Table 7.15 Number of Students with Financial Need Unmet by Household Resources Enrolled at Public Colleges and Universities for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios ______________________________________________________________________ Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total ______________________________________________________________________ State of Texas Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 146,761 41,091 110,268 15,732 313,852 2010 149,167 46,998 139,141 18,721 354,027 2020 142,614 48,754 173,475 23,475 388,318 2030 138,518 49,190 214,965 27,544 430,217 2040 130,233 48,876 256,867 30,661 466,637 Public Universities 2000 179,581 36,082 73,575 22,783 312,021 2010 187,526 42,087 92,167 26,155 347,935 2020 175,780 42,348 114,682 32,666 365,476 2030 171,863 42,045 142,420 37,922 394,250 2040 161,530 41,725 169,769 40,693 413,717 Total Public Colleges 2000 326,342 77,173 183,843 38,515 625,873 2010 336,693 89,085 231,308 44,876 701,962 2020 318,394 91,102 288,157 56,141 753,794 2030 310,381 91,235 357,385 65,466 824,467 2040 291,763 90,601 426,636 71,354 880,354 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 146,761 41,091 110,268 15,732 313,852 2010 152,222 49,889 164,064 23,704 389,879 2020 147,171 54,310 224,324 34,848 460,653 2030 145,488 57,594 313,971 49,963 567,016 2040 139,065 60,267 422,717 68,611 690,660 Public Universities 2000 179,581 36,082 73,575 22,783 312,021 2010 191,252 44,843 109,218 33,218 378,531 2020 181,240 47,285 149,095 48,116 425,736 2030 180,218 49,310 208,034 67,806 505,368 2040 172,297 51,631 280,487 90,312 594,727 Total Public Colleges 2000 326,342 77,173 183,843 38,515 625,873 2010 343,474 94,732 273,282 56,922 768,410 2020 328,411 101,595 373,419 82,964 886,389 2030 325,706 106,904 522,005 117,769 1,072,384 2040 311,362 111,898 703,204 158,923 1,285,387 Panhandle Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 4,868 346 1,618 468 7,300 2010 4,826 425 2,179 550 7,980 2020 4,521 463 2,743 612 8,339 2030 4,403 457 3,364 700 8,924 2040 3,965 473 4,037 766 9,241 Public Universities 2000 5,260 191 749 213 6,413 2010 5,886 261 1,078 287 7,512 2020 5,218 297 1,329 299 7,143 2030 5,189 251 1,563 318 7,321 2040 4,680 268 1,848 315 7,111 Total Public Colleges 2000 10,128 537 2,367 681 13,713 2010 10,712 686 3,257 837 15,492 2020 9,739 760 4,072 911 15,482 2030 9,592 708 4,927 1,018 16,245 2040 8,645 741 5,885 1,081 16,352 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 4,868 346 1,618 468 7,300 2010 4,769 453 2,508 684 8,414 2020 4,341 500 3,577 860 9,278 2030 3,994 506 4,921 1,190 10,611 2040 3,318 533 6,540 1,512 11,903 Public Universities 2000 5,260 191 749 213 6,413 2010 5,810 277 1,244 333 7,664 2020 5,039 329 1,756 395 7,519 2030 4,728 302 2,376 535 7,941 2040 3,912 326 3,138 656 8,032 Total Public Colleges 2000 10,128 537 2,367 681 13,713 2010 10,579 730 3,752 1,017 16,078 2020 9,380 829 5,333 1,255 16,797 2030 8,722 808 7,297 1,725 18,552 2040 7,230 859 9,678 2,168 19,935 South Plains Association of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 2,750 271 1,584 83 4,688 2010 2,704 359 2,102 111 5,276 2020 2,534 356 2,354 119 5,363 2030 2,467 340 2,656 135 5,598 2040 2,101 335 2,817 145 5,398 Public Universities 2000 5,025 280 1,072 197 6,574 2010 5,522 371 1,496 208 7,597 2020 4,825 355 1,715 255 7,150 2030 4,903 339 1,934 290 7,466 2040 4,245 316 2,059 314 6,934 Total Public Colleges 2000 7,775 551 2,656 280 11,262 2010 8,226 730 3,598 319 12,873 2020 7,359 711 4,069 374 12,513 2030 7,370 679 4,590 425 13,064 2040 6,346 651 4,876 459 12,332 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 2,750 271 1,584 83 4,688 2010 2,629 376 2,238 119 5,362 2020 2,313 377 2,530 153 5,373 2030 2,097 367 2,913 193 5,570 2040 1,619 341 3,041 235 5,236 Public Universities 2000 