Table 9 - Continued Total Population and Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projected Population and Percent Population Change 2000-2040 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Metropolitan Statistical Areas in Texas - Ranked by Hispanic Population Size in 2000 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Change Change Change Change Change %Change %Change %Change %Change %Change Rank for Metropolitan Hispanic Hispanic Hispanic Hispanic Hispanic 2000- 2010- 2020- 2030- 2000- 2000- 2010- 2020- 2030- 2000- Hispanic Statistical Area 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2010 2020 2030 2040 2040 2010 2020 2030 2040 2040 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Assuming Zero Net Migration 1 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 1,353,477 1,648,650 1,915,387 2,176,182 2,393,609 295,173 266,737 260,795 217,427 1,040,132 21.8 16.2 13.6 10.0 76.8 2 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington 1,117,717 1,396,152 1,652,639 1,923,362 2,162,713 278,435 256,487 270,723 239,351 1,044,996 24.9 18.4 16.4 12.4 93.5 3 San Antonio 863,162 989,829 1,096,304 1,181,495 1,237,774 126,667 106,475 85,191 56,279 374,612 14.7 10.8 7.8 4.8 43.4 4 El Paso 531,654 628,190 716,092 797,440 870,290 96,536 87,902 81,348 72,850 338,636 18.2 14.0 11.4 9.1 63.7 5 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission 503,100 625,178 741,860 858,590 973,953 122,078 116,682 116,730 115,363 470,853 24.3 18.7 15.7 13.4 93.6 6 Austin-Round Rock 327,760 399,746 459,653 517,275 564,349 71,986 59,907 57,622 47,074 236,589 22.0 15.0 12.5 9.1 72.2 7 Brownsville-Harlingen 282,736 345,246 405,513 467,692 530,661 62,510 60,267 62,179 62,969 247,925 22.1 17.5 15.3 13.5 87.7 8 Corpus Christi 212,703 243,953 270,409 292,533 308,723 31,250 26,456 22,124 16,190 96,020 14.7 10.8 8.2 5.5 45.1 9 Laredo 182,070 229,494 275,946 328,558 385,078 47,424 46,452 52,612 56,520 203,008 26.0 20.2 19.1 17.2 111.5 10 Lubbock 70,069 83,223 94,556 104,387 111,607 13,154 11,333 9,831 7,220 41,538 18.8 13.6 10.4 6.9 59.3 11 Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood 51,802 62,095 71,309 79,932 86,325 10,293 9,214 8,623 6,393 34,523 19.9 14.8 12.1 8.0 66.6 12 Odessa 51,306 63,043 74,327 85,368 95,349 11,737 11,284 11,041 9,981 44,043 22.9 17.9 14.9 11.7 85.8 13 Victoria 43,846 52,184 59,903 66,996 73,135 8,338 7,719 7,093 6,139 29,289 19.0 14.8 11.8 9.2 66.8 14 Amarillo 43,213 52,966 62,463 71,635 79,531 9,753 9,497 9,172 7,896 36,318 22.6 17.9 14.7 11.0 84.0 15 Waco 38,233 46,559 54,322 61,643 67,760 8,326 7,763 7,321 6,117 29,527 21.8 16.7 13.5 9.9 77.2 16 Midland 33,676 41,257 48,683 55,613 61,652 7,581 7,426 6,930 6,039 27,976 22.5 18.0 14.2 10.9 83.1 17 San Angelo 32,382 38,127 42,996 47,185 50,293 5,745 4,869 4,189 3,108 17,911 17.7 12.8 9.7 6.6 55.3 18 College Station-Bryan 32,023 38,817 44,879 50,600 55,384 6,794 6,062 5,721 4,784 23,361 21.2 15.6 12.7 9.5 73.0 19 Beaumont-Port Arthur 30,832 36,085 40,930 45,585 49,179 5,253 4,845 4,655 3,594 18,347 17.0 13.4 11.4 7.9 59.5 20 Abilene 27,486 32,922 38,104 42,663 46,289 5,436 5,182 4,559 3,626 18,803 19.8 15.7 12.0 8.5 68.4 21 Tyler 19,521 25,266 30,934 37,069 43,065 5,745 5,668 6,135 5,996 23,544 29.4 22.4 19.8 16.2 