 32.0 15.9 50.8 1.3 Career and Technology Education 57.3 10.5 29.9 2.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2040 Bilingual/ESL 1.0 0.2 92.6 6.2 Economically Disadvantaged 12.8 9.7 75.3 2.2 Gifted and Talented 61.5 3.9 27.9 6.7 Immigrants 2.4 0.7 86.6 10.3 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 1.1 0.3 92.1 6.5 Special Education 32.7 10.1 55.7 1.5 Title1 22.4 8.1 68.0 1.5 Career and Technology Education 38.4 8.0 50.9 2.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 0.8 0.2 92.1 6.9 Economically Disadvantaged 10.1 8.6 78.9 2.4 Gifted and Talented 54.9 3.8 32.7 8.6 Immigrants 2.2 0.7 85.1 12.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.9 0.3 91.7 7.1 Special Education 26.3 9.7 62.2 1.8 Title1 18.3 7.1 72.8 1.8 Career and Technology Education 31.6 8.2 56.9 3.3 Brazos Valley Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 Bilingual/ESL 2.2 0.6 89.0 8.2 Economically Disadvantaged 27.0 39.0 32.5 1.5 Gifted and Talented 78.9 7.2 11.4 2.5 Immigrants 17.4 3.7 27.8 51.1 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 2.4 0.6 89.2 7.8 Special Education 44.6 35.3 19.5 0.6 Title1 52.9 23.8 21.3 2.0 Career and Technology Education 64.4 19.4 14.6 1.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2040 Bilingual/ESL 1.4 0.1 87.3 11.2 Economically Disadvantaged 22.0 24.0 51.1 2.9 Gifted and Talented 67.5 5.1 20.6 6.8 Immigrants 7.9 1.4 23.7 67.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 1.5 0.4 87.5 10.6 Special Education 39.3 24.1 35.4 1.2 Title1 42.7 15.1 39.0 3.2 Career and Technology Education 52.7 15.0 28.7 3.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 1.2 0.2 88.7 9.9 Economically Disadvantaged 18.0 20.8 58.3 2.9 Gifted and Talented 60.9 5.1 26.9 7.1 Immigrants 8.9 1.2 26.6 63.3 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 1.2 0.3 89.1 9.4 Special Education 33.3 22.2 43.2 1.3 Title1 36.2 13.6 47.0 3.2 Career and Technology Education 45.4 14.1 36.5 4.0 Deep East Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 Bilingual/ESL 3.9 0.2 94.6 1.3 Economically Disadvantaged 46.8 34.3 18.1 0.8 Gifted and Talented 86.0 9.5 3.2 1.3 Immigrants 0.0 0.0 50.0 50.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.8 0.4 97.4 1.4 Special Education 61.7 30.6 7.1 0.6 Title1 64.1 22.5 12.5 0.9 Career and Technology Education 69.9 21.5 7.6 1.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2040 Bilingual/ESL 2.1 0.0 97.5 0.4 Economically Disadvantaged 36.0 19.8 43.6 0.6 Gifted and Talented 83.4 6.5 8.3 1.8 Immigrants 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.3 0.1 99.1 0.5 Special Education 56.6 22.1 21.1 0.2 Title1 52.9 13.7 32.8 0.6 Career and Technology Education 60.3 13.9 25.0 0.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 1.6 0.0 97.5 0.9 Economically Disadvantaged 28.7 15.5 54.7 1.1 Gifted and Talented 76.0 5.9 13.4 4.7 Immigrants 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.2 0.0 98.8 1.0 Special Education 49.1 19.1 30.9 0.9 Title1 43.0 10.8 44.8 1.4 Career and Technology Education 50.7 11.8 35.8 1.7 South East Texas Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 Bilingual/ESL 1.7 0.3 76.9 21.1 Economically Disadvantaged 31.4 52.8 11.9 3.9 Gifted and Talented 70.2 23.1 3.6 3.1 Immigrants 0.3 1.8 91.4 6.5 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 1.5 0.3 76.7 21.5 Special Education 62.1 32.5 4.6 0.8 Title1 35.5 48.8 12.1 3.6 Career and Technology Education 61.7 30.0 5.8 2.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2040 Bilingual/ESL 0.4 0.6 87.6 11.4 Economically Disadvantaged 16.8 36.2 41.1 5.9 Gifted and Talented 55.0 20.1 18.6 6.3 Immigrants 2.2 3.0 88.5 6.3 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.4 0.3 86.5 12.8 Special Education 45.2 31.6 21.6 1.6 Title1 18.5 33.3 42.7 5.5 Career and Technology Education 39.4 28.4 27.5 4.