5,025 280 1,072 197 6,574 2010 5,445 386 1,623 243 7,697 2020 4,458 370 1,872 311 7,011 2030 4,225 353 2,146 401 7,125 2040 3,323 330 2,277 484 6,414 Total Public Colleges 2000 7,775 551 2,656 280 11,262 2010 8,074 762 3,861 362 13,059 2020 6,771 747 4,402 464 12,384 2030 6,322 720 5,059 594 12,695 2040 4,942 671 5,318 719 11,650 NORTEX Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 1,363 140 242 68 1,813 2010 1,501 215 361 109 2,186 2020 1,388 223 420 116 2,147 2030 1,396 227 527 120 2,270 2040 1,273 225 612 120 2,230 Public Universities 2000 3,780 250 346 235 4,611 2010 3,902 276 466 241 4,885 2020 3,487 295 554 268 4,604 2030 3,504 297 688 289 4,778 2040 3,151 290 805 289 4,535 Total Public Colleges 2000 5,143 390 588 303 6,424 2010 5,403 491 827 350 7,071 2020 4,875 518 974 384 6,751 2030 4,900 524 1,215 409 7,048 2040 4,424 515 1,417 409 6,765 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 1,363 140 242 68 1,813 2010 1,493 217 419 125 2,254 2020 1,334 232 560 157 2,283 2030 1,287 230 755 187 2,459 2040 1,078 223 979 214 2,494 Public Universities 2000 3,780 250 346 235 4,611 2010 3,861 283 545 280 4,969 2020 3,318 301 728 348 4,695 2030 3,143 296 993 427 4,859 2040 2,581 285 1,284 508 4,658 Total Public Colleges 2000 5,143 390 588 303 6,424 2010 5,354 500 964 405 7,223 2020 4,652 533 1,288 505 6,978 2030 4,430 526 1,748 614 7,318 2040 3,659 508 2,263 722 7,152 North Central Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 38,768 12,773 11,682 6,509 69,732 2010 39,833 14,721 15,200 7,619 77,373 2020 39,695 15,592 22,852 10,009 88,148 2030 38,295 16,092 30,409 11,831 96,627 2040 37,126 16,319 41,180 13,141 107,766 Public Universities 2000 47,684 8,719 5,813 6,178 68,394 2010 49,946 10,316 7,643 7,217 75,122 2020 50,217 10,789 11,800 9,959 82,765 2030 48,451 11,019 15,866 11,471 86,807 2040 46,949 11,172 21,674 12,173 91,968 Total Public Colleges 2000 86,452 21,492 17,495 12,687 138,126 2010 89,779 25,037 22,843 14,836 152,495 2020 89,912 26,381 34,652 19,968 170,913 2030 86,746 27,111 46,275 23,302 183,434 2040 84,075 27,491 62,854 25,314 199,734 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 38,768 12,773 11,682 6,509 69,732 2010 41,626 16,067 19,895 9,707 87,295 2020 43,536 18,408 35,894 15,093 112,931 2030 45,072 20,674 58,793 21,926 146,465 2040 46,354 22,963 95,949 30,211 195,477 Public Universities 2000 47,684 8,719 5,813 6,178 68,394 2010 52,379 11,318 10,163 9,322 83,182 2020 55,260 12,798 19,276 15,121 102,455 2030 57,484 14,344 32,127 21,413 125,368 2040 59,088 15,961 53,872 28,293 157,214 Total Public Colleges 2000 86,452 21,492 17,495 12,687 138,126 2010 94,005 27,385 30,058 19,029 170,477 2020 98,796 31,206 55,170 30,214 215,386 2030 102,556 35,018 90,920 43,339 271,833 2040 105,442 38,924 149,821 58,504 352,691 Ark-Tex Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 3,266 745 187 65 4,263 2010 3,363 922 302 75 4,662 2020 3,106 875 380 82 4,443 2030 3,024 865 456 73 4,418 2040 2,686 771 573 66 4,096 Public Universities 2000 2,349 427 77 59 2,912 2010 2,353 500 157 93 3,103 2020 2,126 478 207 91 2,902 2030 2,100 465 234 81 2,880 2040 1,869 425 293 71 2,658 Total Public Colleges 2000 5,615 1,172 264 124 7,175 2010 5,716 1,422 459 168 7,765 2020 5,232 1,353 587 173 7,345 2030 5,124 1,330 690 154 7,298 2040 4,555 1,196 866 137 6,754 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 3,266 745 187 65 4,263 2010 3,323 932 359 94 4,708 2020 2,948 865 507 113 4,433 2030 2,715 839 666 129 4,349 2040 2,212 740 919 134 4,005 Public Universities 2000 2,349 427 77 59 2,912 2010 2,318 503 179 106 3,106 2020 1,990 484 281 129 2,884 2030 1,865 462 347 147 2,821 2040 1,507 412 498 142 2,559 Total Public Colleges 2000 5,615 1,172 264 124 7,175 2010 5,641 1,435 538 200 7,814 2020 4,938 1,349 788 242 7,317 2030 4,580 1,301 1,013 276 7,170 2040 