120.6 22 Wichita Falls 16,932 20,183 23,247 26,126 28,438 3,251 3,064 2,879 2,312 11,506 19.2 15.2 12.4 8.8 68.0 23 Longview 15,575 19,932 24,382 28,963 33,256 4,357 4,450 4,581 4,293 17,681 28.0 22.3 18.8 14.8 113.5 24 Sherman-Denison 7,519 9,627 11,666 13,705 15,649 2,108 2,039 2,039 1,944 8,130 28.0 21.2 17.5 14.2 108.1 25 Texarkana 3,992 4,480 4,900 5,065 5,109 488 420 165 44 1,117 12.2 9.4 3.4 0.9 28.0 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 1 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 1,353,477 1,946,100 2,655,799 3,502,358 4,468,659 592,623 709,699 846,559 966,301 3,115,182 43.8 36.5 31.9 27.6 230.2 2 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington 1,117,717 1,703,086 2,452,733 3,432,969 4,640,339 585,369 749,647 980,236 1,207,370 3,522,622 52.4 44.0 40.0 35.2 315.2 3 San Antonio 863,162 1,049,893 1,231,644 1,397,012 1,535,333 186,731 181,751 165,368 138,321 672,171 21.6 17.3 13.4 9.9 77.9 4 El Paso 531,654 662,473 795,935 921,288 1,038,768 130,819 133,462 125,353 117,480 507,114 24.6 20.1 15.7 12.8 95.4 5 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission 503,100 685,426 891,562 1,119,111 1,364,398 182,326 206,136 227,549 245,287 861,298 36.2 30.1 25.5 21.9 171.2 6 Austin-Round Rock 327,760 484,494 670,810 899,807 1,171,796 156,734 186,316 228,997 271,989 844,036 47.8 38.5 34.1 30.2 257.5 7 Brownsville-Harlingen 282,736 363,303 448,312 536,896 626,789 80,567 85,009 88,584 89,893 344,053 28.5 23.4 19.8 16.7 121.7 8 Corpus Christi 212,703 264,678 318,205 369,853 417,978 51,975 53,527 51,648 48,125 205,275 24.4 20.2 16.2 13.0 96.5 9 Laredo 182,070 250,437 328,937 421,210 527,726 68,367 78,500 92,273 106,516 345,656 37.5 31.3 28.1 25.3 189.8 10 Lubbock 70,069 88,434 106,382 123,197 137,283 18,365 17,948 16,815 14,086 67,214 26.2 20.3 15.8 11.4 95.9 11 Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood 51,802 72,413 96,219 123,536 151,963 20,611 23,806 27,317 28,427 100,161 39.8 32.9 28.4 23.0 193.4 12 Odessa 51,306 66,821 83,207 99,689 115,517 15,515 16,386 16,482 15,828 64,211 30.2 24.5 19.8 15.9 125.2 13 Victoria 43,846 55,507 67,804 80,006 91,609 11,661 12,297 12,202 11,603 47,763 26.6 22.2 18.0 14.5 108.9 14 Amarillo 43,213 60,910 82,394 107,145 133,906 17,697 21,484 24,751 26,761 90,693 41.0 35.3 30.0 25.0 209.9 15 Waco 38,233 54,687 74,662 97,514 123,233 16,454 19,975 22,852 25,719 85,000 43.0 36.5 30.6 26.4 222.3 16 Midland 33,676 44,546 56,649 68,816 80,667 10,870 12,103 12,167 11,851 46,991 32.3 27.2 21.5 17.2 139.5 17 San Angelo 32,382 40,957 49,414 57,397 64,530 8,575 8,457 7,983 7,133 32,148 26.5 20.6 16.2 12.4 99.3 18 College Station-Bryan 32,023 43,248 55,433 68,848 82,516 11,225 12,185 13,415 13,668 50,493 35.1 28.2 24.2 19.9 157.7 19 Beaumont-Port Arthur 30,832 43,705 60,890 83,219 110,399 12,873 17,185 22,329 27,180 79,567 41.8 39.3 36.7 32.7 258.1 20 Abilene 27,486 34,575 41,964 48,765 54,678 7,089 7,389 6,801 5,913 27,192 25.8 21.4 16.2 12.1 98.9 21 Tyler 19,521 31,027 46,960 68,704 97,051 11,506 15,933 21,744 28,347 77,530 58.9 51.4 46.3 41.3 397.2 22 Wichita Falls 16,932 22,229 28,378 34,970 41,671 5,297 6,149 6,592 6,701 24,739 31.3 27.7 23.2 19.2 146.1 23 Longview 15,575 24,674 37,622 55,489 79,142 9,099 12,948 17,867 23,653 63,567 58.4 