Table 6 - Continued Total Population and Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projected Population and Percent Population Change 2000-2040 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Council of Government Regions in Texas - Ranked by Other Population Size in 2000 ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Change Change Change Change Change %Change %Change %Change %Change %Change Rank for Other Other Other Other Other 2000- 2010- 2020- 2030- 2000- 2000- 2010- 2020- 2030- 2000- Other Region 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2010 2020 2030 2040 2040 2010 2020 2030 2040 2040 ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Assuming Zero Net Migration 1 Houston-Galveston 257,326 286,981 304,547 312,771 312,646 29,655 17,566 8,224 -125 55,320 11.5 6.1 2.7 -0.0 21.5 2 North Central Texas 235,280 273,439 294,397 309,513 318,066 38,159 20,958 15,116 8,553 82,786 16.2 7.7 5.1 2.8 35.2 3 Capital Area 52,728 59,829 64,380 67,721 69,906 7,101 4,551 3,341 2,185 17,178 13.5 7.6 5.2 3.2 32.6 4 Alamo Area 33,685 38,167 40,544 41,455 41,117 4,482 2,377 911 -338 7,432 13.3 6.2 2.2 -0.8 22.1 5 Central Texas 12,629 14,814 16,224 17,387 18,115 2,185 1,410 1,163 728 5,486 17.3 9.5 7.2 4.2 43.4 6 Rio Grande 9,945 12,659 14,180 14,951 15,353 2,714 1,521 771 402 5,408 27.3 12.0 5.4 2.7 54.4 7 South East Texas 9,914 11,410 12,625 13,424 13,825 1,496 1,215 799 401 3,911 15.1 10.6 6.3 3.0 39.4 8 Coastal Bend 8,174 9,485 10,377 10,846 10,976 1,311 892 469 130 2,802 16.0 9.4 4.5 1.2 34.3 9 Brazos Valley 7,893 9,000 9,938 10,885 11,730 1,107 938 947 845 3,837 14.0 10.4 9.5 7.8 48.6 10 Panhandle 7,342 8,165 8,817 9,095 9,076 823 652 278 -19 1,734 11.2 8.0 3.2 -0.2 23.6 11 East Texas 6,995 7,904 8,661 9,153 9,228 909 757 492 75 2,233 13.0 9.6 5.7 0.8 31.9 12 Lower Rio Grande Valley 6,186 7,991 9,498 10,865 12,307 1,805 1,507 1,367 1,442 6,121 29.2 18.9 14.4 13.3 98.9 13 South Plains 5,173 6,053 6,483 6,811 6,978 880 430 328 167 1,805 17.0 7.1 5.1 2.5 34.9 14 Nortex 4,669 5,250 5,709 5,932 5,928 581 459 223 -4 1,259 12.4 8.7 3.9 -0.1 27.0 15 Permian Basin 4,129 4,630 5,071 5,365 5,411 501 441 294 46 1,282 12.1 9.5 5.8 0.9 31.0 16 Heart of Texas 3,986 4,200 4,429 4,458 4,258 214 229 29 -200 272 5.4 5.5 0.7 -4.5 6.8 17 West Central Texas 3,775 4,315 4,735 4,959 5,063 540 420 224 104 1,288 14.3 9.7 4.7 2.1 34.1 18 Deep East Texas 3,527 3,945 4,311 4,573 4,663 418 366 262 90 1,136 11.9 9.3 6.1 2.0 32.2 19 Texoma 2,993 3,391 3,716 3,882 3,908 398 325 166 26 915 13.3 9.6 4.5 0.7 30.6 20 Ark-Tex 2,820 3,124 3,397 3,586 3,557 304 273 189 -29 737 10.8 8.7 5.6 -0.8 26.1 21 Golden Crescent 2,158 2,384 2,585 2,721 2,689 226 201 136 -32 531 10.5 8.4 5.3 -1.2 24.6 22 Concho Valley 1,756 1,942 2,069 2,133 2,136 186 127 64 3 380 10.6 6.5 3.1 0.1 21.6 23 Middle Rio Grande 1,427 1,670 1,882 2,073 2,202 243 212 191 129 775 17.0 12.7 10.1 6.2 54.3 24 South Texas 1,275 2,450 3,079 3,548 3,991 1,175 629 469 443 2,716 92.2 25.7 15.2 12.5 213.0 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 1 Houston-Galveston 257,326 358,876 475,085 603,018 740,859 101,550 116,209 127,933 137,841 483,533 39.5 32.4 26.9 22.9 187.9 2 North Central Texas 235,280 340,037 458,035 599,993 762,068 104,757 117,998 141,958 162,075 526,788 44.5 34.7 31.0 27.0 223.9 3 Capital Area 52,728 72,965 97,085 126,555 160,508 20,237 24,120 29,470 33,953 107,780 38.4 33.1 30.4 26.8 204.4 4 Alamo Area 33,685 47,880 63,765 81,512 100,749 14,195 15,885 17,747 19,237 67,064 42.1 33.2 27.8 23.6 199.1 5 Central Texas 12,629 18,272 24,875 32,706 41,531 5,643 6,603 7,831 8,825 28,902 44.7 36.1 31.5 27.0 228.9 6 Rio Grande 9,945 14,665 18,908 22,995 27,200 4,720 4,243 4,087 4,205 17,255 47.5 28.9 21.6 18.3 173.5 7 South East Texas 9,914 13,626 17,896 22,669 27,377 3,712 4,270 4,773 4,708 17,463 37.4 31.3 26.7 20.8 176.1 8 Coastal Bend 8,174 10,993 14,072 17,238 20,358 2,819 3,079 3,166 3,120 12,184 34.5 28.0 22.5 18.1 149.1 9 Brazos Valley 7,893 9,793 11,932 14,632 17,630 1,900 2,139 2,700 2,998 9,737 24.1 21.8 22.6 20.5 123.4 10 Panhandle 7,342 9,202 11,360 13,412 15,131 1,860 2,158 2,052 1,719 7,789 25.3 23.5 18.1 12.8 106.1 11 East Texas 6,995 8,558 10,310 12,232 13,992 1,563 1,752 1,922 1,760 6,997 22.3 20.5 18.6 14.4 100.0 12 Lower Rio Grande Valley 6,186 9,586 13,847 19,392 26,581 3,400 4,261 5,545 7,189 20,395 55.0 44.5 40.0 37.1 329.7 13 South Plains 5,173 6,811 8,423 10,130 11,890 1,638 1,612 1,707 1,760 6,717 31.7 23.7 20.3 17.4 129.8 14 Nortex 4,669 6,065 7,665 9,316 10,797 1,396 1,600 1,651 1,481 6,128 29.9 26.4 21.5 15.9 131.2 15 Permian Basin 4,129 4,772 5,395 5,915 6,145 643 623 520 230 2,016 15.6 13.1 9.6 3.9 48.8 16 Heart of Texas 3,986 4,935 6,204 7,466 8,428 949 1,269 1,262 962 4,442 23.8 25.7 20.3 12.9 111.4 17 West Central Texas 3,775 4,856 6,128 7,431 8,848 1,081 1,272 1,303 1,417 5,073 28.6 26.2 21.3 19.1 134.4 18 Deep East Texas 3,527 3,977 4,435 4,785 4,892 450 458 350 107 1,365 12.8 11.5 7.9 2.2 38.7 19 Texoma 2,993 3,826 4,899 6,110 7,427 833 1,073 1,211 1,317 4,434 27.8 28.0 24.7 21.6 148.1 20 Ark-Tex 2,820 3,153 3,473 3,705 3,727 333 320 232 22 907 11.8 10.1 6.7 0.6 32.2 21 Golden Crescent 2,158 2,422 2,679 2,874 2,880 264 257 195 6 722 12.2 10.6 7.3 0.2 33.5 22 Concho Valley 1,756 2,020 2,262 2,387 2,443 264 242 125 56 687 15.0 12.0 5.5 2.3 39.1 23 Middle Rio Grande 1,427 1,677 1,916 2,128 2,268 250 239 212 140 841 17.5 14.3 11.1 6.6 