Table 9 Total Population and Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projected Population and Percent Population Change 2000-2040 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Metropolitan Statistical Areas in Texas - Ranked by Total Population Size in 2000 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Change Change Change Change Change %Change %Change %Change %Change %Change Rank for Metropolitan Total Total Total Total Total 2000- 2010- 2020- 2030- 2000- 2000- 2010- 2020- 2030- 2000- Total Statistical Area 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2010 2020 2030 2040 2040 2010 2020 2030 2040 2040 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Assuming Zero Net Migration 1 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington 5,161,544 5,682,815 6,051,663 6,308,372 6,398,674 521,271 368,848 256,709 90,302 1,237,130 10.1 6.5 4.2 1.4 24.0 2 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 4,715,407 5,165,606 5,507,127 5,732,271 5,806,541 450,199 341,521 225,144 74,270 1,091,134 9.5 6.6 4.1 1.3 23.1 3 San Antonio 1,711,703 1,858,265 1,968,705 2,037,203 2,060,424 146,562 110,440 68,498 23,221 348,721 8.6 5.9 3.5 1.1 20.4 4 Austin-Round Rock 1,249,763 1,375,364 1,459,689 1,516,347 1,530,176 125,601 84,325 56,658 13,829 280,413 10.0 6.1 3.9 0.9 22.4 5 El Paso 679,622 782,418 872,537 952,053 1,020,903 102,796 90,119 79,516 68,850 341,281 15.1 11.5 9.1 7.2 50.2 6 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission 569,463 691,284 807,089 924,807 1,044,550 121,821 115,805 117,718 119,743 475,087 21.4 16.8 14.6 12.9 83.4 7 Corpus Christi 403,280 438,841 466,125 484,193 493,873 35,561 27,284 18,068 9,680 90,593 8.8 6.2 3.9 2.0 22.5 8 Beaumont-Port Arthur 385,090 400,712 409,876 410,519 404,444 15,622 9,164 643 -6,075 19,354 4.1 2.3 0.2 -1.5 5.0 9 Brownsville-Harlingen 335,227 395,289 453,306 514,446 577,459 60,062 58,017 61,140 63,013 242,232 17.9 14.7 13.5 12.2 72.3 10 Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood 330,714 369,369 397,704 422,506 438,633 38,655 28,335 24,802 16,127 107,919 11.7 7.7 6.2 3.8 32.6 11 Lubbock 249,700 271,151 283,241 290,802 293,937 21,451 12,090 7,561 3,135 44,237 8.6 4.5 2.7 1.1 17.7 12 Amarillo 226,522 242,377 254,683 263,297 267,470 15,855 12,306 8,614 4,173 40,948 7.0 5.1 3.4 1.6 18.1 13 Waco 213,517 224,037 232,284 236,472 236,718 10,520 8,247 4,188 246 23,201 4.9 3.7 1.8 0.1 10.9 14 Longview 194,042 202,854 209,747 212,564 213,061 8,812 6,893 2,817 497 19,019 4.5 3.4 1.3 0.2 9.8 15 Laredo 193,117 241,868 288,875 341,670 397,883 48,751 47,007 52,795 56,213 204,766 25.2 19.4 18.3 16.5 106.0 16 College Station-Bryan 184,885 196,408 207,352 215,217 220,436 11,523 10,944 7,865 5,219 35,551 6.2 5.6 3.8 2.4 19.2 17 Tyler 174,706 182,579 188,084 190,842 191,064 7,873 5,505 2,758 222 16,358 4.5 3.0 1.5 0.1 9.4 18 Abilene 160,245 170,308 177,303 180,491 181,458 10,063 6,995 3,188 967 21,213 6.3 4.1 1.8 0.5 13.2 19 Wichita Falls 151,524 158,824 164,088 166,688 166,693 7,300 5,264 2,600 5 15,169 4.8 3.3 1.6 0.0 10.0 20 Odessa 121,123 134,221 145,455 154,708 162,219 13,098 11,234 9,253 7,511 41,096 10.8 8.4 6.4 4.9 33.9 21 Midland 116,009 125,384 134,513 140,459 144,161 9,375 9,129 5,946 3,702 28,152 8.1 7.3 4.4 2.6 24.3 22 Victoria 111,663 