Table 8.8 Percent Change in Projected Number of Food Stamp Recipients for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios, 2000-2040 ___________________________________________________________________________ Time Period Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total ___________________________________________________________________________ State of Texas Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 4.9 4.7 22.2 44.3 15.8 2010-2020 -0.8 1.5 12.8 41.3 8.9 2020-2030 -3.7 -2.1 12.2 33.1 7.8 2030-2040 -5.3 -4.4 8.8 17.9 5.1 2000-2040 -5.2 -0.6 68.3 219.9 42.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 6.6 9.7 36.2 72.9 25.9 2010-2020 1.0 6.7 27.5 71.7 20.5 2020-2030 -2.1 2.7 24.9 62.6 18.8 2030-2040 -3.7 0.4 22.0 45.8 17.1 2000-2040 1.4 20.7 164.5 604.0 111.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 8.4 14.9 52.1 107.0 37.3 2010-2020 2.8 12.2 44.6 108.3 34.2 2020-2030 -0.5 7.8 39.3 98.1 32.1 2030-2040 -2.1 5.3 36.7 79.9 31.6 2000-2040 8.5 46.4 318.6 1436.8 220.7 Panhandle Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -13.7 -4.9 68.0 32.1 24.8 2010-2020 -1.8 5.8 15.4 41.4 9.8 2020-2030 -4.6 -3.8 11.8 24.7 6.3 2030-2040 -4.2 -4.0 7.4 10.9 3.9 2000-2040 -22.5 -7.1 132.8 158.5 51.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -14.2 -2.1 83.8 42.4 32.2 2010-2020 -3.1 8.8 26.5 57.1 17.2 2020-2030 -6.4 -0.7 21.6 41.3 13.8 2030-2040 -6.9 -1.3 17.3 27.7 11.7 2000-2040 -27.6 4.4 231.6 303.7 96.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -15.7 1.7 102.6 59.9 40.7 2010-2020 -6.6 11.8 39.8 78.6 26.2 2020-2030 -10.7 0.9 32.5 56.0 22.5 2030-2040 -13.2 -0.5 27.1 43.6 20.2 2000-2040 -38.9 14.0 377.0 539.7 161.4 South Plains Association of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 16.2 -25.2 33.3 136.6 20.3 2010-2020 -4.6 0.9 10.6 32.7 6.7 2020-2030 -6.5 -4.3 8.1 24.1 4.5 2030-2040 -4.1 -5.1 4.7 14.3 2.5 2000-2040 -0.6 -31.4 66.8 345.3 37.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 13.6 -23.2 41.1 155.8 25.1 2010-2020 -6.8 3.2 17.0 48.3 11.4 2020-2030 -10.2 -2.3 13.0 39.5 8.2 2030-2040 -7.9 -2.8 9.4 32.7 6.3 2000-2040 -12.5 -24.8 104.1 602.2 60.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 10.3 -20.5 48.1 192.1 29.4 2010-2020 -11.0 6.6 22.1 65.2 15.1 2020-2030 -16.6 -1.1 15.3 47.2 9.8 2030-2040 -16.0 -2.8 9.8 42.9 6.5 2000-2040 -31.3 -18.5 128.9 914.8 74.1 NORTEX Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -29.9 -14.0 71.4 23.5 -7.6 2010-2020 -2.4 4.5 15.0 33.9 5.3 2020-2030 -5.1 -0.5 10.6 26.1 2.1 2030-2040 -4.3 -1.4 6.7 7.1 0.9 2000-2040 -37.9 -11.9 132.5 123.4 0.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -29.9 -11.3 90.7 34.9 -3.4 2010-2020 -2.9 7.4 28.1 48.6 10.9 2020-2030 -6.4 1.6 21.9 44.9 7.8 2030-2040 -6.4 0.3 18.7 29.6 7.5 2000-2040 -40.4 -2.8 253.6 276.6 24.