52.5 47.5 42.6 408.1 24 Sherman-Denison 7,519 11,416 16,259 22,335 29,641 3,897 4,843 6,076 7,306 22,122 51.8 42.4 37.4 32.7 294.2 25 Texarkana 3,992 5,138 6,305 7,344 8,161 1,146 1,167 1,039 817 4,169 28.7 22.7 16.5 11.1 104.4 Assuming Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 1 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 1,353,477 2,302,306 3,688,005 5,535,543 7,926,877 948,829 1,385,699 1,847,538 2,391,334 6,573,400 70.1 60.2 50.1 43.2 485.7 2 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington 1,117,717 2,069,289 3,603,561 6,007,551 9,594,010 951,572 1,534,272 2,403,990 3,586,459 8,476,293 85.1 74.1 66.7 59.7 758.4 3 San Antonio 863,162 1,107,934 1,359,874 1,591,969 1,782,832 244,772 251,940 232,095 190,863 919,670 28.4 22.7 17.1 12.0 106.5 4 El Paso 531,654 696,040 869,910 1,020,041 1,144,516 164,386 173,870 150,131 124,475 612,862 30.9 25.0 17.3 12.2 115.3 5 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission 503,100 748,384 1,047,825 1,392,021 1,758,647 245,284 299,441 344,196 366,626 1,255,547 48.8 40.0 32.8 26.3 249.6 6 Austin-Round Rock 327,760 585,830 975,418 1,553,892 2,392,974 258,070 389,588 578,474 839,082 2,065,214 78.7 66.5 59.3 54.0 630.1 7 Brownsville-Harlingen 282,736 380,148 483,997 586,453 678,156 97,412 103,849 102,456 91,703 395,420 34.5 27.3 21.2 15.6 139.9 8 Corpus Christi 212,703 285,689 367,889 446,978 519,696 72,986 82,200 79,089 72,718 306,993 34.3 28.8 21.5 16.3 144.3 9 Laredo 182,070 272,362 385,834 517,927 667,373 90,292 113,472 132,093 149,446 485,303 49.6 41.7 34.2 28.9 266.5 10 Lubbock 70,069 93,371 117,141 138,359 154,540 23,302 23,770 21,218 16,181 84,471 33.3 25.5 18.1 11.7 120.6 11 Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood 51,802 84,630 130,076 188,206 256,185 32,828 45,446 58,130 67,979 204,383 63.4 53.7 44.7 36.1 394.5 12 Odessa 51,306 70,339 90,870 110,432 127,497 19,033 20,531 19,562 17,065 76,191 37.1 29.2 21.5 15.5 148.5 13 Victoria 43,846 58,942 75,680 91,787 105,998 15,096 16,738 16,107 14,211 62,152 34.4 28.4 21.3 15.5 141.8 14 Amarillo 43,213 69,937 107,593 155,750 212,994 26,724 37,656 48,157 57,244 169,781 61.8 53.8 44.8 36.8 392.9 15 Waco 38,233 64,230 102,088 149,334 207,863 25,997 37,858 47,246 58,529 169,630 68.0 58.9 46.3 39.2 443.7 16 Midland 33,676 47,703 64,071 80,503 95,920 14,027 16,368 16,432 15,417 62,244 41.7 34.3 25.6 19.2 184.8 17 San Angelo 32,382 43,729 55,551 66,349 75,451 11,347 11,822 10,798 9,102 43,069 35.0 27.0 19.4 13.7 133.0 18 College Station-Bryan 32,023 48,332 68,440 91,806 116,587 16,309 20,108 23,366 24,781 84,564 50.9 41.6 34.1 27.0 264.1 19 Beaumont-Port Arthur 30,832 53,126 90,594 149,898 236,612 22,294 37,468 59,304 86,714 205,780 72.3 70.5 65.5 57.8 667.4 20 Abilene 27,486 36,253 45,168 52,961 58,856 8,767 8,915 7,793 5,895 31,370 31.9 24.6 17.3 11.1 114.1 21 Tyler 19,521 37,839 69,372 120,175 197,122 18,318 31,533 50,803 76,947 177,601 93.8 83.3 73.2 64.0 909.8 22 Wichita Falls 16,932 24,599 34,504 45,957 58,400 7,667 9,905 11,453 12,443 41,468 45.3 40.3 33.2 27.1 244.9 23 Longview 15,575 30,558 57,415 102,734 174,504 14,983 26,857 45,319 71,770 158,929 96.2 87.9 78.9 69.9 1020.4 24 Sherman-Denison 7,519 13,576 22,581 35,403 52,210 6,057 9,005 12,822 16,807 44,691 80.6 66.3 56.8 