121,691 130,626 137,078 142,014 10,028 8,935 6,452 4,936 30,351 9.0 7.3 4.9 3.6 27.2 23 Sherman-Denison 110,595 114,244 116,855 117,212 116,105 3,649 2,611 357 -1,107 5,510 3.3 2.3 0.3 -0.9 5.0 24 San Angelo 105,781 111,682 115,483 117,584 117,928 5,901 3,801 2,101 344 12,147 5.6 3.4 1.8 0.3 11.5 25 Texarkana 89,306 91,668 92,935 91,965 89,096 2,362 1,267 -970 -2,869 -210 2.6 1.4 -1.0 -3.1 -0.2 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 1 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington 5,161,544 6,197,165 7,340,103 8,648,782 10,106,814 1,035,621 1,142,938 1,308,679 1,458,032 4,945,270 20.1 18.4 17.8 16.9 95.8 2 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 4,715,407 5,545,165 6,444,638 7,402,101 8,400,148 829,758 899,473 957,463 998,047 3,684,741 17.6 16.2 14.9 13.5 78.1 3 San Antonio 1,711,703 1,952,482 2,178,130 2,368,499 2,512,021 240,779 225,648 190,369 143,522 800,318 14.1 11.6 8.7 6.1 46.8 4 Austin-Round Rock 1,249,763 1,563,179 1,898,404 2,269,254 2,658,510 313,416 335,225 370,850 389,256 1,408,747 25.1 21.4 19.5 17.2 112.7 5 El Paso 679,622 804,655 930,007 1,045,267 1,153,058 125,033 125,352 115,260 107,791 473,436 18.4 15.6 12.4 10.3 69.7 6 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission 569,463 752,909 959,669 1,189,296 1,439,472 183,446 206,760 229,627 250,176 870,009 32.2 27.5 23.9 21.0 152.8 7 Corpus Christi 403,280 460,846 516,695 564,933 606,132 57,566 55,849 48,238 41,199 202,852 14.3 12.1 9.3 7.3 50.3 8 Beaumont-Port Arthur 385,090 406,144 425,444 441,439 455,531 21,054 19,300 15,995 14,092 70,441 5.5 4.8 3.8 3.2 18.3 9 Brownsville-Harlingen 335,227 415,307 499,380 587,040 675,748 80,080 84,073 87,660 88,708 340,521 23.9 20.2 17.6 15.1 101.6 10 Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood 330,714 391,194 448,203 504,378 553,668 60,480 57,009 56,175 49,290 222,954 18.3 14.6 12.5 9.8 67.4 11 Lubbock 249,700 272,495 286,389 295,621 300,290 22,795 13,894 9,232 4,669 50,590 9.1 5.1 3.2 1.6 20.3 12 Amarillo 226,522 254,719 282,450 308,552 330,717 28,197 27,731 26,102 22,165 104,195 12.4 10.9 9.2 7.2 46.0 13 Waco 213,517 231,484 251,104 268,500 285,517 17,967 19,620 17,396 17,017 72,000 8.4 8.5 6.9 6.3 33.7 14 Longview 194,042 207,550 221,789 235,074 249,836 13,508 14,239 13,285 14,762 55,794 7.0 6.9 6.0 6.3 28.8 15 Laredo 193,117 263,286 342,789 435,776 542,584 70,169 79,503 92,987 106,808 349,467 36.3 30.2 27.1 24.5 181.0 16 College Station-Bryan 184,885 207,256 230,437 250,846 267,731 22,371 23,181 20,409 16,885 82,846 12.1 11.2 8.9 6.7 44.8 17 Tyler 174,706 188,488 203,949 220,526 240,273 13,782 15,461 16,577 19,747 65,567 7.9 8.2 8.1 9.0 37.5 18 Abilene 160,245 170,985 178,291 181,238 181,550 10,740 7,306 2,947 312 21,305 6.7 4.3 1.7 0.2 13.3 19 Wichita Falls 151,524 159,736 166,636 170,806 172,355 8,212 6,900 4,170 1,549 20,831 5.4 4.3 2.5 0.9 13.7 20 Odessa 121,123 132,773 143,904 153,887 163,099 11,650 11,131 9,983 9,212 41,976 9.6 8.4 6.9 6.0 34.7 21 Midland 116,009 124,570 133,641 140,150 145,150 8,561 9,071 6,509 5,000 29,141 7.4 7.3 4.9 3.6 25.1 22 Victoria 111,663 124,293 136,461 146,075 153,768 12,630 12,168 9,614 7,693 42,105 11.3 9.8 7.0 5.3 37.7 23 Sherman-Denison 110,595 117,995 124,968 129,795 133,317 7,400 6,973 4,827 3,522 22,722 6.7 5.9 3.9 2.7 20.5 