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -30.7 -8.8 117.5 53.8 1.7 2010-2020 -5.5 10.3 45.2 70.2 18.4 2020-2030 -10.5 3.2 35.1 57.0 15.2 2030-2040 -12.8 0.1 30.1 46.8 15.1 2000-2040 -48.9 3.9 455.4 503.7 59.6 North Central Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 33.6 7.8 164.8 56.8 54.3 2010-2020 1.8 2.8 16.9 41.1 9.6 2020-2030 -0.9 -0.7 18.7 39.0 9.5 2030-2040 -5.6 -4.4 16.5 25.3 6.9 2000-2040 27.2 5.3 328.4 285.5 98.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 37.4 16.0 226.5 91.2 75.1 2010-2020 4.9 10.8 44.7 75.1 27.0 2020-2030 2.8 7.1 43.5 72.2 28.1 2030-2040 -0.7 3.3 39.6 55.8 26.9 2000-2040 47.2 42.3 846.7 797.6 261.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 42.6 24.6 301.6 130.5 99.7 2010-2020 9.6 19.5 78.7 115.1 49.7 2020-2030 8.0 16.1 73.3 112.4 53.0 2030-2040 6.0 12.6 66.1 94.1 52.8 2000-2040 79.0 94.5 1965.6 1943.2 599.3 Ark-Tex Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -7.3 -4.6 120.3 70.5 2.3 2010-2020 -3.9 0.0 18.7 42.0 1.1 2020-2030 -6.1 -5.3 16.6 26.8 -1.9 2030-2040 -5.9 -6.4 8.5 5.8 -3.2 2000-2040 -21.2 -15.5 230.7 225.1 -1.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -7.3 -3.0 145.1 71.9 4.6 2010-2020 -4.3 1.0 31.2 43.7 3.5 2020-2030 -7.3 -4.1 28.8 28.1 1.1 2030-2040 -8.0 -5.5 19.0 5.7 -0.4 2000-2040 -24.4 -11.3 393.1 234.5 8.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -8.2 -1.6 180.9 83.3 7.1 2010-2020 -6.5 1.9 47.9 57.7 6.5 2020-2030 -11.7 -4.9 43.2 47.7 4.2 2030-2040 -14.5 -7.1 30.7 24.2 3.0 2000-2040 -35.2 -11.3 677.7 430.0 22.4 East Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 5.3 4.0 94.0 166.7 15.6 2010-2020 -3.4 -1.5 18.1 49.5 1.9 2020-2030 -6.4 -4.8 17.8 31.2 0.1 2030-2040 -5.3 -4.9 11.0 5.6 -0.6 2000-2040 -9.9 -7.2 199.6 452.0 17.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 8.8 6.6 136.0 177.9 23.3 2010-2020 -0.2 0.7 46.5 57.8 11.0 2020-2030 -4.1 -2.8 44.9 44.8 11.3 2030-2040 -4.4 -3.3 36.8 19.3 12.1 2000-2040 -0.4 0.8 585.4 657.4 70.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 11.7 9.0 189.7 217.3 32.0 2010-2020 1.8 2.2 83.1 90.2 23.5 2020-2030 -4.1 -2.2 77.2 70.5 28.3 2030-2040 -7.3 -4.9 65.0 40.9 32.1 2000-2040 1.1 3.6 1451.1 1349.7 176.5 West Central Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -35.2 -6.2 46.2 55.9 -3.3 2010-2020 -3.0 0.4 12.6 40.1 5.9 2020-2030 -5.9 -3.3 8.2 24.2 2.5 2030-2040 -3.8 -4.2 4.9 10.5 1.4 2000-2040 -43.1 -12.7 86.9 199.8 6.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -35.3 -2.2 54.8 66.7 0.1 2010-2020 -3.7 4.8 19.2 51.5 9.9 2020-2030 -7.5 0.0 13.5 35.4 5.9 2030-2040 -6.2 -0.6 10.8 28.9 5.4 2000-2040 -45.9 1.8 132.1 340.8 22.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -36.0 2.7 65.7 83.0 4.1 2010-2020 -6.6 8.2 26.6 70.3 13.9 2020-2030 -12.2 2.8 17.9 50.0 8.5 2030-2040 -13.3 0.6 13.3 45.0 6.7 2000-2040 -54.5 14.9 180.2 577.7 37.3 Rio Grande Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -52.9 1.3 -6.0 34.3 -8.4 2010-2020 -2.0 5.7 11.8 27.0 11.3 2020-2030 -4.8 0.6 9.1 19.1 8.7 2030-2040 -5.2 -3.0 6.4 6.6 6.0 2000-2040 -58.4 4.5 22.0 116.6 17.