3,719 1,152 1,417 276 6,564 East Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 7,946 2,461 713 177 11,297 2010 7,970 2,651 1,147 200 11,968 2020 7,494 2,589 1,688 238 12,009 2030 7,567 2,497 2,280 300 12,644 2040 6,896 2,342 3,210 321 12,769 Public Universities 2000 6,398 1,114 279 245 8,036 2010 6,666 1,241 488 308 8,703 2020 6,058 1,211 758 358 8,385 2030 6,196 1,168 1,046 415 8,825 2040 5,603 1,082 1,506 413 8,604 Total Public Colleges 2000 14,344 3,575 992 422 19,333 2010 14,636 3,892 1,635 508 20,671 2020 13,552 3,800 2,446 596 20,394 2030 13,763 3,665 3,326 715 21,469 2040 12,499 3,424 4,716 734 21,373 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 7,946 2,461 713 177 11,297 2010 8,182 2,685 1,482 275 12,624 2020 7,657 2,620 2,679 396 13,352 2030 7,557 2,529 4,476 592 15,154 2040 6,687 2,300 7,697 824 17,508 Public Universities 2000 6,398 1,114 279 245 8,036 2010 6,799 1,251 633 396 9,079 2020 6,122 1,221 1,255 523 9,121 2030 6,053 1,171 2,107 730 10,061 2040 5,259 1,045 3,750 949 11,003 Total Public Colleges 2000 14,344 3,575 992 422 19,333 2010 14,981 3,936 2,115 671 21,703 2020 13,779 3,841 3,934 919 22,473 2030 13,610 3,700 6,583 1,322 25,215 2040 11,946 3,345 11,447 1,773 28,511 West Central Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 2,650 289 774 93 3,806 2010 2,734 424 1,007 120 4,285 2020 2,496 435 1,127 125 4,183 2030 2,517 427 1,292 152 4,388 2040 2,230 419 1,404 161 4,214 Public Universities 2000 2,907 110 357 79 3,453 2010 2,967 213 532 93 3,805 2020 2,502 203 567 90 3,362 2030 2,702 197 661 109 3,669 2040 2,337 185 706 118 3,346 Total Public Colleges 2000 5,557 399 1,131 172 7,259 2010 5,701 637 1,539 213 8,090 2020 4,998 638 1,694 215 7,545 2030 5,219 624 1,953 261 8,057 2040 4,567 604 2,110 279 7,560 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 2,650 289 774 93 3,806 2010 2,694 441 1,078 144 4,357 2020 2,361 467 1,259 169 4,256 2030 2,234 457 1,524 238 4,453 2040 1,820 447 1,662 298 4,227 Public Universities 2000 2,907 110 357 79 3,453 2010 2,935 226 577 105 3,843 2020 2,381 223 645 124 3,373 2030 2,388 219 782 171 3,560 2040 1,899 199 843 219 3,160 Total Public Colleges 2000 5,557 399 1,131 172 7,259 2010 5,629 667 1,655 249 8,200 2020 4,742 690 1,904 293 7,629 2030 4,622 676 2,306 409 8,013 2040 3,719 646 2,505 517 7,387 Rio Grande Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 1,072 332 12,916 149 14,469 2010 922 367 16,259 220 17,768 2020 806 392 18,289 278 19,765 2030 700 385 21,893 324 23,302 2040 590 380 24,291 367 25,628 Public Universities 2000 2,677 342 11,369 364 14,752 2010 2,286 383 14,187 496 17,352 2020 1,999 399 15,693 647 18,738 2030 1,761 389 18,773 737 21,660 2040 1,477 388 20,615 821 23,301 Total Public Colleges 2000 3,749 674 24,285 513 29,221 2010 3,208 750 30,446 716 35,120 2020 2,805 791 33,982 925 38,503 2030 2,461 774 40,666 1,061 44,962 2040 2,067 768 44,906 1,188 48,929 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 1,072 332 12,916 149 14,469 2010 807 348 18,304 261 19,720 2020 616 358 20,947 363 22,284 2030 470 340 25,680 470 26,960 2040 336 306 28,663 599 29,904 Public Universities 2000 2,677 342 11,369 364 14,752 2010 2,029 376 16,059 581 19,045 2020 1,582 366 17,808 807 20,563 2030 1,215 342 21,948 1,037 24,542 2040 891 317 24,333 1,301 26,842 Total Public Colleges 2000 3,749 674 24,285 513 29,221 2010 2,836 724 34,363 842 38,765 2020 2,198 724 38,755 1,170 42,847 2030 1,685 682 47,628 1,507 51,502 2040 1,227 623 52,996 1,900 56,746 Permian Basin Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 4,167 367 2,968 156 7,658 2010 3,807 438 3,639 178 8,062 2020 3,245 421 4,148 181 7,995 2030 3,159 409 4,906 202 8,676 2040 2,617 383 5,368 192 8,560 Public Universities 2000 3,757 225 1,265 163 5,410 2010 3,849 300 1,602 184 5,935 2020 2,993 285 1,823 170 5,271 2030 3,086 277 