Table 8.7 Food Stamp Recipients for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios ______________________________________________________________________ Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total ______________________________________________________________________ State of Texas All Scenarios 2000 184,521 199,980 610,921 11,645 1,007,067 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 193,532 209,407 746,588 16,801 1,166,328 2020 191,964 212,544 842,010 23,736 1,270,254 2030 184,785 207,989 944,919 31,588 1,369,281 2040 174,965 198,839 1,028,326 37,250 1,439,380 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 196,744 219,368 832,079 20,132 1,268,323 2020 198,652 234,082 1,060,700 34,575 1,528,009 2030 194,427 240,440 1,324,361 56,228 1,815,456 2040 187,177 241,325 1,615,655 81,985 2,126,142 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 200,005 229,812 929,245 24,108 1,383,170 2020 205,572 257,781 1,343,312 50,218 1,856,883 2030 204,578 277,960 1,871,591 99,488 2,453,617 2040 200,270 292,829 2,557,578 178,955 3,229,632 Panhandle Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 7,397 2,160 8,048 174 17,779 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 6,385 2,055 13,524 230 22,193 2020 6,273 2,175 15,606 325 24,378 2030 5,983 2,091 17,442 406 25,922 2040 5,731 2,007 18,736 450 26,924 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 6,345 2,115 14,795 248 23,502 2020 6,147 2,301 18,713 389 27,551 2030 5,756 2,284 22,759 550 31,349 2040 5,357 2,255 26,691 702 35,005 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 6,233 2,196 16,308 278 25,015 2020 5,824 2,456 22,791 497 31,568 2030 5,203 2,476 30,206 775 38,661 2040 4,518 2,463 38,387 1,113 46,482 South Plains Association of Governments All Scenarios 2000 4,880 4,119 15,393 62 24,454 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 5,673 3,081 20,515 147 29,416 2020 5,410 3,109 22,681 195 31,395 2030 5,059 2,976 24,520 242 32,796 2040 4,851 2,824 25,672 276 33,624 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 5,545 3,164 21,718 159 30,585 2020 5,166 3,264 25,411 235 34,076 2030 4,641 3,188 28,725 328 36,882 2040 4,272 3,097 31,416 435 39,220 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 5,381 3,275 22,797 181 31,634 2020 4,788 3,493 27,836 299 36,416 2030 3,992 3,454 32,083 440 39,969 2040 3,353 3,358 35,234 629 42,574 NORTEX Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 6,641 2,294 2,014 115 11,064 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 4,653 1,972 3,452 142 10,219 2020 4,543 2,060 3,968 190 10,762 2030 4,312 2,050 4,388 240 10,990 2040 4,126 2,022 4,682 257 11,086 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 4,653 2,035 3,842 155 10,685 2020 4,518 2,186 4,920 231 11,855 2030 4,230 2,222 5,997 334 12,783 2040 3,959 2,229 7,121 433 13,743 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 4,604 2,092 4,381 177 11,253 2020 4,352 2,308 6,361 301 13,322 2030 3,893 2,383 8,597 473 15,345 2040 3,394 2,384 11,185 694 17,658 North Central Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 30,250 50,127 26,700 3,400 110,477 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 40,418 54,026 70,706 5,332 170,483 2020 41,132 55,539 82,674 7,522 186,867 2030 40,764 55,176 98,145 10,457 204,542 2040 38,473 52,764 114,388 13,106 218,731 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 41,575 58,141 87,180 6,500 193,396 2020 43,613 64,448 126,173 11,380 245,614 2030 44,831 69,053 181,091 19,594 314,568 2040 44,521 71,324 252,770 30,517 399,134 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 43,132 62,465 107,238 7,835 220,671 2020 47,281 74,616 191,596 16,850 330,343 2030 51,084 86,609 332,001 35,785 505,479 2040 54,147 97,495 551,503 69,469 772,614 Ark-Tex Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 6,741 6,726 904 57 14,428 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 6,252 6,419 1,991 97 14,760 2020 6,007 6,416 2,363 138 14,924 2030 5,639 6,073 2,757 175 14,644 2040 5,309 5,685 2,990 185 14,169 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 6,250 6,526 2,216 98 15,090 2020 5,978 6,589 2,908 141 15,616 2030 5,541 6,316 3,746 180 15,783 2040 5,099 5,966 4,457 191 15,713 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 6,187 6,621 2,539 104 15,451 2020 5,782 6,747 3,755 165 