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -57.8 0.7 -0.1 53.7 -3.1 2010-2020 -12.8 5.0 21.2 47.1 20.2 2020-2030 -16.2 -0.9 15.0 36.8 14.3 2030-2040 -16.9 -4.2 12.4 23.9 11.9 2000-2040 -74.4 0.4 56.6 283.3 48.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -62.5 -2.1 6.0 77.3 2.3 2010-2020 -23.6 1.7 30.0 63.6 28.5 2020-2030 -27.6 -5.1 18.5 51.2 17.8 2030-2040 -28.5 -9.1 14.5 39.7 14.1 2000-2040 -85.2 -14.1 86.9 512.9 76.5 Permian Basin Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -7.1 -16.7 61.2 83.5 35.2 2010-2020 -1.0 0.9 13.5 46.8 10.3 2020-2030 -6.9 -4.2 9.8 28.8 6.4 2030-2040 -3.8 -3.9 7.2 2.5 5.0 2000-2040 -17.6 -22.6 115.3 255.7 66.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -11.5 -16.1 70.8 87.1 40.2 2010-2020 -6.5 0.9 20.6 50.6 15.1 2020-2030 -12.0 -3.9 15.2 33.5 10.7 2030-2040 -10.1 -4.2 12.7 4.5 9.4 2000-2040 -34.6 -21.9 167.3 293.1 95.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -17.6 -15.1 79.3 111.2 44.3 2010-2020 -14.4 1.3 26.0 74.1 18.9 2020-2030 -20.6 -5.1 18.1 58.4 13.1 2030-2040 -20.6 -7.1 14.3 29.8 10.9 2000-2040 -55.5 -24.2 205.2 655.7 115.1 Concho Valley Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -25.1 0.7 70.4 64.9 28.8 2010-2020 -2.4 0.4 10.7 35.3 7.3 2020-2030 -6.8 -1.5 6.9 26.1 3.8 2030-2040 -5.4 -2.6 4.2 8.9 2.2 2000-2040 -35.6 -2.9 110.1 206.2 46.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -25.8 2.4 82.9 69.7 35.4 2010-2020 -4.5 2.6 18.5 40.4 12.9 2020-2030 -9.7 -0.8 12.7 26.8 8.2 2030-2040 -8.9 -2.6 10.5 11.5 7.0 2000-2040 -41.8 1.5 170.0 237.1 77.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -26.6 7.0 96.8 98.1 43.0 2010-2020 -7.2 6.1 26.1 71.6 18.8 2020-2030 -14.4 2.4 17.4 50.7 12.1 2030-2040 -15.7 0.1 14.1 38.2 10.3 2000-2040 -50.8 16.4 232.2 607.7 110.1 Heart of Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 11.7 -0.4 97.0 83.9 24.0 2010-2020 -4.3 -1.8 12.1 41.7 2.2 2020-2030 -7.0 -4.9 11.4 20.8 0.5 2030-2040 -5.3 -5.4 6.6 12.1 -0.5 2000-2040 -5.9 -11.9 162.1 252.8 26.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 13.1 2.7 134.8 102.1 33.6 2010-2020 -3.0 1.4 34.4 61.4 12.3 2020-2030 -7.1 -2.3 29.8 41.9 10.7 2030-2040 -6.1 -3.1 26.5 37.1 11.7 2000-2040 -4.4 -1.3 418.0 534.6 85.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 13.5 5.7 182.1 132.3 44.9 2010-2020 -3.7 3.7 61.2 89.9 25.2 2020-2030 -10.6 -1.7 49.0 56.5 23.0 2030-2040 -11.6 -3.6 44.6 55.9 25.8 2000-2040 -13.6 3.8 879.5 976.5 180.9 Capital Area Planning Council Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 40.4 18.8 108.8 124.6 69.3 2010-2020 2.7 1.6 9.3 38.3 7.2 2020-2030 -0.3 -1.0 15.0 40.5 10.0 2030-2040 -4.3 -4.2 9.6 29.7 5.7 2000-2040 37.5 14.4 187.5 466.1 110.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 54.3 29.5 152.4 172.3 97.2 2010-2020 13.6 11.2 32.7 73.4 26.3 2020-2030 10.4 8.3 36.0 77.9 28.8 2030-2040 6.2 5.5 31.6 65.6 26.0 2000-2040 105.5 64.4 499.4 1291.0 304.