2,199 182 5,744 2040 2,550 252 2,392 172 5,366 Total Public Colleges 2000 7,924 592 4,233 319 13,068 2010 7,656 738 5,241 362 13,997 2020 6,238 706 5,971 351 13,266 2030 6,245 686 7,105 384 14,420 2040 5,167 635 7,760 364 13,926 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 4,167 367 2,968 156 7,658 2010 3,487 423 3,876 246 8,032 2020 2,710 408 4,515 299 7,932 2030 2,349 384 5,521 403 8,657 2040 1,685 335 6,056 505 8,581 Public Universities 2000 3,757 225 1,265 163 5,410 2010 3,535 296 1,712 234 5,777 2020 2,462 280 1,987 267 4,996 2030 2,278 257 2,461 359 5,355 2040 1,623 231 2,705 439 4,998 Total Public Colleges 2000 7,924 592 4,233 319 13,068 2010 7,022 719 5,588 480 13,809 2020 5,172 688 6,502 566 12,928 2030 4,627 641 7,982 762 14,012 2040 3,308 566 8,761 944 13,579 Concho Valley Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 622 48 350 20 1,040 2010 627 79 454 36 1,196 2020 547 79 495 35 1,156 2030 558 79 575 37 1,249 2040 475 80 610 33 1,198 Public Universities 2000 2,598 104 729 70 3,501 2010 2,535 108 976 78 3,697 2020 2,134 104 1,043 69 3,350 2030 2,193 106 1,200 72 3,571 2040 1,897 99 1,271 69 3,336 Total Public Colleges 2000 3,220 152 1,079 90 4,541 2010 3,162 187 1,430 114 4,893 2020 2,681 183 1,538 104 4,506 2030 2,751 185 1,775 109 4,820 2040 2,372 179 1,881 102 4,534 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 622 48 350 20 1,040 2010 632 81 501 53 1,267 2020 514 87 570 72 1,243 2030 493 86 683 94 1,356 2040 391 85 742 118 1,336 Public Universities 2000 2,598 104 729 70 3,501 2010 2,501 110 1,071 95 3,777 2020 1,982 115 1,179 114 3,390 2030 1,921 117 1,448 160 3,646 2040 1,518 114 1,559 203 3,394 Total Public Colleges 2000 3,220 152 1,079 90 4,541 2010 3,133 191 1,572 148 5,044 2020 2,496 202 1,749 186 4,633 2030 2,414 203 2,131 254 5,002 2040 1,909 199 2,301 321 4,730 Heart of Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 4,033 1,196 893 99 6,221 2010 3,806 1,332 1,131 116 6,385 2020 3,551 1,378 1,514 134 6,577 2030 3,469 1,357 1,986 165 6,977 2040 3,118 1,272 2,476 178 7,044 Public Universities 2000 1,978 277 141 82 2,478 2010 1,954 390 313 103 2,760 2020 1,740 388 418 113 2,659 2030 1,805 380 540 127 2,852 2040 1,603 352 696 134 2,785 Total Public Colleges 2000 6,011 1,473 1,034 181 8,699 2010 5,760 1,722 1,444 219 9,145 2020 5,291 1,766 1,932 247 9,236 2030 5,274 1,737 2,526 292 9,829 2040 4,721 1,624 3,172 312 9,829 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 4,033 1,196 893 99 6,221 2010 3,837 1,389 1,452 140 6,818 2020 3,467 1,432 2,223 189 7,311 2030 3,238 1,416 3,366 267 8,287 2040 2,726 1,316 4,759 367 9,168 Public Universities 2000 1,978 277 141 82 2,478 2010 2,001 405 408 124 2,938 2020 1,723 405 668 145 2,941 2030 1,676 389 965 215 3,245 2040 1,398 349 1,417 274 3,438 Total Public Colleges 2000 6,011 1,473 1,034 181 8,699 2010 5,838 1,794 1,860 264 9,756 2020 5,190 1,837 2,891 334 10,252 2030 4,914 1,805 4,331 482 11,532 2040 4,124 1,665 6,176 641 12,606 Capital Area Planning Council Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 10,291 1,561 4,376 1,338 17,566 2010 10,641 1,765 5,256 1,376 19,038 2020 11,146 1,944 7,216 1,786 22,092 2030 11,240 1,995 9,346 2,076 24,657 2040 11,291 2,069 11,739 2,313 27,412 Public Universities 2000 14,049 1,186 2,772 1,479 19,486 2010 14,817 1,405 3,359 1,463 21,044 2020 15,541 1,547 4,672 1,918 23,678 2030 15,806 1,567 6,198 2,174 25,745 2040 15,970 1,685 7,885 2,317 27,857 Total Public Colleges 2000 24,340 2,747 7,148 2,817 37,052 2010 25,458 3,170 8,615 2,839 40,082 2020 26,687 3,491 11,888 3,704 45,770 2030 27,046 3,562 15,544 4,250 50,402 2040 27,261 3,754 19,624 4,630 55,269 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 10,291 1,561 4,376 1,338 17,566 2010 11,783 1,960 6,765 1,660 22,168 2020 13,190 2,395 10,977 2,559 29,121 2030 14,319 2,693 17,042 