24 San Angelo 105,781 113,296 118,918 122,385 123,930 7,515 5,622 3,467 1,545 18,149 7.1 5.0 2.9 1.3 17.2 25 Texarkana 89,306 90,961 91,329 88,958 84,250 1,655 368 -2,371 -4,708 -5,056 1.9 0.4 -2.6 -5.3 -5.7 Assuming Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 1 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington 5,161,544 6,806,810 9,159,668 12,522,171 17,250,034 1,645,266 2,352,858 3,362,503 4,727,863 12,088,490 31.9 34.6 36.7 37.8 234.2 2 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 4,715,407 5,997,336 7,749,111 10,002,593 12,872,328 1,281,929 1,751,775 2,253,482 2,869,735 8,156,921 27.2 29.2 29.1 28.7 173.0 3 San Antonio 1,711,703 2,049,511 2,403,130 2,741,919 3,040,117 337,808 353,619 338,789 298,198 1,328,414 19.7 17.3 14.1 10.9 77.6 4 Austin-Round Rock 1,249,763 1,782,589 2,492,624 3,447,414 4,710,900 532,826 710,035 954,790 1,263,486 3,461,137 42.6 39.8 38.3 36.7 276.9 5 El Paso 679,622 825,557 983,454 1,121,320 1,239,762 145,935 157,897 137,866 118,442 560,140 21.5 19.1 14.0 10.6 82.4 6 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission 569,463 816,612 1,117,476 1,465,327 1,840,735 247,149 300,864 347,851 375,408 1,271,272 43.4 36.8 31.1 25.6 223.2 7 Corpus Christi 403,280 482,693 567,927 645,324 714,651 79,413 85,234 77,397 69,327 311,371 19.7 17.7 13.6 10.7 77.2 8 Beaumont-Port Arthur 385,090 410,527 443,592 489,812 558,476 25,437 33,065 46,220 68,664 173,386 6.6 8.1 10.4 14.0 45.0 9 Brownsville-Harlingen 335,227 434,130 538,612 639,833 729,138 98,903 104,482 101,221 89,305 393,911 29.5 24.1 18.8 14.0 117.5 10 Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood 330,714 414,737 506,661 607,195 711,406 84,023 91,924 100,534 104,211 380,692 25.4 22.2 19.8 17.2 115.1 11 Lubbock 249,700 272,709 284,512 289,754 289,178 23,009 11,803 5,242 -576 39,478 9.2 4.3 1.8 -0.2 15.8 12 Amarillo 226,522 267,636 312,069 359,403 407,303 41,114 44,433 47,334 47,900 180,781 18.2 16.6 15.2 13.3 79.8 13 Waco 213,517 239,075 272,187 307,482 351,017 25,558 33,112 35,295 43,535 137,500 12.0 13.9 13.0 14.2 64.4 14 Longview 194,042 211,389 234,687 267,922 321,033 17,347 23,298 33,235 53,111 126,991 8.9 11.0 14.2 19.8 65.4 15 Laredo 193,117 285,960 401,014 534,562 685,038 92,843 115,054 133,548 150,476 491,921 48.1 40.2 33.3 28.1 254.7 16 College Station-Bryan 184,885 218,249 251,996 281,045 302,597 33,364 33,747 29,049 21,552 117,712 18.0 15.5 11.5 7.7 63.7 17 Tyler 174,706 194,285 222,052 262,117 324,563 19,579 27,767 40,065 62,446 149,857 11.2 14.3 18.0 23.8 85.8 18 Abilene 160,245 169,894 173,570 171,392 166,131 9,649 3,676 -2,178 -5,261 5,886 6.0 2.2 -1.3 -3.1 3.7 19 Wichita Falls 151,524 159,227 165,311 168,890 171,303 7,703 6,084 3,579 2,413 19,779 5.1 3.8 2.2 1.4 13.1 20 Odessa 121,123 130,390 140,737 150,709 159,811 9,267 10,347 9,972 9,102 38,688 7.7 7.9 7.1 6.0 31.9 21 Midland 116,009 122,732 130,801 137,203 143,147 6,723 8,069 6,402 5,944 27,138 5.8 6.6 4.9 4.3 23.4 22 Victoria 111,663 126,818 141,249 152,399 160,069 15,155 14,431 11,150 7,670 48,406 13.6 11.4 7.9 5.0 43.4 23 Sherman-Denison 110,595 121,493 131,915 140,507 149,563 10,898 10,422 8,592 9,056 38,968 9.9 8.6 6.5 6.4 35.2 24 San Angelo 105,781 114,255 120,475 123,602 124,260 8,474 6,220 3,127 658 18,479 8.0 5.4 2.6 0.5 17.5 25 Texarkana 