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 70.3 41.6 205.1 230.5 130.6 2010-2020 26.2 23.0 61.5 115.7 50.2 2020-2030 22.1 20.6 61.1 123.0 52.0 2030-2040 16.9 18.5 57.0 107.3 50.6 2000-2040 206.6 149.0 1146.0 3196.3 693.1 Brazos Valley Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 37.3 0.0 109.1 166.3 34.0 2010-2020 -0.1 1.7 12.4 33.3 5.2 2020-2030 -3.4 -3.3 13.0 29.7 3.0 2030-2040 -1.8 -3.1 7.1 21.2 1.7 2000-2040 30.2 -4.7 184.4 458.2 47.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 44.6 2.7 136.5 181.5 43.3 2010-2020 5.7 4.4 27.7 43.0 13.4 2020-2030 0.3 -1.6 26.0 45.5 10.5 2030-2040 0.4 -1.1 20.8 41.9 10.0 2000-2040 54.0 4.4 360.2 731.3 97.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 51.4 6.3 170.7 198.8 54.3 2010-2020 9.5 6.7 46.5 63.3 23.0 2020-2030 0.6 0.3 39.5 55.7 18.7 2030-2040 -2.5 -1.7 33.4 53.1 17.7 2000-2040 62.7 11.9 637.7 1063.5 165.0 Deep East Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -13.8 -2.2 85.1 60.5 2.5 2010-2020 -3.0 -0.4 17.4 31.6 2.4 2020-2030 -5.5 -5.9 15.9 21.4 -0.4 2030-2040 -5.3 -5.8 9.2 6.2 -1.4 2000-2040 -25.1 -13.6 174.8 172.4 3.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -10.3 -0.3 115.4 62.5 8.4 2010-2020 0.9 1.2 38.0 34.0 9.6 2020-2030 -2.9 -4.6 35.2 24.2 7.5 2030-2040 -3.6 -4.8 27.9 5.0 7.3 2000-2040 -15.3 -8.4 414.1 184.2 37.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -7.3 2.1 155.0 81.6 15.3 2010-2020 3.9 2.2 63.5 52.8 18.5 2020-2030 -2.1 -4.1 56.5 58.8 18.0 2030-2040 -5.1 -6.1 45.2 35.9 18.1 2000-2040 -10.6 -6.0 847.3 498.9 90.3 South East Texas Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -20.0 -11.0 86.7 -65.3 -9.9 2010-2020 -4.2 -0.2 11.7 33.7 0.7 2020-2030 -7.0 -4.8 13.1 32.8 -2.2 2030-2040 -7.1 -5.0 5.4 14.5 -3.4 2000-2040 -33.8 -19.7 148.6 -29.4 -14.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -22.1 -8.2 136.2 -59.6 -5.7 2010-2020 -6.7 3.3 43.2 55.6 7.5 2020-2030 -9.9 -1.9 42.6 58.3 6.5 2030-2040 -10.6 -2.5 33.8 37.3 7.0 2000-2040 -41.4 -9.4 545.7 36.7 15.7 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -24.6 -5.9 199.2 -52.4 -1.0 2010-2020 -10.7 5.6 83.7 80.8 17.2 2020-2030 -15.3 -1.1 77.7 85.6 20.9 2030-2040 -17.2 -2.8 64.5 63.3 26.0 2000-2040 -52.8 -4.5 1506.4 160.7 76.9 Houston-Galveston Area Council Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 34.6 12.5 127.6 38.5 54.5 2010-2020 2.7 1.5 15.2 44.2 9.6 2020-2030 -1.7 -1.3 18.9 30.6 10.1 2030-2040 -6.5 -4.2 13.3 14.0 5.9 2000-2040 27.1 8.0 253.3 197.2 97.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 35.6 16.8 172.5 70.7 72.2 2010-2020 3.2 6.1 37.3 77.9 24.2 2020-2030 -0.8 2.6 35.7 60.6 23.9 2030-2040 -5.3 -0.3 31.4 40.6 21.5 2000-2040 31.6 26.8 566.7 586.0 222.2 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 37.2 21.0 227.6 107.0 93.5 2010-2020 4.3 10.9 64.6 116.0 43.5 2020-2030 1.0 6.4 54.2 95.1 41.1 2030-2040 -3.0 3.3 48.9 71.4 39.7 2000-2040 40.2 47.4 1137.8 1394.8 447.3 Golden Crescent Regional Planning Commission Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 9.9 -17.8 41.3 33.3 23.5 2010-2020 -1.0 1.5 12.4 50.4 8.6 2020-2030 -7.2 -4.6 10.0 39.2 5.4 2030-2040 -5.2 -4.3 6.5 7.1 3.5 2000-2040 -4.3 -23.8 86.2 199.0 46.