3,586 37,640 2040 15,431 3,147 25,633 4,878 49,089 Public Universities 2000 14,049 1,186 2,772 1,479 19,486 2010 16,536 1,575 4,424 1,769 24,304 2020 18,641 1,968 7,430 2,744 30,783 2030 20,382 2,227 12,003 3,750 38,362 2040 21,991 2,788 18,893 4,896 48,568 Total Public Colleges 2000 24,340 2,747 7,148 2,817 37,052 2010 28,319 3,535 11,189 3,429 46,472 2020 31,831 4,363 18,407 5,303 59,904 2030 34,701 4,920 29,045 7,336 76,002 2040 37,422 5,935 44,526 9,774 97,657 Brazos Valley Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 2,652 602 628 109 3,991 2010 2,731 743 782 147 4,403 2020 2,686 739 964 171 4,560 2030 2,813 754 1,152 194 4,913 2040 2,679 719 1,339 217 4,954 Public Universities 2000 3,404 391 389 214 4,398 2010 3,522 499 479 226 4,726 2020 3,398 489 578 281 4,746 2030 3,603 479 694 304 5,080 2040 3,440 455 806 334 5,035 Total Public Colleges 2000 6,056 993 1,017 323 8,389 2010 6,253 1,242 1,261 373 9,129 2020 6,084 1,228 1,542 452 9,306 2030 6,416 1,233 1,846 498 9,993 2040 6,119 1,174 2,145 551 9,989 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 2,652 602 628 109 3,991 2010 2,853 751 919 156 4,679 2020 2,769 754 1,256 196 4,975 2030 2,858 758 1,661 237 5,514 2040 2,589 711 2,136 290 5,726 Public Universities 2000 3,404 391 389 214 4,398 2010 3,702 511 576 243 5,032 2020 3,527 499 780 322 5,128 2030 3,643 498 1,038 365 5,544 2040 3,314 453 1,316 437 5,520 Total Public Colleges 2000 6,056 993 1,017 323 8,389 2010 6,555 1,262 1,495 399 9,711 2020 6,296 1,253 2,036 518 10,103 2030 6,501 1,256 2,699 602 11,058 2040 5,903 1,164 3,452 727 11,246 Deep East Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 2,679 752 347 77 3,855 2010 3,263 962 503 74 4,802 2020 3,206 910 664 83 4,863 2030 3,225 889 865 72 5,051 2040 3,056 826 1,105 72 5,059 Public Universities 2000 3,685 670 230 168 4,753 2010 4,545 863 312 234 5,954 2020 4,390 793 431 267 5,881 2030 4,480 765 559 251 6,055 2040 4,248 700 730 245 5,923 Total Public Colleges 2000 6,364 1,422 577 245 8,608 2010 7,808 1,825 815 308 10,756 2020 7,596 1,703 1,095 350 10,744 2030 7,705 1,654 1,424 323 11,106 2040 7,304 1,526 1,835 317 10,982 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 2,679 752 347 77 3,855 2010 3,347 964 608 95 5,014 2020 3,292 913 934 122 5,261 2030 3,279 893 1,409 153 5,734 2040 3,045 788 2,092 220 6,145 Public Universities 2000 3,685 670 230 168 4,753 2010 4,629 858 382 285 6,154 2020 4,501 793 627 386 6,307 2030 4,483 762 916 448 6,609 2040 4,133 668 1,370 581 6,752 Total Public Colleges 2000 6,364 1,422 577 245 8,608 2010 7,976 1,822 990 380 11,168 2020 7,793 1,706 1,561 508 11,568 2030 7,762 1,655 2,325 601 12,343 2040 7,178 1,456 3,462 801 12,897 South East Texas Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 2,684 1,558 312 211 4,765 2010 2,502 1,789 462 289 5,042 2020 2,240 1,806 675 318 5,039 2030 2,102 1,794 865 385 5,146 2040 1,846 1,727 1,217 452 5,242 Public Universities 2000 5,275 1,762 377 382 7,796 2010 4,724 1,992 518 454 7,688 2020 4,117 1,943 770 513 7,343 2030 3,871 1,922 969 622 7,384 2040 3,323 1,856 1,364 703 7,246 Total Public Colleges 2000 7,959 3,320 689 593 12,561 2010 7,226 3,781 980 743 12,730 2020 6,357 3,749 1,445 831 12,382 2030 5,973 3,716 1,834 1,007 12,530 2040 5,169 3,583 2,581 1,155 12,488 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 2,684 1,558 312 211 4,765 2010 2,431 1,847 598 360 5,236 2020 2,087 1,880 1,104 482 5,553 2030 1,852 1,871 1,805 673 6,201 2040 1,504 1,779 3,054 927 7,264 Public Universities 2000 5,275 1,762 377 382 7,796 2010 4,567 2,051 682 561 7,861 2020 3,773 1,990 1,294 721 7,778 2030 3,316 1,981 2,051 1,032 8,380 2040 2,628 1,853 3,507 1,374 9,362 Total Public Colleges 2000 7,959 3,320 689 593 12,561 2010 6,998 3,898 1,280 921 13,097 2020 5,860 3,870 2,398 1,203 13,331 2030 5,168 3,852 3,856 1,705 14,581 