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 0.1 0.3 89.8 9.8 Economically Disadvantaged 9.2 23.7 60.0 7.1 Gifted and Talented 36.9 17.4 36.1 9.6 Immigrants 1.5 1.4 91.3 5.8 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.1 0.2 89.1 10.6 Special Education 30.3 25.8 41.0 2.9 Title1 9.9 21.4 62.6 6.1 Career and Technology Education 23.7 21.7 47.8 6.8 Houston-Galveston Area Council All Scenarios 2000 Bilingual/ESL 1.6 0.7 90.1 7.6 Economically Disadvantaged 13.1 28.6 55.3 3.0 Gifted and Talented 60.2 13.0 16.3 10.5 Immigrants 5.5 3.8 78.0 12.7 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 1.7 0.8 89.6 7.9 Special Education 43.6 26.5 28.1 1.8 Title1 21.3 26.6 49.3 2.8 Career and Technology Education 41.8 22.7 30.9 4.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2040 Bilingual/ESL 0.5 0.3 93.3 5.9 Economically Disadvantaged 6.4 13.6 77.1 2.9 Gifted and Talented 39.5 9.8 35.5 15.2 Immigrants 1.4 1.2 87.8 9.6 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.6 0.3 93.0 6.1 Special Education 25.4 17.6 54.8 2.2 Title1 10.1 13.2 73.9 2.8 Career and Technology Education 24.7 15.0 55.2 5.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 0.3 0.2 92.1 7.4 Economically Disadvantaged 4.6 9.9 81.8 3.7 Gifted and Talented 27.9 8.2 41.6 22.3 Immigrants 0.9 0.8 86.0 12.3 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.3 0.2 91.9 7.6 Special Education 18.7 14.2 64.0 3.1 Title1 7.1 9.6 79.9 3.4 Career and Technology Education 18.0 12.2 62.2 7.6 Golden Crescent Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 Bilingual/ESL 1.4 0.1 92.6 5.9 Economically Disadvantaged 24.7 12.3 62.4 0.6 Gifted and Talented 72.6 2.8 20.1 4.5 Immigrants 9.4 0.0 90.6 0.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 1.3 0.1 92.2 6.4 Special Education 41.0 12.3 46.2 0.5 Title1 37.2 8.5 53.1 1.2 Career and Technology Education 54.0 8.0 37.1 0.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2040 Bilingual/ESL 0.9 0.0 96.4 2.7 Economically Disadvantaged 15.0 7.4 77.2 0.4 Gifted and Talented 60.5 1.7 34.5 3.3 Immigrants 5.0 0.0 95.0 0.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.7 0.0 96.5 2.8 Special Education 27.3 7.9 64.6 0.2 Title1 23.1 5.5 70.9 0.5 Career and Technology Education 36.6 5.9 56.7 0.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 0.3 0.0 94.1 5.6 Economically Disadvantaged 11.6 8.0 79.5 0.9 Gifted and Talented 52.2 1.8 38.2 7.8 Immigrants 2.6 0.0 92.4 5.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.4 0.0 93.8 5.8 Special Education 21.3 8.7 69.1 0.9 Title1 18.3 6.0 74.6 1.1 Career and Technology Education 29.7 6.7 61.6 2.0 Alamo Area Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 Bilingual/ESL 1.2 0.2 96.2 2.4 Economically Disadvantaged 14.4 7.8 76.9 0.9 Gifted and Talented 53.4 3.8 40.6 2.2 Immigrants 1.5 0.3 92.6 5.6 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 1.3 0.2 96.3 2.2 Special Education 33.1 8.7 57.4 0.8 Title1 15.7 6.7 76.9 0.7 Career and Technology Education 37.9 7.4 53.2 1.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2040 Bilingual/ESL 0.7 0.2 95.3 3.8 Economically Disadvantaged 9.5 5.7 83.5 1.3 Gifted and Talented 41.8 3.2 50.9 4.1 Immigrants 2.2 2.8 87.3 7.7 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.8 0.2 95.3 3.7 Special Education 23.1 6.4 69.3 1.2 Title1 10.6 4.4 84.0 1.0 Career and Technology Education 27.7 6.0 63.7 2.