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 10.1 -16.0 51.4 36.1 29.8 2010-2020 -1.9 2.2 20.9 52.0 14.4 2020-2030 -8.2 -4.4 17.0 43.0 10.7 2030-2040 -7.8 -3.5 13.7 8.4 9.2 2000-2040 -8.6 -20.8 143.5 220.6 79.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 8.7 -12.0 63.2 50.7 37.2 2010-2020 -5.2 4.7 29.6 68.3 20.6 2020-2030 -12.4 -1.2 22.0 90.7 15.3 2030-2040 -14.7 -3.6 17.6 52.3 12.7 2000-2040 -23.0 -12.2 203.3 636.6 114.8 Alamo Area Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 19.5 2.6 68.6 140.2 55.6 2010-2020 -3.2 0.7 7.5 38.0 6.1 2020-2030 -5.9 -4.6 6.1 27.9 4.5 2030-2040 -6.8 -6.8 2.0 11.8 0.8 2000-2040 1.4 -8.2 96.2 374.3 73.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 23.0 9.6 81.8 186.6 67.0 2010-2020 0.5 7.7 17.0 64.3 15.0 2020-2030 -2.7 2.0 13.6 54.2 11.8 2030-2040 -4.3 -1.1 9.4 40.1 8.2 2000-2040 15.2 18.9 164.4 917.5 132.4 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 27.2 16.8 95.4 241.6 78.8 2010-2020 4.9 14.2 25.9 97.7 23.7 2020-2030 1.7 7.3 19.4 86.5 18.0 2030-2040 -0.7 2.6 14.1 76.4 13.6 2000-2040 34.7 47.0 235.2 2122.7 196.4 South Texas Development Council Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -70.1 3.6 -19.5 61.4 -20.2 2010-2020 -3.2 15.0 16.1 72.0 16.0 2020-2030 -5.7 -0.2 15.2 44.1 15.1 2030-2040 -10.0 -1.4 12.2 13.8 12.1 2000-2040 -75.4 17.2 20.7 355.2 19.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -68.8 4.3 -12.7 64.0 -13.4 2010-2020 -1.7 14.4 29.0 77.2 28.9 2020-2030 -3.9 -0.2 24.5 49.6 24.4 2030-2040 -8.8 -2.6 21.5 18.4 21.4 2000-2040 -73.1 15.9 70.5 414.4 68.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -67.1 4.9 -5.5 84.2 -6.3 2010-2020 0.4 14.5 41.7 90.6 41.5 2020-2030 -2.9 -2.5 31.8 88.3 31.7 2030-2040 -10.5 -6.1 27.0 48.4 27.0 2000-2040 -71.3 10.0 124.2 881.2 121.8 Coastal Bend Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -26.8 -11.8 11.1 6.6 4.3 2010-2020 -2.6 0.9 7.9 40.8 6.7 2020-2030 -6.4 -4.2 5.6 23.5 4.2 2030-2040 -5.5 -6.6 2.4 6.5 1.5 2000-2040 -36.9 -20.3 29.6 97.6 17.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -26.9 -8.4 20.2 17.9 11.8 2010-2020 -3.1 3.9 17.7 61.0 15.3 2020-2030 -7.5 -1.1 13.5 46.0 11.5 2030-2040 -7.1 -4.0 10.4 25.2 8.9 2000-2040 -39.2 -9.6 77.2 246.8 56.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -27.6 -4.3 29.5 39.9 19.4 2010-2020 -5.1 8.9 27.2 89.8 24.0 2020-2030 -10.8 2.2 19.5 77.7 17.4 2030-2040 -12.0 -0.9 15.2 52.6 13.8 2000-2040 -46.1 5.5 126.9 619.6 97.7 Lower Rio Grande Valley Development Council Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -42.6 -21.7 -27.4 43.7 -27.7 2010-2020 -5.7 8.4 15.1 40.9 14.8 2020-2030 -7.3 -0.4 13.6 33.9 13.3 2030-2040 -7.1 -3.8 10.8 10.0 10.6 2000-2040 -53.4 -18.7 5.2 198.3 4.