2040 4,132 3,632 6,561 2,301 16,626 Houston-Galveston Area Council Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 35,673 13,100 17,580 4,559 70,912 2010 36,631 14,440 22,590 5,371 79,032 2020 34,033 14,819 30,429 6,578 85,859 2030 32,027 14,778 39,174 7,610 93,589 2040 30,258 14,557 49,216 8,458 102,489 Public Universities 2000 41,688 17,119 11,669 10,481 80,957 2010 43,362 19,368 14,340 11,663 88,733 2020 39,055 19,080 19,444 14,003 91,582 2030 36,066 18,750 24,926 16,372 96,114 2040 33,577 18,455 31,196 17,571 100,799 Total Public Colleges 2000 77,361 30,219 29,249 15,040 151,869 2010 79,993 33,808 36,930 17,034 167,765 2020 73,088 33,899 49,873 20,581 177,441 2030 68,093 33,528 64,100 23,982 189,703 2040 63,835 33,012 80,412 26,029 203,288 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 35,673 13,100 17,580 4,559 70,912 2010 36,780 15,176 28,701 6,786 87,443 2020 34,306 16,112 43,890 9,623 103,931 2030 32,654 16,637 67,034 13,675 130,000 2040 31,158 16,995 96,893 18,764 163,810 Public Universities 2000 41,688 17,119 11,669 10,481 80,957 2010 42,839 20,575 18,479 14,904 96,797 2020 37,964 20,977 28,305 20,571 107,817 2030 34,980 21,276 42,930 29,075 128,261 2040 32,238 21,798 62,114 38,951 155,101 Total Public Colleges 2000 77,361 30,219 29,249 15,040 151,869 2010 79,619 35,751 47,180 21,690 184,240 2020 72,270 37,089 72,195 30,194 211,748 2030 67,634 37,913 109,964 42,750 258,261 2040 63,396 38,793 159,007 57,715 318,911 Golden Crescent Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 1,898 186 1,067 44 3,195 2010 2,060 256 1,392 53 3,761 2020 1,790 245 1,608 52 3,695 2030 1,824 239 1,924 53 4,040 2040 1,623 240 2,113 53 4,029 Public Universities 2000 1,872 133 424 104 2,533 2010 2,299 196 560 95 3,150 2020 1,872 196 651 103 2,822 2030 1,940 182 784 90 2,996 2040 1,742 186 861 89 2,878 Total Public Colleges 2000 3,770 319 1,491 148 5,728 2010 4,359 452 1,952 148 6,911 2020 3,662 441 2,259 155 6,517 2030 3,764 421 2,708 143 7,036 2040 3,365 426 2,974 142 6,907 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 1,898 186 1,067 44 3,195 2010 2,009 267 1,540 76 3,892 2020 1,662 269 1,864 88 3,883 2030 1,575 266 2,338 121 4,300 2040 1,267 263 2,643 172 4,345 Public Universities 2000 1,872 133 424 104 2,533 2010 2,227 204 622 121 3,174 2020 1,745 212 759 155 2,871 2030 1,689 203 951 164 3,007 2040 1,369 199 1,088 229 2,885 Total Public Colleges 2000 3,770 319 1,491 148 5,728 2010 4,236 471 2,162 197 7,066 2020 3,407 481 2,623 243 6,754 2030 3,264 469 3,289 285 7,307 2040 2,636 462 3,731 401 7,230 Alamo Area Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 9,237 2,424 18,799 814 31,274 2010 9,101 2,725 21,635 987 34,448 2020 8,529 2,810 24,725 1,196 37,260 2030 8,284 2,795 27,640 1,414 40,133 2040 7,752 2,793 29,668 1,576 41,789 Public Universities 2000 13,487 1,540 8,887 1,073 24,987 2010 14,469 1,797 10,276 1,234 27,776 2020 13,300 1,764 11,876 1,450 28,390 2030 13,417 1,715 13,308 1,753 30,193 2040 13,054 1,708 14,437 1,859 31,058 Total Public Colleges 2000 22,724 3,964 27,686 1,887 56,261 2010 23,570 4,522 31,911 2,221 62,224 2020 21,829 4,574 36,601 2,646 65,650 2030 21,701 4,510 40,948 3,167 70,326 2040 20,806 4,501 44,105 3,435 72,847 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 9,237 2,424 18,799 814 31,274 2010 9,386 2,917 23,871 1,322 37,496 2020 8,807 3,189 28,341 1,919 42,256 2030 8,653 3,283 33,229 2,896 48,061 2040 8,304 3,398 36,482 4,175 52,359 Public Universities 2000 13,487 1,540 8,887 1,073 24,987 2010 15,263 1,924 11,488 1,661 30,336 2020 14,499 2,026 13,914 2,355 32,794 2030 14,937 2,027 16,521 3,558 37,043 2040 15,335 2,099 18,607 5,043 41,084 Total Public Colleges 2000 22,724 3,964 27,686 1,887 56,261 2010 24,649 4,841 35,359 2,983 67,832 2020 23,306 5,215 42,255 4,274 75,050 2030 23,590 5,310 49,750 6,454 85,104 2040 