Table 6 - Continued Total Population and Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projected Population and Percent Population Change 2000-2040 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Council of Government Regions in Texas - Ranked by Hispanic Population Size in 2000 ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Change Change Change Change Change %Change %Change %Change %Change %Change Rank for Hispanic Hispanic Hispanic Hispanic Hispanic 2000- 2010- 2020- 2030- 2000- 2000- 2010- 2020- 2030- 2000- Hispanic Region 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2010 2020 2030 2040 2040 2010 2020 2030 2040 2040 ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Assuming Zero Net Migration 1 Houston-Galveston 1,389,915 1,691,892 1,964,605 2,230,832 2,452,630 301,977 272,713 266,227 221,798 1,062,715 21.7 16.1 13.6 9.9 76.5 2 North Central Texas 1,137,181 1,420,545 1,682,081 1,957,292 2,200,463 283,364 261,536 275,211 243,171 1,063,282 24.9 18.4 16.4 12.4 93.5 3 Alamo Area 894,135 1,026,158 1,137,842 1,227,940 1,288,708 132,023 111,684 90,098 60,768 394,573 14.8 10.9 7.9 4.9 44.1 4 Lower Rio Grande Valley 803,045 990,498 1,170,271 1,351,803 1,532,706 187,453 179,773 181,532 180,903 729,661 23.3 18.1 15.5 13.4 90.9 5 Rio Grande 547,124 646,220 736,472 819,707 894,377 99,096 90,252 83,235 74,670 347,253 18.1 14.0 11.3 9.1 63.5 6 Capital Area 340,603 415,898 479,265 540,051 590,001 75,295 63,367 60,786 49,950 249,398 22.1 15.2 12.7 9.2 73.2 7 Coastal Bend 308,190 352,071 389,237 419,870 442,907 43,881 37,166 30,633 23,037 134,717 14.2 10.6 7.9 5.5 43.7 8 South Texas 249,428 310,654 371,296 438,540 510,437 61,226 60,642 67,244 71,897 261,009 24.5 19.5 18.1 16.4 104.6 9 Permian Basin 148,982 179,645 208,652 235,253 258,692 30,663 29,007 26,601 23,439 109,710 20.6 16.1 12.7 10.0 73.6 10 South Plains 125,376 150,822 173,749 194,054 210,571 25,446 22,927 20,305 16,517 85,195 20.3 15.2 11.7 8.5 68.0 11 Middle Rio Grande 123,059 143,980 165,586 186,082 205,815 20,921 21,606 20,496 19,733 82,756 17.0 15.0 12.4 10.6 67.2 12 Panhandle 96,005 117,665 139,157 159,100 176,232 21,660 21,492 19,943 17,132 80,227 22.6 18.3 14.3 10.8 83.6 13 East Texas 64,942 82,503 100,674 119,655 137,957 17,561 18,171 18,981 18,302 73,015 27.0 22.0 18.9 15.3 112.4 14 Golden Crescent 62,413 74,406 85,360 95,356 104,199 11,993 10,954 9,996 8,843 41,786 19.2 14.7 11.7 9.3 67.0 15 West Central Texas 60,191 72,283 83,818 93,488 101,256 12,092 11,535 9,670 7,768 41,065 20.1 16.0 11.5 8.3 68.2 16 Central Texas 58,932 70,872 81,811 92,000 99,801 11,940 10,939 10,189 7,801 40,869 20.3 15.4 12.5 8.5 69.3 17 Heart of Texas 51,962 63,500 74,551 84,912 93,645 11,538 11,051 10,361 8,733 41,683 22.2 17.4 13.9 10.3 80.2 18 Concho Valley 47,054 55,152 62,252 67,975 71,943 8,098 7,100 5,723 3,968 24,889 17.2 12.9 9.2 5.8 52.9 19 Brazos Valley 41,712 50,618 58,785 66,591 73,102 8,906 8,167 7,806 6,511 31,390 21.4 16.1 13.3 9.8 75.3 20 Deep East Texas 31,203 38,859 46,775 54,685 62,001 7,656 7,916 7,910 7,316 30,798 24.5 20.4 16.9 13.4 98.7 