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 0.7 0.2 91.1 8.0 Economically Disadvantaged 9.2 6.2 81.8 2.8 Gifted and Talented 39.5 3.5 48.7 8.3 Immigrants 1.9 2.9 79.4 15.8 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.7 0.2 91.4 7.7 Special Education 21.8 6.8 68.9 2.5 Title1 10.3 4.8 82.9 2.0 Career and Technology Education 27.4 6.2 60.9 5.5 South Texas Development Council All Scenarios 2000 Bilingual/ESL 0.2 0.0 99.7 0.1 Economically Disadvantaged 1.0 0.1 98.8 0.1 Gifted and Talented 5.9 0.1 92.3 1.7 Immigrants 0.2 0.2 98.8 0.8 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.2 0.0 99.7 0.1 Special Education 1.8 0.1 98.0 0.1 Title1 1.9 0.1 97.7 0.3 Career and Technology Education 2.8 0.0 96.9 0.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2040 Bilingual/ESL 0.1 0.0 99.6 0.3 Economically Disadvantaged 0.5 0.0 99.3 0.2 Gifted and Talented 3.3 0.1 93.2 3.4 Immigrants 0.1 0.1 97.9 1.9 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.1 0.0 99.6 0.3 Special Education 0.8 0.0 98.8 0.4 Title1 0.8 0.0 98.7 0.5 Career and Technology Education 1.3 0.1 97.9 0.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 0.2 0.0 99.4 0.4 Economically Disadvantaged 0.6 0.0 99.1 0.3 Gifted and Talented 3.6 0.0 92.2 4.2 Immigrants 0.1 0.1 97.4 2.4 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.2 0.0 99.4 0.4 Special Education 0.9 0.0 98.6 0.5 Title1 1.1 0.0 98.2 0.7 Career and Technology Education 1.4 0.1 97.6 0.9 Coastal Bend Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 Bilingual/ESL 1.5 0.2 95.7 2.6 Economically Disadvantaged 14.7 4.7 79.7 0.9 Gifted and Talented 47.4 1.7 48.2 2.7 Immigrants 15.0 0.0 75.6 9.4 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 1.7 0.2 95.7 2.4 Special Education 27.3 5.1 66.9 0.7 Title1 21.5 3.6 74.0 0.9 Career and Technology Education 32.6 3.6 62.6 1.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2040 Bilingual/ESL 0.7 0.1 96.0 3.2 Economically Disadvantaged 8.9 2.9 87.1 1.1 Gifted and Talented 34.0 1.1 60.8 4.1 Immigrants 3.6 0.0 83.9 12.5 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.7 0.1 96.2 3.0 Special Education 16.9 3.3 78.9 0.9 Title1 13.1 2.2 83.7 1.0 Career and Technology Education 21.4 2.7 74.1 1.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 0.4 0.1 92.9 6.6 Economically Disadvantaged 6.9 3.2 87.7 2.2 Gifted and Talented 27.6 1.4 63.3 7.7 Immigrants 3.0 0.0 77.8 19.2 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.5 0.1 93.4 6.0 Special Education 12.7 3.5 81.8 2.0 Title1 10.7 2.4 84.9 2.0 Career and Technology Education 16.5 3.2 76.4 3.9 Lower Rio Grande Valley Development Council All Scenarios 2000 Bilingual/ESL 0.3 0.0 99.5 0.2 Economically Disadvantaged 2.0 0.2 97.6 0.2 Gifted and Talented 14.1 0.3 84.2 1.4 Immigrants 1.0 0.2 97.6 1.2 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.3 0.0 99.5 0.2 Special Education 4.5 0.2 95.2 0.1 Title1 4.1 0.2 95.4 0.3 Career and Technology Education 6.4 0.2 92.8 0.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2040 Bilingual/ESL 0.2 0.0 99.4 0.4 Economically Disadvantaged 0.9 0.1 98.7 0.3 Gifted and Talented 7.1 0.1 91.0 1.8 Immigrants 0.5 0.0 97.4 2.1 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.2 0.0 99.4 0.4 Special Education 2.2 0.1 97.4 0.3 Title1 2.0 0.1 97.4 0.5 Career and Technology Education 2.7 0.1 96.3 0.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 0.1 0.0 99.2 0.7 Economically Disadvantaged 0.6 0.1 98.8 0.5 Gifted and Talented 4.5 0.1 92.5 2.9 Immigrants 0.6 0.1 95.4 3.9 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.1 0.0 99.2 0.7 Special Education 1.4 0.1 98.1 0.4 Title1 1.3 0.1 97.6 1.0 Career and Technology Education 1.6 0.1 96.7 1.6 Texoma Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 Bilingual/ESL 2.3 0.3 95.1 2.3 Economically Disadvantaged 67.3 14.6 16.3 1.8 Gifted and Talented 92.2 3.1 2.6 2.1 Immigrants 3.4 0.0 96.6 0.