23,639 5,497 55,089 9,218 93,443 South Texas Development Council Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 113 11 7,097 41 7,262 2010 145 8 9,402 93 9,648 2020 146 12 11,606 132 11,896 2030 135 12 15,076 174 15,397 2040 122 9 18,038 229 18,398 Public Universities 2000 234 15 4,405 48 4,702 2010 289 10 5,725 146 6,170 2020 303 10 7,107 211 7,631 2030 245 15 9,244 262 9,766 2040 233 13 11,071 350 11,667 Total Public Colleges 2000 347 26 11,502 89 11,964 2010 434 18 15,127 239 15,818 2020 449 22 18,713 343 19,527 2030 380 27 24,320 436 25,163 2040 355 22 29,109 579 30,065 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 113 11 7,097 41 7,262 2010 150 9 10,925 107 11,191 2020 159 10 13,800 164 14,133 2030 144 10 19,125 225 19,504 2040 128 9 23,759 308 24,204 Public Universities 2000 234 15 4,405 48 4,702 2010 296 9 6,682 156 7,143 2020 318 9 8,607 259 9,193 2030 267 13 11,798 335 12,413 2040 246 9 14,733 452 15,440 Total Public Colleges 2000 347 26 11,502 89 11,964 2010 446 18 17,607 263 18,334 2020 477 19 22,407 423 23,326 2030 411 23 30,923 560 31,917 2040 374 18 38,492 760 39,644 Coastal Bend Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 3,138 263 6,037 104 9,542 2010 3,117 330 7,401 183 11,031 2020 2,803 346 8,414 211 11,774 2030 2,757 329 9,694 255 13,035 2040 2,480 322 10,588 287 13,677 Public Universities 2000 4,561 345 5,269 320 10,495 2010 4,582 427 6,424 416 11,849 2020 4,008 434 7,209 458 12,109 2030 4,054 406 8,251 560 13,271 2040 3,618 403 8,900 636 13,557 Total Public Colleges 2000 7,699 608 11,306 424 20,037 2010 7,699 757 13,825 599 22,880 2020 6,811 780 15,623 669 23,883 2030 6,811 735 17,945 815 26,306 2040 6,098 725 19,488 923 27,234 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 3,138 263 6,037 104 9,542 2010 3,063 345 8,379 252 12,039 2020 2,629 376 10,106 345 13,456 2030 2,480 375 12,299 509 15,663 2040 2,096 382 13,971 720 17,169 Public Universities 2000 4,561 345 5,269 320 10,495 2010 4,518 444 7,185 535 12,682 2020 3,747 467 8,468 683 13,365 2030 3,590 459 10,184 1,004 15,237 2040 2,987 456 11,376 1,401 16,220 Total Public Colleges 2000 7,699 608 11,306 424 20,037 2010 7,581 789 15,564 787 24,721 2020 6,376 843 18,574 1,028 26,821 2030 6,070 834 22,483 1,513 30,900 2040 5,083 838 25,347 2,121 33,389 Lower Rio Grande Valley Development Council Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 805 26 16,393 140 17,364 2010 851 72 20,755 283 21,961 2020 790 77 25,154 360 26,381 2030 743 66 31,716 448 32,973 2040 683 65 37,115 582 38,445 Public Universities 2000 2,311 91 14,849 241 17,492 2010 2,256 117 18,382 409 21,164 2020 2,047 113 22,767 537 25,464 2030 1,897 106 28,901 683 31,587 2040 1,736 109 34,226 850 36,921 Total Public Colleges 2000 3,116 117 31,242 381 34,856 2010 3,107 189 39,137 692 43,125 2020 2,837 190 47,921 897 51,845 2030 2,640 172 60,617 1,131 64,560 2040 2,419 174 71,341 1,432 75,366 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 805 26 16,393 140 17,364 2010 816 71 23,944 361 25,192 2020 715 78 29,750 524 31,067 2030 616 72 39,739 793 41,220 2040 504 69 48,146 1,187 49,906 Public Universities 2000 2,311 91 14,849 241 17,492 2010 2,165 121 21,383 525 24,194 2020 1,839 124 27,709 775 30,447 2030 1,572 115 37,208 1,185 40,080 2040 1,273 121 46,085 1,727 49,206 Total Public Colleges 2000 3,116 117 31,242 381 34,856 2010 2,981 192 45,327 886 49,386 2020 2,554 202 57,459 1,299 61,514 2030 2,188 187 76,947 1,978 81,300 2040 1,777 190 94,231 2,914 99,112 Texoma Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 2,414 174 131 57 2,776 2010 2,463 240 220 83 3,006 2020 2,253 237 312 97 2,899 2030 2,258 232 398 120 3,008 2040 2,057 221 519 123 2,920 Public Universities 2000 1,484 98 51 71 1,704 2010 1,583 178 119 101 1,981 2020 1,408 175 175 113 1,871 2030 1,446 165 231 127 1,969 2040 1,315 152 288 143 