89,306 89,823 88,172 83,112 75,747 517 -1,651 -5,060 -7,365 -13,559 0.6 -1.8 -5.7 -8.9 -15.2 Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2004 1 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington 5,161,544 6,570,840 8,566,960 11,397,571 15,311,822 1,409,296 1,996,120 2,830,611 3,914,251 10,150,278 27.3 30.4 33.0 34.3 196.7 2 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 4,715,407 5,849,380 7,321,728 9,071,791 11,101,942 1,133,973 1,472,348 1,750,063 2,030,151 6,386,535 24.0 25.2 23.9 22.4 135.4 3 San Antonio 1,711,703 2,030,892 2,335,858 2,584,700 2,750,105 319,189 304,966 248,842 165,405 1,038,402 18.6 15.0 10.7 6.4 60.7 4 Austin-Round Rock 1,249,763 1,655,883 2,154,682 2,771,772 3,499,762 406,120 498,799 617,090 727,990 2,249,999 32.5 30.1 28.6 26.3 180.0 5 El Paso 679,622 774,460 851,830 891,833 900,019 94,838 77,370 40,003 8,186 220,397 14.0 10.0 4.7 0.9 32.4 6 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission 569,463 798,801 1,060,757 1,336,319 1,595,314 229,338 261,956 275,562 258,995 1,025,851 40.3 32.8 26.0 19.4 180.1 7 Corpus Christi 403,280 425,729 435,981 426,644 402,109 22,449 10,252 -9,337 -24,535 -1,171 5.6 2.4 -2.1 -5.8 -0.3 8 Beaumont-Port Arthur 385,090 391,763 399,873 412,194 433,022 6,673 8,110 12,321 20,828 47,932 1.7 2.1 3.1 5.1 12.4 9 Brownsville-Harlingen 335,227 418,583 494,820 557,227 596,861 83,356 76,237 62,407 39,634 261,634 24.9 18.2 12.6 7.1 78.0 10 Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood 330,714 367,715 391,401 405,862 408,694 37,001 23,686 14,461 2,832 77,980 11.2 6.4 3.7 0.7 23.6 11 Lubbock 249,700 267,508 270,268 261,848 245,386 17,808 2,760 -8,420 -16,462 -4,314 7.1 1.0 -3.1 -6.3 -1.7 12 Amarillo 226,522 250,636 269,575 283,325 289,256 24,114 18,939 13,750 5,931 62,734 10.6 7.6 5.1 2.1 27.7 13 Waco 213,517 229,290 248,280 264,853 281,926 15,773 18,990 16,573 17,073 68,409 7.4 8.3 6.7 6.4 32.0 14 Longview 194,042 208,188 225,672 248,172 282,299 14,146 17,484 22,500 34,127 88,257 7.3 8.4 10.0 13.8 45.5 15 Laredo 193,117 265,162 339,311 411,955 479,229 72,045 74,149 72,644 67,274 286,112 37.3 28.0 21.4 16.3 148.2 16 College Station-Bryan 184,885 206,288 223,692 232,640 232,451 21,403 17,404 8,948 -189 47,566 11.6 8.4 4.0 -0.1 25.7 17 Tyler 174,706 202,600 241,938 298,066 383,423 27,894 39,338 56,128 85,357 208,717 16.0 19.4 23.2 28.6 119.5 18 Abilene 160,245 168,449 167,866 159,010 148,890 8,204 -583 -8,856 -10,120 -11,355 5.1 -0.3 -5.3 -6.4 -7.1 19 Wichita Falls 151,524 146,656 138,382 126,801 113,043 -4,868 -8,274 -11,581 -13,758 -38,481 -3.2 -5.6 -8.4 -10.9 -25.4 20 Odessa 121,123 132,118 142,194 149,399 153,132 10,995 10,076 7,205 3,733 32,009 9.1 7.6 5.1 2.5 26.4 21 Midland 116,009 125,534 135,951 143,574 148,818 9,525 10,417 7,623 5,244 32,809 8.2 8.3 5.6 3.7 28.3 22 Victoria 111,663 119,299 123,651 122,758 117,454 7,636 4,352 -893 -5,304 5,791 6.8 3.6 -0.7 -4.3 5.2 23 Sherman-Denison 110,595 122,785 134,203 143,372 151,988 12,190 11,418 9,169 8,616 41,393 11.0 9.3 6.8 6.0 37.4 24 San Angelo 105,781 105,923 102,394 95,311 85,750 142 -3,529 -7,083 -9,561 -20,031 0.1 -3.3 -6.9 -10.0 -18.9 25 Texarkana 89,306 94,419 97,049 96,156 92,494 5,113 2,630 -893 -3,662 3,188 5.7 2.8 -0.9 -3.8 3.6 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