16,448 2030 5,103 6,418 5,377 243 17,142 2040 4,365 5,964 7,031 302 17,662 East Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 12,974 12,501 3,407 81 28,963 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 13,661 12,998 6,611 216 33,487 2020 13,197 12,809 7,806 323 34,135 2030 12,347 12,199 9,196 424 34,166 2040 11,690 11,598 10,208 447 33,944 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 14,112 13,328 8,041 225 35,706 2020 14,089 13,419 11,782 355 39,644 2030 13,518 13,039 17,066 514 44,138 2040 12,920 12,604 23,353 613 49,489 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 14,489 13,621 9,871 257 38,238 2020 14,755 13,923 18,076 489 47,242 2030 14,145 13,623 32,029 833 60,631 2040 13,111 12,954 52,845 1,174 80,084 West Central Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 10,298 2,135 6,651 81 19,165 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 6,673 2,003 9,724 126 18,526 2020 6,473 2,011 10,953 177 19,615 2030 6,094 1,946 11,846 220 20,106 2040 5,861 1,864 12,428 243 20,396 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 6,663 2,088 10,298 135 19,184 2020 6,415 2,187 12,275 205 21,082 2030 5,936 2,186 13,933 277 22,332 2040 5,567 2,172 15,435 357 23,531 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 6,591 2,192 11,021 148 19,951 2020 6,153 2,372 13,954 252 22,732 2030 5,401 2,437 16,447 378 24,664 2040 4,682 2,452 18,639 549 26,322 Rio Grande Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 5,413 1,924 90,233 275 97,845 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 2,550 1,949 84,787 369 89,655 2020 2,499 2,060 94,783 469 99,810 2030 2,378 2,073 103,455 559 108,465 2040 2,254 2,010 110,100 596 114,960 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 2,286 1,937 90,125 423 94,771 2020 1,993 2,034 109,249 622 113,898 2030 1,670 2,016 125,643 851 130,180 2040 1,388 1,931 141,282 1,054 145,656 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 2,031 1,884 95,646 487 100,049 2020 1,552 1,916 124,300 798 128,566 2030 1,123 1,818 147,248 1,206 151,395 2040 803 1,652 168,603 1,686 172,743 Permian Basin Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 5,650 2,708 14,443 75 22,876 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 5,248 2,255 23,286 138 30,927 2020 5,196 2,277 26,429 202 34,103 2030 4,836 2,181 29,009 260 36,287 2040 4,654 2,096 31,091 267 38,108 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 4,998 2,273 24,671 140 32,083 2020 4,675 2,294 29,742 211 36,922 2030 4,111 2,206 34,266 282 40,866 2040 3,695 2,114 38,612 295 44,716 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 4,654 2,298 25,897 158 33,008 2020 3,986 2,328 32,640 276 39,230 2030 3,166 2,209 38,550 437 44,361 2040 2,514 2,052 44,078 567 49,211 Concho Valley Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 2,909 544 4,095 39 7,587 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 2,178 548 6,980 64 9,770 2020 2,125 550 7,725 87 10,486 2030 1,980 542 8,256 110 10,888 2040 1,874 528 8,602 119 11,124 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 2,157 557 7,491 66 10,272 2020 2,060 571 8,877 93 11,602 2030 1,860 567 10,004 118 12,549 2040 1,694 552 11,056 131 13,433 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 2,134 582 8,059 77 10,853 2020 1,982 618 10,161 133 12,892 2030 1,696 632 11,926 200 14,454 2040 1,431 633 13,604 276 15,943 Heart of Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 5,174 6,925 3,129 59 15,287 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 5,781 6,900 6,163 109 18,953 2020 5,530 6,779 6,909 154 19,372 2030 5,143 6,450 7,695 186 19,473 2040 4,870 6,102 8,203 208 19,383 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 5,850 7,113 7,345 119 20,427 2020 5,672 7,213 9,869 192 22,946 2030 5,271 7,050 12,808 273 25,402 2040 4,947 6,833 16,207 374 28,362 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 5,874 7,319 8,828 137 22,158 2020 5,655 7,593 14,228 260 27,737 2030 5,057 7,461 21,199 407 34,125 2040 4,471 7,191 30,648 635 42,945 Capital Area Planning Council All Scenarios 2000 7,202 7,124 13,732 464 28,522 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 10,109 8,463 28,678 1,042 48,292 2020 10,379 8,594 31,332 1,441 51,746 2030 10,344 8,508 36,020 2,025 56,896 2040 9,902 8,151 39,475 2,627 60,154 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 