21 South East Texas 30,832 36,085 40,930 45,585 49,179 5,253 4,845 4,655 3,594 18,347 17.0 13.4 11.4 7.9 59.5 22 Nortex 25,271 30,297 35,175 39,498 42,880 5,026 4,878 4,323 3,382 17,609 19.9 16.1 12.3 8.6 69.7 23 Ark-Tex 19,212 23,605 28,239 32,499 36,035 4,393 4,634 4,260 3,536 16,823 22.9 19.6 15.1 10.9 87.6 24 Texoma 12,899 16,373 19,933 23,485 26,723 3,474 3,560 3,552 3,238 13,824 26.9 21.7 17.8 13.8 107.2 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 1 Houston-Galveston 1,389,915 1,991,835 2,711,086 3,567,187 4,542,216 601,920 719,251 856,101 975,029 3,152,301 43.3 36.1 31.6 27.3 226.8 2 North Central Texas 1,137,181 1,732,837 2,496,580 3,494,774 4,724,675 595,656 763,743 998,194 1,229,901 3,587,494 52.4 44.1 40.0 35.2 315.5 3 Alamo Area 894,135 1,087,797 1,276,837 1,449,432 1,594,576 193,662 189,040 172,595 145,144 700,441 21.7 17.4 13.5 10.0 78.3 4 Lower Rio Grande Valley 803,045 1,069,056 1,363,233 1,682,125 2,019,542 266,011 294,177 318,892 337,417 1,216,497 33.1 27.5 23.4 20.1 151.5 5 Rio Grande 547,124 680,875 816,967 944,548 1,064,023 133,751 136,092 127,581 119,475 516,899 24.4 20.0 15.6 12.6 94.5 6 Capital Area 340,603 503,154 697,121 935,314 1,218,399 162,551 193,967 238,193 283,085 877,796 47.7 38.6 34.2 30.3 257.7 7 Coastal Bend 308,190 374,776 440,665 501,925 556,767 66,586 65,889 61,260 54,842 248,577 21.6 17.6 13.9 10.9 80.7 8 South Texas 249,428 334,654 431,140 541,841 666,902 85,226 96,486 110,701 125,061 417,474 34.2 28.8 25.7 23.1 167.4 9 Permian Basin 148,982 186,809 225,177 261,402 294,500 37,827 38,368 36,225 33,098 145,518 25.4 20.5 16.1 12.7 97.7 10 South Plains 125,376 156,421 185,923 212,595 234,790 31,045 29,502 26,672 22,195 109,414 24.8 18.9 14.3 10.4 87.3 11 Middle Rio Grande 123,059 147,461 171,871 194,526 214,429 24,402 24,410 22,655 19,903 91,370 19.8 16.6 13.2 10.2 74.2 12 Panhandle 96,005 127,390 163,075 200,853 238,931 31,385 35,685 37,778 38,078 142,926 32.7 28.0 23.2 19.0 148.9 13 East Texas 64,942 99,464 147,772 212,832 297,640 34,522 48,308 65,060 84,808 232,698 53.2 48.6 44.0 39.8 358.3 14 Golden Crescent 62,413 78,328 94,594 110,652 125,865 15,915 16,266 16,058 15,213 63,452 25.5 20.8 17.0 13.7 101.7 15 West Central Texas 60,191 74,756 89,293 102,192 113,236 14,565 14,537 12,899 11,044 53,045 24.2 19.4 14.4 10.8 88.1 16 Central Texas 58,932 81,460 107,317 136,684 167,076 22,528 25,857 29,367 30,392 108,144 38.2 31.7 27.4 22.2 183.5 17 Heart of Texas 51,962 73,982 101,099 132,413 167,883 22,020 27,117 31,314 35,470 115,921 42.4 36.7 31.0 26.8 223.1 18 Concho Valley 47,054 58,068 68,511 77,511 85,022 11,014 10,443 9,000 7,511 37,968 23.4 18.0 13.1 9.7 80.7 19 Brazos Valley 41,712 56,069 72,008 89,766 108,163 14,357 15,939 17,758 18,397 66,451 34.4 28.4 24.7 20.5 159.3 20 Deep East Texas 31,203 44,048 60,524 80,832 104,483 12,845 16,476 20,308 23,651 73,280 41.2 37.4 33.6 29.3 234.8 21 South East Texas 30,832 43,705 60,890 83,219 110,399 12,873 17,185 22,329 27,180 79,567 41.8 39.3 36.7 32.7 258.1 22 Nortex 25,271 32,716 41,164 49,780 58,203 7,445 8,448 8,616 8,423 