1,898 Total Public Colleges 2000 3,898 272 182 128 4,480 2010 4,046 418 339 184 4,987 2020 3,661 412 487 210 4,770 2030 3,704 397 629 247 4,977 2040 3,372 373 807 266 4,818 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 2,414 174 131 57 2,776 2010 2,535 246 275 109 3,165 2020 2,314 247 442 141 3,144 2030 2,257 239 665 195 3,356 2040 1,981 229 988 254 3,452 Public Universities 2000 1,484 98 51 71 1,704 2010 1,641 183 154 128 2,106 2020 1,439 179 244 154 2,016 2030 1,430 174 366 213 2,183 2040 1,260 166 571 278 2,275 Total Public Colleges 2000 3,898 272 182 128 4,480 2010 4,176 429 429 237 5,271 2020 3,753 426 686 295 5,160 2030 3,687 413 1,031 408 5,539 2040 3,241 395 1,559 532 5,727 Central Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 3,259 1,454 1,108 308 6,129 2010 3,086 1,717 1,417 389 6,609 2020 3,184 1,986 1,890 505 7,565 2030 3,138 2,154 2,314 647 8,253 2040 2,932 2,308 2,797 754 8,791 Public Universities 2000 2,600 669 399 284 3,952 2010 2,609 827 602 354 4,392 2020 2,516 958 805 441 4,720 2030 2,632 1,055 969 584 5,240 2040 2,446 1,142 1,195 658 5,441 Total Public Colleges 2000 5,859 2,123 1,507 592 10,081 2010 5,695 2,544 2,019 743 11,001 2020 5,700 2,944 2,695 946 12,285 2030 5,770 3,209 3,283 1,231 13,493 2040 5,378 3,450 3,992 1,412 14,232 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 3,259 1,454 1,108 308 6,129 2010 3,109 1,902 1,745 499 7,255 2020 3,047 2,306 2,683 736 8,772 2030 2,920 2,643 3,787 1,130 10,480 2040 2,531 2,876 5,176 1,573 12,156 Public Universities 2000 2,600 669 399 284 3,952 2010 2,662 906 733 446 4,747 2020 2,450 1,102 1,134 627 5,313 2030 2,500 1,284 1,605 1,003 6,392 2040 2,145 1,401 2,228 1,362 7,136 Total Public Colleges 2000 5,859 2,123 1,507 592 10,081 2010 5,771 2,808 2,478 945 12,002 2020 5,497 3,408 3,817 1,363 14,085 2030 5,420 3,927 5,392 2,133 16,872 2040 4,676 4,277 7,404 2,935 19,292 Middle Rio Grande Development Council Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 413 12 2,466 43 2,934 2010 483 18 3,545 59 4,105 2020 425 20 3,808 57 4,310 2030 417 18 4,457 57 4,949 2040 377 21 4,835 55 5,288 Public Universities 2000 518 24 1,657 33 2,232 2010 603 49 2,133 52 2,837 2020 526 42 2,290 52 2,910 2030 516 30 2,682 49 3,277 2040 467 32 2,945 49 3,493 Total Public Colleges 2000 931 36 4,123 76 5,166 2010 1,086 67 5,678 111 6,942 2020 951 62 6,098 109 7,220 2030 933 48 7,139 106 8,226 2040 844 53 7,780 104 8,781 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) Public Community Colleges 2000 413 12 2,466 43 2,934 2010 481 22 3,682 73 4,258 2020 397 27 3,916 85 4,425 2030 375 26 4,540 81 5,022 2040 301 32 4,737 126 5,196 Public Universities 2000 518 24 1,657 33 2,232 2010 594 51 2,214 65 2,924 2020 480 47 2,369 80 2,976 2030 453 39 2,763 79 3,334 2040 379 51 2,923 113 3,466 Total Public Colleges 2000 931 36 4,123 76 5,166 2010 1,075 73 5,896 138 7,182 2020 877 74 6,285 165 7,401 2030 828 65 7,303 160 8,356 2040 680 83 7,660 239 8,662 ___________________________________ Sources: Derived by the authors from Texas Population Estimates and Projections Program, Projections of the Population of Texas and Counties in Texas by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity for 2000-2040, 2001. Murdock et al., An Analysis of First-Time Admissions to College; Junior/Community/Technical and Senior Colleges/Universities; and to Select and Other Senior Colleges/Universities in Texas using Enrollment Data for 1995-1997, 1998. Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, Enrollment of Texas Residents in Texas Public Community Colleges and Universities: School Years 1999-2000 and 2000-2001, [machine readable data files], 2001b. U.S. Department of Education, Office of Post Secondary Education. The EFC Formula, 2000-2001, 2000. ______________________________________________________________________