11,109 9,222 34,656 1,264 56,251 2020 12,621 10,252 45,992 2,191 71,056 2030 13,933 11,107 62,546 3,898 91,485 2040 14,797 11,715 82,316 6,454 115,282 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 12,267 10,090 41,894 1,534 65,785 2020 15,478 12,410 67,641 3,309 98,838 2030 18,891 14,971 108,978 7,377 150,217 2040 22,082 17,741 171,100 15,295 226,218 Brazos Valley Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 2,638 5,258 2,157 62 10,115 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 3,623 5,259 4,510 165 13,557 2020 3,621 5,348 5,070 220 14,259 2030 3,499 5,171 5,729 285 14,684 2040 3,436 5,012 6,136 346 14,930 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 3,816 5,399 5,101 175 14,491 2020 4,033 5,640 6,517 250 16,439 2030 4,044 5,551 8,214 363 18,172 2040 4,062 5,488 9,926 515 19,992 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 3,994 5,589 5,839 185 15,607 2020 4,374 5,963 8,554 303 19,193 2030 4,399 5,982 11,930 471 22,782 2040 4,291 5,881 15,912 721 26,805 Deep East Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 10,261 9,217 2,499 80 22,057 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 8,847 9,016 4,624 128 22,616 2020 8,583 8,980 5,428 169 23,159 2030 8,113 8,453 6,291 205 23,062 2040 7,685 7,963 6,867 218 22,733 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 9,200 9,190 5,384 130 23,904 2020 9,285 9,302 7,431 174 26,191 2030 9,015 8,872 10,049 216 28,153 2040 8,691 8,442 12,848 227 30,208 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 9,508 9,406 6,372 145 25,431 2020 9,875 9,614 10,416 222 30,127 2030 9,663 9,224 16,305 353 35,545 2040 9,171 8,662 23,674 479 41,985 South East Texas Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 6,919 13,758 1,362 831 22,870 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 5,532 12,243 2,543 288 20,606 2020 5,302 12,219 2,840 386 20,746 2030 4,933 11,633 3,211 512 20,289 2040 4,582 11,048 3,386 586 19,603 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 5,393 12,631 3,218 336 21,577 2020 5,031 13,042 4,609 523 23,204 2030 4,531 12,792 6,572 828 24,723 2040 4,053 12,468 8,794 1,136 26,451 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 5,218 12,953 4,075 395 22,641 2020 4,659 13,676 7,485 715 26,536 2030 3,944 13,519 13,298 1,326 32,088 2040 3,266 13,136 21,879 2,166 40,447 Houston-Galveston Area Council All Scenarios 2000 21,620 53,175 37,350 4,519 116,664 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 29,098 59,821 85,017 6,257 180,193 2020 29,889 60,723 97,940 9,021 197,573 2030 29,383 59,914 116,482 11,784 217,563 2040 27,486 57,426 131,963 13,429 230,305 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 29,319 62,084 101,772 7,716 200,891 2020 30,266 65,895 139,686 13,725 249,572 2030 30,027 67,604 189,545 22,042 309,218 2040 28,442 67,411 248,999 30,999 375,852 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 29,671 64,321 122,345 9,355 225,692 2020 30,955 71,302 201,381 20,208 323,846 2030 31,251 75,849 310,465 39,421 456,986 2040 30,321 78,369 462,317 67,551 638,558 Golden Crescent Regional Planning Commission All Scenarios 2000 2,339 1,798 5,947 48 10,132 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 2,570 1,479 8,403 64 12,515 2020 2,544 1,501 9,448 96 13,589 2030 2,362 1,432 10,393 134 14,320 2040 2,238 1,370 11,073 144 14,824 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 2,574 1,511 9,003 65 13,154 2020 2,526 1,544 10,883 99 15,053 2030 2,319 1,476 12,734 142 16,670 2040 2,139 1,425 14,480 154 18,198 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 2,543 1,583 9,705 72 13,903 2020 2,411 1,658 12,573 122 16,764 2030 2,111 1,637 15,341 232 19,321 2040 1,801 1,579 18,034 354 21,767 Alamo Area Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 12,797 9,036 69,989 367 92,189 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 15,289 9,272 118,005 882 143,448 2020 14,804 9,335 126,871 1,216 152,226 2030 13,929 8,905 134,657 1,556 159,047 2040 12,979 8,299 137,331 1,741 160,350 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 15,744 9,901 127,246 1,052 153,942 2020 15,830 10,659 148,881 1,729 177,098 2030 15,404 10,869 169,086 2,665 198,024 2040 14,738 10,747 185,039 3,734 214,258 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 16,280 10,559 136,785 1,254 164,877 2020 17,083 12,060 172,264 