58.9 24 South Texas 1,275 2,491 3,247 3,974 4,893 1,216 756 727 919 3,618 95.4 30.3 22.4 23.1 283.8 Assuming Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 1 Houston-Galveston 257,326 441,909 719,642 1,112,806 1,656,214 184,583 277,733 393,164 543,408 1,398,888 71.7 62.8 54.6 48.8 543.6 2 North Central Texas 235,280 419,058 700,153 1,136,083 1,779,062 183,778 281,095 435,930 642,979 1,543,782 78.1 67.1 62.3 56.6 656.1 3 Capital Area 52,728 88,818 146,379 236,701 370,139 36,090 57,561 90,322 133,438 317,411 68.4 64.8 61.7 56.4 602.0 4 Alamo Area 33,685 60,390 102,164 165,761 258,880 26,705 41,774 63,597 93,119 225,195 79.3 69.2 62.2 56.2 668.5 5 Central Texas 12,629 22,295 36,959 58,439 88,790 9,666 14,664 21,480 30,351 76,161 76.5 65.8 58.1 51.9 603.1 6 Rio Grande 9,945 16,751 24,514 33,694 45,156 6,806 7,763 9,180 11,462 35,211 68.4 46.3 37.4 34.0 354.1 7 South East Texas 9,914 16,577 26,204 39,537 56,435 6,663 9,627 13,333 16,898 46,521 67.2 58.1 50.9 42.7 469.2 8 Coastal Bend 8,174 13,490 21,095 32,087 46,660 5,316 7,605 10,992 14,573 38,486 65.0 56.4 52.1 45.4 470.8 9 Brazos Valley 7,893 10,594 14,125 18,712 24,479 2,701 3,531 4,587 5,767 16,586 34.2 33.3 32.5 30.8 210.1 10 Panhandle 7,342 10,781 15,540 21,434 28,371 3,439 4,759 5,894 6,937 21,029 46.8 44.1 37.9 32.4 286.4 11 East Texas 6,995 10,502 15,824 23,279 32,732 3,507 5,322 7,455 9,453 25,737 50.1 50.7 47.1 40.6 367.9 12 Lower Rio Grande Valley 6,186 11,739 20,374 33,642 54,424 5,553 8,635 13,268 20,782 48,238 89.8 73.6 65.1 61.8 779.8 13 South Plains 5,173 7,741 10,702 14,358 18,894 2,568 2,961 3,656 4,536 13,721 49.6 38.3 34.2 31.6 265.2 14 Nortex 4,669 6,988 10,222 14,410 19,440 2,319 3,234 4,188 5,030 14,771 49.7 46.3 41.0 34.9 316.4 15 Permian Basin 4,129 5,814 8,081 10,907 13,997 1,685 2,267 2,826 3,090 9,868 40.8 39.0 35.0 28.3 239.0 16 Heart of Texas 3,986 5,883 8,774 12,499 16,566 1,897 2,891 3,725 4,067 12,580 47.6 49.1 42.5 32.5 315.6 17 West Central Texas 3,775 5,597 8,263 11,595 15,816 1,822 2,666 3,332 4,221 12,041 48.3 47.6 40.3 36.4 319.0 18 Deep East Texas 3,527 4,614 6,301 9,050 12,634 1,087 1,687 2,749 3,584 9,107 30.8 36.6 43.6 39.6 258.2 19 Texoma 2,993 4,689 7,188 10,502 14,698 1,696 2,499 3,314 4,196 11,705 56.7 53.3 46.1 40.0 391.1 20 Ark-Tex 2,820 3,572 4,558 5,685 6,664 752 986 1,127 979 3,844 26.7 27.6 24.7 17.2 136.3 21 Golden Crescent 2,158 2,943 3,989 5,679 7,534 785 1,046 1,690 1,855 5,376 36.4 35.5 42.4 32.7 249.1 22 Concho Valley 1,756 2,535 3,609 4,905 6,376 779 1,074 1,296 1,471 4,620 44.4 42.4 35.9 30.0 263.1 23 Middle Rio Grande 1,427 1,853 2,400 3,100 4,204 426 547 700 1,104 2,777 29.9 29.5 29.2 35.6 194.6 24 South Texas 1,275 2,776 3,999 5,593 7,732 1,501 