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -42.3 -20.7 -21.0 63.7 -21.4 2010-2020 -6.5 9.4 28.1 67.9 27.7 2020-2030 -9.0 -3.1 23.8 63.7 23.5 2030-2040 -10.5 -6.2 20.3 36.5 20.0 2000-2040 -56.1 -21.2 50.7 514.3 48.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -42.8 -15.6 -14.3 96.5 -14.8 2010-2020 -8.7 12.5 40.6 105.0 40.0 2020-2030 -14.2 6.7 32.3 85.8 32.0 2030-2040 -19.8 -0.8 26.2 60.3 26.0 2000-2040 -64.1 0.4 101.1 1099.8 98.4 Texoma Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -1.7 6.4 130.0 58.7 12.9 2010-2020 -2.5 2.9 19.9 34.3 3.3 2020-2030 -6.9 -2.7 18.0 22.7 -0.1 2030-2040 -5.8 -3.9 10.6 12.4 -0.7 2000-2040 -16.0 2.4 259.8 193.6 15.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 1.1 8.0 170.7 71.1 19.1 2010-2020 0.2 3.6 40.5 47.0 10.2 2020-2030 -5.0 -3.1 38.9 35.3 8.1 2030-2040 -5.0 -4.5 30.8 31.9 8.6 2000-2040 -8.5 3.5 591.1 348.9 54.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 3.4 12.9 221.7 97.4 26.8 2010-2020 1.3 6.9 66.5 77.1 19.1 2020-2030 -6.3 -0.8 60.9 54.0 18.5 2030-2040 -8.4 -3.9 48.7 47.2 19.9 2000-2040 -10.0 15.0 1182.1 692.5 114.5 Central Texas Council of Governments Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 21.2 34.3 80.3 90.0 40.5 2010-2020 -2.2 5.5 11.3 36.9 5.1 2020-2030 0.3 4.7 12.6 28.5 6.3 2030-2040 -0.9 0.9 6.1 11.9 2.4 2000-2040 17.8 49.7 139.7 274.4 60.8 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 21.7 43.4 107.7 120.9 50.7 2010-2020 -1.6 14.7 28.3 66.1 14.7 2020-2030 -1.7 12.1 27.9 53.5 15.1 2030-2040 -2.6 8.4 21.8 36.3 12.3 2000-2040 14.8 99.9 315.1 667.9 123.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 22.1 53.2 141.8 160.8 62.7 2010-2020 -2.3 24.0 48.6 94.2 26.0 2020-2030 -5.7 18.1 44.4 78.4 25.3 2030-2040 -7.5 13.6 37.4 65.5 23.7 2000-2040 4.0 154.8 612.8 1395.3 217.7 Middle Rio Grande Development Council Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -40.7 -17.9 -9.8 -78.0 -12.0 2010-2020 -2.9 4.2 13.1 35.3 12.6 2020-2030 -6.5 -5.0 9.1 36.3 8.6 2030-2040 -6.2 -8.8 7.4 24.2 7.0 2000-2040 -49.5 -25.9 19.5 -49.6 15.1 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 (0.5 Scenario) 2000-2010 -39.8 -16.9 -6.1 -77.7 -8.5 2010-2020 -2.8 5.0 17.6 35.9 16.9 2020-2030 -7.9 -4.6 12.6 37.1 12.0 2030-2040 -7.7 -9.4 10.1 22.7 9.6 2000-2040 -50.3 -24.7 36.9 -48.9 31.3 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario) 2000-2010 -39.5 -9.7 -3.6 -75.6 -6.0 2010-2020 -4.8 16.2 19.4 43.4 18.6 2020-2030 -12.2 7.8 12.6 46.0 11.9 2030-2040 -14.6 2.5 8.0 44.6 7.6 2000-2040 -56.9 15.9 40.0 -26.1 34.3 ___________________________________ Sources: Derived by the authors from Texas Population Estimates and Projections Program, Projections of the Population of Texas and Counties in Texas by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity for 2000-2040, 2001. Texas Department of Human Services, Monthly Client Files for 1999, 2000, and 2001, [machine readable data files], 1999-2001a. ___________________________________________________________________________