47.5 594.4 25 Texarkana 3,992 6,090 8,508 11,089 13,501 2,098 2,418 2,581 2,412 9,509 52.6 39.7 30.3 21.8 238.2 Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2004 1 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 1,353,477 2,249,652 3,475,115 4,979,225 6,758,933 896,175 1,225,463 1,504,110 1,779,708 5,405,456 66.2 54.5 43.3 35.7 399.4 2 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington 1,117,717 1,958,863 3,265,374 5,262,970 8,200,713 841,146 1,306,511 1,997,596 2,937,743 7,082,996 75.3 66.7 61.2 55.8 633.7 3 San Antonio 863,162 1,106,447 1,344,668 1,542,234 1,669,805 243,285 238,221 197,566 127,571 806,643 28.2 21.5 14.7 8.3 93.5 4 El Paso 531,654 643,352 733,463 781,310 789,339 111,698 90,111 47,847 8,029 257,685 21.0 14.0 6.5 1.0 48.5 5 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission 503,100 731,098 991,064 1,262,597 1,512,788 227,998 259,966 271,533 250,191 1,009,688 45.3 35.6 27.4 19.8 200.7 6 Austin-Round Rock 327,760 542,790 836,326 1,230,080 1,740,959 215,030 293,536 393,754 510,879 1,413,199 65.6 54.1 47.1 41.5 431.2 7 Brownsville-Harlingen 282,736 366,209 444,109 509,363 552,189 83,473 77,900 65,254 42,826 269,453 29.5 21.3 14.7 8.4 95.3 8 Corpus Christi 212,703 249,430 277,275 289,712 287,020 36,727 27,845 12,437 -2,692 74,317 17.3 11.2 4.5 -0.9 34.9 9 Laredo 182,070 251,554 323,607 393,275 455,456 69,484 72,053 69,668 62,181 273,386 38.2 28.6 21.5 15.8 150.2 10 Lubbock 70,069 88,190 103,571 113,960 117,133 18,121 15,381 10,389 3,173 47,064 25.9 17.4 10.0 2.8 67.2 11 Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood 51,802 74,305 98,828 122,040 140,697 22,503 24,523 23,212 18,657 88,895 43.4 33.0 23.5 15.3 171.6 12 Odessa 51,306 69,812 88,747 105,524 117,897 18,506 18,935 16,777 12,373 66,591 36.1 27.1 18.9 11.7 129.8 13 Victoria 43,846 55,211 65,501 73,306 77,358 11,365 10,290 7,805 4,052 33,512 25.9 18.6 11.9 5.5 76.4 14 Amarillo 43,213 65,188 92,393 122,242 150,784 21,975 27,205 29,849 28,542 107,571 50.9 41.7 32.3 23.3 248.9 15 Waco 38,233 62,339 95,028 131,600 171,051 24,106 32,689 36,572 39,451 132,818 63.1 52.4 38.5 30.0 347.4 16 Midland 33,676 48,469 65,580 82,456 97,104 14,793 17,111 16,876 14,648 63,428 43.9 35.3 25.7 17.8 188.3 17 San Angelo 32,382 39,915 45,912 49,449 50,062 7,533 5,997 3,537 613 17,680 23.3 15.0 7.7 1.2 54.6 18 College Station-Bryan 32,023 47,064 64,414 82,367 98,667 15,041 17,350 17,953 16,300 66,644 47.0 36.9 27.9 19.8 208.1 19 Beaumont-Port Arthur 30,832 50,418 80,939 125,253 183,105 19,586 30,521 44,314 57,852 152,273 63.5 60.5 54.7 46.2 493.9 20 Abilene 27,486 34,914 41,784 46,756 49,073 7,428 6,870 4,972 2,317 21,587 27.0 19.7 11.9 5.0 78.5 21 Tyler 19,521 40,607 79,499 144,547 245,096 21,086 38,892 65,048 100,549 225,575 108.0 95.8 81.8 69.6 1155.6 22 Wichita Falls 16,932 21,800 26,722 30,954 33,818 4,868 4,922 4,232 2,864 16,886 28.8 22.6 15.8 9.3 99.7 23 Longview 15,575 30,166 55,365 94,989 152,202 14,591 25,199 39,624 57,213 136,627 93.7 83.5 71.6 60.2 877.2 24 Sherman-Denison 7,519 13,988 23,885 38,011 56,125 6,469 9,897 14,126 18,114 48,606 86.0 70.8 59.1 47.7 646.4 25 Texarkana 3,992 7,235 11,668 17,201 23,511 3,243 4,433 5,533 6,310 19,519 81.2 61.3 47.4 36.7 489.0 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