2,478 203,886 2030 17,370 12,943 205,651 4,623 240,587 2040 17,241 13,283 234,599 8,157 273,280 South Texas Development Council All Scenarios 2000 751 27 52,005 27 52,810 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 225 28 41,846 44 42,143 2020 217 32 48,575 75 48,899 2030 205 32 55,956 108 56,301 2040 184 32 62,772 123 63,111 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 234 28 45,414 44 45,721 2020 230 32 58,586 78 58,927 2030 221 32 72,958 117 73,329 2040 202 31 88,658 139 89,030 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 247 28 49,151 50 49,476 2020 248 32 69,645 95 70,020 2030 241 32 91,787 179 92,238 2040 215 30 116,614 265 117,124 Coastal Bend Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 7,061 2,509 38,296 251 48,117 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 5,166 2,213 42,540 268 50,186 2020 5,034 2,233 45,888 377 53,532 2030 4,713 2,140 48,463 466 55,782 2040 4,452 1,999 49,646 496 56,593 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 5,158 2,298 46,023 296 53,776 2020 5,001 2,388 54,161 476 62,026 2030 4,625 2,363 61,471 695 69,154 2040 4,295 2,269 67,850 871 75,284 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 5,110 2,401 49,595 351 57,458 2020 4,848 2,614 63,095 666 71,223 2030 4,324 2,670 75,405 1,184 83,583 2040 3,804 2,646 86,876 1,806 95,133 Lower Rio Grande Valley Development Council All Scenarios 2000 3,704 293 185,107 137 189,241 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 2,126 229 134,324 197 136,876 2020 2,005 249 154,659 277 157,190 2030 1,859 248 175,683 371 178,161 2040 1,728 238 194,687 409 197,062 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 2,137 232 146,214 224 148,807 2020 1,997 254 187,337 376 189,965 2030 1,817 246 231,998 616 234,677 2040 1,625 231 279,003 842 281,701 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 2,117 247 158,615 269 161,249 2020 1,933 278 222,975 552 225,737 2030 1,659 297 294,966 1,026 297,946 2040 1,329 294 372,166 1,644 375,433 Texoma Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 3,981 1,105 533 63 5,682 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 3,915 1,175 1,226 100 6,416 2020 3,817 1,210 1,469 134 6,631 2030 3,552 1,177 1,734 165 6,627 2040 3,345 1,131 1,918 185 6,579 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 4,026 1,193 1,443 108 6,769 2020 4,035 1,236 2,028 158 7,458 2030 3,832 1,198 2,816 214 8,060 2040 3,641 1,144 3,684 283 8,752 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 4,117 1,247 1,715 124 7,203 2020 4,171 1,333 2,855 220 8,579 2030 3,910 1,323 4,594 339 10,166 2040 3,581 1,271 6,834 499 12,185 Central Texas Council of Governments All Scenarios 2000 5,581 4,393 3,164 186 13,324 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 6,767 5,900 5,705 353 18,725 2020 6,615 6,228 6,350 484 19,676 2030 6,634 6,521 7,149 622 20,925 2040 6,575 6,576 7,584 696 21,431 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 6,794 6,299 6,573 411 20,076 2020 6,687 7,223 8,432 683 23,025 2030 6,575 8,099 10,781 1,048 26,503 2040 6,406 8,782 13,133 1,428 29,749 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 6,813 6,731 7,650 485 21,679 2020 6,657 8,343 11,365 942 27,306 2030 6,275 9,852 16,409 1,681 34,217 2040 5,802 11,195 22,553 2,781 42,331 Middle Rio Grande Development Council All Scenarios 2000 1,340 124 23,763 192 25,419 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010 795 102 21,428 42 22,367 2020 772 106 24,243 57 25,179 2030 722 101 26,443 78 27,344 2040 677 92 28,387 97 29,253 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2010 806 103 22,311 43 23,263 2020 783 108 26,240 58 27,190 2030 721 103 29,553 80 30,457 2040 666 93 32,525 98 33,382 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2010 810 112 22,917 47 23,886 2020 772 130 27,364 67 28,332 2030 677 140 30,800 98 31,716 2040 578 144 33,264 142 34,127 ___________________________________ Sources: Derived by the authors from Texas Population Estimates and Projections Program, Projections of the Population of Texas and Counties in Texas by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity for 2000-2040, 2001. Texas Department of Human Services, Monthly Client Files for 1999, 2000, and 2001, [machine readable data files], 1999-2001a. ______________________________________________________________________