32,932 29.5 25.8 20.9 16.9 130.3 23 Ark-Tex 19,212 25,835 33,523 41,660 49,569 6,623 7,688 8,137 7,909 30,357 34.5 29.8 24.3 19.0 158.0 24 Texoma 12,899 18,940 26,628 36,037 47,009 6,041 7,688 9,409 10,972 34,110 46.8 40.6 35.3 30.4 264.4 Assuming Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 1 Houston-Galveston 1,389,915 2,350,698 3,749,159 5,608,729 8,009,740 960,783 1,398,461 1,859,570 2,401,011 6,619,825 69.1 59.5 49.6 42.8 476.3 2 North Central Texas 1,137,181 2,105,854 3,669,258 6,119,349 9,775,752 968,673 1,563,404 2,450,091 3,656,403 8,638,571 85.2 74.2 66.8 59.8 759.6 3 Alamo Area 894,135 1,147,704 1,408,791 1,649,435 1,846,910 253,569 261,087 240,644 197,475 952,775 28.4 22.7 17.1 12.0 106.6 4 Lower Rio Grande Valley 803,045 1,148,792 1,554,457 2,002,592 2,461,230 345,747 405,665 448,135 458,638 1,658,185 43.1 35.3 28.8 22.9 206.5 5 Rio Grande 547,124 714,896 891,414 1,043,492 1,168,900 167,772 176,518 152,078 125,408 621,776 30.7 24.7 17.1 12.0 113.6 6 Capital Area 340,603 608,039 1,012,174 1,611,374 2,478,322 267,436 404,135 599,200 866,948 2,137,719 78.5 66.5 59.2 53.8 627.6 7 Coastal Bend 308,190 397,173 491,175 576,970 650,540 88,983 94,002 85,795 73,570 342,350 28.9 23.7 17.5 12.8 111.1 8 South Texas 249,428 359,124 492,393 642,712 807,059 109,696 133,269 150,319 164,347 557,631 44.0 37.1 30.5 25.6 223.6 9 Permian Basin 148,982 192,629 236,738 275,879 307,081 43,647 44,109 39,141 31,202 158,099 29.3 22.9 16.5 11.3 106.1 10 South Plains 125,376 160,941 194,095 221,150 238,780 35,565 33,154 27,055 17,630 113,404 28.4 20.6 13.9 8.0 90.5 11 Middle Rio Grande 123,059 149,425 172,431 190,428 200,173 26,366 23,006 17,997 9,745 77,114 21.4 15.4 10.4 5.1 62.7 12 Panhandle 96,005 139,016 193,733 257,559 327,007 43,011 54,717 63,826 69,448 231,002 44.8 39.4 32.9 27.0 240.6 13 East Texas 64,942 120,674 217,820 375,672 619,402 55,732 97,146 157,852 243,730 554,460 85.8 80.5 72.5 64.9 853.8 14 Golden Crescent 62,413 82,868 104,739 125,536 143,488 20,455 21,871 20,797 17,952 81,075 32.8 26.4 19.9 14.3 129.9 15 West Central Texas 60,191 77,926 95,358 110,412 121,418 17,735 17,432 15,054 11,006 61,227 29.5 22.4 15.8 10.0 101.7 16 Central Texas 58,932 94,260 142,298 203,009 273,341 35,328 48,038 60,711 70,332 214,409 59.9 51.0 42.7 34.6 363.8 17 Heart of Texas 51,962 86,859 137,917 203,098 284,556 34,897 51,058 65,181 81,458 232,594 67.2 58.8 47.3 40.1 447.6 18 Concho Valley 47,054 61,190 74,858 86,413 95,225 14,136 13,668 11,555 8,812 48,171 30.0 22.3 15.4 10.2 102.4 19 Brazos Valley 41,712 62,762 89,321 120,947 155,386 21,050 26,559 31,626 34,439 113,674 50.5 42.3 35.4 28.5 272.5 20 Deep East Texas 31,203 50,979 80,550 121,128 173,228 19,776 29,571 40,578 52,100 142,025 63.4 58.0 50.4 43.0 455.2 21 South East Texas 30,832 53,126 90,594 149,898 236,612 22,294 37,468 59,304 86,714 205,780 72.3 70.5 65.5 57.8 667.4 22 Nortex 25,271 36,138 49,916 65,281 81,360 10,867 13,778 15,365 16,079 56,089 43.0 38.1 30.8 24.6 222.0 23 Ark-Tex 19,212 28,965 41,234 55,350 69,831 9,753 12,269 14,116 14,481 50,619 50.8 42.4 34.2 