1,223 1,594 2,139 6,457 117.7 44.1 39.9 38.2 506.4 Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2004 1 Houston-Galveston 257,326 426,043 664,979 977,844 1,370,739 168,717 238,936 312,865 392,895 1,113,413 65.6 56.1 47.0 40.2 432.7 2 North Central Texas 235,280 403,765 655,057 1,037,691 1,591,663 168,485 251,292 382,634 553,972 1,356,383 71.6 62.2 58.4 53.4 576.5 3 Capital Area 52,728 78,171 111,238 152,864 200,693 25,443 33,067 41,626 47,829 147,965 48.3 42.3 37.4 31.3 280.6 4 Alamo Area 33,685 62,418 107,884 175,711 270,644 28,733 45,466 67,827 94,933 236,959 85.3 72.8 62.9 54.0 703.5 5 Central Texas 12,629 19,623 28,291 39,000 50,936 6,994 8,668 10,709 11,936 38,307 55.4 44.2 37.9 30.6 303.3 6 Rio Grande 9,945 18,039 28,591 41,711 59,116 8,094 10,552 13,120 17,405 49,171 81.4 58.5 45.9 41.7 494.4 7 South East Texas 9,914 15,378 22,250 30,391 39,075 5,464 6,872 8,141 8,684 29,161 55.1 44.7 36.6 28.6 294.1 8 Coastal Bend 8,174 11,849 15,645 19,433 23,512 3,675 3,796 3,788 4,079 15,338 45.0 32.0 24.2 21.0 187.6 9 Brazos Valley 7,893 9,980 11,953 13,758 15,301 2,087 1,973 1,805 1,543 7,408 26.4 19.8 15.1 11.2 93.9 10 Panhandle 7,342 10,048 13,034 15,886 18,354 2,706 2,986 2,852 2,468 11,012 36.9 29.7 21.9 15.5 150.0 11 East Texas 6,995 10,086 14,140 19,406 25,772 3,091 4,054 5,266 6,366 18,777 44.2 40.2 37.2 32.8 268.4 12 Lower Rio Grande Valley 6,186 11,580 19,675 31,886 50,604 5,394 8,095 12,211 18,718 44,418 87.2 69.9 62.1 58.7 718.0 13 South Plains 5,173 7,711 10,489 13,483 16,838 2,538 2,778 2,994 3,355 11,665 49.1 36.0 28.5 24.9 225.5 14 Nortex 4,669 6,119 7,649 8,963 9,908 1,450 1,530 1,314 945 5,239 31.1 25.0 17.2 10.5 112.2 15 Permian Basin 4,129 5,908 8,270 11,257 14,849 1,779 2,362 2,987 3,592 10,720 43.1 40.0 36.1 31.9 259.6 16 Heart of Texas 3,986 5,240 6,841 8,546 9,647 1,254 1,601 1,705 1,101 5,661 31.5 30.6 24.9 12.9 142.0 17 West Central Texas 3,775 5,635 8,390 11,611 16,083 1,860 2,755 3,221 4,472 12,308 49.3 48.9 38.4 38.5 326.0 18 Deep East Texas 3,527 4,246 4,889 5,587 6,359 719 643 698 772 2,832 20.4 15.1 14.3 13.8 80.3 19 Texoma 2,993 4,610 7,019 10,216 13,938 1,617 2,409 3,197 3,722 10,945 54.0 52.3 45.5 36.4 365.7 20 Ark-Tex 2,820 3,446 4,102 4,708 5,148 626 656 606 440 2,328 22.2 19.0 14.8 9.3 82.6 21 Golden Crescent 2,158 2,590 2,877 3,006 3,086 432 287 129 80 928 20.0 11.1 4.5 2.7 43.0 22 Concho Valley 1,756 2,151 2,577 2,901 3,200 395 426 324 299 1,444 22.5 19.8 12.6 10.3 82.2 23 Middle Rio Grande 1,427 1,779 1,986 2,174 2,279 352 207 188 105 852 24.7 11.6 9.5 4.8 59.7 24 South Texas 1,275 3,014 4,987 8,344 14,832 1,739 1,973 3,357 6,488 13,557 136.4 65.5 67.3 77.8 1063.3 ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________