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 2.3 0.4 94.8 2.5 Special Education 81.9 10.0 6.7 1.4 Title1 79.3 7.7 11.5 1.5 Career and Technology Education 86.1 6.6 5.7 1.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2040 Bilingual/ESL 0.7 0.0 96.8 2.5 Economically Disadvantaged 42.0 9.2 46.6 2.2 Gifted and Talented 82.9 2.5 11.3 3.3 Immigrants 15.5 0.0 65.8 18.7 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 1.1 0.0 96.3 2.6 Special Education 64.6 7.8 25.2 2.4 Title1 55.1 5.8 36.9 2.2 Career and Technology Education 68.6 6.0 22.7 2.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 0.5 0.0 96.5 3.0 Economically Disadvantaged 31.1 8.1 57.5 3.3 Gifted and Talented 74.4 2.6 17.5 5.5 Immigrants 12.8 0.0 66.0 21.2 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.7 0.0 96.2 3.1 Special Education 52.4 7.8 36.0 3.8 Title1 42.5 5.5 48.6 3.4 Career and Technology Education 56.3 6.0 33.0 4.7 Central Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 Bilingual/ESL 4.6 1.9 86.6 6.9 Economically Disadvantaged 39.7 31.4 26.5 2.4 Gifted and Talented 74.7 11.5 8.9 4.9 Immigrants 5.6 5.6 86.9 1.9 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 6.4 2.9 83.0 7.7 Special Education 54.1 24.7 19.4 1.8 Title1 53.7 23.1 21.0 2.2 Career and Technology Education 57.6 21.4 18.1 2.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2040 Bilingual/ESL 2.4 1.3 86.2 10.1 Economically Disadvantaged 27.0 27.6 41.0 4.4 Gifted and Talented 61.5 11.0 17.4 10.1 Immigrants 10.4 7.8 47.2 34.6 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 3.3 1.6 84.1 11.0 Special Education 40.3 23.2 33.2 3.3 Title1 39.9 21.0 34.8 4.3 Career and Technology Education 41.9 22.5 30.2 5.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 1.2 1.1 85.1 12.6 Economically Disadvantaged 18.2 25.2 50.1 6.5 Gifted and Talented 44.9 11.8 26.8 16.5 Immigrants 6.5 6.1 45.4 42.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 1.7 1.3 83.5 13.5 Special Education 28.3 22.0 44.7 5.0 Title1 28.6 20.3 44.7 6.4 Career and Technology Education 29.2 22.0 40.0 8.8 Middle Rio Grande Development Council All Scenarios 2000 Bilingual/ESL 0.2 0.1 98.9 0.8 Economically Disadvantaged 5.1 0.5 93.7 0.7 Gifted and Talented 20.1 0.5 78.2 1.2 Immigrants 1.0 0.1 97.7 1.2 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.2 0.1 98.8 0.9 Special Education 11.4 0.8 87.3 0.5 Title1 9.8 0.6 88.8 0.8 Career and Technology Education 13.7 0.4 85.3 0.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2040 Bilingual/ESL 0.0 0.0 99.5 0.5 Economically Disadvantaged 3.1 0.2 96.2 0.5 Gifted and Talented 16.6 0.1 82.0 1.3 Immigrants 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.0 0.0 99.5 0.5 Special Education 7.0 0.4 92.2 0.4 Title1 6.6 0.2 92.8 0.4 Career and Technology Education 8.4 0.3 90.7 0.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Bilingual/ESL 0.0 0.1 98.4 1.5 Economically Disadvantaged 2.9 0.4 95.5 1.2 Gifted and Talented 14.2 0.6 81.6 3.6 Immigrants 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 Limited English Proficiency (LEP) 0.0 0.1 98.5 1.4 Special Education 6.3 0.8 91.6 1.3 Title1 6.1 0.5 92.3 1.1 Career and Technology Education 7.2 0.6 90.6 1.6 ___________________________________ Sources: Derived by the authors from Texas Population Estimates and Projections Program, Projections of the Population of Texas and Counties in Texas by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity for 2000-2040, 2001. Texas Education Agency, Demographic data for public school students, [machine readable data files]. 2001. ______________________________________________________________________________________________