26.2 263.5 24 Texoma 12,899 22,182 35,964 54,973 79,281 9,283 13,782 19,009 24,308 66,382 72.0 62.1 52.9 44.2 514.6 Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2004 1 Houston-Galveston 1,389,915 2,295,724 3,530,205 5,041,258 6,824,569 905,809 1,234,481 1,511,053 1,783,311 5,434,654 65.2 53.8 42.8 35.4 391.0 2 North Central Texas 1,137,181 1,993,256 3,324,050 5,356,657 8,342,983 856,075 1,330,794 2,032,607 2,986,326 7,205,802 75.3 66.8 61.1 55.7 633.7 3 Alamo Area 894,135 1,143,961 1,388,389 1,590,860 1,721,241 249,826 244,428 202,471 130,381 827,106 27.9 21.4 14.6 8.2 92.5 4 Lower Rio Grande Valley 803,045 1,116,682 1,455,764 1,792,742 2,084,811 313,637 339,082 336,978 292,069 1,281,766 39.1 30.4 23.1 16.3 159.6 5 Rio Grande 547,124 662,014 754,878 804,513 813,430 114,890 92,864 49,635 8,917 266,306 21.0 14.0 6.6 1.1 48.7 6 Capital Area 340,603 563,296 867,123 1,273,395 1,798,274 222,693 303,827 406,272 524,879 1,457,671 65.4 53.9 46.9 41.2 428.0 7 Coastal Bend 308,190 356,153 389,509 401,620 392,741 47,963 33,356 12,111 -8,879 84,551 15.6 9.4 3.1 -2.2 27.4 8 South Texas 249,428 337,924 428,888 514,984 589,029 88,496 90,964 86,096 74,045 339,601 35.5 26.9 20.1 14.4 136.2 9 Permian Basin 148,982 190,808 231,480 265,321 288,595 41,826 40,672 33,841 23,274 139,613 28.1 21.3 14.6 8.8 93.7 10 South Plains 125,376 154,328 177,254 191,374 193,499 28,952 22,926 14,120 2,125 68,123 23.1 14.9 8.0 1.1 54.3 11 Middle Rio Grande 123,059 142,134 155,705 162,034 159,506 19,075 13,571 6,329 -2,528 36,447 15.5 9.5 4.1 -1.6 29.6 12 Panhandle 96,005 129,521 166,253 201,611 231,083 33,516 36,732 35,358 29,472 135,078 34.9 28.4 21.3 14.6 140.7 13 East Texas 64,942 118,857 211,140 353,903 559,040 53,915 92,283 142,763 205,137 494,098 83.0 77.6 67.6 58.0 760.8 14 Golden Crescent 62,413 78,587 93,199 104,705 111,135 16,174 14,612 11,506 6,430 48,722 25.9 18.6 12.3 6.1 78.1 15 West Central Texas 60,191 75,551 89,662 100,150 105,571 15,360 14,111 10,488 5,421 45,380 25.5 18.7 11.7 5.4 75.4 16 Central Texas 58,932 83,937 111,145 136,795 157,635 25,005 27,208 25,650 20,840 98,703 42.4 32.4 23.1 15.2 167.5 17 Heart of Texas 51,962 83,421 126,050 174,681 227,735 31,459 42,629 48,631 53,054 175,773 60.5 51.1 38.6 30.4 338.3 18 Concho Valley 47,054 57,042 64,632 68,501 68,425 9,988 7,590 3,869 -76 21,371 21.2 13.3 6.0 -0.1 45.4 19 Brazos Valley 41,712 60,465 82,320 105,250 126,205 18,753 21,855 22,930 20,955 84,493 45.0 36.1 27.9 19.9 202.6 20 Deep East Texas 31,203 48,508 72,447 102,343 136,339 17,305 23,939 29,896 33,996 105,136 55.5 49.4 41.3 33.2 336.9 21 South East Texas 30,832 50,418 80,939 125,253 183,105 19,586 30,521 44,314 57,852 152,273 63.5 60.5 54.7 46.2 493.9 22 Nortex 25,271 32,598 40,139 46,588 51,162 7,327 7,541 6,449 4,574 25,891 29.0 23.1 16.1 9.8 102.5 23 Ark-Tex 19,212 29,723 43,158 58,607 74,307 10,511 13,435 15,449 15,700 55,095 54.7 45.2 35.8 26.8 286.8 24 Texoma 12,899 22,835 37,932 58,855 85,221 9,936 15,097 20,923 26,366 72,322 77.0 66.1 55.2 44.8 560.7 ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________